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MMA Handicapper Stats: Gus B

Gus B (gusb2003)

MMA MHandicapper - Gus B

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	26 (38%)	Right	13 (48%)	Right	8 (40%)	Right	5 (23%)
Wrong	43 (62%)	Wrong	14 (52%)	Wrong	12 (60%)	Wrong	17 (77%)
Avg Odds	3.01	Avg Odds	2.61	Avg Odds	3.69	Avg Odds	3.08
Units Bet	152.7	Units Bet	77.0	Units Bet	21.2	Units Bet	54.5
Avg Bet	2.21	Avg Bet	2.85	Avg Bet	1.06	Avg Bet	2.48
Units Profit	-5.54	Units Profit	-0.92	Units Profit	4.90	Units Profit	-9.52
ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-1%	ROI %	23%	ROI %	-17%

Gus B: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th May '24	UFC 301	34.5	3.2	9%	-2.9 / 15 (-20%)	7.5 / 12.5 (60%)	-1.4 / 7 (-20%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	19	14.0	74%	18.0 / 15 (120%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Apr '24	Oktagon 56	2.5	2.7	107%	1.2 / 1.5 (77%)		1.5 / 1 (151%)
20th Apr '24	Cage Warriors 171	2	-2.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Apr '24	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	5.5	1.2	22%	1.0 / 2.5 (39%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.2 / 2 (62%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	30.5	-13.5	-44%	-11.7 / 16 (-73%)	0.2 / 5.5 (4%)	-2.1 / 9 (-23%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	12.5	-12.5	-100%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)		-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	28	-7.5	-27%	3.5 / 17 (21%)		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
29th Mar '24	LFA 180	0.25	-0.3	-100%			-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	17.4	9.6	55%		-0.8 / 1.2 (-65%)	10.4 / 16.2 (64%)

Winning Events: 5 (45%)
Losing Events: 6 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.88 units
Most Staked On One Event: 34.50 units
Best Event: 13.99 units
Worst Event: -13.53 units
Average Event: -0.50 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 19.84
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -34.23

Gus B: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	152.65	-5.5	-4%	-0.9 / 77 (-1%)		-9.5 / 54.45 (-17%)	5 / 6 (45%)	-0.50

Gus B: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Gus B: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	141.9	-6.7	-5%	-2.0 / 72 (-3%)	5.9 / 20.2 (29%)	-10.5 / 49.7 (-21%)
PFL	6	0.7	12%	1.0 / 2.5 (39%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.7 / 2.5 (29%)
Other	4.75	0.4	9%	0.2 / 2.5 (6%)		0.3 / 2.25 (12%)

Gus B: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	3 (11%)	2	67 %	10.50	-2.70	-0.90	-26%
Slight Underdogs	17 (63%)	9	53 %	46.50	13.13	0.77	28%
Big Underdogs	7 (26%)	2	29 %	20.00	-11.35	-1.62	-57%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (11%)	2	67 %	8.00	3.65	1.22	46%
Co-Main Event	3 (11%)	3	100 %	9.00	12.78	4.26	142%
Position 3-5	7 (26%)	1	14 %	24.50	-17.15	-2.45	-70%
6+ (Undercard)	14 (52%)	7	50 %	35.50	-0.20	-0.01	-1%

Gus B: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	1 (4%)	1	100 %	3.00	5.55	5.55	185%
Middleweight	6 (22%)		0 %	16.50	-16.50	-2.75	-100%
Welterweight	2 (7%)	1	50 %	4.00	2.30	1.15	58%
Lightweight	5 (19%)	3	60 %	19.50	-3.26	-0.65	-17%
Featherweight	5 (19%)	3	60 %	12.50	3.46	0.69	28%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	3.00	3.93	3.93	131%
Flyweight	3 (11%)	1	33 %	8.00	-2.80	-0.93	-35%

Women's Fights	4 (15%)	3	75 %	10.50	6.40	1.60	61%
Flyweight	3 (11%)	2	67 %	7.50	1.60	0.53	21%
Strawweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	3.00	4.80	4.80	160%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	24 (50%)	15	63 %
Slight Favorites	13 (27%)	12	92 %
Slight Underdogs	9 (19%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	2 (4%)	0	0 %
	48	27	56 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (21%)	3	50 %
50-65%	3 (10%)	3	100 %
35-50%	6 (21%)	4	67 %
<35% chance	14 (48%)	2	14 %
	29	12	41 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (14%)	2	50 %	1.60	2.30	1.40	-1.1 (-29%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (17%)	2	40 %	1.74	3.00	1.36	-1.1 (-23%)
X Wins by KO	3 (10%)	2	67 %	2.36	7.00	1.77	0.5 (18%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (10%)	0	0 %	6.26	13.00	4.25	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (10%)	2	67 %	2.55	4.50	2.10	1.2 (40%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.95	1.95	1.95	1.0 (95%)
X Wins in Round X	5 (17%)	0	0 %	12.61	15.00	10.50	-5.0 (-100%)
Others	5 (17%)	3	60 %	3.23	13.00	2.20	3.6 (72%)
	29	12	41 %	2.69			-4.0 (-14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Gus B's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	17.4	9.6	55%	$20	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,076.49
29th Mar	LFA 180	0.25	-0.3	-100%		$10.76	$1,076.49	$1,073.80
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	28	-7.5	-27%		$10.74	$1,073.80	$993.80
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.94	$993.80	$988.83
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	12.5	-12.5	-100%		$9.89	$988.83	$865.23
13th Apr	UFC 300	30.5	-13.5	-44%		$8.65	$865.23	$748.18
19th Apr	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	5.5	1.2	22%		$7.48	$748.18	$757.13
20th Apr	Cage Warriors 171	2	-2.0	-100%		$7.57	$757.13	$741.99
20th Apr	Oktagon 56	2.5	2.7	107%		$7.42	$741.99	$761.78
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	19	14.0	74%	$20	$7.62	$761.78	$848.36
4th May	UFC 301	34.5	3.2	9%	$20	$8.48	$848.36	$855.34

ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Gus B: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Jose Aldo	Jonathan Martinez	2.31	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '24	Joanderson Brito	Jack Shore	1.71	3	TKO, R2 (3:35)
3.	Apr '24	Chris Padilla	James Llontop	4.30	1	Sub, R1 (4:33)
4.	Apr '24	Austin Hubbard	Michal Figlak	2.53	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Apr '24	Alex Perez	Matheus Nicolau	2.60	2	TKO, R2 (2:16)
6.	Apr '24	David Onama	Jonathan Pearce	2.45	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '24	Bogdan Guskov	Ryan Spann	2.85	3	TKO, R2 (3:16)
8.	Apr '24	Aitana Alvarez	Megan Morris	1.77	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '24	Kai Kamaka	Bubba Jenkins	2.31	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '24	Renato Moicano	Jalin Turner	2.90	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:11)
11.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	2.10	3	TKO, R2 (3:17)
12.	Mar '24	Virna Jandiroba	Lupita Godinez	2.60	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '24	Manon Fiorot	Erin Blanchfield	2.15	3	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	2.69	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	Yes
2.	May '24	Kevin Borjas	Alessandro Costa	2.13	3	TKO, R2 (1:35)	No
3.	May '24	Ihor Potieria	Michel Pereira	4.95	3	Sub, R1 (0:54)	No
4.	Apr '24	Ariane Lipski	Karine Silva	2.30	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Mush Aslani	Khadim Dia	2.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '24	Neiman Gracie	Goiti Yamauchi	3.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '24	Cody Brundage	Bo Nickal	12.00	0.5	Sub, R2 (3:38)	No
8.	Apr '24	Calvin Kattar	Aljamain Sterling	2.45	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Trevor Peek	Charlie Campbell	2.70	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	3.11	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '24	Dylan Budka	César Almeida	1.61	6	TKO, R2 (2:13)	No
12.	Mar '24	Herbert Burns	Julio Arce	4.50	2	TKO, R2 (2:0)	No
13.	Mar '24	Andre Petroski	Jacob Malkoun	2.70	3	TKO, R2 (0:39)	No
14.	Mar '24	Rhys McKee	Chidi Njokuani	2.65	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Gus B: Progress Chart

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