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MMA Handicapper Stats: FreeLunchTrades |
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FreeLunchTrades : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 13 (52%) Losing Events: 12 (48%)
Average Staked Per Event: 40.98 units Most Staked On One Event: 91.00 units Best Event: 22.67 units Worst Event: -15.77 units Average Event: 1.88 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.95 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -21.69 |
FreeLunchTrades : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
312 |
18.6 |
6% |
11.9 / 261 (5%) |
|
3.1 / 23 (14%) |
2 / 2 (50%) |
4.64 |
2023 |
712.5 |
28.5 |
4% |
25.0 / 549 (5%) |
|
-7.0 / 93 (-7%) |
11 / 10 (52%) |
1.36 |
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FreeLunchTrades : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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FreeLunchTrades : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
922 |
54.6 |
6% |
28.5 / 746.5 (4%) |
9.9 / 79.5 (12%) |
16.2 / 96 (17%) |
Other |
102.5 |
-7.5 |
-7% |
8.4 / 63.5 (13%) |
4.1 / 19 (22%) |
-20.0 / 20 (-100%) |
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FreeLunchTrades : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
58 (40%) |
40 |
69 % |
367.00 |
-20.43 |
-0.35 |
-6% |
Slight Favorites |
59 (41%) |
40 |
68 % |
339.00 |
47.73 |
0.81 |
14% |
Slight Underdogs |
15 (10%) |
5 |
33 % |
64.00 |
-7.00 |
-0.47 |
-11% |
Big Underdogs |
13 (9%) |
4 |
31 % |
40.00 |
16.60 |
1.28 |
42% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
11 (8%) |
7 |
64 % |
80.50 |
12.61 |
1.15 |
16% |
Co-Main Event |
13 (9%) |
8 |
62 % |
71.50 |
-7.91 |
-0.61 |
-11% |
Position 3-5 |
41 (28%) |
25 |
61 % |
230.50 |
17.50 |
0.43 |
8% |
6+ (Undercard) |
80 (55%) |
49 |
61 % |
427.50 |
14.69 |
0.18 |
3% |
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FreeLunchTrades : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
9 (6%) |
6 |
67 % |
50.00 |
-1.40 |
-0.16 |
-3% |
Light Heavy |
13 (9%) |
10 |
77 % |
77.50 |
26.14 |
2.01 |
34% |
Middleweight |
15 (10%) |
12 |
80 % |
92.00 |
48.12 |
3.21 |
52% |
Welterweight |
13 (9%) |
9 |
69 % |
69.00 |
6.94 |
0.53 |
10% |
Lightweight |
28 (19%) |
12 |
43 % |
164.00 |
-52.67 |
-1.88 |
-32% |
Featherweight |
14 (10%) |
9 |
64 % |
90.00 |
10.60 |
0.76 |
12% |
Bantamweight |
20 (14%) |
9 |
45 % |
96.50 |
-20.67 |
-1.03 |
-21% |
Flyweight |
11 (8%) |
8 |
73 % |
56.50 |
14.25 |
1.30 |
25% |
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Women's Fights |
22 (15%) |
14 |
64 % |
114.50 |
5.57 |
0.25 |
5% |
Bantamweight |
4 (3%) |
3 |
75 % |
13.50 |
1.23 |
0.31 |
9% |
Flyweight |
10 (7%) |
6 |
60 % |
61.00 |
2.34 |
0.23 |
4% |
Strawweight |
8 (6%) |
5 |
63 % |
40.00 |
2.01 |
0.25 |
5% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
65 (98%) |
52 |
80 % |
Slight Favorites |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
66 |
53 |
80 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
8 (35%) |
6 |
75 % |
50-65% |
9 (39%) |
6 |
67 % |
35-50% |
5 (22%) |
1 |
20 % |
<35% chance |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
|
23 |
14 |
61 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail FreeLunchTrades 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
8 |
-1.4 |
-17% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$986.03 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
9.5 |
0.5 |
6% |
|
$9.86 |
$986.03 |
$991.33 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
29 |
-2.5 |
-9% |
$9 |
$9.91 |
$991.33 |
$957.06 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
57.5 |
11.7 |
20% |
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$9.57 |
$957.06 |
$1,068.68 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
25 |
-0.6 |
-2% |
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$10.69 |
$1,068.68 |
$1,062.31 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
27 |
0.6 |
2% |
|
$10.62 |
$1,062.31 |
$1,068.49 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
38.5 |
5.6 |
15% |
$9 |
$10.68 |
$1,068.49 |
$1,119.61 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
54.5 |
9.3 |
17% |
$9 |
$11.20 |
$1,119.61 |
$1,215.21 |
8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
19 |
-5.7 |
-30% |
$9 |
$12.15 |
$1,215.21 |
$1,136.55 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
43 |
9.8 |
23% |
$9 |
$11.37 |
$1,136.55 |
$1,239.26 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
23 |
-7.4 |
-32% |
$9 |
$12.39 |
$1,239.26 |
$1,138.01 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
64 |
0.6 |
1% |
$9 |
$11.38 |
$1,138.01 |
$1,135.57 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
15 |
0.0 |
0% |
$9 |
$11.36 |
$1,135.57 |
$1,126.57 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
54 |
14.6 |
27% |
$9 |
$11.27 |
$1,126.57 |
$1,281.88 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
11 |
9.8 |
89% |
|
$12.82 |
$1,281.88 |
$1,407.32 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
21 |
6.0 |
29% |
$9 |
$14.07 |
$1,407.32 |
$1,482.76 |
19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
34.5 |
-4.1 |
-12% |
$9 |
$14.83 |
$1,482.76 |
$1,412.73 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
61 |
-7.1 |
-12% |
$9 |
$14.13 |
$1,412.73 |
$1,303.58 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
35 |
-10.5 |
-30% |
|
$13.04 |
$1,303.58 |
$1,166.86 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
51 |
1.2 |
2% |
$9 |
$11.67 |
$1,166.86 |
$1,171.54 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
32 |
-1.7 |
-5% |
|
$11.72 |
$1,171.54 |
$1,151.04 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
66 |
12.7 |
19% |
$9 |
$11.51 |
$1,151.04 |
$1,287.76 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
80 |
-15.8 |
-20% |
$9 |
$12.88 |
$1,287.76 |
$1,075.69 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
91 |
22.7 |
25% |
$9 |
$10.76 |
$1,075.69 |
$1,310.53 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
75 |
-1.0 |
-1% |
$9 |
$13.11 |
$1,310.53 |
$1,288.36 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 28.84% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
FreeLunchTrades : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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1. |
May '24 |
Mauricio Ruffy |
Jamie Mullarkey |
1.44 |
9 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
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2. |
May '24 |
Dione Barbosa |
Ernesta Kareckaite |
1.40 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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3. |
May '24 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Steve Erceg |
1.53 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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4. |
May '24 |
Joanderson Brito |
Jack Shore |
1.53 |
8 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
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5. |
May '24 |
Alessandro Costa |
Kevin Borjas |
1.77 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
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6. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Pereira |
Jamahal Hill |
1.74 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
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7. |
Apr '24 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Charles Oliveira |
1.44 |
9 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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8. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.00 |
8 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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9. |
Apr '24 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Calvin Kattar |
1.61 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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10. |
Apr '24 |
Diego Lopes |
Sodiq Yusuff |
1.69 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
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11. |
Apr '24 |
Jessica Andrade |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
1.71 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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12. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.63 |
8 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
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13. |
Mar '24 |
Maycee Barber |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.50 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
Mar '24 |
Kyler Phillips |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.45 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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15. |
Mar '24 |
Michel Pereira |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
1.69 |
9 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
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16. |
Feb '24 |
Gregory Rodrigues |
Brad Tavares |
3.50 |
8 |
TKO, R3 (0:55) |
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17. |
Feb '24 |
Carlos Prates |
Trevin Giles |
1.41 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (4:3) |
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18. |
Feb '24 |
Bolaji Oki |
Timothy Cuamba |
1.59 |
6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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19. |
Feb '24 |
Loma Lookboonmee |
Bruna Brasil |
1.33 |
9 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
Feb '24 |
Bogdan Guskov |
Zac Pauga |
2.10 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
FreeLunchTrades : Progress Chart |
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