MMA Handicapper Stats: Betting Model |
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Betting Model : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 23 (46%) Losing Events: 27 (54%)
Average Staked Per Event: 51.30 units Most Staked On One Event: 160.00 units Best Event: 35.86 units Worst Event: -41.49 units Average Event: -3.19 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 70.68 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -78.53 |
Betting Model : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
2495 |
-136.4 |
-5% |
-136.4 / 2495 (-5%) |
|
|
21 / 24 (47%) |
-3.03 |
2023 |
70 |
-22.9 |
-33% |
-22.9 / 70 (-33%) |
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|
2 / 3 (40%) |
-4.58 |
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Betting Model : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Betting Model : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1173 |
-63.4 |
-5% |
-63.4 / 1173 (-5%) |
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|
Bellator |
74 |
-14.4 |
-19% |
-14.4 / 74 (-19%) |
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|
PFL |
186 |
-9.4 |
-5% |
-9.4 / 186 (-5%) |
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|
Other |
1132 |
-72.1 |
-6% |
-72.1 / 1132 (-6%) |
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Betting Model : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
50 (16%) |
36 |
72 % |
500.00 |
-3.55 |
-0.07 |
-1% |
Slight Favorites |
74 (24%) |
43 |
58 % |
743.00 |
2.93 |
0.04 |
0% |
Slight Underdogs |
99 (32%) |
41 |
41 % |
911.00 |
-14.50 |
-0.15 |
-2% |
Big Underdogs |
88 (28%) |
15 |
17 % |
411.00 |
-144.15 |
-1.64 |
-35% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
44 (14%) |
25 |
57 % |
387.00 |
68.51 |
1.56 |
18% |
Co-Main Event |
33 (11%) |
15 |
45 % |
279.00 |
-20.03 |
-0.61 |
-7% |
Position 3-5 |
87 (28%) |
39 |
45 % |
693.00 |
-27.77 |
-0.32 |
-4% |
6+ (Undercard) |
147 (47%) |
56 |
38 % |
1,206.00 |
-179.98 |
-1.22 |
-15% |
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Betting Model : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
22 (7%) |
12 |
55 % |
205.00 |
3.22 |
0.15 |
2% |
Light Heavy |
30 (10%) |
16 |
53 % |
233.00 |
38.87 |
1.30 |
17% |
Middleweight |
28 (9%) |
11 |
39 % |
218.00 |
-35.75 |
-1.28 |
-16% |
Welterweight |
39 (13%) |
17 |
44 % |
309.00 |
-7.77 |
-0.20 |
-3% |
Lightweight |
59 (19%) |
26 |
44 % |
488.00 |
-35.31 |
-0.60 |
-7% |
Featherweight |
40 (13%) |
20 |
50 % |
371.00 |
-3.32 |
-0.08 |
-1% |
Bantamweight |
33 (11%) |
13 |
39 % |
260.00 |
-16.50 |
-0.50 |
-6% |
Flyweight |
27 (9%) |
9 |
33 % |
203.00 |
-47.78 |
-1.77 |
-24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
33 (11%) |
11 |
33 % |
278.00 |
-54.92 |
-1.66 |
-20% |
Featherweight |
1 (0%) |
|
0 % |
10.00 |
-10.00 |
-10.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
10 (3%) |
3 |
30 % |
81.00 |
-29.95 |
-2.99 |
-37% |
Flyweight |
11 (4%) |
4 |
36 % |
90.00 |
1.27 |
0.12 |
1% |
Strawweight |
11 (4%) |
4 |
36 % |
97.00 |
-16.24 |
-1.48 |
-17% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Betting Model 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
10 |
13.6 |
136% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$636.00 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
10 |
13.5 |
135% |
$500 |
$6.36 |
$636.00 |
$221.86 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$500 |
$2.22 |
$221.86 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
20 |
-20.0 |
-100% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$300.00 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
20 |
-20.0 |
-100% |
$500 |
$3.00 |
$300.00 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
20 |
23.6 |
118% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$736.00 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$500 |
$7.36 |
$736.00 |
$162.40 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
10 |
19.0 |
190% |
$500 |
$1.62 |
$162.40 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
10 |
10.7 |
107% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$607.00 |
22nd Feb |
A1 Combat 18 |
60 |
-25.1 |
-42% |
$500 |
$6.07 |
$607.00 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
23rd Feb |
LFA 177 |
30 |
3.4 |
11% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$533.93 |
23rd Feb |
Cage Warriors 166 |
40 |
8.4 |
21% |
$500 |
$5.34 |
$533.93 |
$78.91 |
23rd Feb |
Fury FC 86 |
30 |
1.5 |
5% |
$500 |
$0.79 |
$78.91 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
24th Feb |
Rizin Landmark 8 |
30 |
-30.0 |
-100% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$200.00 |
24th Feb |
FCR 19 |
40 |
-14.4 |
-36% |
$500 |
$2.00 |
$200.00 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
24th Feb |
KSW Epic |
60 |
-7.5 |
-12% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$425.19 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
60 |
16.5 |
27% |
$500 |
$4.25 |
$425.19 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
110 |
-41.5 |
-38% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$85.09 |
25th Feb |
ACA 171 |
70 |
21.5 |
31% |
$500 |
$0.85 |
$85.09 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
1st Mar |
One 166 |
17 |
13.3 |
78% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$632.78 |
2nd Mar |
Oktagon 54 |
96 |
35.9 |
37% |
$500 |
$6.33 |
$632.78 |
$359.70 |
2nd Mar |
WOW 12 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
$500 |
$3.60 |
$359.70 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
75 |
-24.4 |
-33% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$255.71 |
3rd Mar |
UAE Warriors 48 |
22 |
-6.1 |
-28% |
$500 |
$2.56 |
$255.71 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
7th Mar |
PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season |
68 |
0.7 |
1% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$507.00 |
8th Mar |
Ares FC 19 |
32 |
-19.0 |
-59% |
$500 |
$5.07 |
$507.00 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
8th Mar |
Centurion FC 18 |
10 |
7.4 |
74% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$574.07 |
8th Mar |
CFFC 130 |
43 |
21.0 |
49% |
$500 |
$5.74 |
$574.07 |
$194.63 |
8th Mar |
One Fight Night 20 |
20 |
-2.9 |
-14% |
$500 |
$1.95 |
$194.63 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
9th Mar |
LFA 178 |
61 |
5.7 |
9% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$557.35 |
9th Mar |
ACA 172 |
81 |
-7.3 |
-9% |
$500 |
$5.57 |
$557.35 |
$16.67 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
160 |
-14.3 |
-9% |
$500 |
$0.17 |
$16.67 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
10th Mar |
Octagon 56 |
20 |
11.4 |
57% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$614.38 |
10th Mar |
Fury FC 87 |
46 |
7.1 |
16% |
$500 |
$6.14 |
$614.38 |
$158.25 |
15th Mar |
Cage Warriors 167 |
53 |
-28.4 |
-54% |
$500 |
$1.58 |
$158.25 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
16th Mar |
KSW 92 |
52 |
-39.3 |
-75% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$107.50 |
16th Mar |
Cage Warriors 168 |
54 |
15.1 |
28% |
$500 |
$1.07 |
$107.50 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
120 |
-7.4 |
-6% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$426.18 |
22nd Mar |
Bellator Champions Series |
74 |
-14.4 |
-19% |
$500 |
$4.26 |
$426.18 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
22nd Mar |
Rizin Landmark 9 |
40 |
-26.2 |
-65% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$238.46 |
23rd Mar |
Oktagon 55 |
80 |
-4.5 |
-6% |
$500 |
$2.38 |
$238.46 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
142 |
-22.4 |
-16% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$276.39 |
24th Mar |
Fury FC 88 |
20 |
-3.7 |
-19% |
$500 |
$2.76 |
$276.39 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
100 |
34.0 |
34% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$839.62 |
4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
58 |
-26.5 |
-46% |
$500 |
$8.40 |
$839.62 |
$116.83 |
6th Apr |
KSW 93 |
15 |
0.5 |
3% |
$500 |
$1.17 |
$116.83 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
95 |
14.0 |
15% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$639.55 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
115 |
-31.8 |
-28% |
$500 |
$6.40 |
$639.55 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
50 |
-3.0 |
-6% |
$500 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$470.00 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
86 |
13.1 |
15% |
$500 |
$4.70 |
$470.00 |
$31.53 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -2,096.85% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Betting Model : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Caio Borralho |
Paul Craig |
1.39 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (2:10) |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Joanderson Brito |
Jack Shore |
1.80 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Myktybek Orolbai |
Elves Brenner |
1.57 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
May '24 |
Mauricio Ruffy |
Jamie Mullarkey |
2.24 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
|
|
5. |
May '24 |
Alessandro Costa |
Kevin Borjas |
1.80 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
|
|
6. |
May '24 |
Anthony Smith |
Vitor Petrino |
3.70 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:0) |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Karine Silva |
Ariane Lipski |
2.25 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Bogdan Guskov |
Ryan Spann |
2.45 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Jordan Wright |
Zachary Borrego |
1.63 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Youssef Zalal |
Billy Quarantillo |
1.87 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
|
|
11. |
Apr '24 |
Jean Matsumoto |
Dan Argueta |
1.48 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
|
|
12. |
Apr '24 |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
Christos Giagos |
1.36 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (3:34) |
|
|
13. |
Apr '24 |
César Almeida |
Dylan Budka |
1.59 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
|
|
14. |
Apr '24 |
Lukasz Brzeski |
Valter Walker |
4.00 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Apr '24 |
Wilson Varela |
Marian Ziolkowski |
3.10 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:31) |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Roberto de Souza |
Keita Nakamura |
1.38 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
|
|
17. |
Apr '24 |
Jose Mariscal |
Morgan Charriere |
1.69 |
10 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Morono |
Court McGee |
1.33 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Apr '24 |
Norma Dumont |
Germaine de Randamie |
1.44 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Apr '24 |
Liz Carmouche |
Juliana Velasquez |
1.38 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Betting Model : Progress Chart |
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