|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Reality Circuit |
|
Reality Circuit : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 19 (42%) Losing Events: 26 (58%)
Average Staked Per Event: 2.51 units Most Staked On One Event: 8.00 units Best Event: 6.74 units Worst Event: -5.13 units Average Event: 0.02 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 9.81 Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -11.76 |
Reality Circuit : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
23.8 |
-5.9 |
-25% |
-5.8 / 18.05 (-32%) |
|
-0.1 / 5.75 (-1%) |
4 / 6 (40%) |
-0.59 |
2023 |
28.92 |
-3.3 |
-11% |
-0.9 / 8 (-12%) |
|
-1.3 / 19.12 (-7%) |
3 / 9 (25%) |
-0.27 |
2022 |
60.43 |
10.0 |
17% |
0.2 / 16.35 (1%) |
|
7.8 / 37.63 (21%) |
12 / 11 (52%) |
0.43 |
|
Reality Circuit : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Reality Circuit : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
108.85 |
2.1 |
2% |
-5.7 / 39.35 (-15%) |
0.7 / 7.75 (9%) |
7.1 / 61.75 (12%) |
Bellator |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
|
-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) |
Other |
3.55 |
-0.6 |
-16% |
-0.8 / 3.05 (-27%) |
0.3 / 0.5 (53%) |
|
|
Reality Circuit : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
7 (18%) |
2 |
29 % |
18.70 |
-8.97 |
-1.28 |
-48% |
Slight Favorites |
11 (28%) |
7 |
64 % |
16.50 |
1.39 |
0.13 |
8% |
Slight Underdogs |
20 (50%) |
11 |
55 % |
6.70 |
1.52 |
0.08 |
23% |
Big Underdogs |
2 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.25 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
5 (13%) |
2 |
40 % |
8.80 |
-7.11 |
-1.42 |
-81% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (13%) |
5 |
100 % |
2.80 |
2.56 |
0.51 |
91% |
Position 3-5 |
12 (30%) |
3 |
25 % |
15.75 |
-5.27 |
-0.44 |
-33% |
6+ (Undercard) |
18 (45%) |
10 |
56 % |
15.05 |
3.27 |
0.18 |
22% |
|
Reality Circuit : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (10%) |
1 |
25 % |
4.00 |
-3.42 |
-0.86 |
-86% |
Light Heavy |
3 (8%) |
2 |
67 % |
1.50 |
0.62 |
0.21 |
41% |
Middleweight |
6 (15%) |
5 |
83 % |
10.60 |
-1.31 |
-0.22 |
-12% |
Welterweight |
10 (25%) |
5 |
50 % |
5.00 |
1.47 |
0.15 |
29% |
Lightweight |
5 (13%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-0.60 |
-100% |
Featherweight |
4 (10%) |
2 |
50 % |
5.00 |
-2.06 |
-0.52 |
-41% |
Bantamweight |
2 (5%) |
2 |
100 % |
5.50 |
2.38 |
1.19 |
43% |
Flyweight |
3 (8%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.30 |
-3.04 |
-1.01 |
-92% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
3 (8%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.50 |
1.79 |
0.60 |
40% |
Bantamweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
1.08 |
1.08 |
54% |
Strawweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
1.21 |
1.21 |
61% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
102 (73%) |
78 |
76 % |
Slight Favorites |
30 (22%) |
20 |
67 % |
Slight Underdogs |
6 (4%) |
3 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
139 |
101 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
6 (13%) |
5 |
83 % |
50-65% |
20 (44%) |
10 |
50 % |
35-50% |
7 (16%) |
4 |
57 % |
<35% chance |
12 (27%) |
3 |
25 % |
|
45 |
22 |
49 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Reality Circuit 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
3.1 |
2.9 |
94% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,028.99 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
3.45 |
-0.8 |
-24% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,028.99 |
$1,020.59 |
29th Jan |
Bellator 273 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,020.59 |
$1,015.48 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
3.65 |
-0.1 |
-3% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,015.48 |
$1,014.51 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
106% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.51 |
$1,041.31 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
2.25 |
2.0 |
89% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,041.31 |
$1,062.24 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
1.75 |
-0.2 |
-12% |
|
$10.62 |
$1,062.24 |
$1,060.04 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
1 |
1.0 |
101% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,060.04 |
$1,070.76 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
3.25 |
-0.1 |
-4% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,070.76 |
$1,069.27 |
14th May |
UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.27 |
$1,047.88 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
0.5 |
1.0 |
204% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,047.88 |
$1,058.56 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
88% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.56 |
$1,087.37 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
3 |
-2.0 |
-66% |
|
$10.87 |
$1,087.37 |
$1,065.89 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
2.5 |
2.0 |
80% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,065.89 |
$1,087.28 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
3.75 |
2.4 |
65% |
|
$10.87 |
$1,087.28 |
$1,113.61 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,113.61 |
$1,091.34 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
2 |
1.2 |
61% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,091.34 |
$1,104.56 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
8 |
6.7 |
84% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,104.56 |
$1,179.02 |
26th Jul |
DWCS 2022: Week 1 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
66% |
|
$11.79 |
$1,179.02 |
$1,192.98 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
45% |
|
$11.93 |
$1,192.98 |
$1,201.03 |
2nd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 2 |
1.75 |
-1.8 |
-100% |
|
$12.01 |
$1,201.03 |
$1,180.02 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
2.08 |
-2.1 |
-100% |
|
$11.80 |
$1,180.02 |
$1,155.47 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.55 |
$1,155.47 |
$1,097.70 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
3.7 |
-1.8 |
-49% |
|
$10.98 |
$1,097.70 |
$1,077.61 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
5 |
2.3 |
45% |
|
$10.78 |
$1,077.61 |
$1,101.89 |
4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$11.02 |
$1,101.89 |
$1,099.13 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
1.95 |
-1.0 |
-52% |
|
$10.99 |
$1,099.13 |
$1,087.88 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,087.88 |
$1,066.13 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
1.1 |
0.4 |
37% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.13 |
$1,070.48 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
1.77 |
-0.4 |
-21% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,070.48 |
$1,066.51 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
105% |
|
$10.67 |
$1,066.51 |
$1,105.68 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
2.1 |
-1.5 |
-73% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,105.68 |
$1,088.82 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
5.3 |
-0.4 |
-7% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,088.82 |
$1,084.81 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.81 |
$1,082.10 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.82 |
$1,082.10 |
$1,060.45 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,060.45 |
$1,057.80 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
2.1 |
-0.8 |
-37% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,057.80 |
$1,049.61 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
1.95 |
-1.5 |
-75% |
|
$10.50 |
$1,049.61 |
$1,034.20 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
5.75 |
-5.1 |
-89% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,034.20 |
$981.17 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
7.5 |
3.4 |
45% |
|
$9.81 |
$981.17 |
$1,014.58 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
1 |
0.3 |
31% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.58 |
$1,017.68 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
1 |
0.6 |
61% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,017.68 |
$1,023.93 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
126% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.93 |
$1,030.40 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.30 |
$1,030.40 |
$1,020.09 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
2.75 |
-2.2 |
-81% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,020.09 |
$997.27 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -0.27% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Reality Circuit : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.05 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
2. |
Feb '24 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Henry Cejudo |
1.35 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Feb '24 |
Miranda Maverick |
Andrea Lee |
1.54 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Feb '24 |
Ilia Topuria |
Alex Volkanovski |
2.14 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
|
|
5. |
Jan '24 |
Jimmy Flick |
Malcolm Gordon |
2.64 |
0.1 |
Sub, R2 (1:17) |
|
|
6. |
Jan '24 |
Sam Patterson |
Yohan Lainesse |
2.20 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (2:3) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '23 |
Christian Duncan |
Dusko Todorovic |
1.49 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:52) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '23 |
Alexander Volkov |
Alexander Romanov |
2.30 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (2:16) |
|
|
9. |
Feb '23 |
Marcin Prachnio |
William Knight |
2.05 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Jan '23 |
Daniel Marcos |
Saimon Oliveira |
2.25 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:18) |
|
|
11. |
Jan '23 |
Dan Ige |
Damon Jackson |
1.87 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:13) |
|
|
12. |
Jul '22 |
Joe Pyfer |
Ozzy Diaz |
2.05 |
0.3 |
TKO, R2 (1:39) |
|
|
13. |
Jul '22 |
Anton Turkalj |
Acacio dos Santos |
1.61 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Jul '22 |
Alex Morono |
Matt Semelsberger |
2.35 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Jul '22 |
Emily Ducote |
Jessica Penne |
1.61 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Jul '22 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Brad Tavares |
1.80 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jun '22 |
Jeremiah Wells |
Court McGee |
2.05 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:34) |
|
|
18. |
Jun '22 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Ramazan Emeev |
1.61 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:32) |
|
|
19. |
Mar '22 |
Alex Pereira |
Bruno Silva |
1.56 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Feb '22 |
Nick Maximov |
Punahele Soriano |
2.64 |
0.3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Bill Algeo |
Kyle Nelson |
1.41 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Feb '24 |
Joe Pyfer |
Jack Hermansson |
1.44 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Feb '24 |
Azat Maksum |
Charles Johnson |
1.47 |
1.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Jan '24 |
Charles Jourdain |
Sean Woodson |
1.49 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Jan '24 |
Gabriel Benitez |
Jim Miller |
2.24 |
0.25 |
Sub, R3 (3:25) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Aug '23 |
Chris Daukaus |
Khalil Rountree |
2.45 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (2:40) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '23 |
Casey O'Neill |
Jennifer Maia |
1.56 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '23 |
Lukasz Brzeski |
Karl Williams |
2.85 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Feb '23 |
Themba Gorimbo |
A.J. Fletcher |
3.55 |
0.25 |
Sub, R2 (1:37) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '23 |
Jeka Asparido Saragih |
Anshul Jubli |
2.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:44) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jan '23 |
Neil Magny |
Gilbert Burns |
4.70 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (4:15) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jan '23 |
Ketlen Vieira |
Raquel Pennington |
1.80 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Aug '22 |
Charlie Campbell |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.57 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Aug '22 |
Shimon Smotritsky |
Billy Goff |
2.40 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (3:37) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '22 |
Mike Mathetha |
Orion Cosce |
2.70 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jul '22 |
Jared Vanderaa |
Chase Sherman |
1.51 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (3:10) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jul '22 |
Gabriel Green |
Ian Garry |
2.40 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jun '22 |
Guram Kutateladze |
Damir Ismagulov |
2.40 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jan '22 |
Genaro Valdez |
Matt Frevola |
2.64 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (3:15) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jan '22 |
Ciryl Gane |
Francis Ngannou |
1.67 |
1.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Reality Circuit : Progress Chart |
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