MMA Handicapper Stats: NOT a Degenerate Gambler |
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NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 13 (57%) Losing Events: 10 (43%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.58 units Most Staked On One Event: 16.03 units Best Event: 8.34 units Worst Event: -5.49 units Average Event: 0.43 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 16.73 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.59 |
NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
137.77 |
16.1 |
12% |
12.6 / 104.98 (12%) |
|
3.1 / 12.88 (24%) |
9 / 6 (60%) |
1.07 |
2023 |
36.49 |
-6.3 |
-17% |
-7.5 / 17.73 (-42%) |
|
6.4 / 10.82 (59%) |
4 / 4 (50%) |
-0.78 |
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NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
174.26 |
9.9 |
6% |
5.1 / 122.71 (4%) |
-4.7 / 27.85 (-17%) |
9.5 / 23.7 (40%) |
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NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
3 (2%) |
2 |
67 % |
5.97 |
1.01 |
0.34 |
17% |
Slight Favorites |
24 (19%) |
17 |
71 % |
36.61 |
8.63 |
0.36 |
24% |
Slight Underdogs |
69 (54%) |
28 |
41 % |
64.26 |
4.88 |
0.07 |
8% |
Big Underdogs |
32 (25%) |
5 |
16 % |
15.87 |
-9.45 |
-0.30 |
-60% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
11 (9%) |
5 |
45 % |
12.57 |
-0.50 |
-0.05 |
-4% |
Co-Main Event |
13 (10%) |
5 |
38 % |
18.74 |
3.77 |
0.29 |
20% |
Position 3-5 |
39 (30%) |
14 |
36 % |
37.81 |
-4.19 |
-0.11 |
-11% |
6+ (Undercard) |
65 (51%) |
28 |
43 % |
53.59 |
5.99 |
0.09 |
11% |
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NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (5%) |
1 |
14 % |
8.68 |
-4.59 |
-0.66 |
-53% |
Light Heavy |
9 (7%) |
5 |
56 % |
12.26 |
10.26 |
1.14 |
84% |
Middleweight |
15 (12%) |
5 |
33 % |
16.94 |
-2.13 |
-0.14 |
-13% |
Welterweight |
11 (9%) |
5 |
45 % |
10.24 |
-0.26 |
-0.02 |
-3% |
Lightweight |
23 (18%) |
10 |
43 % |
21.42 |
3.17 |
0.14 |
15% |
Featherweight |
21 (16%) |
13 |
62 % |
20.16 |
7.36 |
0.35 |
37% |
Bantamweight |
15 (12%) |
3 |
20 % |
13.43 |
-7.48 |
-0.50 |
-56% |
Flyweight |
11 (9%) |
3 |
27 % |
6.25 |
-2.09 |
-0.19 |
-33% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
16 (13%) |
7 |
44 % |
13.33 |
0.82 |
0.05 |
6% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
1.25 |
1.25 |
125% |
Bantamweight |
3 (2%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.00 |
0.68 |
0.23 |
34% |
Flyweight |
3 (2%) |
|
0 % |
2.12 |
-2.12 |
-0.71 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
9 (7%) |
5 |
56 % |
8.21 |
1.01 |
0.11 |
12% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
99 (65%) |
78 |
79 % |
Slight Favorites |
35 (23%) |
21 |
60 % |
Slight Underdogs |
16 (11%) |
7 |
44 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
152 |
106 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
11 (9%) |
5 |
45 % |
50-65% |
12 (10%) |
3 |
25 % |
35-50% |
36 (30%) |
13 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
62 (51%) |
10 |
16 % |
|
121 |
31 |
26 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail NOT a Degenerate Gambler's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
3.92 |
-1.9 |
-48% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$981.35 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
3.3 |
0.8 |
25% |
|
$9.81 |
$981.35 |
$989.38 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
4.59 |
0.6 |
13% |
|
$9.89 |
$989.38 |
$995.25 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
4.1 |
1.3 |
31% |
|
$9.95 |
$995.25 |
$1,007.83 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
7.11 |
-2.5 |
-35% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,007.83 |
$982.95 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
4.65 |
1.5 |
33% |
|
$9.83 |
$982.95 |
$998.03 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
6.17 |
-3.5 |
-57% |
|
$9.98 |
$998.03 |
$963.20 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
2.65 |
-2.7 |
-100% |
|
$9.63 |
$963.20 |
$937.67 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
4 |
3.5 |
87% |
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$9.38 |
$937.67 |
$970.37 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
7.49 |
0.8 |
11% |
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$9.70 |
$970.37 |
$978.60 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
7.27 |
4.1 |
56% |
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$9.79 |
$978.60 |
$1,018.28 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
11.76 |
8.3 |
71% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,018.28 |
$1,103.16 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
9.94 |
-4.0 |
-40% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,103.16 |
$1,058.76 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
13.67 |
-2.6 |
-19% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.76 |
$1,031.55 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
4.24 |
0.9 |
21% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.55 |
$1,040.74 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
12.02 |
7.3 |
61% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,040.74 |
$1,117.21 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
7.55 |
2.5 |
32% |
|
$11.17 |
$1,117.21 |
$1,144.60 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
16.03 |
-2.6 |
-16% |
|
$11.45 |
$1,144.60 |
$1,114.36 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
11.94 |
-3.3 |
-28% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,114.36 |
$1,077.14 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
8.35 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,077.14 |
$1,077.15 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
11.85 |
-5.5 |
-46% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,077.15 |
$1,018.02 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
5 |
7.0 |
140% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,018.02 |
$1,089.28 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
6.66 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,089.28 |
$1,086.81 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 8.68% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
May '24 |
Chase Hooper |
Viacheslav Borshchev |
2.32 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:0) |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
Mateusz Rebecki |
4.50 |
0.3 |
TKO, R3 (4:51) |
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3. |
May '24 |
Esteban Ribovics |
Terrance McKinney |
1.57 |
1.76 |
TKO, R1 (0:37) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Bogdan Guskov |
Ryan Spann |
2.40 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
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5. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.80 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
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6. |
Mar '24 |
Ibo Aslan |
Anton Turkalj |
1.80 |
1.25 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
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7. |
Mar '24 |
Nate Landwehr |
Jamall Emmers |
2.60 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:43) |
|
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8. |
Mar '24 |
Chris Weidman |
Bruno Silva |
3.20 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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9. |
Mar '24 |
Jarno Errens |
Steven Nguyen |
2.47 |
0.68 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Julian Erosa |
Ricardo Ramos |
2.50 |
0.67 |
Sub, R1 (2:15) |
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11. |
Mar '24 |
Trey Ogden |
Kurt Holobaugh |
1.70 |
1.45 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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12. |
Mar '24 |
Rose Namajunas |
Amanda Ribas |
1.55 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Rose Namajunas |
Amanda Ribas |
1.57 |
1.75 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Danny Silva |
Joshua Culibao |
2.52 |
0.66 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Jaqueline Amorim |
Cory McKenna |
2.42 |
0.71 |
Sub, R1 (1:38) |
|
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16. |
Mar '24 |
Chelsea Chandler |
Josiane Nunes |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Isaac Dulgarian |
2.45 |
0.69 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Isaac Dulgarian |
2.18 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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19. |
Mar '24 |
Petr Yan |
Yadong Song |
1.83 |
1.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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20. |
Mar '24 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Jailton Junior |
1.95 |
2.1 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Alex Caceres |
Sean Woodson |
2.60 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Alonzo Menifield |
Carlos Ulberg |
2.92 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:12) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
Joaquin Buckley |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
May '24 |
Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira |
Derrick Lewis |
2.32 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Calvin Kattar |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.37 |
0.9 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
3.45 |
0.41 |
Sub, R2 (4:2) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Jalin Turner |
Renato Moicano |
1.40 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Holly Holm |
Kayla Harrison |
4.35 |
0.3 |
Sub, R2 (1:47) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Jessica Andrade |
1.95 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '24 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Weili Zhang |
3.70 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '24 |
Court McGee |
Alex Morono |
3.45 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '24 |
Christos Giagos |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
3.50 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:34) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.67 |
0.6 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Connor Matthews |
Dennis Buzukja |
2.07 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:22) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Andre Petroski |
Jacob Malkoun |
3.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:39) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Vicente Luque |
Joaquin Buckley |
1.90 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Mohammed Usman |
Michael Parkin |
2.15 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Cody Gibson |
Miles Johns |
2.18 |
0.85 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '24 |
Cameron Saaiman |
Payton Talbott |
2.32 |
0.4 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Mar '24 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Youssef Zalal |
1.72 |
1.4 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Progress Chart |
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