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MMA Handicapper Stats: Nick Simpkins

Nick Simpkins (nickypimpkins)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Nick Simpkins

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 91 (38%) Right 35 (38%) Right 39 (38%) Right 17 (43%)
Wrong 146 (62%) Wrong 58 (62%) Wrong 65 (63%) Wrong 23 (58%)
Avg Odds 2.68 Avg Odds 2.28 Avg Odds 3.18 Avg Odds 2.71
Units Bet 398.1 Units Bet 202.9 Units Bet 130.4 Units Bet 64.7
Avg Bet 1.68 Avg Bet 2.18 Avg Bet 1.25 Avg Bet 1.62
Units Profit 1.76 Units Profit -24.01 Units Profit 23.62 Units Profit 2.15
ROI % 0% ROI % -12% ROI % 18% ROI % 3%
View Handicapper's Profile

Nick Simpkins: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 3 7.5 250% 7.5 / 3 (250%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 14.96 -10.5 -70% -7.0 / 7 (-100%) 0.5 / 3.96 (13%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 7.54 2.9 38% 1.7 / 4.54 (37%) 1.2 / 3 (40%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 17 -0.3 -2% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) 4.5 / 6.5 (68%) 4.2 / 1.5 (283%)
29th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 4 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 22.02 -2.9 -13% 1.0 / 13.5 (7%) -6.5 / 6.52 (-100%) 2.7 / 2 (133%)
15th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 2 4.6 -4.6 -100% -4.6 / 4.6 (-100%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 30.8 -7.5 -24% -12.4 / 12.4 (-100%) 9.4 / 13.88 (68%) -4.5 / 4.52 (-100%)
29th Jul '23 Cage Warriors 158 3 3.2 105% 3.2 / 3 (105%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 20.02 9.4 47% -0.4 / 10.17 (-4%) 6.2 / 6.21 (101%) 3.6 / 3.64 (98%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 36.51 20.4 56% 13.5 / 14.68 (92%) 11.9 / 16.83 (71%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 18.5 -13.1 -71% -5.6 / 11 (-51%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 15.66 7.4 47% 7.1 / 12.66 (56%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.3 / 2 (64%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 15.14 7.1 47% 6.1 / 11.5 (53%) 1.0 / 3.64 (27%)
3rd Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 11.5 -2.8 -25% -0.3 / 9 (-4%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 23 -2.2 -10% -3.6 / 14.5 (-25%) -4.0 / 6.5 (-62%) 5.4 / 2 (270%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 11.29 -5.9 -52% -0.2 / 3.1 (-6%) -4.8 / 4.75 (-100%) -0.9 / 3.44 (-27%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 22.86 -2.9 -13% -5.8 / 5.75 (-100%) 0.6 / 13.11 (5%) 2.2 / 4 (56%)
25th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 5.25 2.1 40% 1.9 / 3.25 (59%) 1.2 / 1 (120%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 19.29 -5.1 -26% -4.8 / 7.51 (-63%) -1.2 / 8.28 (-15%) 0.9 / 3.5 (26%)
4th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 9.6 -5.5 -57% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.6 / 3.1 (-52%) 0.1 / 2.5 (5%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 13.7 9.4 69% 5.2 / 9.95 (52%) 1.2 / 1.75 (71%) 2.9 / 2 (147%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 7.31 -2.1 -29% -1.6 / 3.81 (-41%) -0.6 / 3.5 (-16%)
10th Dec '22 UFC 282 22.26 -3.2 -14% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) 2.6 / 8.76 (30%) 3.2 / 4.5 (71%)
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 12.99 -4.4 -34% -6.1 / 8.95 (-69%) 1.7 / 1.5 (117%) 0.0 / 2.54 (0%)
25th Nov '22 PFL 2022 #10 4 2.1 53% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.6 / 2 (80%) 1.0 / 1.5 (69%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 23.75 6.4 27% 2.2 / 8.1 (27%) 4.1 / 10.65 (38%) 0.1 / 5 (2%)


Winning Events: 11 (41%)
Losing Events: 16 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.76 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.51 units
Best Event: 20.42 units
Worst Event: -13.14 units
Average Event: 0.07 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 32.99
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -18.30

Nick Simpkins: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 335.55 0.9 0% -10.5 / 176.32 (-6%) -2.2 / 51.2 (-4%) 9 / 14 (39%) 0.04
2022 63 0.9 1% -13.5 / 26.55 (-51%) 4.3 / 13.54 (32%) 2 / 2 (50%) 0.23

Nick Simpkins: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Nick Simpkins: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 383.95 4.1 1% -23.7 / 196.37 (-12%) 22.0 / 128.94 (17%) 5.7 / 58.64 (10%)
PFL 4 2.1 53% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.6 / 2 (80%) 1.0 / 1.5 (69%)
Other 10.6 -4.4 -42% 0.2 / 6 (3%) -4.6 / 4.6 (-100%)

Nick Simpkins: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (3%) 0 0 % 8.10 -8.10 -2.70 -100%
Slight Favorites 26 (27%) 12 46 % 60.27 -15.75 -0.61 -26%
Slight Underdogs 43 (45%) 17 40 % 94.75 -11.61 -0.27 -12%
Big Underdogs 24 (25%) 7 29 % 39.75 11.45 0.48 29%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (13%) 4 33 % 32.61 -6.06 -0.50 -19%
Co-Main Event 9 (9%) 5 56 % 19.75 8.06 0.90 41%
Position 3-5 18 (19%) 6 33 % 42.54 -6.51 -0.36 -15%
6+ (Undercard) 57 (59%) 21 37 % 107.97 -19.50 -0.34 -18%

Nick Simpkins: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (6%) 0 % 9.58 -9.58 -1.60 -100%
Light Heavy 8 (8%) 4 50 % 16.18 -0.92 -0.11 -6%
Middleweight 13 (14%) 5 38 % 25.60 3.94 0.30 15%
Welterweight 11 (11%) 2 18 % 22.85 -18.00 -1.64 -79%
Lightweight 12 (13%) 7 58 % 30.81 13.29 1.11 43%
Featherweight 11 (11%) 3 27 % 23.01 -13.81 -1.26 -60%
Bantamweight 9 (9%) 5 56 % 17.55 8.84 0.98 50%
Flyweight 11 (11%) 5 45 % 27.99 0.22 0.02 1%
               
Women's Fights 15 (16%) 5 33 % 29.30 -7.99 -0.53 -27%
Flyweight 7 (7%) 3 43 % 12.25 -1.64 -0.23 -13%
Strawweight 8 (8%) 2 25 % 17.05 -6.35 -0.79 -37%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 41 (66%) 27 66 %
Slight Favorites 17 (27%) 10 59 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (6%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
62 37 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 23 (16%) 20 87 %
50-65% 33 (23%) 21 64 %
35-50% 22 (15%) 12 55 %
<35% chance 67 (46%) 11 16 %
145 64 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (4%) 6 100 % 1.72 2.15Pick was correct 1.56Pick was correct 4.4 (74%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 30 (21%) 21 70 % 1.72 2.70Pick was correct 1.18Pick was correct 7.4 (25%)
Goes to Decision 2 (1%) 1 50 % 1.92 2.68Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was correct -0.5 (-25%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.30 1.30Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 0.3 (30%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 4 (3%) 3 75 % 1.40 1.67Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was incorrect -0.0 (-0%)
X Wins by KO 12 (8%) 5 42 % 3.26 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct 3.7 (31%)
X Wins by Sub 25 (17%) 2 8 % 6.78 21.00Pick was incorrect 3.10Pick was correct -16.8 (-67%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (1%) 1 50 % 3.67 10.00Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was correct 0.3 (13%)
X Wins Inside Distance 32 (22%) 15 47 % 2.29 6.50Pick was correct 1.18Pick was correct 8.8 (27%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (3%) 2 40 % 3.00 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -2.2 (-44%)
Others 26 (18%) 7 27 % 3.39 30.00Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -10.7 (-41%)
145 64 44 % 2.55     -5.3 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Nick Simpkins's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th Nov UFC 281 23.75 6.4 27% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,063.78
25th Nov PFL 2022 #10 4 2.1 53% $10.64 $1,063.78 $1,086.42
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 12.99 -4.4 -34% $10.86 $1,086.42 $1,038.70
10th Dec UFC 282 22.26 -3.2 -14% $10.39 $1,038.70 $1,005.36
14th Jan UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 7.31 -2.1 -29% $10.05 $1,005.36 $983.95
21st Jan UFC 283 13.7 9.4 69% $9.84 $983.95 $1,076.42
4th Feb UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 9.6 -5.5 -57% $10.76 $1,076.42 $1,017.40
11th Feb UFC 284 19.29 -5.1 -26% $10.17 $1,017.40 $965.49
25th Feb UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 5.25 2.1 40% $9.65 $965.49 $985.89
4th Mar UFC 285 22.86 -2.9 -13% $9.86 $985.89 $957.16
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 11.29 -5.9 -52% $9.57 $957.16 $900.74
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 23 -2.2 -10% $9.01 $900.74 $880.63
3rd Jun UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 11.5 -2.8 -25% $8.81 $880.63 $855.53
10th Jun UFC 289 15.14 7.1 47% $8.56 $855.53 $916.27
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 15.66 7.4 47% $9.16 $916.27 $984.12
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 18.5 -13.1 -71% $9.84 $984.12 $854.81
8th Jul UFC 290 36.51 20.4 56% $8.55 $854.81 $1,029.36
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 20.02 9.4 47% $10.29 $1,029.36 $1,126.32
29th Jul Cage Warriors 158 3 3.2 105% $11.26 $1,126.32 $1,161.80
29th Jul UFC 291 30.8 -7.5 -24% $11.62 $1,161.80 $1,074.66
15th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 2 4.6 -4.6 -100% $10.75 $1,074.66 $1,025.23
19th Aug UFC 292 22.02 -2.9 -13% $10.25 $1,025.23 $995.46
29th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 4 3 -3.0 -100% $9.95 $995.46 $965.60
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 17 -0.3 -2% $9.66 $965.60 $962.69
9th Sep UFC 293 7.54 2.9 38% $9.63 $962.69 $990.61
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 14.96 -10.5 -70% $9.91 $990.61 $886.60
21st Oct UFC 294 3 7.5 250% $8.87 $886.60 $953.09


ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Nick Simpkins: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '23 Mike Breeden Anshul Jubli 3.50 3 TKO, R3 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '23 Jose Mariscal Jack Jenkins 2.80 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '23 Tyson Pedro Anton Turkalj 1.96 1.04 TKO, R1 (2:12) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '23 Kurt Holobaugh Austin Hubbard 2.50 2 Sub, R2 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '23 Sean O'Malley Aljamain Sterling 3.15 3 TKO, R2 (0:51) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '23 Shaj Haque Michele Martignoni 2.05 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '23 Daniel Marcos Davey Grant 1.71 2.8 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '23 Chris Duncan (2) Yanal Ashmoz 1.68 2.96 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '23 Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Moreno 2.75 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '23 Dricus Du Plessis Robert Whittaker 3.85 3 TKO, R2 (2:23) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '23 Denise Gomes Yazmin Jauregui 4.20 2 TKO, R1 (0:20) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '23 Maycee Barber Amanda Ribas 2.68 2 TKO, R2 (3:42) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '23 Kyung Ho Kang Christian Quinonez 2.30 2 Sub, R1 (2:25) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '23 Jared Cannonier Marvin Vettori 2.05 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '23 Armen Petrosyan Christian Duncan 2.26 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '23 Charles Oliveira Beneil Dariush 2.30 4 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '23 Jasmine Jasudavicius Miranda Maverick 3.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '23 Steve Erceg David Dvorak 3.50 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '23 Tim Elliott Victor Altamirano 1.57 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '23 Philipe Lins Maxim Grishin 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '23 Jasmine Jasudavicius Tracy Cortez 2.05 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '23 Josh Fremd Roman Kopylov 3.60 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '23 Kevin Holland Jack Della Maddalena 2.14 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '23 Austen Lane Justin Tafa 2.76 2 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '23 Rhys McKee Ange Loosa 2.42 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '23 Caolan Loughran Taylor Lapilus 2.48 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '23 Yanis Ghemmouri William Gomis 2.72 3 TKO, R3 (2:20) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '23 Mateo Vogel Timothy Cuamba 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '23 Maryna Moroz Karine Silva 2.20 3 Sub, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '23 Andrea Lee Natalia Cristina da Silva 3.70 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '23 Gerald Meerschaert Andre Petroski 3.05 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '23 Amanda Lemos Weili Zhang 3.70 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '23 Claudio Ribeiro Roman Kopylov 2.72 1 TKO, R2 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '23 Michael Chiesa Kevin Holland 2.22 3.5 Sub, R1 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '23 Dustin Poirier Justin Gaethje 1.69 2.9 TKO, R2 (1:0) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '23 Claudio Ribeiro Roman Kopylov 2.96 3 TKO, R2 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '23 Vinicius Salvador Carlos Vergara 2.34 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '23 Jamal Pogues Michael Parkin 1.65 2.33 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '23 Daniel Barez Jafel Filho 1.96 2.08 Sub, R1 (3:26) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '23 Jim Crute Alonzo Menifield 1.75 2.68 Sub, R2 (1:55) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Nick Simpkins: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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