MMA Handicapper Stats: Red Beard Bets |
|
Red Beard Bets : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 25 (42%) Losing Events: 34 (58%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.82 units Most Staked On One Event: 17.45 units Best Event: 8.58 units Worst Event: -13.25 units Average Event: -0.52 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 17.69 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -27.10 |
Red Beard Bets : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
82.08 |
-29.3 |
-36% |
-6.0 / 25.05 (-24%) |
|
-20.5 / 38.83 (-53%) |
5 / 11 (31%) |
-1.83 |
2023 |
261.37 |
-1.6 |
-1% |
-4.5 / 64.71 (-7%) |
|
-7.9 / 97.95 (-8%) |
20 / 23 (47%) |
-0.04 |
|
Red Beard Bets : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Red Beard Bets : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
341.25 |
-29.9 |
-9% |
-11.2 / 89.26 (-13%) |
8.5 / 116.41 (7%) |
-27.2 / 135.58 (-20%) |
Other |
2.2 |
-1.0 |
-45% |
0.7 / 0.5 (140%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%) |
|
Red Beard Bets : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
4 (6%) |
3 |
75 % |
12.25 |
-0.73 |
-0.18 |
-6% |
Slight Favorites |
26 (41%) |
14 |
54 % |
43.01 |
-2.06 |
-0.08 |
-5% |
Slight Underdogs |
22 (34%) |
8 |
36 % |
23.00 |
-1.53 |
-0.07 |
-7% |
Big Underdogs |
12 (19%) |
2 |
17 % |
11.50 |
-6.22 |
-0.52 |
-54% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
9 (14%) |
4 |
44 % |
16.05 |
-1.04 |
-0.12 |
-7% |
Co-Main Event |
10 (16%) |
5 |
50 % |
16.40 |
2.05 |
0.21 |
13% |
Position 3-5 |
18 (28%) |
8 |
44 % |
23.05 |
-5.52 |
-0.31 |
-24% |
6+ (Undercard) |
27 (42%) |
10 |
37 % |
34.26 |
-6.01 |
-0.22 |
-18% |
|
Red Beard Bets : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (6%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.00 |
-2.75 |
-0.69 |
-55% |
Light Heavy |
3 (5%) |
|
0 % |
2.60 |
-2.60 |
-0.87 |
-100% |
Middleweight |
13 (20%) |
4 |
31 % |
18.80 |
-8.57 |
-0.66 |
-46% |
Welterweight |
7 (11%) |
1 |
14 % |
8.96 |
-7.71 |
-1.10 |
-86% |
Lightweight |
12 (19%) |
5 |
42 % |
14.10 |
1.60 |
0.13 |
11% |
Featherweight |
8 (13%) |
6 |
75 % |
12.25 |
5.08 |
0.64 |
41% |
Bantamweight |
6 (9%) |
4 |
67 % |
10.90 |
4.28 |
0.71 |
39% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.15 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
87% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
10 (16%) |
5 |
50 % |
16.00 |
-0.86 |
-0.09 |
-5% |
Bantamweight |
4 (6%) |
1 |
25 % |
6.90 |
-3.69 |
-0.92 |
-53% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.00 |
0.31 |
0.15 |
31% |
Strawweight |
4 (6%) |
3 |
75 % |
8.10 |
2.52 |
0.63 |
31% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
99 (76%) |
64 |
65 % |
Slight Favorites |
27 (21%) |
16 |
59 % |
Slight Underdogs |
5 (4%) |
5 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
131 |
85 |
65 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
81 (26%) |
60 |
74 % |
50-65% |
31 (10%) |
18 |
58 % |
35-50% |
14 (4%) |
4 |
29 % |
<35% chance |
188 (60%) |
19 |
10 % |
|
314 |
101 |
32 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Red Beard Bets 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
3.02 |
1.4 |
45% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,013.69 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
10.29 |
3.8 |
37% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.69 |
$1,052.24 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,052.24 |
$1,046.98 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
11.67 |
-3.8 |
-33% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,046.98 |
$1,006.79 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
3.45 |
-3.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,006.79 |
$972.05 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
6.53 |
-5.0 |
-77% |
|
$9.72 |
$972.05 |
$923.36 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
6 |
-2.4 |
-40% |
|
$9.23 |
$923.36 |
$901.43 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
8.4 |
0.8 |
10% |
|
$9.01 |
$901.43 |
$908.85 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.09 |
$908.85 |
$867.95 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
3 |
2.1 |
69% |
|
$8.68 |
$867.95 |
$885.91 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
17.45 |
1.8 |
10% |
|
$8.86 |
$885.91 |
$901.57 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
4 |
3.5 |
87% |
|
$9.02 |
$901.57 |
$932.87 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
5.35 |
2.0 |
37% |
|
$9.33 |
$932.87 |
$951.53 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
9.5 |
-1.4 |
-15% |
|
$9.52 |
$951.53 |
$937.73 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
10.25 |
8.6 |
84% |
|
$9.38 |
$937.73 |
$1,018.23 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
6.86 |
2.0 |
29% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,018.23 |
$1,038.18 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
8.5 |
4.4 |
52% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.18 |
$1,083.82 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
3.55 |
-3.6 |
-100% |
|
$10.84 |
$1,083.82 |
$1,045.34 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
11.3 |
4.9 |
43% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,045.34 |
$1,096.06 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
1 |
0.7 |
69% |
|
$10.96 |
$1,096.06 |
$1,103.62 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
8.99 |
-6.5 |
-73% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,103.62 |
$1,031.51 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
10.15 |
4.7 |
46% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.51 |
$1,079.82 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
15.11 |
-8.3 |
-55% |
|
$10.80 |
$1,079.82 |
$990.05 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
7.2 |
-3.5 |
-48% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.05 |
$955.70 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
4.75 |
-1.4 |
-29% |
|
$9.56 |
$955.70 |
$942.60 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
5.45 |
0.7 |
13% |
|
$9.43 |
$942.60 |
$949.17 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.49 |
$949.17 |
$920.70 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
5.5 |
6.0 |
109% |
|
$9.21 |
$920.70 |
$975.70 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
7.3 |
-3.2 |
-44% |
|
$9.76 |
$975.70 |
$944.64 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
1.2 |
-1.2 |
-100% |
|
$9.45 |
$944.64 |
$933.30 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
5.5 |
-5.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.33 |
$933.30 |
$881.97 |
29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
1 |
0.2 |
20% |
|
$8.82 |
$881.97 |
$883.73 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
2.2 |
-0.5 |
-25% |
|
$8.84 |
$883.73 |
$878.87 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
3.1 |
-3.1 |
-100% |
|
$8.79 |
$878.87 |
$851.63 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
4.9 |
-1.9 |
-39% |
|
$8.52 |
$851.63 |
$835.37 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
4 |
8.2 |
204% |
|
$8.35 |
$835.37 |
$903.46 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
3.35 |
5.4 |
162% |
|
$9.03 |
$903.46 |
$952.55 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
5.7 |
4.1 |
72% |
|
$9.53 |
$952.55 |
$991.61 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
10.75 |
-1.3 |
-12% |
|
$9.92 |
$991.61 |
$978.31 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
2.9 |
-0.6 |
-22% |
|
$9.78 |
$978.31 |
$971.95 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
4.2 |
3.1 |
73% |
|
$9.72 |
$971.95 |
$1,001.93 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.93 |
$956.84 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
5.5 |
-0.4 |
-8% |
|
$9.57 |
$956.84 |
$952.63 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.53 |
$952.63 |
$933.58 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
103% |
|
$9.34 |
$933.58 |
$997.32 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
3.89 |
-3.9 |
-100% |
|
$9.97 |
$997.32 |
$958.52 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
3 |
1.8 |
61% |
|
$9.59 |
$958.52 |
$976.16 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
13.25 |
-13.3 |
-100% |
|
$9.76 |
$976.16 |
$846.82 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.47 |
$846.82 |
$812.95 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.13 |
$812.95 |
$780.43 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
12.3 |
-4.6 |
-37% |
|
$7.80 |
$780.43 |
$744.53 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
1.25 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$7.45 |
$744.53 |
$735.22 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
6.5 |
0.5 |
7% |
|
$7.35 |
$735.22 |
$738.68 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
4.75 |
-4.8 |
-100% |
|
$7.39 |
$738.68 |
$703.59 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
1.5 |
1.5 |
100% |
|
$7.04 |
$703.59 |
$714.15 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
10.14 |
-1.0 |
-10% |
|
$7.14 |
$714.15 |
$706.90 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
|
$7.07 |
$706.90 |
$699.12 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
50% |
|
$6.99 |
$699.12 |
$708.99 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
5 |
-1.5 |
-30% |
|
$7.09 |
$708.99 |
$698.36 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -30.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Red Beard Bets : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Jose Mariscal |
Morgan Charriere |
2.00 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jessica Andrade |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
1.91 |
1.1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
3.05 |
0.5 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Sean O'Malley |
Marlon Vera |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Feb '24 |
Dan Ige |
Andre Fili |
1.61 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
7. |
Jan '24 |
Chris Curtis |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
1.74 |
1.35 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Dec '23 |
Ariane Lipski |
Casey O'Neill |
2.62 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:18) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '23 |
Darren Elkins |
T.J. Brown |
2.70 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (2:23) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '23 |
Bobby Green |
Grant Dawson |
3.76 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '23 |
Tim Means |
Andre Fialho |
2.50 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:15) |
|
|
12. |
Sep '23 |
Charles Jourdain |
Ricardo Ramos |
1.74 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:12) |
|
|
13. |
Aug '23 |
Bolaji Oki |
Dylan Salvador |
2.40 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:46) |
|
|
14. |
Aug '23 |
DaMon Blackshear |
Jose Johnson |
1.57 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:47) |
|
|
15. |
Aug '23 |
Iasmin Lucindo |
Polyana Viana |
1.51 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:42) |
|
|
16. |
Jul '23 |
Karol Rosa |
Yana Santos |
1.61 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jul '23 |
Sean Strickland |
Abusupiyan Magomedov |
1.59 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:20) |
|
|
18. |
Jul '23 |
Alexander Romanov |
Blagoy Ivanov |
1.80 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Jun '23 |
Charles Oliveira |
Beneil Dariush |
2.32 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
|
|
20. |
Jun '23 |
Marc-Andre Barriault |
Eryk Anders |
1.74 |
1.35 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Terrance McKinney |
Esteban Ribovics |
2.80 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:37) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Holly Holm |
Kayla Harrison |
4.50 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:47) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Cody Gibson |
Miles Johns |
2.30 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Youssef Zalal |
1.70 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
AJ Dobson |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
2.75 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Kevin Holland |
Michael Page |
1.80 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Ion Cutelaba |
Philipe Lins |
1.83 |
0.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Feb '24 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Brian Ortega |
1.68 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Feb '24 |
Andrea Lee |
Miranda Maverick |
2.65 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '24 |
Roman Kopylov |
Anthony Hernandez |
3.09 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Feb '24 |
Paulo Costa |
Robert Whittaker |
2.75 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Marcin Tybura |
1.80 |
1.25 |
Sub, R1 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.70 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jan '24 |
Johnny Walker |
Magomed Ankalaev |
4.50 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:42) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Dec '23 |
Anthony Smith |
Khalil Rountree |
3.00 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:56) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Dec '23 |
Tony Ferguson |
Paddy Pimblett |
3.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '23 |
Stephanie Egger |
Luana Santos |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Sep '23 |
Jake Collier |
Mohammed Usman |
2.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Sep '23 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Mateusz Gamrot |
1.72 |
1.4 |
TKO, R2 (2:3) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Aug '23 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Andre Petroski |
3.25 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Red Beard Bets : Progress Chart |
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