MMA Handicapper Stats: Recliner Sports Report |
|
Recliner Sports Report: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 28 (42%) Losing Events: 38 (58%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.63 units Most Staked On One Event: 17.31 units Best Event: 9.37 units Worst Event: -7.81 units Average Event: -0.57 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 10.21 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -12.22 |
Recliner Sports Report: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
150.328 |
-22.2 |
-15% |
-2.5 / 52.048 (-5%) |
|
-15.5 / 75.78 (-20%) |
6 / 11 (35%) |
-1.31 |
2023 |
353.483 |
-15.1 |
-4% |
-7.2 / 120.313 (-6%) |
|
-4.6 / 167.24 (-3%) |
22 / 27 (45%) |
-0.31 |
|
Recliner Sports Report: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Recliner Sports Report: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
474.591 |
-39.2 |
-8% |
-14.2 / 166.061 (-9%) |
-7.5 / 85.28 (-9%) |
-17.6 / 223.25 (-8%) |
Bellator |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
PFL |
26.22 |
2.3 |
9% |
4.5 / 6.3 (71%) |
-0.1 / 3.15 (-4%) |
-2.0 / 16.77 (-12%) |
Other |
1 |
1.6 |
159% |
|
|
1.6 / 1 (159%) |
|
Recliner Sports Report: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
5 (3%) |
5 |
100 % |
23.00 |
8.79 |
1.76 |
38% |
Slight Favorites |
77 (52%) |
41 |
53 % |
100.35 |
-11.07 |
-0.14 |
-11% |
Slight Underdogs |
51 (34%) |
20 |
39 % |
41.47 |
-1.59 |
-0.03 |
-4% |
Big Underdogs |
15 (10%) |
1 |
7 % |
7.55 |
-5.80 |
-0.39 |
-77% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
25 (17%) |
14 |
56 % |
42.78 |
2.29 |
0.09 |
5% |
Co-Main Event |
16 (11%) |
7 |
44 % |
22.90 |
-4.49 |
-0.28 |
-20% |
Position 3-5 |
37 (25%) |
17 |
46 % |
46.30 |
0.99 |
0.03 |
2% |
6+ (Undercard) |
70 (47%) |
29 |
41 % |
60.38 |
-8.46 |
-0.12 |
-14% |
|
Recliner Sports Report: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
12 (8%) |
7 |
58 % |
13.52 |
3.60 |
0.30 |
27% |
Light Heavy |
9 (6%) |
4 |
44 % |
11.10 |
-0.75 |
-0.08 |
-7% |
Middleweight |
17 (11%) |
11 |
65 % |
22.40 |
5.04 |
0.30 |
22% |
Welterweight |
14 (9%) |
1 |
7 % |
14.10 |
-12.36 |
-0.88 |
-88% |
Lightweight |
32 (22%) |
16 |
50 % |
30.55 |
0.67 |
0.02 |
2% |
Featherweight |
15 (10%) |
5 |
33 % |
18.86 |
-7.18 |
-0.48 |
-38% |
Bantamweight |
14 (9%) |
8 |
57 % |
15.48 |
-0.08 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
Flyweight |
18 (12%) |
9 |
50 % |
21.23 |
2.36 |
0.13 |
11% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
17 (11%) |
6 |
35 % |
25.13 |
-0.96 |
-0.06 |
-4% |
Bantamweight |
3 (2%) |
1 |
33 % |
1.81 |
-0.07 |
-0.02 |
-4% |
Flyweight |
8 (5%) |
2 |
25 % |
8.27 |
-4.82 |
-0.60 |
-58% |
Strawweight |
6 (4%) |
3 |
50 % |
15.05 |
3.93 |
0.65 |
26% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
320 (87%) |
241 |
75 % |
Slight Favorites |
45 (12%) |
21 |
47 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
367 |
263 |
72 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
80 (45%) |
60 |
75 % |
50-65% |
43 (24%) |
22 |
51 % |
35-50% |
21 (12%) |
9 |
43 % |
<35% chance |
34 (19%) |
5 |
15 % |
|
178 |
96 |
54 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Recliner Sports Report's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
8.15 |
-0.2 |
-2% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$998.01 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
10.6 |
6.3 |
59% |
|
$9.98 |
$998.01 |
$1,060.68 |
4th Feb |
Bellator 290 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.61 |
$1,060.68 |
$1,039.46 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
9.37 |
2.1 |
22% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,039.46 |
$1,060.90 |
10th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 3 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.61 |
$1,060.90 |
$1,050.29 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
10.82 |
-2.0 |
-19% |
|
$10.50 |
$1,050.29 |
$1,029.06 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
12.89 |
-3.4 |
-27% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,029.06 |
$993.68 |
24th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series: Week 5 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.94 |
$993.68 |
$983.75 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
6.18 |
-0.5 |
-8% |
|
$9.84 |
$983.75 |
$979.10 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
13.44 |
3.2 |
24% |
|
$9.79 |
$979.10 |
$1,010.77 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
10.03 |
-4.1 |
-41% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,010.77 |
$968.86 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
13.53 |
-7.8 |
-58% |
|
$9.69 |
$968.86 |
$893.15 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
3.92 |
2.0 |
52% |
|
$8.93 |
$893.15 |
$911.29 |
1st Apr |
PFL 1: 2023 |
4.15 |
0.8 |
20% |
|
$9.11 |
$911.29 |
$918.92 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
4.9 |
0.4 |
8% |
|
$9.19 |
$918.92 |
$922.65 |
14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
145% |
|
$9.23 |
$922.65 |
$931.99 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
9.55 |
-1.3 |
-14% |
|
$9.32 |
$931.99 |
$919.94 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
8.94 |
-1.5 |
-17% |
|
$9.20 |
$919.94 |
$905.76 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
5.5 |
-2.5 |
-46% |
|
$9.06 |
$905.76 |
$883.00 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
4 |
2.1 |
53% |
|
$8.83 |
$883.00 |
$901.71 |
28th May |
Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 3 & 4 |
1 |
1.6 |
159% |
|
$9.02 |
$901.71 |
$916.02 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
8.3 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
|
$9.16 |
$916.02 |
$913.75 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
9.42 |
-5.4 |
-57% |
|
$9.14 |
$913.75 |
$864.86 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
6.3 |
0.9 |
15% |
|
$8.65 |
$864.86 |
$872.85 |
23rd Jun |
PFL 6: Regular Season |
1 |
1.0 |
103% |
$5 |
$8.73 |
$872.85 |
$876.82 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
7 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$8.77 |
$876.82 |
$877.80 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
9.88 |
-1.5 |
-15% |
|
$8.78 |
$877.80 |
$864.37 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
9.15 |
-5.3 |
-58% |
|
$8.64 |
$864.37 |
$818.64 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
4.4 |
-2.6 |
-60% |
|
$8.19 |
$818.64 |
$797.05 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
5.7 |
-2.0 |
-34% |
|
$7.97 |
$797.05 |
$781.45 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
4.12 |
-0.8 |
-19% |
|
$7.81 |
$781.45 |
$775.19 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
4.38 |
0.7 |
17% |
|
$7.75 |
$775.19 |
$780.97 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
8.11 |
1.9 |
23% |
|
$7.81 |
$780.97 |
$795.54 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
7 |
-5.3 |
-76% |
|
$7.96 |
$795.54 |
$753.41 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
5.7 |
4.5 |
79% |
|
$7.53 |
$753.41 |
$787.33 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
6.5 |
1.4 |
22% |
|
$7.87 |
$787.33 |
$798.53 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
6.61 |
4.0 |
61% |
|
$7.99 |
$798.53 |
$830.49 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
17.31 |
-1.9 |
-11% |
|
$8.30 |
$830.49 |
$814.44 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
6.9 |
1.5 |
21% |
|
$8.14 |
$814.44 |
$826.43 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
8.32 |
-2.2 |
-27% |
|
$8.26 |
$826.43 |
$808.11 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
9.4 |
4.0 |
42% |
|
$8.08 |
$808.11 |
$840.06 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
7.56 |
-0.4 |
-5% |
|
$8.40 |
$840.06 |
$837.11 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
8.83 |
3.6 |
41% |
|
$8.37 |
$837.11 |
$867.44 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
6.738 |
-1.7 |
-26% |
|
$8.67 |
$867.44 |
$852.39 |
24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
8.5 |
4.7 |
55% |
|
$8.52 |
$852.39 |
$892.17 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
10.29 |
-5.7 |
-56% |
|
$8.92 |
$892.17 |
$841.13 |
8th Dec |
PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships |
3.17 |
-1.3 |
-41% |
|
$8.41 |
$841.13 |
$830.33 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
9.645 |
-2.2 |
-23% |
|
$8.30 |
$830.33 |
$812.24 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
11.58 |
3.0 |
26% |
|
$8.12 |
$812.24 |
$836.33 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
9.538 |
-3.8 |
-39% |
|
$8.36 |
$836.33 |
$804.86 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
7.75 |
-1.6 |
-21% |
|
$8.05 |
$804.86 |
$791.96 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
10.5 |
-6.2 |
-59% |
|
$7.92 |
$791.96 |
$742.66 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
9 |
2.7 |
30% |
|
$7.43 |
$742.66 |
$762.91 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
8.15 |
1.8 |
22% |
$5 |
$7.63 |
$762.91 |
$771.81 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
1.5 |
1.3 |
86% |
|
$7.72 |
$771.81 |
$781.76 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
13.15 |
-3.9 |
-30% |
|
$7.82 |
$781.76 |
$751.05 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
13.05 |
-6.5 |
-50% |
|
$7.51 |
$751.05 |
$702.27 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
12.54 |
9.4 |
75% |
|
$7.02 |
$702.27 |
$768.06 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
10.7 |
0.8 |
8% |
|
$7.68 |
$768.06 |
$774.54 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
12.3 |
-3.1 |
-25% |
|
$7.75 |
$774.54 |
$750.54 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
11.01 |
-6.0 |
-54% |
|
$7.51 |
$750.54 |
$705.61 |
4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
2.7 |
-0.7 |
-26% |
|
$7.06 |
$705.61 |
$700.67 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
8.5 |
0.4 |
5% |
|
$7.01 |
$700.67 |
$703.77 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
9.74 |
-1.0 |
-11% |
|
$7.04 |
$703.77 |
$696.40 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$6.96 |
$696.40 |
$678.99 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
7.7 |
-3.3 |
-43% |
|
$6.79 |
$678.99 |
$656.37 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -34.36% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Recliner Sports Report: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Karine Silva |
Ariane Lipski |
2.22 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.58 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Victor Hugo Silva |
Pedro Falcao |
1.74 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Chidi Njokuani |
Rhys McKee |
1.71 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
AJ Dobson |
1.56 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.74 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Rose Namajunas |
Amanda Ribas |
1.56 |
1.3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Isaac Dulgarian |
2.70 |
0.6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.85 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Petr Yan |
Yadong Song |
1.82 |
1.22 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.74 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.64 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
14. |
Feb '24 |
Renan Ferreira |
Ryan Bader |
1.74 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:21) |
|
|
15. |
Feb '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.87 |
1.15 |
Sub, R1 (1:46) |
|
|
16. |
Feb '24 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Henry Cejudo |
1.57 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Anthony Hernandez |
Roman Kopylov |
1.54 |
2.1 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
|
|
18. |
Feb '24 |
Michael Johnson |
Darrius Flowers |
1.76 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Nassourdine Imavov |
Roman Dolidze |
1.69 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Renato Moicano |
Drew Dober |
1.74 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.70 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Tim Means |
Uros Medic |
3.50 |
0.2 |
TKO, R1 (2:9) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Ryan Spann |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.54 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.85 |
0.54 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Germaine de Randamie |
Norma Dumont |
2.14 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Dylan Budka |
César Almeida |
1.70 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Andre Petroski |
Jacob Malkoun |
3.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (0:39) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Connor Matthews |
Dennis Buzukja |
2.02 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:22) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Mar '24 |
Vicente Luque |
Joaquin Buckley |
1.69 |
3.4 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '24 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Youssef Zalal |
1.96 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Kurt Holobaugh |
Trey Ogden |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Youssef Zalal |
1.68 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Kevin Holland |
Michael Page |
1.83 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Matt Schnell |
Steve Erceg |
4.60 |
0.4 |
TKO, R2 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Bernardo Sopai |
Vinicius de Oliveira |
2.05 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:41) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Edgar Chairez |
4.80 |
0.3 |
Sub, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Feb '24 |
Francisco Prado |
Daniel Zellhuber |
3.30 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Yair Rodriguez |
Brian Ortega |
1.70 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Ilia Topuria |
1.91 |
2.2 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Recliner Sports Report: Progress Chart |
|