|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Smart Capper |
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Smart Capper: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 23 (59%) Losing Events: 16 (41%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.96 units Most Staked On One Event: 21.90 units Best Event: 12.65 units Worst Event: -8.52 units Average Event: 0.74 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 21.48 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.52 |
Smart Capper: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
177.5 |
21.1 |
12% |
14.2 / 160.6 (9%) |
|
|
13 / 11 (54%) |
0.88 |
2023 |
94.05 |
8.0 |
8% |
3.8 / 62.25 (6%) |
|
2.0 / 2.5 (79%) |
10 / 5 (67%) |
0.53 |
|
Smart Capper: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
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Smart Capper: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
162.75 |
11.8 |
7% |
-0.7 / 115.55 (-1%) |
10.6 / 44.7 (24%) |
2.0 / 2.5 (79%) |
Bellator |
10.5 |
-1.6 |
-15% |
-1.6 / 10.5 (-15%) |
|
|
PFL |
32.5 |
5.6 |
17% |
7.1 / 31 (23%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
Other |
65.8 |
13.2 |
20% |
13.2 / 65.8 (20%) |
|
|
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Smart Capper: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
7 (5%) |
6 |
86 % |
20.60 |
4.86 |
0.69 |
24% |
Slight Favorites |
53 (37%) |
29 |
55 % |
102.25 |
-7.43 |
-0.14 |
-7% |
Slight Underdogs |
64 (44%) |
33 |
52 % |
83.00 |
18.81 |
0.29 |
23% |
Big Underdogs |
21 (14%) |
7 |
33 % |
17.00 |
1.70 |
0.08 |
10% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
18 (12%) |
13 |
72 % |
28.25 |
12.91 |
0.72 |
46% |
Co-Main Event |
19 (13%) |
10 |
53 % |
29.65 |
1.21 |
0.06 |
4% |
Position 3-5 |
40 (28%) |
22 |
55 % |
55.55 |
14.18 |
0.35 |
26% |
6+ (Undercard) |
68 (47%) |
30 |
44 % |
109.40 |
-10.35 |
-0.15 |
-9% |
|
Smart Capper: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
17 (12%) |
9 |
53 % |
26.25 |
0.36 |
0.02 |
1% |
Light Heavy |
13 (9%) |
6 |
46 % |
20.50 |
1.84 |
0.14 |
9% |
Middleweight |
12 (8%) |
6 |
50 % |
18.55 |
0.13 |
0.01 |
1% |
Welterweight |
13 (9%) |
7 |
54 % |
17.45 |
2.70 |
0.21 |
15% |
Lightweight |
24 (17%) |
13 |
54 % |
34.40 |
5.79 |
0.24 |
17% |
Featherweight |
29 (20%) |
13 |
45 % |
40.30 |
2.80 |
0.10 |
7% |
Bantamweight |
18 (12%) |
12 |
67 % |
29.15 |
9.77 |
0.54 |
34% |
Flyweight |
9 (6%) |
4 |
44 % |
20.00 |
-7.07 |
-0.79 |
-35% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
10 (7%) |
5 |
50 % |
16.25 |
1.63 |
0.16 |
10% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
1.18 |
1.18 |
59% |
Flyweight |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.00 |
1.30 |
0.65 |
43% |
Strawweight |
6 (4%) |
3 |
50 % |
9.75 |
0.65 |
0.11 |
7% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
2 (100%) |
2 |
100 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
2 |
100 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
50-65% |
16 (34%) |
11 |
69 % |
35-50% |
14 (30%) |
2 |
14 % |
<35% chance |
16 (34%) |
4 |
25 % |
|
47 |
17 |
36 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Smart Capper's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
12.75 |
9.7 |
76% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,096.56 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
16.95 |
-4.9 |
-29% |
|
$10.97 |
$1,096.56 |
$1,042.65 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
5 |
-2.2 |
-43% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,042.65 |
$1,020.07 |
31st Mar |
Bellator 293 |
2 |
0.3 |
15% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,020.07 |
$1,023.13 |
1st Apr |
Rizin 41 |
3.5 |
0.7 |
21% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,023.13 |
$1,030.79 |
1st Apr |
PFL 1: 2023 |
4.5 |
2.2 |
49% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,030.79 |
$1,053.72 |
7th Apr |
PFL 2: 2023 |
5.5 |
2.8 |
51% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,053.72 |
$1,083.13 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
8.85 |
-0.5 |
-6% |
|
$10.83 |
$1,083.13 |
$1,077.39 |
14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,077.39 |
$1,104.58 |
14th Apr |
LFA 156 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
91% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,104.58 |
$1,119.65 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
10 |
-7.3 |
-73% |
|
$11.20 |
$1,119.65 |
$1,037.91 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
4 |
1.1 |
27% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.91 |
$1,049.33 |
22nd Apr |
Bellator 295 |
5 |
-1.5 |
-29% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.33 |
$1,034.01 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
5.5 |
0.5 |
10% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,034.01 |
$1,039.61 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
4 |
3.1 |
77% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.61 |
$1,071.84 |
16th Mar |
KSW 92 |
6.05 |
-2.8 |
-46% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,071.84 |
$1,041.82 |
16th Mar |
Cage Warriors 168 |
4 |
4.7 |
118% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,041.82 |
$1,090.79 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
11.5 |
1.6 |
14% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,090.79 |
$1,108.79 |
22nd Mar |
Bellator Champions Series |
3.5 |
-0.4 |
-13% |
|
$11.09 |
$1,108.79 |
$1,103.80 |
22nd Mar |
Rizin Landmark 9 |
6.75 |
-0.3 |
-5% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,103.80 |
$1,100.23 |
23rd Mar |
Oktagon 55 |
8.5 |
4.7 |
55% |
|
$11.00 |
$1,100.23 |
$1,151.39 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
14.45 |
-8.5 |
-59% |
|
$11.51 |
$1,151.39 |
$1,053.25 |
30th Mar |
Cage Warriors 169 |
1 |
1.5 |
145% |
|
$10.53 |
$1,053.25 |
$1,068.52 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
12.9 |
4.2 |
32% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.52 |
$1,113.22 |
4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
4.75 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$11.13 |
$1,113.22 |
$1,113.22 |
5th Apr |
LFA 181 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.13 |
$1,113.22 |
$1,102.09 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
3 |
4.9 |
165% |
|
$11.02 |
$1,102.09 |
$1,156.64 |
12th Apr |
PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season |
7.1 |
-3.0 |
-42% |
|
$11.57 |
$1,156.64 |
$1,121.94 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
21.9 |
12.7 |
58% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.94 |
$1,263.90 |
19th Apr |
ACA 174 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
90% |
|
$12.64 |
$1,263.90 |
$1,315.00 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
5.65 |
1.1 |
19% |
|
$13.15 |
$1,315.00 |
$1,329.46 |
20th Apr |
Cage Warriors 171 |
5.65 |
1.4 |
25% |
|
$13.29 |
$1,329.46 |
$1,348.37 |
20th Apr |
Oktagon 56 |
4.9 |
2.3 |
46% |
|
$13.48 |
$1,348.37 |
$1,378.91 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
11.15 |
-4.1 |
-36% |
|
$13.79 |
$1,378.91 |
$1,323.06 |
29th Apr |
Rizin 46 |
4 |
3.9 |
98% |
|
$13.23 |
$1,323.06 |
$1,374.66 |
3rd May |
LFA 183 |
3 |
-0.7 |
-25% |
|
$13.75 |
$1,374.66 |
$1,364.35 |
3rd May |
One Fight Night 22 |
4.5 |
-2.0 |
-44% |
|
$13.64 |
$1,364.35 |
$1,337.07 |
4th May |
Oktagon 57 |
6.95 |
-4.5 |
-65% |
|
$13.37 |
$1,337.07 |
$1,276.90 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
20.8 |
1.5 |
7% |
|
$12.77 |
$1,276.90 |
$1,295.97 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 29.60% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Smart Capper: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Louis Glismann |
Lukasz Siwiec |
1.69 |
1.45 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Lincon Santos |
Renildo Monteiro |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:59) |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Akbar Abdullaev |
Halil Amir |
1.67 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:52) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Chihiro Suzuki |
Masanori Kanehara |
2.25 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:20) |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Noah Bey |
Yusaku Inoue |
2.10 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Shinobu Ota |
Juntarou Ushiku |
2.75 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Gabriel Alves Braga |
Justin Gonzales |
1.61 |
1.65 |
TKO, R1 (4:59) |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Keir Harvie |
Kaique Modesto |
1.67 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Aidan Stephen |
Gianluca Scottoli |
1.87 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Apr '24 |
Will Fleury |
Daniel Skvor |
1.59 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:14) |
|
|
11. |
Apr '24 |
Akonne Wanliss |
Sahil Siraj |
1.71 |
1.4 |
TKO, R1 (0:58) |
|
|
12. |
Apr '24 |
Adam Borics |
Enrique Barzola |
2.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Apr '24 |
Mikhail Egorov |
Anderson dos Santos |
1.67 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:12) |
|
|
14. |
Apr '24 |
Ivan Bogdanov |
Azamat Dzhigkaev |
2.90 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:35) |
|
|
15. |
Apr '24 |
Alexey Shurkevich |
Renato Gomes |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
16. |
May '24 |
Jose Aldo |
Jonathan Martinez |
2.15 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Apr '24 |
Elvin Espinoza |
Adam Piccolotti |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:23) |
|
|
18. |
Apr '24 |
Brent Primus |
Bruno Miranda |
1.91 |
1.1 |
Sub, R2 (1:49) |
|
|
19. |
May '24 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Steve Erceg |
1.37 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
May '24 |
Alessandro Costa |
Kevin Borjas |
1.80 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Ihor Potieria |
Michel Pereira |
6.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (0:54) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Cristiano Franca |
Gabriel Costa |
4.25 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (3:10) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Gustavo Henrique |
Marcelo Marques |
6.50 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:46) |
No |
|
|
4. |
May '24 |
Marlon Basilio |
Vinicius Pires |
2.55 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:30) |
No |
|
|
5. |
May '24 |
Yong Hu |
Reece McLaren |
2.40 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
May '24 |
Zhang Lipeng |
Maurice Abevi |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
May '24 |
Agy Sardari |
Losene Keita |
5.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
May '24 |
Marc Doussis |
Pavol Langer |
2.40 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:6) |
No |
|
|
9. |
May '24 |
Stipe Brcic |
Beno Adamia |
1.54 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
May '24 |
Anita Bekus |
Mallory Martin |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.69 |
1.45 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '24 |
Taisei Nishitani |
Ryo Takagi |
3.75 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:4) |
No |
|
|
13. |
May '24 |
Jamie Mullarkey |
Mauricio Ruffy |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '24 |
Konstantinos Ntelis |
Jan Quaeyhaegens |
1.87 |
1.15 |
Sub, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Apr '24 |
Chris Bungard |
Dumitru Girlean |
2.25 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:47) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Apr '24 |
Kamil Wojciechowski |
Mick Stanton |
2.45 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (4:1) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Apr '24 |
Brett Johns |
Timur Khizriev |
2.90 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Apr '24 |
Bubba Jenkins |
Kai Kamaka |
1.67 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Apr '24 |
Jordan Heiderman |
Marcelo Nunes |
3.10 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:40) |
No |
|
|
20. |
May '24 |
Elves Brenner |
Myktybek Orolbai |
2.30 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Smart Capper: Progress Chart |
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