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MMA Handicapper Stats: UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG

UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG (UFCProveMeWrong)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	50 (60%)	Right	45 (64%)	Right	4 (50%)	Right	1 (17%)
Wrong	34 (40%)	Wrong	25 (36%)	Wrong	4 (50%)	Wrong	5 (83%)
Avg Odds	1.71	Avg Odds	1.57	Avg Odds	2.65	Avg Odds	3.73
Units Bet	318.4	Units Bet	257.9	Units Bet	29.0	Units Bet	31.5
Avg Bet	3.79	Avg Bet	3.68	Avg Bet	3.63	Avg Bet	5.25
Units Profit	10.52	Units Profit	11.02	Units Profit	8.50	Units Profit	-9.00
ROI %	3%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	29%	ROI %	-29%

UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th May '24	UFC 301	18.4	-2.0	-11%	-2.0 / 18.4 (-11%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	2	2.8	140%	2.8 / 2 (140%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	31	0.2	1%	2.7 / 28.5 (10%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	68	-32.4	-48%	-26.9 / 58 (-46%)	-1.5 / 6 (-25%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	50	17.5	35%	17.5 / 50 (35%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	20	-20.0	-100%			-20.0 / 20 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	63	1.8	3%	4.8 / 60 (8%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	66	42.6	65%	12.1 / 41 (29%)	13.0 / 20 (65%)	17.5 / 5 (350%)

Winning Events: 5 (63%)
Losing Events: 3 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 39.80 units
Most Staked On One Event: 68.00 units
Best Event: 42.58 units
Worst Event: -32.39 units
Average Event: 1.32 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 44.33
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -32.39

UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	318.4	10.5	3%	11.0 / 257.9 (4%)		-9.0 / 31.5 (-29%)	5 / 3 (63%)	1.32

UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	318.4	10.5	3%	11.0 / 257.9 (4%)	8.5 / 29 (29%)	-9.0 / 31.5 (-29%)

UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	34 (48%)	27	79 %	148.00	19.12	0.56	13%
Slight Favorites	22 (31%)	12	55 %	78.50	-16.60	-0.75	-21%
Slight Underdogs	10 (14%)	3	30 %	22.90	-2.86	-0.29	-12%
Big Underdogs	5 (7%)	3	60 %	8.50	11.36	2.27	134%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (8%)	1	17 %	24.00	-17.00	-2.83	-71%
Co-Main Event	5 (7%)	4	80 %	18.00	11.97	2.39	67%
Position 3-5	18 (25%)	12	67 %	59.00	7.80	0.43	13%
6+ (Undercard)	42 (59%)	28	67 %	156.90	8.25	0.20	5%

UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (4%)	2	67 %	13.00	-0.90	-0.30	-7%
Light Heavy	4 (6%)		0 %	11.50	-11.50	-2.88	-100%
Middleweight	6 (8%)	5	83 %	15.00	5.69	0.95	38%
Welterweight	4 (6%)	3	75 %	19.00	3.82	0.96	20%
Lightweight	14 (20%)	13	93 %	44.50	23.96	1.71	54%
Featherweight	9 (13%)	5	56 %	33.50	-4.40	-0.49	-13%
Bantamweight	8 (11%)	6	75 %	33.50	10.00	1.25	30%
Flyweight	9 (13%)	4	44 %	35.50	-11.64	-1.29	-33%

Women's Fights	14 (20%)	7	50 %	52.40	-4.01	-0.29	-8%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	8.50	-1.50	-0.75	-18%
Flyweight	5 (7%)	2	40 %	18.40	1.49	0.30	8%
Strawweight	6 (8%)	4	67 %	20.50	1.00	0.17	5%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	9 (69%)	6	67 %
Slight Favorites	2 (15%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (15%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	13	6	46 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	2 (15%)	2	100 %
35-50%	8 (62%)	5	63 %
<35% chance	3 (23%)	0	0 %
	13	7	54 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Goes to Decision	1 (8%)	1	100 %	1.80	1.80	1.80	0.8 (80%)
X Wins by KO	1 (8%)	0	0 %	2.20	2.20	2.20	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (31%)	2	50 %	2.31	2.50	2.25	0.5 (13%)
X Wins by Decision	5 (38%)	4	80 %	2.42	3.60	1.80	4.1 (82%)
Others	2 (15%)	0	0 %	3.50	3.50	3.50	-2.0 (-100%)
	13	7	54 %	2.42			2.4 (18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
17th Feb	UFC 298	66	42.6	65%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,425.80
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	63	1.8	3%		$14.26	$1,425.80	$1,450.75
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	20	-20.0	-100%		$14.51	$1,450.75	$1,160.60
9th Mar	UFC 299	50	17.5	35%		$11.61	$1,160.60	$1,363.71
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	68	-32.4	-48%		$13.64	$1,363.71	$922.00
13th Apr	UFC 300	31	0.2	1%		$9.22	$922.00	$924.17
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	2	2.8	140%		$9.24	$924.17	$950.05
4th May	UFC 301	18.4	-2.0	-11%		$9.50	$950.05	$931.47

ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.85% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Ismael Bonfim	Vinc Pichel	1.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '24	Mauricio Ruffy	Jamie Mullarkey	1.50	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:42)
3.	May '24	Drakkar Klose	Joaquim Silva	1.57	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	May '24	Myktybek Orolbai	Elves Brenner	1.40	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	May '24	Joanderson Brito	Jack Shore	1.58	2	TKO, R2 (3:35)
6.	May '24	Michel Pereira	Ihor Potieria	1.16	0.5	Sub, R1 (0:54)
7.	Apr '24	David Onama	Jonathan Pearce	2.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '24	Deiveson Figueiredo	Cody Garbrandt	3.50	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:2)
9.	Apr '24	Bobby Green	Jim Miller	1.57	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '24	Jessica Andrade	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.72	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '24	Renato Moicano	Jalin Turner	3.00	2	TKO, R2 (4:11)
12.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.58	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Apr '24	Bo Nickal	Cody Brundage	1.05	1	Sub, R2 (3:38)
14.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.37	2	TKO, R5 (4:59)
15.	Apr '24	Weili Zhang	Yan Xiaonan	1.22	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Mar '24	Thiago Moises	Mitch Ramirez	1.25	5	TKO, R3 (0:15)
17.	Mar '24	Jafel Filho	Ode Osbourne	1.62	3	Sub, R1 (4:27)
18.	Mar '24	Mike Davis	Natan Levy	1.20	5	Sub, R2 (1:43)
19.	Mar '24	Gerald Meerschaert	Bryan Barberena	1.40	5	Sub, R2 (4:23)
20.	Mar '24	Macy Chiasson	Pannie Kianzad	1.40	5	Sub, R1 (3:54)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Ernesta Kareckaite	Dione Barbosa	2.80	0.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Iasmin Lucindo	1.25	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '24	Kevin Borjas	Alessandro Costa	2.10	1.5	TKO, R2 (1:35)	No
4.	May '24	Ernesta Kareckaite	Dione Barbosa	2.80	0.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '24	Paul Craig	Caio Borralho	5.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:10)	No
6.	May '24	Vitor Petrino	Anthony Smith	1.18	0.5	Sub, R1 (2:0)	No
7.	May '24	Jonathan Martinez	Jose Aldo	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	2.62	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	1.66	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
10.	Apr '24	Holly Holm	Kayla Harrison	1.22	3.5	Sub, R2 (1:47)	No
11.	Apr '24	Aleksandar Rakic	Jiri Prochazka	2.00	3	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
12.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.87	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.10	3	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
14.	Mar '24	Charalampos Grigoriou	Chad Anheliger	1.58	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '24	Cory McKenna	Jaqueline Amorim	1.58	5	Sub, R1 (1:38)	No
16.	Mar '24	Joshua Culibao	Danny Silva	1.53	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '24	Josiane Nunes	Chelsea Chandler	1.80	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Mar '24	Isaac Dulgarian	Christian Rodriguez	1.57	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Mar '24	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Ovince St Preux	1.14	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '24	Tai Tuivasa	Marcin Tybura	1.90	5	Sub, R1 (4:8)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

UFCHAMMER PROVEMEWRONG: Progress Chart

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