MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6401
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2366

MMA Handicapper Stats: Dawg MMA

Dawg MMA (Dawg_MMA2024)

MMA MHandicapper - Dawg MMA

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	64 (36%)	Right	25 (48%)	Right	13 (18%)	Right	26 (48%)
Wrong	113 (64%)	Wrong	27 (52%)	Wrong	58 (82%)	Wrong	28 (52%)
Avg Odds	3.17	Avg Odds	2.27	Avg Odds	6.89	Avg Odds	2.38
Units Bet	271.3	Units Bet	98.0	Units Bet	40.3	Units Bet	133.0
Avg Bet	1.53	Avg Bet	1.88	Avg Bet	0.57	Avg Bet	2.46
Units Profit	37.89	Units Profit	12.41	Units Profit	5.41	Units Profit	20.07
ROI %	14%	ROI %	13%	ROI %	13%	ROI %	15%

Dawg MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th May '24	UFC 301	18	-0.2	-1%	-8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)		8.3 / 9.5 (88%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	11	4.2	38%	5.1 / 4 (128%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.4 / 6.5 (-6%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	26.5	-1.9	-7%	-0.6 / 10.5 (-5%)	2.1 / 1 (213%)	-3.4 / 15 (-23%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	20	7.5	38%	4.9 / 8 (61%)	0.9 / 3 (30%)	1.7 / 9 (19%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	18.75	6.4	34%	7.0 / 8 (88%)	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	2.1 / 8 (27%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	16.5	-6.5	-39%	-2.2 / 6 (-36%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-3.3 / 9.5 (-35%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	23	0.7	3%	3.5 / 6 (59%)	-2.8 / 5 (-57%)	0.0 / 12 (0%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	25	6.0	24%	-2.0 / 10.5 (-19%)	-1.5 / 5 (-30%)	9.4 / 9.5 (99%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	8	-1.8	-22%	1.9 / 1.5 (125%)	0.9 / 2 (44%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	12.5	7.2	57%	0.7 / 4.5 (15%)	4.2 / 5 (84%)	2.3 / 3 (77%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	3	2.6	88%	2.0 / 2 (100%)	0.6 / 1 (63%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	25	15.8	63%	0.7 / 5 (14%)	6.9 / 6 (115%)	8.2 / 14 (59%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	13.5	-1.3	-10%	1.7 / 3 (58%)	-2.4 / 4.5 (-53%)	-0.7 / 6 (-11%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	13.5	-4.8	-36%	-3.6 / 7 (-51%)	4.2 / 1 (425%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	19	1.2	6%	3.0 / 6 (50%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.3 / 12.5 (-10%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	19	2.7	14%	-1.4 / 7.5 (-18%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	7.0 / 8.5 (83%)

Winning Events: 10 (63%)
Losing Events: 6 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.02 units
Most Staked On One Event: 26.50 units
Best Event: 15.81 units
Worst Event: -6.50 units
Average Event: 2.37 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.59
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.50

Dawg MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	272.25	37.9	14%	12.4 / 98 (13%)		20.1 / 133 (15%)	10 / 6 (63%)	2.37

Dawg MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dawg MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	269.25	35.3	13%	10.4 / 96 (11%)	4.8 / 40.25 (12%)	20.1 / 133 (15%)
PFL	3	2.6	88%	2.0 / 2 (100%)	0.6 / 1 (63%)

Dawg MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Slight Favorites	12 (23%)	6	50 %	28.50	-2.04	-0.17	-7%
Slight Underdogs	27 (51%)	17	63 %	50.50	23.36	0.87	46%
Big Underdogs	13 (25%)	2	15 %	17.00	-6.91	-0.53	-41%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	10 (19%)	5	50 %	17.00	5.51	0.55	32%
Co-Main Event	6 (11%)	4	67 %	13.00	5.29	0.88	41%
Position 3-5	14 (26%)	9	64 %	28.00	12.34	0.88	44%
6+ (Undercard)	23 (43%)	7	30 %	40.00	-10.73	-0.47	-27%

Dawg MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (8%)	2	50 %	7.50	-0.12	-0.03	-2%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)	1	33 %	4.50	-0.30	-0.10	-7%
Middleweight	5 (9%)	2	40 %	9.50	-1.04	-0.21	-11%
Welterweight	5 (9%)	3	60 %	8.50	3.25	0.65	38%
Lightweight	7 (13%)	4	57 %	13.50	4.75	0.68	35%
Featherweight	9 (17%)	8	89 %	20.00	18.68	2.08	93%
Bantamweight	7 (13%)	2	29 %	14.00	-6.58	-0.94	-47%
Flyweight	3 (6%)		0 %	4.50	-4.50	-1.50	-100%

Women's Fights	10 (19%)	3	30 %	16.00	-1.72	-0.17	-11%
Bantamweight	4 (8%)	1	25 %	6.50	-1.70	-0.43	-26%
Flyweight	4 (8%)	2	50 %	6.50	2.98	0.74	46%
Strawweight	2 (4%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	64 (72%)	48	75 %
Slight Favorites	22 (25%)	15	68 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (2%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %
	89	64	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	35 (27%)	23	66 %
50-65%	8 (6%)	6	75 %
35-50%	10 (8%)	2	20 %
<35% chance	75 (59%)	11	15 %
	128	42	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	24 (19%)	19	79 %	1.31	1.60	1.15	1.3 (5%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (6%)	6	75 %	1.37	1.50	1.25	0.2 (3%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.32	1.32	1.32	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	9 (7%)	3	33 %	2.60	4.50	1.50	-0.4 (-4%)
X Wins by Decision	12 (9%)	5	42 %	2.84	7.50	1.78	0.7 (5%)
X Wins in Round X	29 (23%)	3	10 %	8.86	31.00	3.00	4.2 (15%)
Others	45 (35%)	6	13 %	4.76	26.00	1.19	10.2 (23%)
	128	42	33 %	2.83			15.2 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dawg MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	19	2.7	14%	$30	$10.00	$1,000.00	$996.96
20th Jan	UFC 297	19	1.2	6%	$30	$9.97	$996.96	$978.82
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	13.5	-4.8	-36%	$30	$9.79	$978.82	$901.74
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	13.5	-1.3	-10%	$30	$9.02	$901.74	$860.00
17th Feb	UFC 298	25	15.8	63%	$30	$8.60	$860.00	$965.97
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	3	2.6	88%	$30	$9.66	$965.97	$961.33
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	12.5	7.2	57%	$30	$9.61	$961.33	$1,000.11
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	8	-1.8	-22%	$30	$10.00	$1,000.11	$952.60
9th Mar	UFC 299	25	6.0	24%	$30	$9.53	$952.60	$979.37
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	23	0.7	3%	$30	$9.79	$979.37	$956.33
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	16.5	-6.5	-39%	$30	$9.56	$956.33	$864.19
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	18.75	6.4	34%	$30	$8.64	$864.19	$889.77
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	20	7.5	38%	$30	$8.90	$889.77	$926.54
13th Apr	UFC 300	26.5	-1.9	-7%	$30	$9.27	$926.54	$879.39
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	11	4.2	38%	$30	$8.79	$879.39	$886.41
4th May	UFC 301	18	-0.2	-1%	$30	$8.86	$886.41	$854.76

ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.52% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dawg MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	David Onama	Jonathan Pearce	2.44	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '24	Karine Silva	Ariane Lipski	2.12	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (3:17)
4.	Apr '24	Victor Hugo Silva	Pedro Falcao	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.87	2	TKO, R5 (4:59)
6.	Apr '24	Jose Mariscal	Morgan Charriere	2.50	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '24	César Almeida	Dylan Budka	2.13	2	TKO, R2 (2:13)
8.	Mar '24	Manon Fiorot	Erin Blanchfield	2.62	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Nate Landwehr	Jamall Emmers	2.70	2	TKO, R1 (4:43)
10.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	2.20	2	TKO, R2 (3:17)
11.	Mar '24	Payton Talbott	Cameron Saaiman	1.91	2	TKO, R2 (0:21)
12.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.61	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '24	Christian Rodriguez	Isaac Dulgarian	2.15	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.90	1.5	TKO, R2 (2:32)
15.	Mar '24	Michael Page	Kevin Holland	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '24	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Shamil Gaziev	2.25	1.5	TKO, R4 (5:0)
17.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (0:21)
18.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.72	3	Sub, R1 (1:46)
19.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	1.90	3	TKO, R2 (3:32)
20.	Feb '24	Dan Ige	Andre Fili	1.58	3	TKO, R1 (2:43)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Iasmin Lucindo	4.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	2.70	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	3.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	May '24	Jonathan Martinez	Jose Aldo	1.75	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '24	Ernesta Kareckaite	Dione Barbosa	2.87	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '24	Holly Holm	Kayla Harrison	4.60	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:47)	No
7.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	2.17	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.65	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	3.11	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Germaine de Randamie	Norma Dumont	2.70	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '24	Andre Petroski	Jacob Malkoun	3.00	2	TKO, R2 (0:39)	No
12.	Mar '24	Montserrat Rendon	Dariya Zheleznyakova	2.60	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.72	2	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
14.	Mar '24	Tai Tuivasa	Marcin Tybura	1.80	2	Sub, R1 (4:8)	No
15.	Mar '24	Ion Cutelaba	Philipe Lins	1.79	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '24	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	3.25	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	3.21	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	2.00	2	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
19.	Feb '24	Christian Quinonez	Raoni Barcelos	2.62	1.5	Sub, R3 (2:4)	No
20.	Feb '24	Roman Kopylov	Anthony Hernandez	2.70	2	Sub, R2 (3:23)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dawg MMA: Progress Chart

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