MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6401
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2366

MMA Handicapper Stats: Betting Gnome

Betting Gnome (Gnome)

MMA MHandicapper - Betting Gnome

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	164 (28%)	Right	58 (42%)	Right	86 (28%)	Right	20 (14%)
Wrong	423 (72%)	Wrong	81 (58%)	Wrong	224 (72%)	Wrong	118 (86%)
Avg Odds	3.59	Avg Odds	2.46	Avg Odds	3.55	Avg Odds	7.01
Units Bet	871.6	Units Bet	345.4	Units Bet	376.1	Units Bet	150.1
Avg Bet	1.48	Avg Bet	2.49	Avg Bet	1.21	Avg Bet	1.09
Units Profit	71.80	Units Profit	0.01	Units Profit	53.14	Units Profit	18.65
ROI %	8%	ROI %	0%	ROI %	14%	ROI %	12%

Betting Gnome: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th May '24	UFC 301	25.75	-7.2	-28%	-1.5 / 7 (-21%)	-11.0 / 16 (-69%)	5.3 / 2.75 (192%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	18.55	1.0	6%	6.0 / 2 (300%)	-1.7 / 13.25 (-12%)	-3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	15.34	64.2	418%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	65.2 / 14.25 (458%)	-0.1 / 0.09 (-100%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	12.5	-5.0	-40%	-2.5 / 10 (-25%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	30.5	-5.7	-19%	-1.3 / 18 (-7%)	0.6 / 7.5 (9%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	34	-10.6	-31%	-3.9 / 23 (-17%)	-0.6 / 5 (-12%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
22nd Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	34	9.6	28%	16.6 / 20.5 (81%)	0.7 / 5.75 (13%)	-7.8 / 7.75 (-100%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	33	-12.0	-36%	4.5 / 9 (50%)	-4.5 / 12 (-38%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	31.75	1.6	5%	5.6 / 16.5 (34%)	-1.9 / 13.25 (-14%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	20	-3.4	-17%	3.1 / 13.5 (23%)	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	35.5	-3.8	-11%	6.7 / 19.25 (35%)	-10.3 / 10.25 (-100%)	-0.2 / 6 (-3%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	29.75	2.5	9%	1.5 / 17.25 (9%)	-7.5 / 10.5 (-71%)	8.6 / 2 (429%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	20.5	37.8	184%	3.0 / 2.5 (120%)	16.1 / 13.25 (122%)	18.6 / 4.75 (392%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	15	-3.5	-23%	4.6 / 3.5 (132%)	-4.8 / 8.25 (-58%)	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	24.5	0.6	2%	-10.5 / 10.5 (-100%)	3.9 / 7 (55%)	7.2 / 7 (103%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	21.5	-1.9	-9%	2.6 / 5 (51%)	0.5 / 11.5 (5%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	12.75	4.5	35%	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	7.2 / 10 (72%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	42	-1.9	-5%	1.1 / 1 (110%)	-10.4 / 28 (-37%)	7.4 / 13 (57%)
17th Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	29.91	-16.7	-56%	-12.2 / 15.65 (-78%)	-3.2 / 12.94 (-25%)	-1.3 / 1.32 (-100%)
10th Dec '22	UFC 282	36.29	0.4	1%	5.0 / 20.33 (25%)	-3.7 / 10.97 (-34%)	-0.9 / 4.99 (-19%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	30.09	-23.1	-77%	-9.3 / 14.31 (-65%)	-10.6 / 12.62 (-84%)	-3.2 / 3.16 (-100%)
19th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	15.1	-1.4	-9%	-0.5 / 3.65 (-13%)	1.2 / 9.29 (13%)	-2.2 / 2.16 (-100%)
12th Nov '22	UFC 281	40.26	18.7	46%	1.9 / 8.66 (22%)	11.2 / 25.29 (44%)	5.5 / 6.31 (87%)
5th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	20.12	-15.1	-75%	-7.7 / 7.66 (-100%)	-3.6 / 8.64 (-42%)	-3.8 / 3.82 (-100%)
29th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	31.96	-27.0	-85%	-15.0 / 16.66 (-90%)	-7.3 / 10.64 (-69%)	-4.7 / 4.66 (-100%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	39.75	17.6	44%	-2.4 / 8.25 (-29%)	14.7 / 17.25 (85%)	5.4 / 14.25 (38%)
15th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	27.5	5.1	19%	-2.1 / 4.25 (-48%)	0.4 / 16.25 (2%)	6.8 / 7 (97%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	22.25	-3.0	-13%	-2.5 / 6.5 (-38%)	1.8 / 13.5 (13%)	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
27th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 10	14.75	20.1	136%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	2.1 / 5.75 (37%)	19.4 / 7.5 (259%)
21st Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 9	17.25	7.0	40%	-1.6 / 8.5 (-19%)	6.0 / 6.75 (89%)	2.6 / 2 (130%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	28.25	14.5	51%	3.1 / 6.25 (50%)	10.9 / 17 (64%)	0.5 / 5 (10%)
13th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 8	6.5	-4.3	-66%	-2.3 / 4.5 (-51%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	28.25	20.3	72%	18.9 / 22.25 (85%)	3.4 / 4 (85%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 7	7.75	-4.5	-57%	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)	-1.2 / 4.5 (-27%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	20	-3.8	-19%	-0.4 / 11 (-3%)	-3.4 / 9 (-38%)

Winning Events: 16 (46%)
Losing Events: 19 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 24.94 units
Most Staked On One Event: 42.00 units
Best Event: 64.15 units
Worst Event: -27.01 units
Average Event: 2.05 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 65.20
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -42.09

Betting Gnome: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	59.64	58.0	97%	3.5 / 10 (35%)		1.9 / 6.14 (31%)	2 / 1 (67%)	19.33
2023	397.25	8.9	2%	28.2 / 172.25 (16%)		-3.2 / 77.5 (-4%)	6 / 9 (40%)	0.59
2022	415.98	4.9	1%	-31.6 / 163.17 (-19%)		19.9 / 66.42 (30%)	8 / 9 (47%)	0.29

Betting Gnome: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Betting Gnome: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	814.12	58.5	7%	11.2 / 317.67 (4%)	50.2 / 356.39 (14%)	-2.9 / 140.06 (-2%)
Other	58.75	13.3	23%	-11.2 / 27.75 (-40%)	2.9 / 21 (14%)	21.5 / 10 (215%)

Betting Gnome: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (1%)	1	50 %	6.50	0.39	0.20	6%
Slight Favorites	27 (19%)	16	59 %	146.91	-9.96	-0.37	-7%
Slight Underdogs	72 (51%)	30	42 %	135.03	3.51	0.05	3%
Big Underdogs	40 (28%)	12	30 %	56.98	6.07	0.15	11%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	15 (11%)	7	47 %	53.75	-15.41	-1.03	-29%
Co-Main Event	14 (10%)	1	7 %	32.24	-26.74	-1.91	-83%
Position 3-5	40 (28%)	16	40 %	86.90	17.00	0.43	20%
6+ (Undercard)	72 (51%)	35	49 %	172.53	25.16	0.35	15%

Betting Gnome: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (6%)	4	44 %	15.91	4.73	0.53	30%
Light Heavy	9 (6%)	5	56 %	22.00	10.75	1.19	49%
Middleweight	20 (14%)	9	45 %	64.49	-17.82	-0.89	-28%
Welterweight	19 (13%)	8	42 %	61.32	-5.40	-0.28	-9%
Lightweight	13 (9%)	4	31 %	24.00	-2.28	-0.18	-9%
Featherweight	19 (13%)	8	42 %	56.32	-3.78	-0.20	-7%
Bantamweight	22 (16%)	9	41 %	51.65	-0.50	-0.02	-1%
Flyweight	8 (6%)	3	38 %	9.99	0.70	0.09	7%

Women's Fights	22 (16%)	9	41 %	39.74	13.61	0.62	34%
Featherweight	2 (1%)	1	50 %	11.00	7.33	3.67	67%
Bantamweight	4 (3%)		0 %	5.25	-5.25	-1.31	-100%
Flyweight	8 (6%)	3	38 %	10.66	3.13	0.39	29%
Strawweight	8 (6%)	5	63 %	12.83	8.40	1.05	65%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	113 (40%)	85	75 %
Slight Favorites	83 (30%)	51	61 %
Slight Underdogs	60 (21%)	22	37 %
Big Underdogs	24 (9%)	9	38 %
	280	167	60 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	47 (9%)	39	83 %
50-65%	67 (12%)	42	63 %
35-50%	129 (24%)	46	36 %
<35% chance	294 (55%)	62	21 %
	537	189	35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	16 (3%)	15	94 %	1.53	6.00	1.15	13.1 (82%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	18 (3%)	11	61 %	1.62	2.75	1.29	-1.3 (-7%)
Goes to Decision	4 (1%)	3	75 %	2.00	2.40	1.40	2.0 (50%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (1%)	3	75 %	1.63	2.20	1.22	1.0 (25%)
X Wins by KO	133 (25%)	43	32 %	3.17	17.00	1.36	-6.7 (-5%)
X Wins by Sub	45 (8%)	12	27 %	4.52	17.00	1.91	27.7 (62%)
X Wins by Decision	100 (19%)	29	29 %	3.33	13.00	1.83	-11.7 (-12%)
X Wins Inside Distance	151 (28%)	47	31 %	2.58	7.00	1.18	-37.8 (-25%)
X Wins in Round X	37 (7%)	10	27 %	4.28	19.00	1.44	9.1 (24%)
Others	29 (5%)	16	55 %	1.78	50.99	1.33	46.1 (159%)
	537	189	35 %	2.80			41.5 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Betting Gnome's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	20	-3.8	-19%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$962.20
6th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 7	7.75	-4.5	-57%		$9.62	$962.20	$919.38
10th Sep	UFC 279	28.25	20.3	72%		$9.19	$919.38	$1,105.67
13th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 8	6.5	-4.3	-66%		$11.06	$1,105.67	$1,058.13
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	28.25	14.5	51%		$10.58	$1,058.13	$1,212.03
21st Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 9	17.25	7.0	40%		$12.12	$1,212.03	$1,296.54
27th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 10	14.75	20.1	136%		$12.97	$1,296.54	$1,557.10
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	22.25	-3.0	-13%		$15.57	$1,557.10	$1,510.67
15th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	27.5	5.1	19%		$15.11	$1,510.67	$1,587.92
22nd Oct	UFC 280	39.75	17.6	44%		$15.88	$1,587.92	$1,868.03
29th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	31.96	-27.0	-85%		$18.68	$1,868.03	$1,363.48
5th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	20.12	-15.1	-75%		$13.63	$1,363.48	$1,157.87
12th Nov	UFC 281	40.26	18.7	46%		$11.58	$1,157.87	$1,374.22
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	15.1	-1.4	-9%		$13.74	$1,374.22	$1,354.51
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	30.09	-23.1	-77%		$13.55	$1,354.51	$1,042.07
10th Dec	UFC 282	36.29	0.4	1%		$10.42	$1,042.07	$1,046.17
17th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland	29.91	-16.7	-56%		$10.46	$1,046.17	$871.44
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	42	-1.9	-5%		$8.71	$871.44	$854.63
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	12.75	4.5	35%		$8.55	$854.63	$893.06
11th Feb	UFC 284	21.5	-1.9	-9%		$8.93	$893.06	$876.06
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	24.5	0.6	2%		$8.76	$876.06	$881.37
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	15	-3.5	-23%		$8.81	$881.37	$850.89
4th Mar	UFC 285	20.5	37.8	184%		$8.51	$850.89	$1,172.12
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	29.75	2.5	9%		$11.72	$1,172.12	$1,201.97
18th Mar	UFC 286	35.5	-3.8	-11%		$12.02	$1,201.97	$1,156.20
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	20	-3.4	-17%		$11.56	$1,156.20	$1,117.19
8th Apr	UFC 287	31.75	1.6	5%		$11.17	$1,117.19	$1,135.57
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	33	-12.0	-36%		$11.36	$1,135.57	$999.35
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes	34	9.6	28%		$9.99	$999.35	$1,095.10
6th May	UFC 288	34	-10.6	-31%		$10.95	$1,095.10	$979.37
29th Jul	UFC 291	30.5	-5.7	-19%		$9.79	$979.37	$923.71
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	12.5	-5.0	-40%		$9.24	$923.71	$877.52
13th Apr	UFC 300	15.34	64.2	418%		$8.78	$877.52	$1,440.49
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	18.55	1.0	6%		$14.40	$1,440.49	$1,455.61
4th May	UFC 301	25.75	-7.2	-28%		$14.56	$1,455.61	$1,350.56

ROI % from starting bank balance: 35.06% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Betting Gnome: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Anthony Smith	Vitor Petrino	5.50	1	Sub, R1 (2:0)
2.	Apr '24	Chris Padilla	James Llontop	4.00	2	Sub, R1 (4:33)
3.	Aug '23	Kevin Borjas	Victor Dias	3.75	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '23	Kevin Holland	Michael Chiesa	1.67	10	Sub, R1 (2:39)
5.	May '23	Aljamain Sterling	Henry Cejudo	1.94	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)
6.	May '23	Yan Xiaonan	Jessica Andrade	2.62	2	TKO, R1 (2:20)
7.	May '23	Virna Jandiroba	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	2.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '23	Jeremiah Wells	Matt Semelsberger	1.91	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '23	Christos Giagos	Rick Glenn	2.40	3	TKO, R1 (1:35)
10.	Apr '23	Norma Dumont	Karol Rosa	1.83	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '23	Mohammed Usman	Junior Tafa	1.94	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Apr '23	Azamat Murzakanov	Dustin Jacoby	2.40	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Apr '23	Gillian Robertson	Piera Rodriguez	1.95	2	Sub, R2 (4:21)
14.	Apr '23	Israel Adesanya	Alex Pereira	1.72	5	TKO, R2 (4:21)
15.	Apr '23	Christian Rodriguez	Raul Rosas Jr	2.75	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Apr '23	Steve Garcia	Yilan Sha	2.75	1.25	TKO, R2 (0:36)
17.	Apr '23	Sam Hughes	Jaqueline Amorim	3.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '23	Albert Duraev	Chidi Njokuani	2.37	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '23	Daniel Pineda	Tucker Lutz	3.10	1.5	Sub, R2 (2:50)
20.	Mar '23	Lucas Alexander	Steven Peterson	2.30	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Kevin Borjas	Alessandro Costa	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (1:35)	No
2.	May '24	Paul Craig	Caio Borralho	4.50	1	TKO, R2 (2:10)	No
3.	May '24	Ernesta Kareckaite	Dione Barbosa	2.75	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	May '24	Kevin Borjas	Alessandro Costa	2.10	1	TKO, R2 (1:35)	No
5.	Apr '24	Cody Brundage	Bo Nickal	13.00	1	Sub, R2 (3:38)	No
6.	Aug '23	Bogdan Grad	Tom Nolan	2.20	2	TKO, R1 (1:23)	No
7.	Aug '23	Kevin Szaflarski	Caio Machado (2)	1.72	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '23	Reyes Cortez	Payton Talbott	2.30	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '23	Tony Ferguson	Bobby Green	4.00	2	Sub, R3 (4:54)	No
10.	Jul '23	Trevin Giles	Gabriel Bonfim	3.50	2	Sub, R1 (1:13)	No
11.	Jul '23	Darrius Flowers	Jake Matthews	3.10	2	Sub, R2 (2:37)	No
12.	Jul '23	Priscila Cachoeira	Miranda Maverick	3.60	2	Sub, R3 (2:11)	No
13.	May '23	Gilbert Burns	Belal Muhammad	1.80	11	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	May '23	Diego Lopes	Movsar Evloev	6.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	May '23	Kron Gracie	Charles Jourdain	2.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Apr '23	Brogan Walker	Iasmin Lucindo	3.50	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Apr '23	T.J. Brown	Bill Algeo	2.62	3	Sub, R2 (1:40)	No
18.	Apr '23	Jorge Masvidal	Gilbert Burns	4.33	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Apr '23	Chris Curtis	Kelvin Gastelum	2.00	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Apr '23	Gerald Meerschaert	Joe Pyfer	2.62	1.25	TKO, R1 (3:15)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Betting Gnome: Progress Chart

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