|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Key3Picks |
|
Key3Picks : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 46 (63%) Losing Events: 27 (37%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.84 units Most Staked On One Event: 24.77 units Best Event: 9.86 units Worst Event: -7.88 units Average Event: 0.78 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 23.03 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -7.88 |
Key3Picks : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
137.28 |
34.9 |
25% |
15.1 / 99.57 (15%) |
|
9.9 / 14.01 (71%) |
13 / 6 (68%) |
1.84 |
2023 |
236.22 |
11.8 |
5% |
-0.6 / 85.87 (-1%) |
|
4.2 / 78.13 (5%) |
28 / 17 (62%) |
0.26 |
2022 |
53.16 |
10.3 |
19% |
5.3 / 14.81 (36%) |
|
3.0 / 21.95 (14%) |
5 / 4 (56%) |
1.14 |
|
Key3Picks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Key3Picks : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
389.79 |
59.2 |
15% |
21.6 / 190 (11%) |
20.4 / 85.7 (24%) |
17.1 / 114.09 (15%) |
PFL |
35.87 |
-1.2 |
-3% |
-1.9 / 10.25 (-19%) |
0.8 / 25.62 (3%) |
|
Other |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
|
Key3Picks : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
6 (4%) |
5 |
83 % |
17.10 |
5.65 |
0.94 |
33% |
Slight Favorites |
52 (39%) |
31 |
60 % |
97.54 |
2.16 |
0.04 |
2% |
Slight Underdogs |
58 (43%) |
30 |
52 % |
74.86 |
7.74 |
0.13 |
10% |
Big Underdogs |
18 (13%) |
7 |
39 % |
10.75 |
4.18 |
0.23 |
39% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
25 (19%) |
14 |
56 % |
42.42 |
6.11 |
0.24 |
14% |
Co-Main Event |
17 (13%) |
9 |
53 % |
27.50 |
-1.57 |
-0.09 |
-6% |
Position 3-5 |
36 (27%) |
21 |
58 % |
53.06 |
14.32 |
0.40 |
27% |
6+ (Undercard) |
56 (42%) |
29 |
52 % |
77.27 |
0.87 |
0.02 |
1% |
|
Key3Picks : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
8 (6%) |
6 |
75 % |
12.80 |
5.47 |
0.68 |
43% |
Light Heavy |
14 (10%) |
7 |
50 % |
18.47 |
0.17 |
0.01 |
1% |
Middleweight |
20 (15%) |
10 |
50 % |
28.06 |
3.08 |
0.15 |
11% |
Welterweight |
18 (13%) |
7 |
39 % |
20.25 |
-4.76 |
-0.26 |
-23% |
Lightweight |
13 (10%) |
8 |
62 % |
22.90 |
4.46 |
0.34 |
19% |
Featherweight |
17 (13%) |
10 |
59 % |
24.60 |
1.72 |
0.10 |
7% |
Bantamweight |
13 (10%) |
8 |
62 % |
22.87 |
0.95 |
0.07 |
4% |
Flyweight |
8 (6%) |
3 |
38 % |
11.25 |
-0.45 |
-0.06 |
-4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
23 (17%) |
14 |
61 % |
39.05 |
9.09 |
0.40 |
23% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
2 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.70 |
1.35 |
135% |
Bantamweight |
3 (2%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.10 |
1.31 |
0.44 |
42% |
Flyweight |
9 (7%) |
4 |
44 % |
18.65 |
-2.24 |
-0.25 |
-12% |
Strawweight |
9 (7%) |
6 |
67 % |
15.30 |
7.32 |
0.81 |
48% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
142 (87%) |
108 |
76 % |
Slight Favorites |
21 (13%) |
17 |
81 % |
Slight Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
164 |
125 |
76 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
11 (9%) |
9 |
82 % |
50-65% |
16 (13%) |
9 |
56 % |
35-50% |
35 (29%) |
18 |
51 % |
<35% chance |
59 (49%) |
10 |
17 % |
|
121 |
46 |
38 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Key3Picks 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
2.2 |
-2.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$978.00 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
3.25 |
1.8 |
55% |
|
$9.78 |
$978.00 |
$995.51 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
10.25 |
2.9 |
28% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.51 |
$1,024.10 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
2 |
-0.6 |
-30% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.10 |
$1,017.96 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
5 |
-0.8 |
-16% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,017.96 |
$1,009.82 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
12.3 |
6.8 |
56% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,009.82 |
$1,078.88 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
1 |
0.6 |
60% |
|
$10.79 |
$1,078.88 |
$1,085.30 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
5.85 |
-3.7 |
-63% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,085.30 |
$1,045.47 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
11.31 |
5.5 |
48% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,045.47 |
$1,102.73 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,102.73 |
$1,090.60 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
9.35 |
1.4 |
15% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,090.60 |
$1,105.79 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,105.79 |
$1,072.61 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
7.45 |
-2.0 |
-27% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,072.61 |
$1,051.42 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
1 |
1.4 |
135% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,051.42 |
$1,065.62 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
9.35 |
4.6 |
49% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,065.62 |
$1,114.41 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
5.9 |
-5.9 |
-100% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,114.41 |
$1,048.66 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
5.75 |
5.5 |
95% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,048.66 |
$1,106.02 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
3.02 |
2.0 |
66% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,106.02 |
$1,128.14 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
12.9 |
-1.4 |
-11% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,128.14 |
$1,112.63 |
14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.13 |
$1,112.63 |
$1,090.38 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
6.3 |
-1.6 |
-25% |
|
$10.90 |
$1,090.38 |
$1,073.15 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
5.25 |
-1.3 |
-24% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.15 |
$1,059.73 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
5.4 |
0.8 |
15% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,059.73 |
$1,068.40 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
7.9 |
-3.1 |
-39% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,068.40 |
$1,035.81 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
5.65 |
3.1 |
55% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,035.81 |
$1,067.91 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
6.75 |
1.6 |
24% |
|
$10.68 |
$1,067.91 |
$1,085.53 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
8 |
4.8 |
60% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,085.53 |
$1,137.38 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
4.9 |
2.0 |
41% |
$5 |
$11.37 |
$1,137.38 |
$1,155.46 |
23rd Jun |
PFL 6: Regular Season |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.55 |
$1,155.46 |
$1,127.35 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
7.95 |
0.8 |
10% |
$5 |
$11.27 |
$1,127.35 |
$1,131.39 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
5.4 |
2.0 |
37% |
$5 |
$11.31 |
$1,131.39 |
$1,148.73 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
3.95 |
3.1 |
78% |
$5 |
$11.49 |
$1,148.73 |
$1,179.07 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
4.2 |
-4.2 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.79 |
$1,179.07 |
$1,124.55 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
7.82 |
3.1 |
39% |
$5 |
$11.25 |
$1,124.55 |
$1,154.19 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
2.1 |
0.0 |
0% |
$5 |
$11.54 |
$1,154.19 |
$1,149.22 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
4 |
0.2 |
5% |
$5 |
$11.49 |
$1,149.22 |
$1,146.63 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.47 |
$1,146.63 |
$1,130.17 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
4.2 |
0.6 |
13% |
$5 |
$11.30 |
$1,130.17 |
$1,131.50 |
23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs |
24.77 |
1.6 |
7% |
$5 |
$11.32 |
$1,131.50 |
$1,144.86 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
3 |
0.1 |
3% |
$5 |
$11.45 |
$1,144.86 |
$1,140.90 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
3.5 |
4.0 |
116% |
$5 |
$11.41 |
$1,140.90 |
$1,182.04 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
11.51 |
-7.9 |
-69% |
$5 |
$11.82 |
$1,182.04 |
$1,083.84 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
6.75 |
2.3 |
35% |
$5 |
$10.84 |
$1,083.84 |
$1,104.11 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
1.95 |
1.8 |
92% |
$5 |
$11.04 |
$1,104.11 |
$1,118.98 |
30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
2 |
1.2 |
59% |
$5 |
$11.19 |
$1,118.98 |
$1,127.14 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.27 |
$1,127.14 |
$1,110.87 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
2.75 |
2.6 |
94% |
$5 |
$11.11 |
$1,110.87 |
$1,134.62 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.35 |
$1,134.62 |
$1,095.58 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
7.5 |
-1.3 |
-17% |
$5 |
$10.96 |
$1,095.58 |
$1,076.36 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
85% |
$5 |
$10.76 |
$1,076.36 |
$1,110.54 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
1.6 |
0.5 |
31% |
$5 |
$11.11 |
$1,110.54 |
$1,111.09 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.11 |
$1,111.09 |
$1,083.87 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
3 |
0.2 |
6% |
$5 |
$10.84 |
$1,083.87 |
$1,080.79 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
4 |
0.6 |
14% |
$5 |
$10.81 |
$1,080.79 |
$1,081.92 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
2.6 |
0.4 |
15% |
$5 |
$10.82 |
$1,081.92 |
$1,081.25 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
4.8 |
0.9 |
19% |
$5 |
$10.81 |
$1,081.25 |
$1,086.11 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
6.91 |
6.7 |
97% |
$5 |
$10.86 |
$1,086.11 |
$1,153.60 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
7.62 |
3.6 |
47% |
$5 |
$11.54 |
$1,153.60 |
$1,189.90 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
8.5 |
4.9 |
57% |
$5 |
$11.90 |
$1,189.90 |
$1,242.73 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
2.1 |
1.0 |
48% |
$5 |
$12.43 |
$1,242.73 |
$1,250.15 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
5.25 |
-3.7 |
-70% |
$5 |
$12.50 |
$1,250.15 |
$1,198.90 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
2 |
0.0 |
0% |
$5 |
$11.99 |
$1,198.90 |
$1,193.90 |
7th Mar |
PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.94 |
$1,193.90 |
$1,165.02 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
5.75 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
$5 |
$11.65 |
$1,165.02 |
$1,157.72 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
5.75 |
1.3 |
23% |
$5 |
$11.58 |
$1,157.72 |
$1,168.06 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
9.25 |
7.1 |
76% |
$5 |
$11.68 |
$1,168.06 |
$1,245.46 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
12.6 |
0.6 |
5% |
$5 |
$12.45 |
$1,245.46 |
$1,247.76 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
7.5 |
3.1 |
42% |
$5 |
$12.48 |
$1,247.76 |
$1,282.06 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
15.25 |
9.9 |
65% |
$5 |
$12.82 |
$1,282.06 |
$1,403.50 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
1 |
1.1 |
105% |
$5 |
$14.03 |
$1,403.50 |
$1,413.24 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
10.15 |
-5.0 |
-49% |
$5 |
$14.13 |
$1,413.24 |
$1,337.75 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
19 |
7.9 |
42% |
$5 |
$13.38 |
$1,337.75 |
$1,438.83 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
9.25 |
-2.6 |
-28% |
$5 |
$14.39 |
$1,438.83 |
$1,397.14 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 39.71% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Key3Picks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Kevin Borjas |
Alessandro Costa |
2.33 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Ariane Lipski |
Karine Silva |
2.39 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Viacheslav Borshchev |
Chase Hooper |
1.74 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (3:0) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.71 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Chris Curtis |
Brendan Allen |
2.85 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
May '24 |
Ernesta Kareckaite |
Dione Barbosa |
2.60 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Ryan Spann |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.63 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Dylan Budka |
César Almeida |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.30 |
1.55 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '24 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.80 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '24 |
Sodiq Yusuff |
Diego Lopes |
2.40 |
2.15 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
3.50 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '24 |
Morgan Charriere |
Jose Mariscal |
2.10 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '24 |
Jalin Turner |
Renato Moicano |
1.54 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Jamall Emmers |
Nate Landwehr |
1.91 |
1.1 |
TKO, R1 (4:43) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Cedric Doumbe |
Baissangour Chamsoudinov |
2.05 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:21) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Bernardo Sopai |
Vinicius de Oliveira |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:41) |
No |
|
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18. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Edgar Chairez |
5.00 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Edgar Chairez |
3.90 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Henry Cejudo |
Merab Dvalishvili |
2.55 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Key3Picks : Progress Chart |
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