MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6446
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2394

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA Hits

MMA Hits (dkj827)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	32 (33%)	Right	17 (49%)	Right	9 (30%)	Right	6 (19%)
Wrong	64 (67%)	Wrong	18 (51%)	Wrong	21 (70%)	Wrong	25 (81%)
Avg Odds	2.76	Avg Odds	1.84	Avg Odds	2.98	Avg Odds	5.43
Units Bet	180.1	Units Bet	76.6	Units Bet	45.7	Units Bet	57.8
Avg Bet	1.88	Avg Bet	2.19	Avg Bet	1.52	Avg Bet	1.86
Units Profit	103.23	Units Profit	97.34	Units Profit	-14.85	Units Profit	20.73
ROI %	57%	ROI %	127%	ROI %	-32%	ROI %	36%

MMA Hits: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	10.77	-10.8	-100%	-7.8 / 7.77 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	45.25	15.9	35%	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	27.2 / 34 (80%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	4.5	-1.7	-39%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.2 / 3 (-8%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	13.5	1.0	8%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.0 / 12.5 (16%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	8.8	96.5	1,097%	99.3 / 5.05 (1,966%)	-0.5 / 1.5 (-32%)	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
16th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	3.2	-3.2	-100%	-3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	1.6	1.0	63%	1.0 / 1.6 (63%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	3.14	-1.0	-33%	1.0 / 1.1 (91%)	-0.7 / 0.65 (-100%)	-1.4 / 1.39 (-100%)
24th Jul '21	UFC FN	0.5	-0.5	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Jul '21	UFC FN	7.2	1.6	22%	1.0 / 6.7 (15%)	0.6 / 0.5 (120%)
10th Jun '21	PFL 2021: Week 4	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Mar '21	UFC 259	0.63	0.8	131%	1.0 / 0.47 (210%)	-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)	-0.0 / 0.01 (-100%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	2.25	-2.3	-100%	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	9.04	6.1	67%	4.0 / 5.25 (76%)	2.1 / 3.79 (55%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	34.95	-1.1	-3%	-1.5 / 12.5 (-12%)	0.6 / 22.35 (2%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
29th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 15	4.3	-4.3	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)		-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	11	21.0	191%	21.0 / 11 (191%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	11.3	-11.3	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	4.7	-1.1	-24%	-0.9 / 4.5 (-21%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 8 (40%)
Losing Events: 12 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.01 units
Most Staked On One Event: 45.25 units
Best Event: 96.54 units
Worst Event: -11.30 units
Average Event: 5.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 97.57
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -14.93

MMA Hits: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	10.77	-10.8	-100%	-7.8 / 7.77 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-10.77
2022	79.99	108.5	136%	97.3 / 11.7 (832%)	-14.1 / 15.15 (-93%)	25.3 / 53.14 (48%)	4 / 3 (57%)	15.50
2021	11.58	-1.3	-11%	1.7 / 7.42 (23%)	-0.1 / 1.15 (-4%)	-3.0 / 3.01 (-100%)	2 / 3 (40%)	-0.26
2020	77.79	6.8	9%	6.1 / 49.75 (12%)	1.3 / 27.44 (5%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)	2 / 5 (29%)	0.97

MMA Hits: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA Hits: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	179.13	104.2	58%	97.3 / 76.64 (127%)	-14.8 / 45.74 (-32%)	21.7 / 56.75 (38%)
PFL	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

MMA Hits: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (22%)	6	75 %	28.20	-9.56	-1.20	-34%
Slight Favorites	13 (36%)	6	46 %	16.55	-4.42	-0.34	-27%
Slight Underdogs	9 (25%)	3	33 %	17.52	-9.44	-1.05	-54%
Big Underdogs	6 (17%)	3	50 %	14.37	120.76	20.13	840%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (22%)	4	50 %	26.39	-10.28	-1.28	-39%
Co-Main Event	4 (11%)	1	25 %	13.00	-11.72	-2.93	-90%
Position 3-5	13 (36%)	10	77 %	24.65	124.48	9.58	505%
6+ (Undercard)	11 (31%)	3	27 %	12.60	-5.14	-0.47	-41%

MMA Hits: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (11%)	3	75 %	14.50	-9.32	-2.33	-64%
Light Heavy	4 (11%)	1	25 %	12.74	-11.28	-2.82	-89%
Middleweight	4 (11%)	2	50 %	4.00	0.94	0.23	23%
Welterweight	6 (17%)	4	67 %	9.40	1.25	0.21	13%
Lightweight	4 (11%)	1	25 %	10.20	-2.50	-0.63	-25%
Featherweight	7 (19%)	3	43 %	7.80	97.87	13.98	1,255%
Bantamweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	1.75	-0.47	-0.24	-27%

Women's Fights	5 (14%)	3	60 %	16.25	20.86	4.17	128%
Strawweight	5 (14%)	3	60 %	16.25	20.86	4.17	128%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	77 (48%)	57	74 %
Slight Favorites	45 (28%)	21	47 %
Slight Underdogs	32 (20%)	13	41 %
Big Underdogs	8 (5%)	6	75 %
	162	97	60 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (5%)	1	50 %
50-65%	3 (7%)	1	33 %
35-50%	16 (39%)	8	50 %
<35% chance	20 (49%)	2	10 %
	41	12	29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.41	1.41	1.41	-1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	1.2 (120%)
Goes to Decision	7 (17%)	4	57 %	2.06	2.50	1.83	0.9 (13%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (10%)	3	75 %	1.89	2.20	1.51	1.5 (38%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.91	1.91	1.91	-1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.45	2.45	2.45	1.5 (145%)
X Wins by KO	7 (17%)	1	14 %	2.44	5.50	1.62	-3.5 (-50%)
X Wins by Sub	5 (12%)	1	20 %	3.63	10.50	2.40	-2.6 (-52%)
X Wins by Decision	10 (24%)	1	10 %	3.59	5.00	2.88	-7.1 (-71%)
Others	4 (10%)	0	0 %	12.95	41.00	8.00	-4.0 (-100%)
	41	12	29 %	2.74			-14.2 (-35%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA Hits's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$975.00
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	4.7	-1.1	-24%		$9.75	$975.00	$964.02
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	11.3	-11.3	-100%		$9.64	$964.02	$855.08
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	11	21.0	191%		$8.55	$855.08	$1,034.74
29th Nov	UFC Vegas 15	4.3	-4.3	-100%	$5	$10.35	$1,034.74	$985.25
13th Dec	UFC 256	34.95	-1.1	-3%		$9.85	$985.25	$974.69
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	9.04	6.1	67%		$9.75	$974.69	$1,033.88
16th Jan	UFC FN	2.25	-2.3	-100%		$10.34	$1,033.88	$1,010.61
6th Mar	UFC 259	0.63	0.8	131%		$10.11	$1,010.61	$1,018.97
10th Jun	PFL 2021: Week 4	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.19	$1,018.97	$1,008.78
17th Jul	UFC FN	7.2	1.6	22%		$10.09	$1,008.78	$1,024.92
24th Jul	UFC FN	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.25	$1,024.92	$1,019.80
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	3.14	-1.0	-33%		$10.20	$1,019.80	$1,009.19
9th Apr	UFC 273	1.6	1.0	63%		$10.09	$1,009.19	$1,019.28
16th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II	3.2	-3.2	-100%		$10.19	$1,019.28	$986.67
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	8.8	96.5	1,097%		$9.87	$986.67	$1,939.19
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	13.5	1.0	8%		$19.39	$1,939.19	$1,959.18
10th Dec	UFC 282	4.5	-1.7	-39%		$19.59	$1,959.18	$1,924.98
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	45.25	15.9	35%		$19.25	$1,924.98	$2,232.00
21st Jan	UFC 283	10.77	-10.8	-100%		$22.32	$2,232.00	$1,991.61

ROI % from starting bank balance: 99.16% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA Hits: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '22	Shane Burgos	Charles Jourdain	1.61	1.65	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jul '22	Shane Burgos	Charles Jourdain	61.61	1.65	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '22	Bryan Barberena	Matt Brown	1.91	1.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Apr '22	Mike Malott	Mickey Gall	1.63	1.6	TKO, R1 (3:41)
5.	Jul '21	Islam Makhachev	Thiago Moises	1.15	6.7	Sub, R4 (2:38)
6.	Mar '21	Jan Blachowicz	Israel Adesanya	3.10	0.47	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Dec '20	Marcin Tybura	Greg Hardy	2.02	1	TKO, R2 (4:31)
8.	Dec '20	Michel Pereira	Kalinn Williams	1.91	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Dec '20	Jose Aldo	Marlon Vera	1.70	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Dec '20	Stephen Thompson	Geoff Neal	2.02	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Dec '20	Kevin Holland	Ronaldo Souza	2.02	1	TKO, R1 (1:45)
12.	Dec '20	Chase Hooper	Peter Barrett	1.36	1	Sub, R3 (3:2)
13.	Dec '20	Tecia Torres	Sam Hughes	1.17	3	TKO, R1 (5:0)
14.	Dec '20	Mackenzie Dern	Virna Jandiroba	1.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Dec '20	Ciryl Gane	Junior dos Santos	1.25	2	TKO, R2 (2:34)
16.	Nov '20	Cory McKenna	Kay Hansen	2.91	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Oct '20	Greg Hardy	Maurice Greene	1.31	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:12)
18.	Oct '20	Urijah Hall	Anderson Silva	1.46	2	TKO, R4 (1:24)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '23	Glover Teixeira	Jamahal Hill	2.25	7.77	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Dec '22	Julian Erosa	Alex Caceres	1.59	0.25	TKO, R1 (3:4)	No
3.	Dec '22	Darren Till	Dricus Du Plessis	2.70	0.5	Sub, R3 (2:43)	No
4.	Jul '22	Michelle Waterson	Amanda Lemos	3.75	0.25	Sub, R2 (1:48)	No
5.	Jul '22	Jack Shore	Ricky Simon	1.63	1	Sub, R2 (3:28)	No
6.	Jul '22	Dalcha Lungiambula	Punahele Soriano	3.15	0.5	TKO, R2 (0:28)	No
7.	Apr '22	Vicente Luque	Belal Muhammad	1.63	3.2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Jan '21	Calvin Kattar	Max Holloway	2.41	0.25	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	Dec '20	Alex Morono	Anthony Pettis	2.90	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '20	Renato Moicano	Rafael Fiziev	2.25	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:5)	No
11.	Dec '20	Billy Quarantillo	Gavin Tucker	1.69	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '20	Daniel Pineda	Cub Swanson	1.65	1	TKO, R2 (1:52)	No
13.	Dec '20	Tony Ferguson	Charles Oliveira	1.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Nov '20	Devin Clark	Anthony Smith	2.18	4	Sub, R1 (2:34)	No
15.	Nov '20	Tanner Boser	Andrei Arlovski	1.34	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Oct '20	Bobby Green	Thiago Moises	1.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '20	Ike Villanueva	Jordan Wright	2.07	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:31)	No
18.	Aug '20	Mizuki Inoue	Amanda Lemos	1.87	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA Hits: Progress Chart

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