MMA Handicapper Stats: Paul lucidmmapicks |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 13 (54%) Losing Events: 11 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 16.36 units Most Staked On One Event: 29.50 units Best Event: 8.17 units Worst Event: -6.45 units Average Event: 0.41 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 18.17 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.16 |
Paul lucidmmapicks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
226.15 |
14.2 |
6% |
5.0 / 95.1 (5%) |
|
-4.9 / 14.4 (-34%) |
8 / 5 (62%) |
1.10 |
2023 |
166.5 |
-4.5 |
-3% |
9.5 / 79.65 (12%) |
|
-7.2 / 22.4 (-32%) |
5 / 6 (45%) |
-0.40 |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
392.65 |
9.8 |
2% |
14.5 / 174.75 (8%) |
7.3 / 181.1 (4%) |
-12.1 / 36.8 (-33%) |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
20 (31%) |
17 |
85 % |
76.25 |
14.78 |
0.74 |
19% |
Slight Favorites |
29 (45%) |
18 |
62 % |
79.00 |
7.16 |
0.25 |
9% |
Slight Underdogs |
12 (19%) |
4 |
33 % |
17.25 |
-6.66 |
-0.56 |
-39% |
Big Underdogs |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
2.25 |
-0.75 |
-0.25 |
-33% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
11 (17%) |
8 |
73 % |
38.45 |
10.99 |
1.00 |
29% |
Co-Main Event |
7 (11%) |
4 |
57 % |
25.50 |
-0.17 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Position 3-5 |
22 (34%) |
12 |
55 % |
50.75 |
-3.75 |
-0.17 |
-7% |
6+ (Undercard) |
24 (38%) |
16 |
67 % |
60.05 |
7.47 |
0.31 |
12% |
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Paul lucidmmapicks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (6%) |
3 |
75 % |
14.80 |
1.95 |
0.49 |
13% |
Light Heavy |
6 (9%) |
4 |
67 % |
14.55 |
7.99 |
1.33 |
55% |
Middleweight |
9 (14%) |
5 |
56 % |
27.20 |
0.67 |
0.07 |
2% |
Welterweight |
7 (11%) |
5 |
71 % |
20.40 |
6.07 |
0.87 |
30% |
Lightweight |
8 (13%) |
5 |
63 % |
23.50 |
3.22 |
0.40 |
14% |
Featherweight |
10 (16%) |
6 |
60 % |
23.80 |
1.23 |
0.12 |
5% |
Bantamweight |
8 (13%) |
4 |
50 % |
22.30 |
-4.22 |
-0.53 |
-19% |
Flyweight |
3 (5%) |
3 |
100 % |
4.75 |
3.54 |
1.18 |
75% |
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|
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|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
9 (14%) |
5 |
56 % |
23.45 |
-5.93 |
-0.66 |
-25% |
Bantamweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-4.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
|
0 % |
3.50 |
-3.50 |
-1.75 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
6 (9%) |
5 |
83 % |
15.95 |
1.57 |
0.26 |
10% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
27 (71%) |
19 |
70 % |
Slight Favorites |
11 (29%) |
7 |
64 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
38 |
26 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
26 (28%) |
18 |
69 % |
50-65% |
21 (23%) |
10 |
48 % |
35-50% |
11 (12%) |
4 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
35 (38%) |
5 |
14 % |
|
93 |
37 |
40 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Paul lucidmmapicks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: 8.04% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Paul lucidmmapicks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Joanderson Brito |
Jack Shore |
1.54 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Myktybek Orolbai |
Elves Brenner |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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3. |
Apr '24 |
Hayisaer Maheshate |
Gabriel Benitez |
1.44 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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4. |
Apr '24 |
Ketlen Souza |
Marnic Mann |
1.27 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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5. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
1.95 |
2.1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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6. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Pereira |
Jamahal Hill |
1.74 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
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7. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Parkin |
Mohammed Usman |
1.70 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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8. |
Mar '24 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
AJ Dobson |
1.52 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
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9. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.50 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
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10. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.91 |
2.2 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
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11. |
Feb '24 |
Amanda Lemos |
Mackenzie Dern |
1.77 |
2.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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12. |
Feb '24 |
Dan Ige |
Andre Fili |
1.57 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
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13. |
Feb '24 |
Rodolfo Vieira |
Armen Petrosyan |
1.83 |
2.4 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
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14. |
Feb '24 |
Ian Garry |
Geoff Neal |
1.44 |
4.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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15. |
Feb '24 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
Henry Cejudo |
1.54 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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16. |
Feb '24 |
Randy Brown |
Muslim Salikhov |
1.36 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:17) |
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17. |
Feb '24 |
Ilia Topuria |
Alex Volkanovski |
2.20 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
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18. |
Jan '24 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Sean Strickland |
1.87 |
2.3 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
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19. |
Jan '24 |
Jimmy Flick |
Malcolm Gordon |
2.75 |
0.25 |
Sub, R2 (1:17) |
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20. |
Jan '24 |
Marcus McGhee |
Gaston Bolanos |
1.44 |
4.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:29) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Paul lucidmmapicks: Progress Chart |
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