MMA Handicapper Stats: mike stembridge |
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mike stembridge: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
16 |
3.4 |
21% |
1.9 / 9 (21%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
3.4 / 5 (69%) |
25th Sep '21 |
UFC 266 |
30 |
3.2 |
11% |
3.2 / 30 (11%) |
|
|
28th Aug '21 |
UFC FN |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
|
7th Aug '21 |
UFC 265 |
10.5 |
5.3 |
51% |
4.4 / 10 (44%) |
0.9 / 0.5 (175%) |
|
10th Jul '21 |
UFC 264 |
24 |
6.8 |
29% |
6.8 / 24 (29%) |
|
|
15th May '21 |
UFC 262 |
9 |
-4.7 |
-52% |
-4.7 / 9 (-52%) |
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8th Nov '20 |
UFC Vegas 13 |
9 |
-2.2 |
-25% |
0.8 / 6 (13%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
26th Sep '20 |
UFC 253 |
15 |
-8.3 |
-55% |
-5.3 / 12 (-44%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
19th Sep '20 |
UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley |
6 |
3.3 |
55% |
3.3 / 6 (55%) |
|
|
12th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 184 |
8 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
2.9 / 5 (57%) |
5th Sep '20 |
UFC Fight Night 183 |
10 |
4.2 |
42% |
1.3 / 7 (18%) |
1.3 / 1 (130%) |
1.6 / 2 (82%) |
29th Aug '20 |
UFC Fight Night 182 |
6.5 |
-2.7 |
-41% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
1.8 / 2 (91%) |
15th Aug '20 |
UFC 252 |
11 |
-6.0 |
-54% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
1.0 / 4 (26%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
8th Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 6 |
5 |
2.5 |
51% |
2.5 / 5 (51%) |
|
|
1st Aug '20 |
UFC Vegas 5 |
9 |
-5.9 |
-66% |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
1.1 / 2 (54%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
Winning Events: 7 (47%) Losing Events: 8 (53%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.47 units Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units Best Event: 6.85 units Worst Event: -8.28 units Average Event: -0.28 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 12.17 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -15.24 |
mike stembridge: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
92.5 |
11.0 |
12% |
8.7 / 85 (10%) |
-1.1 / 2.5 (-45%) |
3.4 / 5 (69%) |
4 / 2 (67%) |
1.84 |
2020 |
79.5 |
-15.2 |
-19% |
-9.4 / 48 (-20%) |
-0.1 / 10.5 (-1%) |
-5.7 / 21 (-27%) |
3 / 6 (33%) |
-1.69 |
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mike stembridge: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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mike stembridge: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
172 |
-4.2 |
-2% |
-0.7 / 133 (-1%) |
-1.2 / 13 (-9%) |
-2.3 / 26 (-9%) |
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mike stembridge: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
8 (20%) |
7 |
88 % |
32.00 |
8.31 |
1.04 |
26% |
Slight Favorites |
27 (66%) |
15 |
56 % |
90.00 |
-0.56 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (10%) |
1 |
25 % |
9.00 |
-6.48 |
-1.62 |
-72% |
Big Underdogs |
2 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
6 (15%) |
3 |
50 % |
28.00 |
0.97 |
0.16 |
3% |
Co-Main Event |
4 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
10.00 |
-10.00 |
-2.50 |
-100% |
Position 3-5 |
12 (29%) |
8 |
67 % |
30.00 |
6.08 |
0.51 |
20% |
6+ (Undercard) |
19 (46%) |
12 |
63 % |
65.00 |
2.23 |
0.12 |
3% |
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mike stembridge: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
2 (5%) |
2 |
100 % |
6.00 |
3.94 |
1.97 |
66% |
Light Heavy |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
-3.00 |
-100% |
Middleweight |
4 (10%) |
1 |
25 % |
12.00 |
-2.65 |
-0.66 |
-22% |
Welterweight |
5 (12%) |
3 |
60 % |
13.00 |
-0.99 |
-0.20 |
-8% |
Lightweight |
11 (27%) |
7 |
64 % |
45.00 |
-0.17 |
-0.02 |
-0% |
Featherweight |
5 (12%) |
3 |
60 % |
22.00 |
3.68 |
0.74 |
17% |
Bantamweight |
4 (10%) |
2 |
50 % |
10.00 |
0.79 |
0.20 |
8% |
Flyweight |
4 (10%) |
2 |
50 % |
10.00 |
-2.86 |
-0.71 |
-29% |
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
5 (12%) |
3 |
60 % |
12.00 |
0.53 |
0.11 |
4% |
Bantamweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.50 |
1.50 |
50% |
Strawweight |
4 (10%) |
2 |
50 % |
9.00 |
-0.97 |
-0.24 |
-11% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
18 (95%) |
13 |
72 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (5%) |
1 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
19 |
14 |
74 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
1 (11%) |
1 |
100 % |
35-50% |
6 (67%) |
2 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
2 (22%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
9 |
3 |
33 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail mike stembridge's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
mike stembridge: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '21 |
Shane Burgos |
Billy Quarantillo |
1.53 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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|
2. |
Nov '21 |
Bobby Green |
Al Iaquinta |
1.57 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:25) |
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|
3. |
Sep '21 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Brian Ortega |
1.54 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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4. |
Sep '21 |
Robbie Lawler |
Nick Diaz |
1.87 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:44) |
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5. |
Sep '21 |
Daniel Hooker |
Nasrat Haqparast |
1.69 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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6. |
Aug '21 |
Rafael Fiziev |
Bobby Green |
1.36 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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7. |
Aug '21 |
Miles Johns |
Anderson dos Santos |
1.53 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:16) |
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8. |
Jul '21 |
Jennifer Maia |
Jessica Eye |
1.54 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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9. |
Jul '21 |
Ilia Topuria |
Ryan Hall |
1.44 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
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10. |
Jul '21 |
Dustin Poirier |
Conor McGregor |
1.77 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
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11. |
Jul '21 |
Michel Pereira |
Niko Price |
1.65 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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12. |
Jul '21 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Greg Hardy |
1.74 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:7) |
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13. |
May '21 |
Tucker Lutz |
Kevin Aguilar |
1.77 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
May '21 |
Rogerio Bontorin |
Matt Schnell |
2.52 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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15. |
Nov '20 |
Max Griffin |
Ramiz Brahimaj |
1.77 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:3) |
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16. |
Nov '20 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Claudia Gadelha |
1.61 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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17. |
Sep '20 |
Brad Riddell |
Alex da Silva |
1.34 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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18. |
Sep '20 |
Jessica-Rose Clark |
Sarah Alpar |
1.50 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (4:21) |
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19. |
Sep '20 |
Mackenzie Dern |
Randa Markos |
1.61 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:44) |
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20. |
Sep '20 |
Alistair Overeem |
Augusto Sakai |
1.57 |
3 |
TKO, R5 (0:26) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
mike stembridge: Progress Chart |
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