MMA Handicapper Stats: 3rdBestMJ |
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3rdBestMJ : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 9 (60%) Losing Events: 6 (40%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.54 units Most Staked On One Event: 10.60 units Best Event: 2.77 units Worst Event: -5.31 units Average Event: -0.15 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 9.68 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -5.31 |
3rdBestMJ : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
83.15 |
-2.3 |
-3% |
0.5 / 26.3 (2%) |
|
1.5 / 24.65 (6%) |
9 / 6 (60%) |
-0.15 |
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3rdBestMJ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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3rdBestMJ : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
81.35 |
-3.2 |
-4% |
-0.4 / 24.5 (-2%) |
-4.3 / 32.2 (-13%) |
1.5 / 24.65 (6%) |
Bellator |
1.3 |
0.4 |
29% |
0.4 / 1.3 (29%) |
|
|
PFL |
0.5 |
0.5 |
105% |
0.5 / 0.5 (105%) |
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|
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3rdBestMJ : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
4 (9%) |
3 |
75 % |
4.00 |
1.54 |
0.39 |
39% |
Slight Underdogs |
21 (46%) |
10 |
48 % |
14.05 |
2.47 |
0.12 |
18% |
Big Underdogs |
21 (46%) |
4 |
19 % |
8.25 |
-3.51 |
-0.17 |
-43% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
12 (26%) |
7 |
58 % |
7.15 |
2.94 |
0.25 |
41% |
Co-Main Event |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
0.90 |
-0.90 |
-0.45 |
-100% |
Position 3-5 |
14 (30%) |
4 |
29 % |
6.65 |
-0.56 |
-0.04 |
-8% |
6+ (Undercard) |
18 (39%) |
6 |
33 % |
11.60 |
-0.99 |
-0.06 |
-9% |
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3rdBestMJ : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (9%) |
2 |
50 % |
3.30 |
0.29 |
0.07 |
9% |
Light Heavy |
5 (11%) |
3 |
60 % |
3.15 |
1.78 |
0.36 |
57% |
Middleweight |
7 (15%) |
3 |
43 % |
3.30 |
0.69 |
0.10 |
21% |
Welterweight |
4 (9%) |
1 |
25 % |
2.10 |
-1.07 |
-0.27 |
-51% |
Lightweight |
6 (13%) |
2 |
33 % |
3.30 |
-0.12 |
-0.02 |
-4% |
Featherweight |
3 (7%) |
|
0 % |
1.40 |
-1.40 |
-0.47 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
6 (13%) |
1 |
17 % |
3.55 |
-1.64 |
-0.27 |
-46% |
Flyweight |
6 (13%) |
3 |
50 % |
3.25 |
1.46 |
0.24 |
45% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
5 (11%) |
2 |
40 % |
2.95 |
0.52 |
0.10 |
18% |
Flyweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.25 |
0.50 |
0.25 |
40% |
Strawweight |
3 (7%) |
1 |
33 % |
1.70 |
0.02 |
0.01 |
1% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
34 (69%) |
26 |
76 % |
Slight Favorites |
15 (31%) |
11 |
73 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
49 |
37 |
76 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
16 (11%) |
12 |
75 % |
50-65% |
18 (12%) |
6 |
33 % |
35-50% |
22 (15%) |
7 |
32 % |
<35% chance |
92 (62%) |
12 |
13 % |
|
148 |
37 |
25 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail 3rdBestMJ 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
3.05 |
-2.1 |
-67% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$979.50 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
3.35 |
2.7 |
79% |
|
$9.80 |
$979.50 |
$1,005.52 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
9.35 |
2.6 |
28% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,005.52 |
$1,031.56 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
10.6 |
2.4 |
23% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.56 |
$1,056.73 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
3.85 |
1.5 |
38% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,056.73 |
$1,072.23 |
7th Mar |
PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season |
0.5 |
0.5 |
105% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.23 |
$1,077.86 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
10.15 |
-5.3 |
-52% |
|
$10.78 |
$1,077.86 |
$1,020.61 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
4.2 |
0.3 |
8% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,020.61 |
$1,024.17 |
22nd Mar |
Bellator Champions Series |
1.3 |
0.4 |
29% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.17 |
$1,028.06 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
3.4 |
-0.3 |
-8% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,028.06 |
$1,025.20 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
6.35 |
2.8 |
44% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,025.20 |
$1,053.54 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
7.3 |
-4.1 |
-56% |
|
$10.54 |
$1,053.54 |
$1,010.61 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
10.15 |
1.3 |
12% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,010.61 |
$1,023.32 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
4.65 |
-3.0 |
-64% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,023.32 |
$992.93 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
4.95 |
-2.0 |
-40% |
|
$9.93 |
$992.93 |
$973.07 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
3rdBestMJ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Steve Erceg |
Alexandre Pantoja |
2.62 |
0.6 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Jamie Mullarkey |
Mauricio Ruffy |
2.87 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Paul Craig |
Caio Borralho |
5.50 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (2:10) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Tim Means |
Uros Medic |
3.40 |
0.4 |
TKO, R1 (2:9) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Jim Miller |
Bobby Green |
2.50 |
0.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.10 |
0.8 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
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7. |
Apr '24 |
Sodiq Yusuff |
Diego Lopes |
2.20 |
0.8 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
No |
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8. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.87 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Chris Curtis |
Brendan Allen |
2.87 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.50 |
0.7 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
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11. |
Mar '24 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
2.87 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '24 |
Amanda Ribas |
Rose Namajunas |
2.75 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Isaiah Pinson |
Abraham Bably |
2.50 |
0.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Cameron Saaiman |
Payton Talbott |
2.30 |
0.7 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Marlon Vera |
Sean O'Malley |
3.25 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Kyler Phillips |
2.87 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.91 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
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18. |
Mar '24 |
Gilbert Burns |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.30 |
0.7 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
No |
|
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19. |
Mar '24 |
Bekzat Almakhan |
Umar Nurmagomedov |
9.00 |
0.15 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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20. |
Mar '24 |
Alex Perez |
Muhammad Mokaev |
3.75 |
0.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
3rdBestMJ : Progress Chart |
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