|
MMA Handicapper Stats: MW MMA |
|
MW MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 17 (49%) Losing Events: 18 (51%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.22 units Most Staked On One Event: 15.90 units Best Event: 13.00 units Worst Event: -7.13 units Average Event: 1.04 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 23.44 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.76 |
MW MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
146 |
26.8 |
18% |
-0.2 / 68.6 (-0%) |
|
6.4 / 23.75 (27%) |
10 / 10 (50%) |
1.34 |
2023 |
106.6 |
9.5 |
9% |
0.6 / 45.9 (1%) |
|
2.5 / 26.9 (9%) |
7 / 8 (47%) |
0.63 |
|
MW MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
MW MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
234.85 |
39.6 |
17% |
2.0 / 101.25 (2%) |
26.9 / 84.75 (32%) |
10.7 / 48.85 (22%) |
PFL |
2.25 |
1.2 |
53% |
1.2 / 2.25 (53%) |
|
|
Other |
15.5 |
-4.5 |
-29% |
-2.7 / 11 (-25%) |
-0.0 / 2.7 (-0%) |
-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%) |
|
MW MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
6 (8%) |
3 |
50 % |
17.40 |
-2.56 |
-0.43 |
-15% |
Slight Favorites |
13 (18%) |
7 |
54 % |
25.65 |
0.81 |
0.06 |
3% |
Slight Underdogs |
34 (47%) |
17 |
50 % |
51.55 |
16.27 |
0.48 |
32% |
Big Underdogs |
19 (26%) |
2 |
11 % |
19.90 |
-14.11 |
-0.74 |
-71% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
4 (6%) |
2 |
50 % |
7.50 |
0.95 |
0.24 |
13% |
Co-Main Event |
6 (8%) |
3 |
50 % |
8.75 |
0.97 |
0.16 |
11% |
Position 3-5 |
21 (29%) |
5 |
24 % |
30.65 |
-11.71 |
-0.56 |
-38% |
6+ (Undercard) |
41 (57%) |
19 |
46 % |
67.60 |
10.20 |
0.25 |
15% |
|
MW MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (7%) |
4 |
80 % |
6.75 |
4.94 |
0.99 |
73% |
Light Heavy |
3 (4%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-1.67 |
-100% |
Middleweight |
10 (14%) |
4 |
40 % |
17.25 |
3.89 |
0.39 |
23% |
Welterweight |
9 (13%) |
6 |
67 % |
14.90 |
7.71 |
0.86 |
52% |
Lightweight |
9 (13%) |
5 |
56 % |
18.80 |
3.37 |
0.37 |
18% |
Featherweight |
14 (19%) |
4 |
29 % |
22.05 |
-8.01 |
-0.57 |
-36% |
Bantamweight |
6 (8%) |
3 |
50 % |
10.40 |
3.05 |
0.51 |
29% |
Flyweight |
6 (8%) |
2 |
33 % |
5.70 |
0.70 |
0.12 |
12% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
10 (14%) |
1 |
10 % |
13.65 |
-10.23 |
-1.02 |
-75% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
5 (7%) |
1 |
20 % |
6.65 |
-3.23 |
-0.65 |
-49% |
Strawweight |
4 (6%) |
|
0 % |
5.50 |
-5.50 |
-1.38 |
-100% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
27 (77%) |
19 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
8 (23%) |
4 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
35 |
23 |
66 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
30 (12%) |
24 |
80 % |
50-65% |
27 (11%) |
19 |
70 % |
35-50% |
27 (11%) |
11 |
41 % |
<35% chance |
170 (67%) |
27 |
16 % |
|
254 |
81 |
32 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MW MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
13 |
4.5 |
35% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,045.26 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
4.7 |
-2.0 |
-43% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,045.26 |
$1,024.36 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
11.3 |
2.4 |
21% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.36 |
$1,048.69 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,048.69 |
$1,038.21 |
29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
91% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.21 |
$1,058.97 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
4.2 |
-1.0 |
-24% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.97 |
$1,048.12 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
1.6 |
-1.6 |
-100% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,048.12 |
$1,031.35 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
15.9 |
-7.1 |
-45% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.35 |
$957.78 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
2.1 |
1.6 |
78% |
|
$9.58 |
$957.78 |
$973.47 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
12.3 |
1.9 |
15% |
|
$9.73 |
$973.47 |
$991.77 |
18th Nov |
Oktagon 49 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.92 |
$991.77 |
$971.94 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
5.5 |
5.9 |
108% |
|
$9.72 |
$971.94 |
$1,029.73 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
10.7 |
-0.8 |
-8% |
|
$10.30 |
$1,029.73 |
$1,021.31 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
12.4 |
-3.6 |
-29% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,021.31 |
$984.76 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
7.7 |
10.3 |
134% |
|
$9.85 |
$984.76 |
$1,086.12 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
8.7 |
-6.6 |
-76% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,086.12 |
$1,014.71 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
10 |
5.5 |
55% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.71 |
$1,071.02 |
27th Jan |
Oktagon 52 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
62% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,071.02 |
$1,087.62 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
8.15 |
4.1 |
51% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,087.62 |
$1,132.76 |
4th Feb |
Road to UFC: Las Vegas |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,132.76 |
$1,127.09 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
14.6 |
3.2 |
22% |
|
$11.27 |
$1,127.09 |
$1,163.52 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
4.6 |
0.1 |
3% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,163.52 |
$1,164.92 |
2nd Mar |
Oktagon 54 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.65 |
$1,164.92 |
$1,153.27 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
11.9 |
13.0 |
109% |
|
$11.53 |
$1,153.27 |
$1,303.19 |
7th Mar |
PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season |
1.5 |
2.0 |
130% |
|
$13.03 |
$1,303.19 |
$1,328.61 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
15.35 |
8.5 |
55% |
|
$13.29 |
$1,328.61 |
$1,441.42 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
10.55 |
-3.1 |
-29% |
|
$14.41 |
$1,441.42 |
$1,397.09 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
8.3 |
-2.6 |
-32% |
|
$13.97 |
$1,397.09 |
$1,360.42 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
11.3 |
5.3 |
47% |
|
$13.60 |
$1,360.42 |
$1,432.84 |
4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$14.33 |
$1,432.84 |
$1,422.09 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
5.65 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$14.22 |
$1,422.09 |
$1,421.92 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
12.25 |
4.0 |
33% |
|
$14.22 |
$1,421.92 |
$1,479.21 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
3.5 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$14.79 |
$1,479.21 |
$1,479.21 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
7.25 |
-4.4 |
-61% |
|
$14.79 |
$1,479.21 |
$1,414.12 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
7.65 |
-1.7 |
-22% |
|
$14.14 |
$1,414.12 |
$1,390.28 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 39.03% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MW MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Charles Johnson |
Jake Hadley |
2.40 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Lukasz Brzeski |
Valter Walker |
3.85 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.10 |
1.25 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Youssef Zalal |
Billy Quarantillo |
2.20 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Bryan Barberena |
1.53 |
2.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:23) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Baissangour Chamsoudinov |
Cedric Doumbe |
2.30 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (1:21) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Petr Yan |
Yadong Song |
1.90 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.90 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Jailton Junior |
1.90 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.50 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
|
|
11. |
Feb '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.85 |
1.2 |
Sub, R1 (1:46) |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Duncan |
Claudio Ribeiro |
2.80 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:57) |
|
|
13. |
Feb '24 |
Anthony Hernandez |
Roman Kopylov |
1.57 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
|
|
14. |
Feb '24 |
Charlie Radtke |
Gilbert Urbina |
2.70 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
|
|
15. |
Jan '24 |
Jake McHugh |
Armand Herczeg |
1.62 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:30) |
|
|
16. |
Jan '24 |
Jimmy Flick |
Malcolm Gordon |
2.80 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:17) |
|
|
17. |
Jan '24 |
Ramon Taveras |
Serhiy Sidey |
2.55 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Dec '23 |
Shamil Gaziev |
Martin Buday |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:56) |
|
|
19. |
Dec '23 |
Ariane Lipski |
Casey O'Neill |
2.85 |
1.2 |
Sub, R2 (1:18) |
|
|
20. |
Dec '23 |
Shamil Gaziev |
Martin Buday |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:56) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Jack Shore |
Joanderson Brito |
2.65 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Ariane Lipski |
Karine Silva |
2.35 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Calvin Kattar |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.45 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Weili Zhang |
4.80 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Germaine de Randamie |
Norma Dumont |
2.45 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Morgan Charriere |
Jose Mariscal |
1.84 |
1.2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Chelsea Hackett |
Jena Bishop |
3.25 |
0.75 |
Sub, R1 (4:15) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Bill Algeo |
Kyle Nelson |
1.47 |
2.2 |
TKO, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
3.50 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
Yes |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Rhys McKee |
Chidi Njokuani |
2.75 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Cody Gibson |
Miles Johns |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Amanda Ribas |
Rose Namajunas |
3.40 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Bryan Barberena |
Gerald Meerschaert |
3.00 |
1.25 |
Sub, R2 (4:23) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Cory McKenna |
Jaqueline Amorim |
1.95 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:38) |
Yes |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Mateusz Gamrot |
5.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Kevin Holland |
Michael Page |
1.80 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
2.00 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Makwan Amirkhani |
Mochamed Machaev |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:6) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Edgar Chairez |
5.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Erik Silva |
Muhammadjon Naimov |
4.10 |
0.75 |
TKO, R1 (0:44) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MW MMA: Progress Chart |
|
|
|
|