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MMA Handicapper Stats: Baird Wristlock

Baird Wristlock (bwristlock)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Baird Wristlock

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 41 (53%) Right 37 (57%) Right 3 (27%) Right 1 (50%)
Wrong 37 (47%) Wrong 28 (43%) Wrong 8 (73%) Wrong 1 (50%)
Avg Odds 1.76 Avg Odds 1.66 Avg Odds 2.50 Avg Odds 2.91
Units Bet 84.0 Units Bet 75.8 Units Bet 6.7 Units Bet 1.5
Avg Bet 1.08 Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 0.61 Avg Bet 0.75
Units Profit 3.84 Units Profit 4.05 Units Profit -0.06 Units Profit -0.15
ROI % 5% ROI % 5% ROI % -1% ROI % -10%
View Handicapper's Profile

Baird Wristlock: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 13.5 5.6 41% 4.6 / 12.5 (37%) 0.1 / 0.5 (29%) 0.8 / 0.5 (169%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 3 -0.7 -23% -0.7 / 3 (-23%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 13 -5.8 -45% -4.8 / 12 (-40%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 11 -2.7 -24% -0.7 / 9 (-7%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 21 7.1 34% 5.6 / 19.5 (29%) 1.5 / 1.5 (100%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 9.75 2.9 29% 1.4 / 8.25 (17%) 1.5 / 1.5 (100%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 10.4 -2.1 -20% -1.1 / 9.4 (-12%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 2.3 -0.5 -22% -0.3 / 2.1 (-14%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 3 (38%)
Losing Events: 5 (63%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.49 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.00 units
Best Event: 7.14 units
Worst Event: -5.81 units
Average Event: 0.48 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 10.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.17

Baird Wristlock: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2020 83.95 3.8 5% 4.0 / 75.75 (5%) -0.1 / 6.7 (-1%) -0.2 / 1.5 (-10%) 3 / 5 (38%) 0.48

Baird Wristlock: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Baird Wristlock: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 83.95 3.8 5% 4.0 / 75.75 (5%) -0.1 / 6.7 (-1%) -0.2 / 1.5 (-10%)

Baird Wristlock: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 20 (31%) 14 70 % 31.10 2.40 0.12 8%
Slight Favorites 26 (40%) 17 65 % 28.90 5.21 0.20 18%
Slight Underdogs 16 (25%) 6 38 % 14.50 -2.32 -0.15 -16%
Big Underdogs 3 (5%) 0 0 % 1.25 -1.25 -0.42 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (12%) 5 63 % 10.50 2.02 0.25 19%
Co-Main Event 6 (9%) 3 50 % 6.60 0.43 0.07 7%
Position 3-5 19 (29%) 11 58 % 23.15 0.13 0.01 1%
6+ (Undercard) 32 (49%) 18 56 % 35.50 1.46 0.05 4%

Baird Wristlock: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (11%) 3 43 % 7.10 -1.48 -0.21 -21%
Light Heavy 6 (9%) 2 33 % 5.50 -1.88 -0.31 -34%
Middleweight 7 (11%) 3 43 % 9.50 -2.29 -0.33 -24%
Welterweight 8 (12%) 4 50 % 10.50 -2.48 -0.31 -24%
Lightweight 6 (9%) 6 100 % 8.00 4.48 0.75 56%
Featherweight 12 (18%) 8 67 % 10.40 3.64 0.30 35%
Bantamweight 6 (9%) 4 67 % 7.50 4.64 0.77 62%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 3.00 -0.42 -0.14 -14%
               
Women's Fights 10 (15%) 6 60 % 14.25 -0.16 -0.02 -1%
Flyweight 5 (8%) 3 60 % 6.50 -0.01 -0.00 -0%
Strawweight 5 (8%) 3 60 % 7.75 -0.15 -0.03 -2%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 4 (80%) 3 75 %
Slight Favorites 1 (20%) 1 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
5 4 80 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (25%) 2 67 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 4 (33%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 5 (42%) 2 40 %
12 4 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 3 (25%) 1 33 % 1.73 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct -1.7 (-57%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (8%) 0 0 % 2.30 2.30Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 3 (25%) 0 0 % 2.35 3.85Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (8%) 1 100 % 3.00 3.00Pick was correct 3.00Pick was correct 2.0 (200%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (8%) 1 100 % 6.00 6.00Pick was correct 6.00Pick was correct 5.0 (500%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (17%) 1 50 % 1.90 4.00Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -0.8 (-38%)
Others 1 (8%) 0 0 % 5.00 5.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
12 4 33 % 2.31     -0.5 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Baird Wristlock's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 2.3 -0.5 -22% $10.00 $1,000.00 $995.00
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 10.4 -2.1 -20% $9.95 $995.00 $974.29
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 9.75 2.9 29% $9.74 $974.29 $1,002.28
11th Jul UFC 251 21 7.1 34% $10.02 $1,002.28 $1,073.79
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 11 -2.7 -24% $10.74 $1,073.79 $1,045.33
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 13 -5.8 -45% $10.45 $1,045.33 $984.60
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 3 -0.7 -23% $9.85 $984.60 $977.66
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 13.5 5.6 41% $9.78 $977.66 $1,032.17


ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Baird Wristlock: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '20 Gavin Tucker Justin Jaynes 1.87 0.5 Sub, R3 (1:43) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '20 Tim Means Laureano Staropoli 2.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '20 Irwin Rivera Ali Al Qaisi 1.58 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '20 Andrew Sanchez Wellington Turman 2.26 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '20 Nasrat Haqparast Alex Munoz 1.43 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '20 Kevin Holland Joaquin Buckley 1.24 2 TKO, R3 (0:32) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '20 Beneil Dariush Scott Holtzman 1.53 2 TKO, R1 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '20 Derrick Lewis Aleksei Oleinik 1.54 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '20 Vicente Luque Randy Brown 1.53 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '20 Francisco Trinaldo Jai Herbert 1.79 1 TKO, R3 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '20 Paul Craig Gadzhimurad Antigulov 1.80 1 Sub, R1 (2:6) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '20 Robert Whittaker Darren Till 1.80 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '20 Lerone Murphy Ricardo Ramos 2.55 1 TKO, R1 (4:18) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '20 Jimmie Rivera Cody Stamann 1.84 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '20 Tim Elliott Ryan Benoit 1.72 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '20 Calvin Kattar Dan Ige 1.38 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '20 Marcin Tybura Maxim Grishin 1.91 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '20 Davey Grant Martin Day 2.60 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '20 Karol Rosa Vanessa Melo 1.44 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '20 Leonardo Santos Roman Bogatov 1.64 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '20 Maki Pitolo Darren Stewart 2.45 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:41) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '20 Frankie Saenz Jonathan Martinez 3.25 0.5 TKO, R3 (0:57) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '20 Edmen Shahbazyan Derek Brunson 1.31 1 TKO, R3 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '20 Nicolas Dalby Jesse Ronson 1.42 2 Sub, R1 (2:48) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '20 Peter Sobotta Alex Oliveira 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '20 Rogerio Nogueira Mauricio Rua 2.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '20 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Carla Esparza 1.59 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '20 Alexander Gustafsson Fabricio Werdum 1.30 2 Sub, R1 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '20 Andreas Michailidis Modestas Bukauskas 2.53 0.5 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '20 Aaron Phillips Jack Shore 7.16 0.5 Sub, R2 (2:29) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '20 Diana Belbita Liana Jojua 1.53 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:43) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '20 Molly McCann Taila Santos 1.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '20 Chris Fishgold Jared Gordon 2.37 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '20 Zhalgas Zhumagulov Raulian Paiva 2.53 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '20 Volkan Oezdemir Jiri Prochazka 1.64 1 TKO, R2 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '20 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Muslim Salikhov 2.13 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '20 Tyron Woodley Gilbert Burns 1.57 1 U Decision (5 rounds) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. May '20 Hannah Cifers Mackenzie Dern 4.58 0.25 Sub, R1 (2:36) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. May '20 Tim Elliott Brandon Royval 1.60 0.5 Sub, R2 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '20 Blagoy Ivanov Augusto Sakai 1.95 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Baird Wristlock: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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