|
MMA Handicapper Stats: The Greasy Capper |
|
The Greasy Capper: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 41 (49%) Losing Events: 43 (51%)
Average Staked Per Event: 41.58 units Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units Best Event: 70.66 units Worst Event: -79.47 units Average Event: -0.36 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 87.18 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -105.93 |
The Greasy Capper: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
532 |
-16.2 |
-3% |
-13.1 / 386 (-3%) |
|
0.7 / 132 (1%) |
4 / 7 (36%) |
-1.47 |
2023 |
785 |
-34.7 |
-4% |
29.9 / 604 (5%) |
|
-45.7 / 149 (-31%) |
13 / 9 (59%) |
-1.58 |
2022 |
1608 |
-26.5 |
-2% |
-2.4 / 1145 (-0%) |
|
7.1 / 342 (2%) |
14 / 18 (44%) |
-0.83 |
2021 |
568 |
47.6 |
8% |
24.0 / 335 (7%) |
|
-0.3 / 188 (-0%) |
10 / 9 (53%) |
2.51 |
|
The Greasy Capper: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
The Greasy Capper: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
3434 |
-36.5 |
-1% |
28.8 / 2414 (1%) |
-30.2 / 212 (-14%) |
-35.2 / 808 (-4%) |
Bellator |
22 |
-10.5 |
-48% |
-7.5 / 19 (-40%) |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
Other |
37 |
17.2 |
46% |
17.2 / 37 (46%) |
|
|
|
The Greasy Capper: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
125 (34%) |
93 |
74 % |
821.00 |
15.07 |
0.12 |
2% |
Slight Favorites |
103 (28%) |
65 |
63 % |
808.00 |
5.88 |
0.06 |
1% |
Slight Underdogs |
92 (25%) |
39 |
42 % |
588.00 |
-24.97 |
-0.27 |
-4% |
Big Underdogs |
48 (13%) |
14 |
29 % |
253.00 |
42.50 |
0.89 |
17% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
47 (13%) |
26 |
55 % |
377.00 |
37.21 |
0.79 |
10% |
Co-Main Event |
31 (8%) |
19 |
61 % |
232.00 |
12.77 |
0.41 |
6% |
Position 3-5 |
87 (24%) |
53 |
61 % |
521.00 |
1.44 |
0.02 |
0% |
6+ (Undercard) |
203 (55%) |
113 |
56 % |
1,340.00 |
-12.95 |
-0.06 |
-1% |
|
The Greasy Capper: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
29 (8%) |
24 |
83 % |
219.00 |
79.74 |
2.75 |
36% |
Light Heavy |
26 (7%) |
12 |
46 % |
221.00 |
-69.94 |
-2.69 |
-32% |
Middleweight |
54 (15%) |
32 |
59 % |
336.00 |
30.39 |
0.56 |
9% |
Welterweight |
35 (10%) |
19 |
54 % |
211.00 |
0.55 |
0.02 |
0% |
Lightweight |
52 (14%) |
30 |
58 % |
355.00 |
39.17 |
0.75 |
11% |
Featherweight |
41 (11%) |
21 |
51 % |
271.00 |
-52.89 |
-1.29 |
-20% |
Bantamweight |
43 (12%) |
21 |
49 % |
236.00 |
-39.05 |
-0.91 |
-17% |
Flyweight |
22 (6%) |
14 |
64 % |
135.00 |
22.31 |
1.01 |
17% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
66 (18%) |
38 |
58 % |
486.00 |
28.20 |
0.43 |
6% |
Featherweight |
4 (1%) |
3 |
75 % |
39.00 |
18.46 |
4.62 |
47% |
Bantamweight |
20 (5%) |
9 |
45 % |
151.00 |
-1.45 |
-0.07 |
-1% |
Flyweight |
21 (6%) |
12 |
57 % |
132.00 |
11.41 |
0.54 |
9% |
Strawweight |
21 (6%) |
14 |
67 % |
164.00 |
-0.22 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
171 (64%) |
135 |
79 % |
Slight Favorites |
73 (27%) |
41 |
56 % |
Slight Underdogs |
16 (6%) |
4 |
25 % |
Big Underdogs |
6 (2%) |
1 |
17 % |
|
266 |
181 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
5 (7%) |
2 |
40 % |
50-65% |
7 (10%) |
1 |
14 % |
35-50% |
16 (23%) |
7 |
44 % |
<35% chance |
43 (61%) |
8 |
19 % |
|
71 |
18 |
25 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Greasy Capper's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
7th Aug |
UFC 265 |
39 |
21.6 |
55% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,215.82 |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
11 |
11.2 |
102% |
|
$12.16 |
$1,215.82 |
$1,352.06 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
16 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$13.52 |
$1,352.06 |
$1,347.75 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
19 |
16.9 |
89% |
|
$13.48 |
$1,347.75 |
$1,575.62 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
23 |
13.0 |
57% |
$5 |
$15.76 |
$1,575.62 |
$1,776.00 |
22nd Sep |
DWCS 2021: Week 4 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$17.76 |
$1,776.00 |
$1,753.24 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$17.53 |
$1,753.24 |
$1,362.52 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
20 |
8.9 |
44% |
$5 |
$13.63 |
$1,362.52 |
$1,478.41 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
22 |
-22.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$14.78 |
$1,478.41 |
$1,148.16 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
43 |
42.3 |
98% |
$5 |
$11.48 |
$1,148.16 |
$1,629.20 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
25 |
-5.4 |
-22% |
$5 |
$16.29 |
$1,629.20 |
$1,536.22 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
64 |
43.2 |
67% |
$5 |
$15.36 |
$1,536.22 |
$2,194.82 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$21.95 |
$2,194.82 |
$1,926.44 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
22 |
0.2 |
1% |
$5 |
$19.26 |
$1,926.44 |
$1,924.73 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
55 |
35.5 |
65% |
$5 |
$19.25 |
$1,924.73 |
$2,603.56 |
3rd Dec |
Bellator 272 |
22 |
-10.5 |
-48% |
$5 |
$26.04 |
$2,603.56 |
$2,324.00 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
56 |
-35.2 |
-63% |
$5 |
$23.24 |
$2,324.00 |
$1,501.45 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
45 |
-45.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$15.01 |
$1,501.45 |
$820.80 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
51 |
8.2 |
16% |
$5 |
$8.21 |
$820.80 |
$883.41 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
69 |
-26.5 |
-38% |
$5 |
$8.83 |
$883.41 |
$644.73 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
100 |
-79.5 |
-79% |
$5 |
$6.45 |
$644.73 |
$127.33 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
62 |
26.1 |
42% |
$5 |
$1.27 |
$127.33 |
$155.59 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
63 |
61.1 |
97% |
$5 |
$1.56 |
$155.59 |
$245.60 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
30 |
-30.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$2.46 |
$245.60 |
$166.92 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
50 |
-20.0 |
-40% |
$5 |
$1.67 |
$166.92 |
$128.58 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
57 |
15.4 |
27% |
$5 |
$1.29 |
$128.58 |
$143.34 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
23 |
5.8 |
25% |
$5 |
$1.43 |
$143.34 |
$146.65 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
31 |
-24.6 |
-79% |
$5 |
$1.47 |
$146.65 |
$105.65 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
70 |
24.7 |
35% |
$5 |
$1.06 |
$105.65 |
$126.77 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
48 |
-5.2 |
-11% |
$5 |
$1.27 |
$126.77 |
$115.21 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
40 |
-2.0 |
-5% |
$5 |
$1.15 |
$115.21 |
$107.92 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$1.08 |
$107.92 |
$91.05 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
91 |
10.8 |
12% |
$5 |
$0.91 |
$91.05 |
$95.88 |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
32 |
-12.7 |
-40% |
$5 |
$0.96 |
$95.88 |
$78.72 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
45 |
23.5 |
52% |
$5 |
$0.79 |
$78.72 |
$92.19 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
93 |
5.2 |
6% |
$5 |
$0.92 |
$92.19 |
$92.01 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
30 |
14.6 |
49% |
$5 |
$0.92 |
$92.01 |
$100.47 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
23.5 |
-2.4 |
-10% |
$5 |
$1.00 |
$100.47 |
$93.09 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
88.5 |
41.7 |
47% |
|
$0.93 |
$93.09 |
$131.91 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
41 |
-17.8 |
-43% |
$5 |
$1.32 |
$131.91 |
$103.42 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
40 |
-16.1 |
-40% |
$5 |
$1.03 |
$103.42 |
$81.72 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
96 |
70.7 |
74% |
|
$0.82 |
$81.72 |
$139.46 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
79 |
-1.7 |
-2% |
$5 |
$1.39 |
$139.46 |
$132.11 |
2nd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 2 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$1.32 |
$132.11 |
$128.15 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
59 |
17.9 |
30% |
|
$1.28 |
$128.15 |
$151.04 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
42 |
-24.9 |
-59% |
$5 |
$1.51 |
$151.04 |
$108.43 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
64 |
1.1 |
2% |
|
$1.08 |
$108.43 |
$109.68 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
26 |
-22.2 |
-86% |
|
$1.10 |
$109.68 |
$85.27 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
54 |
-52.9 |
-98% |
|
$0.85 |
$85.27 |
$40.21 |
21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
33 |
21.2 |
64% |
|
$0.40 |
$40.21 |
$48.73 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
14 |
-14.0 |
-100% |
|
$0.49 |
$48.73 |
$41.91 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
23 |
26.5 |
115% |
|
$0.42 |
$41.91 |
$53.03 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
36 |
10.3 |
29% |
$5 |
$0.53 |
$53.03 |
$53.48 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
16 |
-16.0 |
-100% |
|
$0.53 |
$53.48 |
$44.93 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
35 |
11.5 |
33% |
|
$0.45 |
$44.93 |
$50.08 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
37 |
-14.3 |
-39% |
|
$0.50 |
$50.08 |
$42.94 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
12 |
17.4 |
145% |
|
$0.43 |
$42.94 |
$50.42 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
27 |
9.2 |
34% |
|
$0.50 |
$50.42 |
$55.05 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
28 |
10.1 |
36% |
|
$0.55 |
$55.05 |
$60.63 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
50 |
14.1 |
28% |
|
$0.61 |
$60.63 |
$69.16 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
24 |
14.7 |
61% |
|
$0.69 |
$69.16 |
$79.35 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
15 |
3.2 |
21% |
|
$0.79 |
$79.35 |
$81.87 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
47 |
-32.0 |
-68% |
$5 |
$0.82 |
$81.87 |
$50.67 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
23 |
-21.8 |
-95% |
|
$0.51 |
$50.67 |
$39.62 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
39 |
12.7 |
33% |
|
$0.40 |
$39.62 |
$44.66 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
33 |
-18.8 |
-57% |
|
$0.45 |
$44.66 |
$36.28 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
31 |
-28.4 |
-92% |
|
$0.36 |
$36.28 |
$25.97 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
51 |
28.3 |
56% |
|
$0.26 |
$25.97 |
$33.33 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
90 |
-28.1 |
-31% |
|
$0.33 |
$33.33 |
$23.95 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
48 |
-48.0 |
-100% |
|
$0.24 |
$23.95 |
$12.45 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
17 |
7.4 |
44% |
|
$0.12 |
$12.45 |
$13.38 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
34 |
33.8 |
100% |
|
$0.13 |
$13.38 |
$17.90 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
69 |
-26.7 |
-39% |
|
$0.18 |
$17.90 |
$13.13 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
26 |
-17.7 |
-68% |
|
$0.13 |
$13.13 |
$10.80 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
|
$0.11 |
$10.80 |
$9.61 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
33 |
1.1 |
3% |
|
$0.10 |
$9.61 |
$9.72 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
54 |
-29.5 |
-55% |
|
$0.10 |
$9.72 |
$6.85 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
33 |
-11.4 |
-35% |
|
$0.07 |
$6.85 |
$6.07 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
59 |
2.7 |
5% |
|
$0.06 |
$6.07 |
$6.24 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
91 |
31.2 |
34% |
|
$0.06 |
$6.24 |
$8.19 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
56 |
-7.2 |
-13% |
|
$0.08 |
$8.19 |
$7.59 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
80 |
-7.7 |
-10% |
|
$0.08 |
$7.59 |
$7.01 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
45 |
-14.4 |
-32% |
|
$0.07 |
$7.01 |
$5.99 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
44 |
47.8 |
109% |
|
$0.06 |
$5.99 |
$8.86 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -99.11% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Greasy Capper: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Rani Yahya |
Victor Henry |
4.50 |
6 |
TKO, R3 (2:36) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Ryan Spann |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.55 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Calvin Kattar |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.54 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.91 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Justin Gaethje |
Max Holloway |
1.67 |
11 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Dylan Budka |
César Almeida |
1.74 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.45 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Pedro Falcao |
Victor Hugo Silva |
2.25 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Anton Turkalj |
Ibo Aslan |
2.10 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Kurt Holobaugh |
Trey Ogden |
2.24 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Cameron Saaiman |
Payton Talbott |
2.34 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Bryan Barberena |
Gerald Meerschaert |
3.00 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (4:23) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Feb '24 |
Valentine Woodburn |
Oban Elliott |
4.15 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Feb '24 |
Junior Tafa |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
2.90 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (1:14) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Feb '24 |
Brendson Ribeiro |
Mingyang Zhang |
2.12 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (1:41) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Feb '24 |
Mackenzie Dern |
Amanda Lemos |
2.18 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Zac Pauga |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.77 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jan '24 |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
Chris Curtis |
2.58 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jan '24 |
Matt Semelsberger |
Preston Parsons |
1.93 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Dec '23 |
Lucas Almeida |
Andre Fili |
2.46 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:32) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Greasy Capper: Progress Chart |
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