MMA Handicapper Stats: Samuel |
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Samuel : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 14 (44%) Losing Events: 18 (56%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.27 units Most Staked On One Event: 16.30 units Best Event: 10.72 units Worst Event: -8.72 units Average Event: -0.26 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.03 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -13.82 |
Samuel : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
4.5 |
0.6 |
13% |
1.8 / 3.25 (57%) |
|
|
1 / (100%) |
0.60 |
2023 |
179.19 |
-19.8 |
-11% |
-9.2 / 103.38 (-9%) |
|
-4.2 / 22.85 (-19%) |
11 / 18 (38%) |
-0.68 |
2022 |
17.05 |
11.0 |
65% |
3.7 / 9.8 (37%) |
|
5.9 / 4.75 (123%) |
2 / (100%) |
5.51 |
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Samuel : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Samuel : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
193.99 |
-7.9 |
-4% |
-3.3 / 111.68 (-3%) |
-6.1 / 56.71 (-11%) |
1.4 / 25.6 (6%) |
Bellator |
0.5 |
0.6 |
119% |
|
|
0.6 / 0.5 (119%) |
PFL |
6.25 |
-0.8 |
-13% |
-0.4 / 4.75 (-9%) |
|
-0.4 / 1.5 (-28%) |
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Samuel : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
15 (16%) |
12 |
80 % |
25.33 |
2.79 |
0.19 |
11% |
Slight Favorites |
37 (39%) |
20 |
54 % |
53.40 |
-6.45 |
-0.17 |
-12% |
Slight Underdogs |
27 (29%) |
12 |
44 % |
25.15 |
3.20 |
0.12 |
13% |
Big Underdogs |
15 (16%) |
4 |
27 % |
12.55 |
-3.23 |
-0.22 |
-26% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
13 (14%) |
4 |
31 % |
25.05 |
-7.85 |
-0.60 |
-31% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (10%) |
5 |
56 % |
13.35 |
-2.02 |
-0.22 |
-15% |
Position 3-5 |
19 (20%) |
11 |
58 % |
25.90 |
-0.20 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
6+ (Undercard) |
53 (56%) |
28 |
53 % |
52.13 |
6.39 |
0.12 |
12% |
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Samuel : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (7%) |
5 |
71 % |
6.75 |
2.05 |
0.29 |
30% |
Light Heavy |
7 (7%) |
5 |
71 % |
11.05 |
0.60 |
0.09 |
5% |
Middleweight |
16 (17%) |
8 |
50 % |
18.25 |
4.02 |
0.25 |
22% |
Welterweight |
13 (14%) |
8 |
62 % |
14.60 |
3.07 |
0.24 |
21% |
Lightweight |
12 (13%) |
4 |
33 % |
13.10 |
-3.92 |
-0.33 |
-30% |
Featherweight |
9 (10%) |
7 |
78 % |
10.05 |
5.53 |
0.61 |
55% |
Bantamweight |
9 (10%) |
3 |
33 % |
15.90 |
-6.30 |
-0.70 |
-40% |
Flyweight |
7 (7%) |
4 |
57 % |
11.88 |
-3.98 |
-0.57 |
-34% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
14 (15%) |
4 |
29 % |
14.85 |
-4.75 |
-0.34 |
-32% |
Bantamweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.00 |
-3.32 |
-0.83 |
-66% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
|
0 % |
2.85 |
-2.85 |
-0.71 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
7.00 |
1.42 |
0.24 |
20% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
38 (75%) |
25 |
66 % |
Slight Favorites |
13 (25%) |
9 |
69 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
51 |
34 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
9 (14%) |
6 |
67 % |
50-65% |
21 (33%) |
11 |
52 % |
35-50% |
19 (30%) |
9 |
47 % |
<35% chance |
15 (23%) |
2 |
13 % |
|
64 |
28 |
44 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Samuel 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.15% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Samuel : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Andre Petroski |
Jacob Malkoun |
2.95 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (0:39) |
No |
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|
2. |
Jul '23 |
Tony Ferguson |
Bobby Green |
4.00 |
0.25 |
Sub, R3 (4:54) |
No |
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|
3. |
Jul '23 |
Dustin Poirier |
Justin Gaethje |
1.70 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (1:0) |
No |
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4. |
Jul '23 |
Claudio Ribeiro |
Roman Kopylov |
3.10 |
0.55 |
TKO, R2 (0:33) |
No |
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5. |
Jul '23 |
Yanal Ashmoz |
Chris Duncan (2) |
2.25 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jul '23 |
Holly Holm |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
1.55 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (0:38) |
No |
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|
7. |
Jul '23 |
Melissa Gatto |
Ariane Lipski |
1.44 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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|
8. |
Jul '23 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Grant Dawson |
1.87 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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9. |
Jun '23 |
Jarrah Al-Silawi |
Solomon Renfro |
2.10 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:44) |
No |
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10. |
Jun '23 |
Phil Rowe |
Neil Magny |
2.40 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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11. |
Jun '23 |
Irene Aldana |
Amanda Nunes |
3.80 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
Yes |
|
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12. |
Jun '23 |
Taylor Johnson |
Andrew Sanchez |
2.25 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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13. |
Jun '23 |
Taylor Johnson |
Andrew Sanchez |
2.13 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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14. |
May '23 |
Gabriel Green |
Bryan Battle |
1.68 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:14) |
No |
|
|
15. |
May '23 |
Phil Hawes |
Ikram Aliskerov |
2.65 |
0.35 |
TKO, R1 (2:10) |
No |
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16. |
May '23 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Virna Jandiroba |
1.69 |
1.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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17. |
May '23 |
Henry Cejudo |
Aljamain Sterling |
1.87 |
3 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
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18. |
Apr '23 |
Charles Johnson |
Cody Durden |
1.69 |
1.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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19. |
Apr '23 |
Tanner Boser |
Ion Cutelaba |
2.05 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:5) |
No |
|
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20. |
Apr '23 |
Piera Rodriguez |
Gillian Robertson |
2.02 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:21) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Samuel : Progress Chart |
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