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MMA Handicapper Stats: Justin TDT

Justin TDT (Justin52828)

MMA MHandicapper - Justin TDT

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	41 (60%)	Right	18 (62%)	Right	11 (69%)	Right	12 (52%)
Wrong	27 (40%)	Wrong	11 (38%)	Wrong	5 (31%)	Wrong	11 (48%)
Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	1.79	Avg Odds	1.80	Avg Odds	1.99
Units Bet	179.7	Units Bet	91.0	Units Bet	33.9	Units Bet	54.8
Avg Bet	2.64	Avg Bet	3.14	Avg Bet	2.12	Avg Bet	2.38
Units Profit	34.86	Units Profit	21.43	Units Profit	9.55	Units Profit	3.89
ROI %	19%	ROI %	24%	ROI %	28%	ROI %	7%

Justin TDT: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
9th Jun '24	Fury FC 91	2	0.4	22%	0.4 / 2 (22%)
9th Jun '24	Rizin 47	2	1.7	83%			1.7 / 2 (83%)
8th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	16.86	1.0	6%	0.0 / 7 (1%)		1.0 / 9.86 (10%)
8th Jun '24	PFL Europe 2: 2024 Regular Season	2.6	2.0	79%			2.0 / 2.6 (79%)
8th Jun '24	Oktagon 58	6	-2.0	-33%		1.0 / 3 (33%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
7th Jun '24	One 167	4.75	-4.8	-100%		-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jun '24	Cage Warriors 173	2.51	0.4	16%		0.7 / 2.26 (29%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
7th Jun '24	LFA 185	2.4	1.2	49%		1.2 / 2.4 (49%)
7th Jun '24	KSW 95	14.2	8.1	57%	8.1 / 14.2 (57%)
1st Jun '24	UFC 302	27.1	6.3	23%	6.2 / 15 (41%)	-1.1 / 3.1 (-35%)	1.2 / 9 (13%)
1st Jun '24	FCR 20	4	8.0	200%	8.0 / 4 (200%)
31st May '24	ACA 176	2	0.5	25%		0.5 / 2 (25%)
25th May '24	A1 Combat 21	3	0.7	22%		0.7 / 3 (22%)
25th May '24	Cage Warriors 172	3	1.6	53%			1.6 / 3 (53%)
24th May '24	Tuff-N-Uff 137	6	3.5	59%		2.3 / 3 (77%)	1.2 / 3 (41%)
19th May '24	Road to UFC: Episode 4	1.4	0.5	36%	0.5 / 1.4 (36%)
19th May '24	Road to UFC: Episode 3	5	0.1	1%	-0.6 / 2 (-32%)	1.7 / 2 (85%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	15.19	1.0	6%	0.6 / 5.81 (10%)	-0.6 / 6.68 (-9%)	1.0 / 2.7 (37%)
18th May '24	UAE Warriors 50	9.8	7.6	78%	4.8 / 6.8 (70%)		2.8 / 3 (94%)
18th May '24	Road to UFC: Episode 2	2	-0.0	-2%	-0.0 / 2 (-2%)
18th May '24	Road to UFC: Episode 1	3	0.9	29%	0.9 / 3 (29%)
12th May '24	Fury FC 90	5.32	-5.3	-100%	-2.9 / 2.92 (-100%)		-2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	18.6	-1.3	-7%	-4.9 / 4.87 (-100%)	6.0 / 5.75 (105%)	-2.4 / 7.98 (-30%)
11th May '24	KSW 94	10	10.4	104%	10.4 / 10 (104%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	13	-7.6	-58%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)		2.4 / 3 (80%)

Winning Events: 19 (76%)
Losing Events: 6 (24%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.27 units
Most Staked On One Event: 27.10 units
Best Event: 10.40 units
Worst Event: -7.59 units
Average Event: 1.39 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 13, Units: 39.41
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.59

Justin TDT: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	181.73	34.9	19%	21.4 / 91 (24%)		3.9 / 54.79 (7%)	19 / 6 (76%)	1.39

Justin TDT: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Justin TDT: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	90.75	-0.6	-1%	-8.1 / 42.68 (-19%)	4.3 / 15.53 (28%)	3.2 / 32.54 (10%)
PFL	2.6	2.0	79%			2.0 / 2.6 (79%)
Other	88.38	33.4	38%	29.5 / 48.32 (61%)	5.2 / 20.41 (26%)	-1.4 / 19.65 (-7%)

Justin TDT: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	11 (35%)	11	100 %	43.40	17.10	1.55	39%
Slight Favorites	6 (19%)	4	67 %	9.50	3.71	0.62	39%
Slight Underdogs	10 (32%)	3	30 %	28.44	-1.72	-0.17	-6%
Big Underdogs	4 (13%)	1	25 %	9.66	2.34	0.59	24%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (23%)	4	57 %	12.45	-5.65	-0.81	-45%
Co-Main Event	3 (10%)	2	67 %	7.85	3.13	1.04	40%
Position 3-5	9 (29%)	7	78 %	23.50	15.89	1.77	68%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (39%)	6	50 %	47.20	8.05	0.67	17%

Justin TDT: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (6%)	2	100 %	16.00	13.43	6.72	84%
Light Heavy	2 (6%)	2	100 %	7.00	3.14	1.57	45%
Middleweight	1 (3%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Welterweight	5 (16%)	4	80 %	18.35	9.86	1.97	54%
Lightweight	3 (10%)	1	33 %	8.50	-1.50	-0.50	-18%
Featherweight	5 (16%)	4	80 %	7.80	1.72	0.34	22%
Bantamweight	3 (10%)	3	100 %	7.40	2.91	0.97	39%
Flyweight	4 (13%)	1	25 %	15.00	-3.00	-0.75	-20%

Women's Fights	6 (19%)	2	33 %	8.95	-3.14	-0.52	-35%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)		0 %	0.66	-0.66	-0.33	-100%
Strawweight	4 (13%)	2	50 %	8.29	-2.48	-0.62	-30%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	36 (92%)	28	78 %
Slight Favorites	2 (5%)	2	100 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (3%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	39	30	77 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	30 (68%)	26	87 %
50-65%	6 (14%)	5	83 %
35-50%	4 (9%)	3	75 %
<35% chance	4 (9%)	1	25 %
	44	35	80 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (20%)	9	100 %	1.19	1.33	1.11	1.7 (19%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (11%)	4	80 %	1.50	1.85	1.16	1.4 (27%)
Goes to Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.87	1.87	1.87	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.49	1.49	1.49	0.5 (49%)
Fight Starts Round X	16 (36%)	13	81 %	1.28	2.40	1.10	1.1 (7%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (5%)	2	100 %	1.52	1.77	1.33	1.1 (55%)
X Wins by KO	2 (5%)	2	100 %	1.83	1.83	1.83	1.7 (83%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (9%)	2	50 %	3.41	7.00	2.10	1.1 (28%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (2%)	0	0 %	8.80	8.80	8.80	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	3 (7%)	2	67 %	1.81	2.45	1.31	1.4 (45%)
	44	35	80 %	1.47			7.9 (18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Justin TDT's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th May	UFC 301	13	-7.6	-58%	$10	$10.00	$1,000.00	$914.12
11th May	KSW 94	10	10.4	104%	$10	$9.14	$914.12	$999.19
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	18.6	-1.3	-7%	$10	$9.99	$999.19	$976.43
12th May	Fury FC 90	5.32	-5.3	-100%	$10	$9.76	$976.43	$914.49
18th May	Road to UFC: Episode 1	3	0.9	29%	$10	$9.14	$914.49	$912.33
18th May	Road to UFC: Episode 2	2	-0.0	-2%	$10	$9.12	$912.33	$901.89
18th May	UAE Warriors 50	9.8	7.6	78%	$10	$9.02	$901.89	$960.43
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	15.19	1.0	6%	$10	$9.60	$960.43	$959.88
19th May	Road to UFC: Episode 3	5	0.1	1%	$10	$9.60	$959.88	$950.44
19th May	Road to UFC: Episode 4	1.4	0.5	36%	$10	$9.50	$950.44	$945.28
24th May	Tuff-N-Uff 137	6	3.5	59%	$10	$9.45	$945.28	$968.61
25th May	Cage Warriors 172	3	1.6	53%	$10	$9.69	$968.61	$973.95
25th May	A1 Combat 21	3	0.7	22%	$10	$9.74	$973.95	$970.44
31st May	ACA 176	2	0.5	25%	$10	$9.70	$970.44	$965.29
1st Jun	FCR 20	4	8.0	200%	$10	$9.65	$965.29	$1,032.52
1st Jun	UFC 302	27.1	6.3	23%	$10	$10.33	$1,032.52	$1,087.33
7th Jun	KSW 95	14.2	8.1	57%	$10	$10.87	$1,087.33	$1,165.67
7th Jun	LFA 185	2.4	1.2	49%	$10	$11.66	$1,165.67	$1,169.32
7th Jun	Cage Warriors 173	2.51	0.4	16%	$10	$11.69	$1,169.32	$1,164.06
7th Jun	One 167	4.75	-4.8	-100%	$10	$11.64	$1,164.06	$1,098.77
8th Jun	Oktagon 58	6	-2.0	-33%	$10	$10.99	$1,098.77	$1,066.79
8th Jun	PFL Europe 2: 2024 Regular Season	2.6	2.0	79%	$10	$10.67	$1,066.79	$1,078.64
8th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	16.86	1.0	6%	$10	$10.79	$1,078.64	$1,079.70
9th Jun	Rizin 47	2	1.7	83%		$10.80	$1,079.70	$1,097.69
9th Jun	Fury FC 91	2	0.4	22%	$10	$10.98	$1,097.69	$1,092.57

ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.26% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Justin TDT: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '24	Jake Heffernan	Adam Smith	1.22	2	Sub, R2 (4:32)
2.	Jun '24	Michal Dreczkowski	Stevan Jaric	1.51	4	TKO, R1 (3:29)
3.	Jun '24	Oskar Szczepaniak	Adrian Zielinski	1.72	4.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jun '24	Philip De Fries	Augusto Sakai	1.51	6	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Jun '24	Raul Rosas Jr	Ricky Turcios	1.41	5	Sub, R2 (2:22)
6.	Jun '24	Zoran Milic	Nika Kalandadze	3.00	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '24	Bassil Hafez	Mickey Gall	1.42	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '24	Grant Dawson	Joe Solecki	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	May '24	Daermisi Zhawupasi	Ren Ozaki	1.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	May '24	Baergeng Jieleyisi	Yunfeng Li	1.36	1.4	Sub, R2 (4:25)
11.	May '24	Jakhongir Jumaev	Andre Fialho	2.25	2	TKO, R1 (2:23)
12.	May '24	Lucas Pereira	Ariel Oliveros	1.18	3	TKO, R1 (4:36)
13.	May '24	Oumar Sy	George Tokkos	1.36	3	Sub, R1 (3:43)
14.	May '24	Samuel Bark	Ali Al Qaisi	1.71	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	May '24	Ming Shi	Ye Dam Seo	1.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '24	Samuel Bark	Ali Al Qaisi	2.27	0.8	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	May '24	Themba Gorimbo	Ramiz Brahimaj	1.77	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	May '24	Xiaocan Feng	Kiran Singh	1.29	3	TKO, R1 (2:3)
19.	May '24	Ivan Vitasović	Filip Stawowy	2.04	10	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '24	Jared Cannonier	Nassourdine Imavov	2.15	2	TKO, R4 (1:34)	No
2.	May '24	Jiniushiyue	Dong Hoon Choi	1.85	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '24	Tamires Vidal	Melissa Gatto	3.80	0.33	TKO, R3 (0:37)	No
4.	May '24	Young Jae Song	Masuto Kawana	1.71	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '24	Tamires Vidal	Melissa Gatto	4.00	0.33	TKO, R3 (0:37)	No
6.	May '24	Carlston Harris	Kalinn Williams	2.21	0.85	TKO, R1 (1:30)	No
7.	May '24	Wendy Anundson	Andrea Amaro	2.20	1.67	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '24	Hector Saenz	Mansher Khera	2.80	1.25	Sub, R1 (3:14)	No
9.	May '24	Tecia Torres	Tabatha Ricci	2.15	2.62	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	May '24	Terrance McKinney	Esteban Ribovics	2.34	2.25	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
11.	May '24	Kevin Borjas	Alessandro Costa	2.40	5	TKO, R2 (1:35)	No
12.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	3.00	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Justin TDT: Progress Chart

Chart

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