|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Knockout Bets |
|
Knockout Bets: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 48 (56%) Losing Events: 38 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.70 units Most Staked On One Event: 19.40 units Best Event: 7.13 units Worst Event: -8.00 units Average Event: 0.28 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 17.47 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -14.85 |
Knockout Bets: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
94.2 |
7.6 |
8% |
10.6 / 64.3 (16%) |
|
-2.6 / 5 (-52%) |
9 / 6 (60%) |
0.50 |
2023 |
334.85 |
-0.3 |
-0% |
0.9 / 206.05 (0%) |
|
4.6 / 40.55 (11%) |
25 / 22 (53%) |
-0.01 |
2022 |
233.27 |
17.2 |
7% |
2.4 / 75.02 (3%) |
|
-3.0 / 42.55 (-7%) |
14 / 10 (58%) |
0.72 |
|
Knockout Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Knockout Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
639.27 |
29.0 |
5% |
13.7 / 329.37 (4%) |
13.9 / 224.3 (6%) |
1.5 / 85.6 (2%) |
Bellator |
3 |
1.8 |
59% |
1.8 / 3 (59%) |
|
|
PFL |
15.05 |
-3.4 |
-23% |
-0.9 / 10.4 (-9%) |
-2.0 / 4.15 (-48%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
Other |
5 |
-2.9 |
-59% |
-0.5 / 2.6 (-21%) |
-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
Knockout Bets: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
19 (8%) |
12 |
63 % |
67.72 |
-5.80 |
-0.31 |
-9% |
Slight Favorites |
95 (38%) |
53 |
56 % |
167.00 |
3.83 |
0.04 |
2% |
Slight Underdogs |
99 (39%) |
52 |
53 % |
89.35 |
19.51 |
0.20 |
22% |
Big Underdogs |
38 (15%) |
8 |
21 % |
21.30 |
-3.59 |
-0.09 |
-17% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
20 (8%) |
14 |
70 % |
43.15 |
19.20 |
0.96 |
44% |
Co-Main Event |
34 (14%) |
20 |
59 % |
53.95 |
1.25 |
0.04 |
2% |
Position 3-5 |
72 (29%) |
32 |
44 % |
90.35 |
1.48 |
0.02 |
2% |
6+ (Undercard) |
125 (50%) |
59 |
47 % |
157.92 |
-7.99 |
-0.06 |
-5% |
|
Knockout Bets: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
20 (8%) |
9 |
45 % |
25.80 |
3.57 |
0.18 |
14% |
Light Heavy |
19 (8%) |
7 |
37 % |
23.30 |
-6.04 |
-0.32 |
-26% |
Middleweight |
25 (10%) |
13 |
52 % |
31.57 |
7.76 |
0.31 |
25% |
Welterweight |
30 (12%) |
19 |
63 % |
44.55 |
8.63 |
0.29 |
19% |
Lightweight |
43 (17%) |
20 |
47 % |
53.95 |
8.06 |
0.19 |
15% |
Featherweight |
41 (16%) |
18 |
44 % |
58.45 |
-4.12 |
-0.10 |
-7% |
Bantamweight |
23 (9%) |
15 |
65 % |
34.00 |
7.91 |
0.34 |
23% |
Flyweight |
19 (8%) |
10 |
53 % |
29.85 |
-3.22 |
-0.17 |
-11% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
31 (12%) |
14 |
45 % |
43.90 |
-8.60 |
-0.28 |
-20% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
2 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.35 |
1.17 |
117% |
Bantamweight |
6 (2%) |
2 |
33 % |
7.70 |
-3.55 |
-0.59 |
-46% |
Flyweight |
11 (4%) |
5 |
45 % |
15.40 |
-4.22 |
-0.38 |
-27% |
Strawweight |
12 (5%) |
5 |
42 % |
18.80 |
-3.18 |
-0.26 |
-17% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
69 (86%) |
58 |
84 % |
Slight Favorites |
11 (14%) |
8 |
73 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
80 |
66 |
83 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
123 (26%) |
89 |
72 % |
50-65% |
84 (18%) |
45 |
54 % |
35-50% |
75 (16%) |
29 |
39 % |
<35% chance |
185 (40%) |
31 |
17 % |
|
467 |
194 |
42 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Knockout Bets's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
21st May |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira |
13 |
1.8 |
14% |
$10 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,008.37 |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
10.95 |
0.5 |
5% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,008.37 |
$1,013.90 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
14.35 |
1.9 |
13% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,013.90 |
$1,032.76 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
10.25 |
6.8 |
67% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,032.76 |
$1,103.35 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
16.35 |
2.8 |
17% |
|
$11.03 |
$1,103.35 |
$1,133.97 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
13.95 |
3.6 |
26% |
|
$11.34 |
$1,133.97 |
$1,174.94 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
13.3 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$11.75 |
$1,174.94 |
$1,172.00 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
19.4 |
-7.1 |
-37% |
|
$11.72 |
$1,172.00 |
$1,088.79 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
7 |
-2.9 |
-42% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,088.79 |
$1,056.69 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
11.95 |
-4.5 |
-38% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,056.69 |
$1,008.61 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
6.7 |
4.6 |
69% |
|
$10.09 |
$1,008.61 |
$1,055.50 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
6.9 |
-5.9 |
-86% |
|
$10.56 |
$1,055.50 |
$993.23 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
3 |
-1.7 |
-57% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.23 |
$976.25 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
6.65 |
1.7 |
25% |
|
$9.76 |
$976.25 |
$992.69 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
6.9 |
-0.7 |
-11% |
|
$9.93 |
$992.69 |
$985.27 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
8.5 |
4.0 |
47% |
|
$9.85 |
$985.27 |
$1,024.29 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
15.05 |
-0.6 |
-4% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.29 |
$1,017.91 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
7 |
2.3 |
33% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,017.91 |
$1,041.73 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
4.05 |
3.4 |
83% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,041.73 |
$1,076.66 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
14.22 |
3.0 |
21% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.66 |
$1,109.31 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.09 |
$1,109.31 |
$1,098.22 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
12 |
0.7 |
6% |
|
$10.98 |
$1,098.22 |
$1,106.28 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
6.4 |
5.3 |
82% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,106.28 |
$1,164.61 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
4.4 |
-0.5 |
-11% |
|
$11.65 |
$1,164.61 |
$1,159.19 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
7.85 |
-6.1 |
-77% |
|
$11.59 |
$1,159.19 |
$1,089.06 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
11.7 |
2.6 |
22% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,089.06 |
$1,117.63 |
4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
3 |
1.8 |
59% |
|
$11.18 |
$1,117.63 |
$1,137.47 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
10.8 |
2.3 |
21% |
|
$11.37 |
$1,137.47 |
$1,163.09 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
9.05 |
-1.8 |
-20% |
|
$11.63 |
$1,163.09 |
$1,142.15 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
5.15 |
-2.7 |
-52% |
|
$11.42 |
$1,142.15 |
$1,111.31 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
6.6 |
4.7 |
70% |
|
$11.11 |
$1,111.31 |
$1,163.00 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
10.55 |
7.1 |
68% |
|
$11.63 |
$1,163.00 |
$1,245.93 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
7.1 |
-3.7 |
-52% |
|
$12.46 |
$1,245.93 |
$1,199.64 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
7 |
-0.9 |
-13% |
|
$12.00 |
$1,199.64 |
$1,189.08 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
6.65 |
0.2 |
3% |
|
$11.89 |
$1,189.08 |
$1,191.49 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
10.7 |
-2.3 |
-21% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,191.49 |
$1,164.33 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
7 |
0.8 |
12% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,164.33 |
$1,174.03 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
9.1 |
2.2 |
25% |
|
$11.74 |
$1,174.03 |
$1,200.25 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
10.4 |
0.5 |
4% |
|
$12.00 |
$1,200.25 |
$1,205.82 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
9.3 |
0.2 |
2% |
|
$12.06 |
$1,205.82 |
$1,208.47 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
3.6 |
5.3 |
146% |
|
$12.08 |
$1,208.47 |
$1,272.16 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
7.5 |
-4.2 |
-56% |
|
$12.72 |
$1,272.16 |
$1,218.74 |
2nd Jun |
Cage Warriors 155 |
3 |
-0.9 |
-31% |
|
$12.19 |
$1,218.74 |
$1,207.28 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
6.7 |
3.4 |
50% |
|
$12.07 |
$1,207.28 |
$1,247.85 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
13.4 |
-1.6 |
-12% |
|
$12.48 |
$1,247.85 |
$1,227.79 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
10.3 |
-3.5 |
-34% |
|
$12.28 |
$1,227.79 |
$1,184.26 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
9.8 |
-0.1 |
-1% |
|
$11.84 |
$1,184.26 |
$1,183.23 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
4.5 |
1.0 |
23% |
|
$11.83 |
$1,183.23 |
$1,195.53 |
8th Jul |
PFL Europe 2 |
3 |
-0.8 |
-28% |
|
$11.96 |
$1,195.53 |
$1,185.67 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
7 |
1.8 |
26% |
|
$11.86 |
$1,185.67 |
$1,207.04 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
5.8 |
-3.7 |
-63% |
|
$12.07 |
$1,207.04 |
$1,162.99 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
4.25 |
3.5 |
83% |
|
$11.63 |
$1,162.99 |
$1,203.86 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
8.9 |
1.0 |
12% |
|
$12.04 |
$1,203.86 |
$1,216.30 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
10.25 |
0.8 |
8% |
|
$12.16 |
$1,216.30 |
$1,226.27 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
3.5 |
0.2 |
5% |
|
$12.26 |
$1,226.27 |
$1,228.29 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.28 |
$1,228.29 |
$1,203.72 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
9 |
0.4 |
4% |
|
$12.04 |
$1,203.72 |
$1,207.95 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
7.5 |
5.1 |
68% |
|
$12.08 |
$1,207.95 |
$1,269.96 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
4.3 |
0.8 |
20% |
|
$12.70 |
$1,269.96 |
$1,280.66 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
6.8 |
-0.9 |
-14% |
|
$12.81 |
$1,280.66 |
$1,268.71 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
6 |
3.2 |
54% |
|
$12.69 |
$1,268.71 |
$1,309.59 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
8.5 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
|
$13.10 |
$1,309.59 |
$1,306.75 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.07 |
$1,306.75 |
$1,202.21 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
9.2 |
-3.5 |
-38% |
|
$12.02 |
$1,202.21 |
$1,159.77 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
10 |
1.5 |
15% |
|
$11.60 |
$1,159.77 |
$1,177.24 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
9 |
-4.0 |
-44% |
|
$11.77 |
$1,177.24 |
$1,130.15 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
2.7 |
-1.2 |
-46% |
|
$11.30 |
$1,130.15 |
$1,116.03 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
4.8 |
4.3 |
89% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,116.03 |
$1,163.97 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
5.6 |
-2.0 |
-36% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,163.97 |
$1,140.69 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,140.69 |
$1,095.06 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
4 |
3.1 |
78% |
|
$10.95 |
$1,095.06 |
$1,129.23 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
3.5 |
0.7 |
20% |
|
$11.29 |
$1,129.23 |
$1,137.14 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
11.4 |
4.6 |
40% |
|
$11.37 |
$1,137.14 |
$1,189.42 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.89 |
$1,189.42 |
$1,106.16 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
2.8 |
2.0 |
70% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,106.16 |
$1,127.73 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
7.4 |
3.1 |
42% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,127.73 |
$1,162.66 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
2 |
0.7 |
33% |
|
$11.63 |
$1,162.66 |
$1,170.37 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
6.6 |
-3.0 |
-46% |
|
$11.70 |
$1,170.37 |
$1,134.97 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
12.5 |
6.3 |
51% |
|
$11.35 |
$1,134.97 |
$1,206.68 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
6.2 |
-0.3 |
-5% |
|
$12.07 |
$1,206.68 |
$1,202.76 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
3.9 |
0.9 |
22% |
|
$12.03 |
$1,202.76 |
$1,212.98 |
12th Apr |
PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season |
3 |
-2.0 |
-67% |
|
$12.13 |
$1,212.98 |
$1,188.72 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
8.8 |
1.4 |
15% |
|
$11.89 |
$1,188.72 |
$1,204.80 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
7.05 |
-1.3 |
-18% |
|
$12.05 |
$1,204.80 |
$1,189.32 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
4 |
2.3 |
56% |
|
$11.89 |
$1,189.32 |
$1,216.08 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
8.05 |
-0.6 |
-7% |
|
$12.16 |
$1,216.08 |
$1,208.92 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 20.89% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Knockout Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Ernesta Kareckaite |
Dione Barbosa |
3.05 |
0.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Elves Brenner |
Myktybek Orolbai |
3.15 |
0.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Ihor Potieria |
Michel Pereira |
5.50 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (0:54) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Bubba Jenkins |
Kai Kamaka |
1.71 |
1.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Otto Rodrigues |
Tyler Diamond |
1.75 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Jakob Nedoh |
Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov |
1.74 |
0.75 |
TKO, R1 (2:54) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Patricky Freire |
Clay Collard |
2.65 |
0.75 |
TKO, R2 (1:32) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Sodiq Yusuff |
Diego Lopes |
2.16 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Weili Zhang |
4.75 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '24 |
Dylan Budka |
César Almeida |
1.69 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Isaac Dulgarian |
Christian Rodriguez |
1.69 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Natan Levy |
Mike Davis |
3.10 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Feb '24 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Brian Ortega |
1.71 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Feb '24 |
Erik Silva |
Muhammadjon Naimov |
5.00 |
0.3 |
TKO, R1 (0:44) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Feb '24 |
Mateus Mendonca |
Jesus Santos Aguilar |
1.80 |
1.3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Feb '24 |
Gilbert Urbina |
Charlie Radtke |
1.54 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Azat Maksum |
Charles Johnson |
1.54 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jan '24 |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
Raquel Pennington |
1.63 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Dec '23 |
Su Mudaerji |
Tim Elliott |
2.30 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:2) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Dec '23 |
Anthony Smith |
Khalil Rountree |
2.90 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:56) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Knockout Bets: Progress Chart |
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