MMA Handicapper Stats: Flaming Bets |
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Flaming Bets: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
22nd Mar '24 |
Bellator Champions Series |
33.23 |
-8.3 |
-25% |
-2.3 / 4.85 (-47%) |
-7.0 / 27.25 (-26%) |
1.0 / 1.13 (89%) |
16th Mar '24 |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
43.76 |
-7.9 |
-18% |
-8.1 / 10.65 (-76%) |
3.6 / 26.85 (14%) |
-3.5 / 6.26 (-55%) |
16th Mar '24 |
Cage Warriors 168 |
8.83 |
-4.0 |
-46% |
-0.8 / 5.6 (-14%) |
|
-3.2 / 3.23 (-100%) |
16th Mar '24 |
KSW 92 |
7.55 |
-3.2 |
-42% |
-4.2 / 4.15 (-100%) |
|
1.0 / 3.4 (29%) |
15th Mar '24 |
Cage Warriors 167 |
4.02 |
-1.3 |
-32% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
-0.3 / 3.02 (-9%) |
9th Mar '24 |
UFC 299 |
33.23 |
6.4 |
19% |
0.7 / 7.26 (10%) |
5.5 / 19.15 (29%) |
0.1 / 6.82 (2%) |
9th Mar '24 |
ACA 172 |
3.68 |
-1.0 |
-27% |
-1.0 / 3.68 (-27%) |
|
|
9th Mar '24 |
LFA 178 |
6.96 |
3.5 |
51% |
3.5 / 6.96 (51%) |
|
|
8th Mar '24 |
One Fight Night 20 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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|
8th Mar '24 |
Ares FC 19 |
2.73 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
-0.0 / 2.73 (-0%) |
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Winning Events: 2 (20%) Losing Events: 8 (80%)
Average Staked Per Event: 14.50 units Most Staked On One Event: 43.76 units Best Event: 6.43 units Worst Event: -8.29 units Average Event: -1.67 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 6.43 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -24.71 |
Flaming Bets: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
144.99 |
-16.7 |
-12% |
-14.1 / 47.88 (-29%) |
|
-4.8 / 23.86 (-20%) |
2 / 8 (20%) |
-1.67 |
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Flaming Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Flaming Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
76.99 |
-1.5 |
-2% |
-7.4 / 17.91 (-41%) |
9.2 / 46 (20%) |
-3.3 / 13.08 (-25%) |
Bellator |
33.23 |
-8.3 |
-25% |
-2.3 / 4.85 (-47%) |
-7.0 / 27.25 (-26%) |
1.0 / 1.13 (89%) |
Other |
34.77 |
-6.9 |
-20% |
-4.4 / 25.12 (-18%) |
|
-2.5 / 9.65 (-26%) |
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Flaming Bets: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.95 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
51% |
Slight Favorites |
26 (74%) |
11 |
42 % |
37.93 |
-9.68 |
-0.37 |
-26% |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (20%) |
1 |
14 % |
7.00 |
-4.40 |
-0.63 |
-63% |
Big Underdogs |
1 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
3 (9%) |
0 |
0 % |
3.21 |
-3.21 |
-1.07 |
-100% |
Co-Main Event |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.60 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0% |
Position 3-5 |
13 (37%) |
5 |
38 % |
17.64 |
-4.55 |
-0.35 |
-26% |
6+ (Undercard) |
17 (49%) |
7 |
41 % |
24.43 |
-6.32 |
-0.37 |
-26% |
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Flaming Bets: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (6%) |
|
0 % |
2.22 |
-2.22 |
-1.11 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.86 |
-0.15 |
-0.08 |
-5% |
Middleweight |
5 (14%) |
3 |
60 % |
7.10 |
0.20 |
0.04 |
3% |
Welterweight |
9 (26%) |
5 |
56 % |
11.76 |
1.35 |
0.15 |
11% |
Lightweight |
2 (6%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.75 |
-0.15 |
-0.07 |
-5% |
Featherweight |
3 (9%) |
|
0 % |
4.55 |
-4.55 |
-1.52 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
5 (14%) |
|
0 % |
6.78 |
-6.78 |
-1.36 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
3 (9%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.13 |
1.00 |
0.33 |
24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
4 (11%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.73 |
-2.78 |
-0.70 |
-49% |
Featherweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
1.48 |
-1.48 |
-1.48 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.95 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
51% |
Strawweight |
2 (6%) |
|
0 % |
2.30 |
-2.30 |
-1.15 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
30 (100%) |
21 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
30 |
21 |
70 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
14 (19%) |
9 |
64 % |
50-65% |
15 (20%) |
9 |
60 % |
35-50% |
18 (24%) |
8 |
44 % |
<35% chance |
28 (37%) |
7 |
25 % |
|
75 |
33 |
44 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Flaming Bets's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
8th Mar |
Ares FC 19 |
2.73 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,000.00 |
8th Mar |
One Fight Night 20 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$990.00 |
9th Mar |
LFA 178 |
6.96 |
3.5 |
51% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.00 |
$1,025.14 |
9th Mar |
ACA 172 |
3.68 |
-1.0 |
-27% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,025.14 |
$1,014.89 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
33.23 |
6.4 |
19% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.89 |
$1,080.17 |
15th Mar |
Cage Warriors 167 |
4.02 |
-1.3 |
-32% |
|
$10.80 |
$1,080.17 |
$1,066.28 |
16th Mar |
KSW 92 |
7.55 |
-3.2 |
-42% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.28 |
$1,032.39 |
16th Mar |
Cage Warriors 168 |
8.83 |
-4.0 |
-46% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,032.39 |
$990.78 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
43.76 |
-7.9 |
-18% |
|
$9.91 |
$990.78 |
$912.28 |
22nd Mar |
Bellator Champions Series |
33.23 |
-8.3 |
-25% |
|
$9.12 |
$912.28 |
$836.64 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.34% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Flaming Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Jeremy Kennedy |
Patricio Freire |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:7) |
Yes |
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|
2. |
Mar '24 |
Tim Wilde |
Manoel Sousa |
1.87 |
1.15 |
TKO, R1 (4:48) |
Yes |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Grant Neal |
Luke Trainer |
1.87 |
1.15 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Roberto Hernandez |
Liam Gittins |
1.91 |
1.1 |
Sub, R5 (1:48) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Kamil Szkaradek |
Miljan Zdravkovic |
1.74 |
1.35 |
TKO, R2 (1:33) |
No |
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|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Marius Zaromskis |
Maciej Jewtuszko |
2.30 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Damian Mieczkowski |
David Hosek |
1.56 |
1.8 |
TKO, R1 (0:44) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Charalampos Grigoriou |
Chad Anheliger |
1.63 |
1.58 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Cory McKenna |
Jaqueline Amorim |
1.77 |
1.3 |
Sub, R1 (1:38) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Joshua Culibao |
Danny Silva |
1.54 |
1.85 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Josiane Nunes |
Chelsea Chandler |
1.68 |
1.48 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Isaac Dulgarian |
Christian Rodriguez |
1.59 |
1.7 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Marcin Tybura |
1.83 |
1.21 |
Sub, R1 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Sam Kelly |
Alessandro Giordano |
1.59 |
1.7 |
TKO, R3 (4:17) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Davide Scarano |
Connor Wilson |
2.65 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Jihin Radzuan |
Chihiro Sawada |
2.20 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Hussain Bakhsh Safari |
Stav Koren |
1.95 |
1.05 |
TKO, R1 (2:27) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
John Caseneuil |
Gaetan Dambo |
2.90 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:20) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '24 |
Edil Esengulov |
Abubakar Vagaev |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Mar '24 |
Anatoliy Boyko |
Chersi Dudaev |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Flaming Bets: Progress Chart |
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