MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dynamiczny Wariacik

Dynamiczny Wariacik (WCR89)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	69 (39%)	Right	30 (44%)	Right	34 (38%)	Right	5 (25%)
Wrong	108 (61%)	Wrong	38 (56%)	Wrong	55 (62%)	Wrong	15 (75%)
Avg Odds	2.51	Avg Odds	2.37	Avg Odds	2.62	Avg Odds	2.53
Units Bet	167.8	Units Bet	73.3	Units Bet	74.9	Units Bet	19.7
Avg Bet	0.95	Avg Bet	1.08	Avg Bet	0.84	Avg Bet	0.99
Units Profit	1.70	Units Profit	5.46	Units Profit	6.91	Units Profit	-10.67
ROI %	1%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	-54%

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th May '24	UFC 301	2.97	-3.0	-100%	-2.0 / 1.97 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th May '24	Oktagon 57	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Apr '24	Rizin 46	2.75	-0.7	-26%	0.8 / 1.25 (64%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	7.3	-5.8	-80%	-0.0 / 1.5 (-2%)	-2.6 / 2.55 (-100%)	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
20th Apr '24	Oktagon 56	4.78	-1.0	-20%		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	2.0 / 1.78 (114%)
19th Apr '24	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	3.85	0.9	24%	0.9 / 3.85 (24%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	10.1	0.6	6%	1.5 / 6.5 (23%)	-0.9 / 3.6 (-25%)
12th Apr '24	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	7.73	4.2	54%	0.1 / 4.86 (2%)	4.1 / 2.87 (141%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	4.5	2.0	43%	-0.2 / 3 (-6%)	1.3 / 0.5 (265%)	0.8 / 1 (82%)
6th Apr '24	KSW 93	3	1.0	32%	0.2 / 1.5 (13%)	0.8 / 1.5 (50%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	8.75	0.4	4%	-3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)	4.1 / 5 (82%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	4	-1.9	-49%		-0.4 / 2.5 (-18%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	5.25	-1.6	-31%	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)	1.6 / 2 (82%)
23rd Mar '24	Oktagon 55	1	0.4	35%	0.9 / 0.5 (170%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Mar '24	Bellator Champions Series	4	1.7	42%	2.4 / 3.25 (75%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.75	1.8	47%	3.3 / 2.25 (145%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	KSW 92	4.5	-1.9	-43%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	0.3 / 2.25 (15%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	3.86	-1.2	-30%	1.2 / 1.5 (80%)	-2.4 / 2.36 (-100%)
7th Mar '24	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	6.22	3.9	63%	4.5 / 3.72 (122%)	0.4 / 1.5 (25%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	5.25	-3.6	-68%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-3.1 / 4.75 (-64%)
2nd Mar '24	Oktagon 54	2.25	-0.3	-13%	0.5 / 1.5 (30%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	1.75	-1.8	-100%		-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	1	1.1	115%	1.1 / 1 (115%)
24th Feb '24	KSW Epic	2.75	-0.8	-29%		-0.8 / 2.75 (-29%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	4.25	-1.7	-40%	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.5 / 1 (154%)
17th Feb '24	KSW 91	3.82	3.9	103%	1.8 / 2.7 (66%)	2.1 / 1.12 (191%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	3	0.9	30%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	2.4 / 1.5 (160%)
10th Feb '24	Oktagon 53	4.75	-2.9	-61%	0.9 / 1 (85%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	6.44	4.3	67%	3.4 / 3 (114%)	0.5 / 3 (16%)	0.4 / 0.44 (100%)
27th Jan '24	Oktagon 52	6	1.8	29%	2.7 / 3.5 (76%)	-0.9 / 2.5 (-36%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	3.25	3.2	97%		3.2 / 3.25 (97%)
20th Jan '24	KSW 90	12.5	5.3	42%		7.1 / 10.75 (66%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	2.25	1.0	46%		1.0 / 2.25 (46%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	2	-1.3	-63%		0.0 / 0.75 (0%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	KSW 86	2.75	0.3	9%		0.3 / 2.75 (9%)
16th Sep '23	Oktagon 46	2	-2.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Nov '22	Bellator 288	4.5	-4.5	-100%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	2.75	-0.0	-1%	-1.1 / 2 (-53%)	1.0 / 0.75 (138%)
12th Nov '22	KSW 76	2.5	1.4	56%	0.9 / 1.9 (46%)	0.5 / 0.6 (88%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Nov '21	ACA 132	1	1.7	170%	1.7 / 1 (170%)

Winning Events: 21 (51%)
Losing Events: 20 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.12 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.50 units
Best Event: 5.31 units
Worst Event: -5.84 units
Average Event: 0.04 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 15.59
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -12.48

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	149.57	8.1	5%	11.4 / 60.85 (19%)		-8.4 / 17.47 (-48%)	18 / 15 (55%)	0.25
2023	6.75	-3.0	-44%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	1 / 2 (33%)	-1.00
2022	9.75	-3.1	-32%	-4.7 / 8.4 (-56%)			1 / 2 (33%)	-1.04
2021	3	-0.3	-10%	-0.3 / 3 (-10%)			1 / 1 (50%)	-0.15

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dynamiczny Wariacik: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	74.67	-10.0	-13%	-2.3 / 30.22 (-8%)	-4.5 / 36.01 (-12%)	-3.2 / 8.44 (-38%)
Bellator	8.5	-2.8	-33%	-2.1 / 7.75 (-26%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
PFL	27.55	10.5	38%	2.9 / 17.18 (17%)	8.6 / 9.37 (91%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other	58.35	4.1	7%	6.9 / 18.1 (38%)	3.6 / 29.97 (12%)	-6.5 / 10.28 (-63%)

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	13 (19%)	10	77 %	17.35	5.39	0.41	31%
Slight Underdogs	42 (61%)	19	45 %	47.43	6.84	0.16	14%
Big Underdogs	14 (20%)	1	7 %	8.47	-6.77	-0.48	-80%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (20%)	5	36 %	20.22	-0.87	-0.06	-4%
Co-Main Event	7 (10%)	3	43 %	4.75	1.70	0.24	36%
Position 3-5	16 (23%)	7	44 %	18.95	4.45	0.28	23%
6+ (Undercard)	32 (46%)	15	47 %	29.33	0.18	0.01	1%

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (13%)	4	44 %	7.97	-0.48	-0.05	-6%
Light Heavy	5 (7%)	3	60 %	11.61	-2.60	-0.52	-22%
Middleweight	8 (12%)	2	25 %	8.00	-1.09	-0.14	-14%
Welterweight	9 (13%)	3	33 %	9.25	2.29	0.25	25%
Lightweight	10 (14%)	8	80 %	9.75	6.14	0.61	63%
Featherweight	11 (16%)	7	64 %	13.10	7.29	0.66	56%
Bantamweight	8 (12%)	2	25 %	7.35	-0.96	-0.12	-13%
Flyweight	3 (4%)		0 %	1.97	-1.97	-0.66	-100%

Women's Fights	6 (9%)	1	17 %	4.25	-3.15	-0.53	-74%
Bantamweight	2 (3%)		0 %	1.75	-1.75	-0.88	-100%
Flyweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	1.00	0.10	0.05	10%
Strawweight	2 (3%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-0.75	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	17 (57%)	12	71 %
Slight Favorites	7 (23%)	5	71 %
Slight Underdogs	6 (20%)	2	33 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	30	19	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (3%)	2	67 %
50-65%	24 (24%)	13	54 %
35-50%	37 (37%)	10	27 %
<35% chance	37 (37%)	12	32 %
	101	37	37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (6%)	3	50 %	1.52	1.80	1.25	-1.3 (-21%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (6%)	3	50 %	1.92	3.45	1.29	-1.0 (-17%)
Goes to Decision	15 (15%)	5	33 %	2.24	4.00	1.75	-3.2 (-21%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (4%)	2	50 %	2.33	4.50	1.72	2.2 (56%)
Fight Starts Round X	8 (8%)	3	38 %	2.22	3.65	1.70	0.4 (5%)
X Wins by KO	4 (4%)	2	50 %	2.29	3.10	1.95	1.1 (26%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (2%)	0	0 %	8.41	9.00	7.90	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (4%)	0	0 %	3.69	4.50	3.00	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	12 (12%)	5	42 %	2.96	6.00	1.95	2.8 (23%)
Others	40 (40%)	14	35 %	2.62	6.50	1.68	-2.4 (-6%)
	101	37	37 %	2.43			-7.4 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dynamiczny Wariacik's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Nov	ACA 132	1	1.7	170%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,017.00
20th Nov	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.17	$1,017.00	$996.66
12th Nov	KSW 76	2.5	1.4	56%		$9.97	$996.66	$1,010.56
12th Nov	UFC 281	2.75	-0.0	-1%		$10.11	$1,010.56	$1,010.41
18th Nov	Bellator 288	4.5	-4.5	-100%		$10.10	$1,010.41	$964.94
16th Sep	Oktagon 46	2	-2.0	-100%	$5	$9.65	$964.94	$940.64
16th Sep	KSW 86	2.75	0.3	9%		$9.41	$940.64	$943.00
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	2	-1.3	-63%		$9.43	$943.00	$931.21
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	2.25	1.0	46%		$9.31	$931.21	$940.78
20th Jan	KSW 90	12.5	5.3	42%		$9.41	$940.78	$990.75
20th Jan	UFC 297	3.25	3.2	97%		$9.91	$990.75	$1,021.96
27th Jan	Oktagon 52	6	1.8	29%		$10.22	$1,021.96	$1,039.92
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	6.44	4.3	67%		$10.40	$1,039.92	$1,085.05
10th Feb	Oktagon 53	4.75	-2.9	-61%		$10.85	$1,085.05	$1,053.59
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	3	0.9	30%		$10.54	$1,053.59	$1,063.07
17th Feb	KSW 91	3.82	3.9	103%		$10.63	$1,063.07	$1,104.82
17th Feb	UFC 298	4.25	-1.7	-40%		$11.05	$1,104.82	$1,085.90
24th Feb	KSW Epic	2.75	-0.8	-29%		$10.86	$1,085.90	$1,077.21
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	1	1.1	115%		$10.77	$1,077.21	$1,089.60
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	1.75	-1.8	-100%		$10.90	$1,089.60	$1,070.53
2nd Mar	Oktagon 54	2.25	-0.3	-13%		$10.71	$1,070.53	$1,067.32
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	5.25	-3.6	-68%		$10.67	$1,067.32	$1,029.43
7th Mar	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	6.22	3.9	63%		$10.29	$1,029.43	$1,069.58
9th Mar	UFC 299	3.86	-1.2	-30%		$10.70	$1,069.58	$1,057.17
16th Mar	KSW 92	4.5	-1.9	-43%		$10.57	$1,057.17	$1,036.87
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.75	1.8	47%		$10.37	$1,036.87	$1,055.23
22nd Mar	Bellator Champions Series	4	1.7	42%		$10.55	$1,055.23	$1,073.14
23rd Mar	Oktagon 55	1	0.4	35%		$10.73	$1,073.14	$1,076.90
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	5.25	-1.6	-31%		$10.77	$1,076.90	$1,059.50
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	4	-1.9	-49%		$10.60	$1,059.50	$1,038.84
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	8.75	0.4	4%		$10.39	$1,038.84	$1,042.74
6th Apr	KSW 93	3	1.0	32%		$10.43	$1,042.74	$1,052.65
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	4.5	2.0	43%		$10.53	$1,052.65	$1,073.23
12th Apr	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	7.73	4.2	54%		$10.73	$1,073.23	$1,117.88
13th Apr	UFC 300	10.1	0.6	6%		$11.18	$1,117.88	$1,124.87
19th Apr	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	3.85	0.9	24%		$11.25	$1,124.87	$1,135.10
20th Apr	Oktagon 56	4.78	-1.0	-20%		$11.35	$1,135.10	$1,124.10
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	7.3	-5.8	-80%		$11.24	$1,124.10	$1,058.48
29th Apr	Rizin 46	2.75	-0.7	-26%		$10.58	$1,058.48	$1,051.05
4th May	Oktagon 57	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.51	$1,051.05	$1,030.03
4th May	UFC 301	2.97	-3.0	-100%		$10.30	$1,030.03	$999.43

ROI % from starting bank balance: -0.06% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Shinobu Ota	Juntarou Ushiku	2.73	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '24	Don'tale Mayes	Caio Machado (2)	1.95	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '24	Adam Borics	Enrique Barzola	1.67	2.85	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Apr '24	Brent Primus	Bruno Miranda	1.90	1	Sub, R2 (1:49)
5.	Apr '24	Alex Pereira	Jamahal Hill	1.74	2.5	TKO, R1 (3:14)
6.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.45	1.5	TKO, R5 (4:59)
7.	Apr '24	Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov	Jakob Nedoh	2.25	1.36	TKO, R1 (2:54)
8.	Apr '24	César Almeida	Dylan Budka	2.25	1.25	TKO, R2 (2:13)
9.	Apr '24	Wilson Varela	Marian Ziolkowski	3.40	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:31)
10.	Mar '24	Arijan Topallaj	Karol Rysavy	2.70	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:36)
11.	Mar '24	Luke Trainer	Grant Neal	2.13	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '24	Fabian Edwards	Aaron Jeffery	2.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.52	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '24	Christian Rodriguez	Isaac Dulgarian	2.42	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.70	1	TKO, R2 (2:32)
16.	Mar '24	Baissangour Chamsoudinov	Cedric Doumbe	2.75	3	TKO, R3 (1:21)
17.	Mar '24	Mochamed Machaev	Makwan Amirkhani	1.95	1	TKO, R3 (0:6)
18.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	2.15	1	TKO, R1 (0:21)
19.	Feb '24	Mariusz Joniak	Tobiasz Le	2.30	1.95	TKO, R1 (1:5)
20.	Feb '24	Gjoni Palokaj	Jaroslav Pokorny	1.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Iasmin Lucindo	4.10	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	3.20	0.75	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '24	Taichi Nakajima	Soo Chul Kim	3.34	0.5	TKO, R2 (0:6)	No
4.	Apr '24	Tim Means	Uros Medic	3.40	0.75	TKO, R1 (2:9)	No
5.	Apr '24	Brennan Ward	Don Madge	2.33	1	Sub, R1 (1:2)	No
6.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.75	1.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '24	Calvin Kattar	Aljamain Sterling	2.35	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	3.20	0.72	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Sadibou Sy	Joshua Silveira	1.75	2.5	TKO, R1 (1:14)	No
10.	Apr '24	Chris Curtis	Brendan Allen	2.65	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '24	Germaine de Randamie	Norma Dumont	2.20	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '24	Nicolae Bivol	El Hadji Ndiaye	2.60	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Apr '24	Chelsea Hackett	Jena Bishop	3.05	0.5	Sub, R1 (4:15)	No
14.	Apr '24	Steve Mowry	Oleg Popov	2.15	1	TKO, R2 (3:47)	No
15.	Apr '24	Blagoy Ivanov	Sergey Billostenniy	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Apr '24	Ante Delija	Valentin Moldavsky	2.30	1.25	TKO, R1 (2:17)	No
17.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.95	0.75	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
18.	Mar '24	Mohammed Usman	Michael Parkin	2.20	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	2.30	0.75	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dynamiczny Wariacik: Progress Chart

Chart

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