MMA Handicapper Stats: The Lyons Den MMA |
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The Lyons Den MMA : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 13 (48%) Losing Events: 14 (52%)
Average Staked Per Event: 13.24 units Most Staked On One Event: 31.05 units Best Event: 11.59 units Worst Event: -14.57 units Average Event: -0.84 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 17.93 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -20.38 |
The Lyons Den MMA : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
201.7 |
-26.7 |
-13% |
-15.2 / 84.25 (-18%) |
|
-9.7 / 52.1 (-19%) |
4 / 8 (33%) |
-2.22 |
2023 |
155.9 |
3.9 |
3% |
0.0 / 73.75 (0%) |
|
-2.6 / 46.9 (-6%) |
9 / 6 (60%) |
0.26 |
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The Lyons Den MMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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The Lyons Den MMA : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
344.45 |
-15.2 |
-4% |
-15.2 / 152.55 (-10%) |
7.4 / 97.9 (8%) |
-7.4 / 94 (-8%) |
Other |
13.15 |
-7.6 |
-58% |
0.1 / 5.45 (2%) |
-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
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The Lyons Den MMA : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
3 (3%) |
3 |
100 % |
15.00 |
6.50 |
2.17 |
43% |
Slight Favorites |
31 (34%) |
13 |
42 % |
67.40 |
-23.85 |
-0.77 |
-35% |
Slight Underdogs |
34 (37%) |
15 |
44 % |
48.50 |
9.13 |
0.27 |
19% |
Big Underdogs |
23 (25%) |
5 |
22 % |
27.10 |
-6.90 |
-0.30 |
-25% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
10 (11%) |
4 |
40 % |
22.25 |
5.55 |
0.55 |
25% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (10%) |
4 |
44 % |
18.25 |
0.16 |
0.02 |
1% |
Position 3-5 |
34 (37%) |
18 |
53 % |
56.40 |
9.90 |
0.29 |
18% |
6+ (Undercard) |
38 (42%) |
10 |
26 % |
61.10 |
-30.74 |
-0.81 |
-50% |
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The Lyons Den MMA : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (4%) |
|
0 % |
4.90 |
-4.90 |
-1.23 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
10 (11%) |
4 |
40 % |
16.00 |
-1.14 |
-0.11 |
-7% |
Middleweight |
15 (16%) |
6 |
40 % |
20.70 |
-1.59 |
-0.11 |
-8% |
Welterweight |
6 (7%) |
2 |
33 % |
13.55 |
-8.35 |
-1.39 |
-62% |
Lightweight |
13 (14%) |
9 |
69 % |
34.15 |
18.93 |
1.46 |
55% |
Featherweight |
8 (9%) |
5 |
63 % |
12.90 |
3.39 |
0.42 |
26% |
Bantamweight |
16 (18%) |
6 |
38 % |
26.35 |
-6.69 |
-0.42 |
-25% |
Flyweight |
6 (7%) |
1 |
17 % |
7.25 |
-5.94 |
-0.99 |
-82% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
13 (14%) |
3 |
23 % |
22.20 |
-8.84 |
-0.68 |
-40% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
1.20 |
1.20 |
120% |
Bantamweight |
6 (7%) |
|
0 % |
5.25 |
-5.25 |
-0.88 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
8.20 |
-2.20 |
-0.73 |
-27% |
Strawweight |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
7.75 |
-2.59 |
-0.86 |
-33% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
110 (82%) |
82 |
75 % |
Slight Favorites |
21 (16%) |
11 |
52 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
134 |
93 |
69 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
33 (17%) |
27 |
82 % |
50-65% |
19 (10%) |
9 |
47 % |
35-50% |
22 (11%) |
9 |
41 % |
<35% chance |
119 (62%) |
20 |
17 % |
|
193 |
65 |
34 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Lyons Den MMA 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
9.4 |
3.1 |
33% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,031.07 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
5 |
1.2 |
24% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.07 |
$1,043.36 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
27.45 |
4.2 |
15% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.36 |
$1,087.54 |
8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
62% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,087.54 |
$1,099.00 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
6.15 |
2.4 |
40% |
|
$10.99 |
$1,099.00 |
$1,125.89 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
1.2 |
-1.2 |
-100% |
|
$11.26 |
$1,125.89 |
$1,112.38 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
21.9 |
-1.5 |
-7% |
|
$11.12 |
$1,112.38 |
$1,096.22 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
4.2 |
-2.1 |
-51% |
|
$10.96 |
$1,096.22 |
$1,072.94 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
9.25 |
-9.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,072.94 |
$973.69 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
12.35 |
-6.4 |
-51% |
|
$9.74 |
$973.69 |
$911.86 |
10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
1 |
1.8 |
180% |
|
$9.12 |
$911.86 |
$928.28 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
9.2 |
-7.5 |
-81% |
|
$9.28 |
$928.28 |
$858.75 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
25.35 |
11.6 |
46% |
|
$8.59 |
$858.75 |
$958.31 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
15.75 |
3.3 |
21% |
|
$9.58 |
$958.31 |
$990.29 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
6 |
3.0 |
50% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.29 |
$1,020.00 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
10.81 |
-1.8 |
-17% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,020.00 |
$1,001.63 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
18.3 |
-4.8 |
-26% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.63 |
$953.37 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
21 |
-10.1 |
-48% |
|
$9.53 |
$953.37 |
$856.96 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
13 |
-2.5 |
-19% |
|
$8.57 |
$856.96 |
$835.65 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
6.1 |
4.0 |
65% |
|
$8.36 |
$835.65 |
$868.72 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
16.2 |
0.6 |
4% |
|
$8.69 |
$868.72 |
$874.21 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
31.05 |
5.4 |
17% |
|
$8.74 |
$874.21 |
$921.29 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
23.39 |
-0.6 |
-3% |
|
$9.21 |
$921.29 |
$915.53 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
24.3 |
-7.8 |
-32% |
|
$9.16 |
$915.53 |
$844.47 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
11 |
-0.8 |
-7% |
|
$8.44 |
$844.47 |
$838.13 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
10.25 |
6.3 |
61% |
|
$8.38 |
$838.13 |
$890.75 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
16.3 |
-14.6 |
-89% |
|
$8.91 |
$890.75 |
$760.93 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -23.91% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Lyons Den MMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Ihor Potieria |
Michel Pereira |
5.50 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (0:54) |
Yes |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Steve Erceg |
Alexandre Pantoja |
2.62 |
0.25 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Paul Craig |
Caio Borralho |
5.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:10) |
No |
|
|
4. |
May '24 |
Steve Erceg |
Alexandre Pantoja |
2.75 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
May '24 |
Jonathan Martinez |
Jose Aldo |
1.70 |
2.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Rani Yahya |
Victor Henry |
4.80 |
0.8 |
TKO, R3 (2:36) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Caio Machado (2) |
Don'tale Mayes |
1.90 |
1.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.80 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Holly Holm |
Kayla Harrison |
4.50 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:47) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Herbert Burns |
Julio Arce |
4.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:0) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
3.50 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Herbert Burns |
Julio Arce |
4.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:0) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
2.80 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Cory McKenna |
Jaqueline Amorim |
1.72 |
2.75 |
Sub, R1 (1:38) |
Yes |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Kyler Phillips |
2.88 |
1.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Mateusz Gamrot |
4.50 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.90 |
2.2 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Kevin Holland |
Michael Page |
1.72 |
3.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '24 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Michel Pereira |
2.25 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Brad Tavares |
Gregory Rodrigues |
3.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:55) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Lyons Den MMA : Progress Chart |
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