MMA Handicapper Stats: Chalk Talk MMA |
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Chalk Talk MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 25 (50%) Losing Events: 25 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 14.46 units Most Staked On One Event: 41.00 units Best Event: 21.85 units Worst Event: -15.54 units Average Event: 0.49 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 25.99 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -22.20 |
Chalk Talk MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
251.37 |
16.9 |
7% |
36.2 / 176.97 (20%) |
|
1.7 / 47 (4%) |
10 / 7 (59%) |
0.99 |
2023 |
471.69 |
7.5 |
2% |
16.8 / 281.21 (6%) |
|
-1.1 / 97.1 (-1%) |
15 / 18 (45%) |
0.23 |
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Chalk Talk MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Chalk Talk MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
705.86 |
20.4 |
3% |
53.5 / 449.98 (12%) |
-29.5 / 117.78 (-25%) |
-3.6 / 138.1 (-3%) |
PFL |
6 |
4.2 |
70% |
|
|
4.2 / 6 (70%) |
Other |
11.2 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
-0.5 / 8.2 (-7%) |
0.3 / 3 (9%) |
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Chalk Talk MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
20 (11%) |
11 |
55 % |
73.50 |
-10.36 |
-0.52 |
-14% |
Slight Favorites |
65 (34%) |
34 |
52 % |
187.76 |
7.93 |
0.12 |
4% |
Slight Underdogs |
67 (35%) |
35 |
52 % |
145.54 |
72.72 |
1.09 |
50% |
Big Underdogs |
37 (20%) |
6 |
16 % |
51.38 |
-17.33 |
-0.47 |
-34% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
29 (15%) |
13 |
45 % |
123.84 |
23.21 |
0.80 |
19% |
Co-Main Event |
26 (14%) |
13 |
50 % |
72.78 |
12.18 |
0.47 |
17% |
Position 3-5 |
58 (31%) |
26 |
45 % |
124.36 |
26.53 |
0.46 |
21% |
6+ (Undercard) |
76 (40%) |
34 |
45 % |
137.20 |
-8.96 |
-0.12 |
-7% |
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Chalk Talk MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
19 (10%) |
7 |
37 % |
51.93 |
-9.92 |
-0.52 |
-19% |
Light Heavy |
13 (7%) |
5 |
38 % |
37.90 |
10.41 |
0.80 |
27% |
Middleweight |
26 (14%) |
8 |
31 % |
49.83 |
-5.33 |
-0.20 |
-11% |
Welterweight |
22 (12%) |
11 |
50 % |
55.20 |
-7.19 |
-0.33 |
-13% |
Lightweight |
26 (14%) |
11 |
42 % |
67.93 |
28.16 |
1.08 |
41% |
Featherweight |
25 (13%) |
14 |
56 % |
54.59 |
17.36 |
0.69 |
32% |
Bantamweight |
20 (11%) |
12 |
60 % |
61.50 |
24.85 |
1.24 |
40% |
Flyweight |
11 (6%) |
6 |
55 % |
30.20 |
-1.44 |
-0.13 |
-5% |
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
27 (14%) |
12 |
44 % |
49.10 |
-3.94 |
-0.15 |
-8% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.30 |
-1.30 |
-1.30 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
8 (4%) |
4 |
50 % |
16.50 |
1.93 |
0.24 |
12% |
Flyweight |
8 (4%) |
4 |
50 % |
14.80 |
-0.44 |
-0.06 |
-3% |
Strawweight |
10 (5%) |
4 |
40 % |
16.50 |
-4.13 |
-0.41 |
-25% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
129 (91%) |
89 |
69 % |
Slight Favorites |
8 (6%) |
8 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
141 |
98 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
10 (14%) |
7 |
70 % |
50-65% |
31 (43%) |
14 |
45 % |
35-50% |
14 (19%) |
3 |
21 % |
<35% chance |
17 (24%) |
3 |
18 % |
|
72 |
27 |
38 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Chalk Talk MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
11.5 |
12.0 |
104% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,120.00 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
11.13 |
-11.1 |
-100% |
|
$11.20 |
$1,120.00 |
$995.34 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
15.3 |
-4.6 |
-30% |
|
$9.95 |
$995.34 |
$949.10 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
12.75 |
-5.5 |
-43% |
|
$9.49 |
$949.10 |
$896.90 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
20.07 |
-0.9 |
-5% |
|
$8.97 |
$896.90 |
$888.58 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
17.5 |
10.3 |
59% |
|
$8.89 |
$888.58 |
$979.97 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
6 |
2.9 |
48% |
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$9.80 |
$979.97 |
$1,008.39 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
9.6 |
0.6 |
6% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,008.39 |
$1,014.03 |
5th May |
One Fight Night 10 |
5 |
2.7 |
53% |
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$10.14 |
$1,014.03 |
$1,040.90 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
15.4 |
8.1 |
53% |
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$10.41 |
$1,040.90 |
$1,125.72 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
12 |
-1.0 |
-8% |
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$11.26 |
$1,125.72 |
$1,114.68 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
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$11.15 |
$1,114.68 |
$1,081.24 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
17 |
2.8 |
16% |
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$10.81 |
$1,081.24 |
$1,111.14 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
9.5 |
-1.6 |
-17% |
|
$11.11 |
$1,111.14 |
$1,092.92 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.93 |
$1,092.92 |
$1,071.06 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
10.7 |
-7.2 |
-67% |
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$10.71 |
$1,071.06 |
$993.94 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
18.5 |
2.3 |
12% |
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$9.94 |
$993.94 |
$1,016.40 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
9.2 |
-4.9 |
-53% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,016.40 |
$966.78 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
16.7 |
-5.3 |
-32% |
|
$9.67 |
$966.78 |
$915.89 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
25.2 |
12.2 |
48% |
$5 |
$9.16 |
$915.89 |
$1,022.41 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
14.4 |
-4.6 |
-32% |
$5 |
$10.22 |
$1,022.41 |
$970.57 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
$5 |
$9.71 |
$970.57 |
$989.83 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
19.76 |
8.5 |
43% |
$5 |
$9.90 |
$989.83 |
$1,069.09 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
15 |
-1.2 |
-8% |
$5 |
$10.69 |
$1,069.09 |
$1,051.15 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
8.68 |
2.9 |
34% |
$5 |
$10.51 |
$1,051.15 |
$1,077.05 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
18.8 |
-15.5 |
-83% |
$5 |
$10.77 |
$1,077.05 |
$904.67 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
6.2 |
-2.9 |
-47% |
|
$9.05 |
$904.67 |
$878.26 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
17.8 |
-1.9 |
-11% |
$5 |
$8.78 |
$878.26 |
$856.50 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
18.5 |
10.7 |
58% |
$5 |
$8.57 |
$856.50 |
$943.27 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
41 |
15.3 |
37% |
$5 |
$9.43 |
$943.27 |
$1,082.32 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
22.5 |
-0.9 |
-4% |
$5 |
$10.82 |
$1,082.32 |
$1,067.96 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
12 |
3.3 |
28% |
$5 |
$10.68 |
$1,067.96 |
$1,098.52 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
24 |
-15.4 |
-64% |
$5 |
$10.99 |
$1,098.52 |
$924.73 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
7.4 |
4.4 |
60% |
$5 |
$9.25 |
$924.73 |
$960.47 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
34.15 |
-3.2 |
-9% |
$5 |
$9.60 |
$960.47 |
$924.32 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$9.24 |
$924.32 |
$799.16 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$7.99 |
$799.16 |
$762.20 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
21.47 |
1.6 |
8% |
$5 |
$7.62 |
$762.20 |
$769.76 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
4 |
2.1 |
53% |
$5 |
$7.70 |
$769.76 |
$780.92 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
12.5 |
1.6 |
13% |
$5 |
$7.81 |
$780.92 |
$788.51 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
13.5 |
4.7 |
35% |
$5 |
$7.89 |
$788.51 |
$820.25 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
39.05 |
7.7 |
20% |
$5 |
$8.20 |
$820.25 |
$878.24 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
16.4 |
-7.7 |
-47% |
$5 |
$8.78 |
$878.24 |
$805.57 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
9.5 |
-2.5 |
-27% |
$5 |
$8.06 |
$805.57 |
$780.19 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
10 |
0.1 |
1% |
$5 |
$7.80 |
$780.19 |
$776.08 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
7.5 |
-5.4 |
-71% |
$5 |
$7.76 |
$776.08 |
$729.56 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
39.4 |
21.8 |
55% |
$5 |
$7.30 |
$729.56 |
$883.95 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
2 |
2.1 |
104% |
$5 |
$8.84 |
$883.95 |
$897.35 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
5 |
-1.0 |
-20% |
$5 |
$8.97 |
$897.35 |
$883.38 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
12.5 |
7.6 |
60% |
$5 |
$8.83 |
$883.38 |
$945.16 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.48% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Chalk Talk MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Chalk Talk MMA: Progress Chart |
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