Straight Pick Stats
Picks
Correct
% Correct
Units Bet
Units Profit
Profit per Pick
ROI
Big Favorites
34 (8%)
25
74 %
59.90
4.88
0.14
8%
Slight Favorites
144 (34%)
79
55 %
160.44
4.08
0.03
3%
Slight Underdogs
161 (38%)
64
40 %
126.45
11.46
0.07
9%
Big Underdogs
85 (20%)
27
32 %
54.28
7.04
0.08
13%
Progress Chart
framework 3.3.1.sr2.19840 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -52.0 -26.0 0.0 26.0 52.0 78.0 Unit Profit Latest Events Straight Picks Parlays Props Overall Profit MMA Handicapper Performance Over Time
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domadilla 's MMA Handicapper Bio
I have been following UFC since the early days (no gloves!). I am primarily a value bettor - this means I'm generally looking for skewed odds and I usually bet when I think the odds are off due to factors such as recency bias or fighter popularity.
Note on my general pick methodology:
- Starting point is the statistics on ufcstats.com for fighters with >5 but ideally >10 fights
- Second port of call is tape study to better understand the paths to victory for each fighter
- If no definitive conclusion then take insights/information from the community/pods
- Revisit initial picks and line movement throughout the week
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by domadilla
Props and Parlays
Unit
Bet
0.75
UFC 314 , Miami, Florida, 12th Apr '25
domadilla 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings .
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Raul Rosas Jr vs Vincent Morales
Rosas Jr to win
W
1.33
Pi
Jamall Emmers vs Gabriel Miranda
Emmers to win
W
1.36
Parlay Odds:
1.81
0.5
0.40
$4.04
81%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Julia Polastri vs Lupita Godinez
Godinez to win
W
1.53
Pi
Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg
Moreno to win
W
1.53
Parlay Odds:
2.34
0.5
0.67
$6.70
134%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg
Moreno wins in round 4,5 or by Dec
W
1.91
0.5
0.46
$4.55
91%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg
Moreno wins in round 4,5 or by Dec
W
1.91
1
0.91
$9.10
91%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
2.50
2.44
$24.40
98%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
4.00
3.43
$34.30
86%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Leon Edwards vs Sean Brady
Fight doesn't go to decision
W
2.40
0.5
0.70
$7.00
140%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Marcin Tybura vs Michael Parkin
(scorecards = no action)
NA
2.10
0.5
0.00
$0.00
0%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
1.00
0.70
$7.00
70%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
4.50
0.33
$3.30
7%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
3.00
2.57
$25.70
86%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Rei Tsuruya vs Joshua Van
Van to win
W
1.53
Pi
Bobby Green vs Mauricio Ruffy
Ruffy to win
W
1.20
Parlay Odds:
1.84
1
0.84
$8.36
84%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Alex Pereira vs Magomed Ankalaev
Over 2.5 rounds
W
1.62
1.5
0.93
$9.30
62%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
2.50
1.77
$17.66
71%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
6.00
4.27
$42.66
71%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Ricardo Ramos vs Jose Mariscal
Mariscal to win
W
1.22
Pi
Danny Barlow vs Sam Patterson
Barlow to win
L
1.33
Parlay Odds:
1.62
1
-1.00
$-10.00
-100%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
1.00
-1.00
$-10.00
-100%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
2.75
-2.75
$-27.50
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Brendan Allen vs Anthony Hernandez
Hernandez to win
W
1.33
Pi
Rob Font vs Jean Matsumoto
Matsumoto to win
L
1.67
Parlay Odds:
2.22
1
-1.00
$-10.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Modestas Bukauskas vs Raffael Cerqueira
Over 1.5 rounds
L
1.90
Pi
Nursulton Ruziboev vs Eric McConico
Ruziboev to win
W
1.36
Parlay Odds:
2.58
1
-1.00
$-10.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Brendan Allen vs Anthony Hernandez
Hernandez to win
W
1.33
Pr
Ion Cutelaba vs Ibo Aslan
Over 1.5 rounds
L
1.90
Parlay Odds:
2.53
0.5
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Brendan Allen vs Anthony Hernandez
Hernandez wins by decision
W
2.30
0.5
0.65
$6.50
130%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Henry Cejudo vs Yadong Song
Song wins in round 4,5 or by Dec
L
1.91
0.5
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Ricky Simon vs Javid Basharat
Simon wins by split / majority decision
L
8.50
0.1
-0.10
$-1.00
-100%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
3.60
-2.45
$-24.50
-68%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
4.85
-1.39
$-13.95
-29%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Jared Cannonier vs Gregory Rodrigues
Rodrigues to win
L
1.44
Pi
Calvin Kattar vs Youssef Zalal
Zalal to win
W
1.22
Pi
Julia Avila vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Cavalcanti to win
W
1.20
Parlay Odds:
2.11
1
-1.00
$-10.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Jared Cannonier vs Gregory Rodrigues
Rodrigues wins inside distance
L
1.80
1
-1.00
$-10.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Ismael Bonfim vs Nazim Sadykhov
Sadykhov (scorecards = no action)
W
2.30
0.5
0.65
$6.50
130%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
2.50
-1.35
$-13.50
-54%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
4.75
-2.85
$-28.50
-60%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
9.25
-0.18
$-1.80
-2%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Abubakar Vagaev vs Albert Tumenov
Over 0.5 rounds
W
2.00
0.5
0.50
$5.00
100%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
0.50
0.50
$5.00
100%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
0.50
0.50
$5.00
100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Israel Adesanya vs Nassourdine Imavov
Adesanya wins in round 4,5 or by Dec
L
2.20
0.5
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Mayra Bueno Silva
Fight doesn't go the distance
L
3.00
0.25
-0.25
$-2.50
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Sergey Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Fight starts round 2
W
2.10
0.25
0.28
$2.75
110%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
1.00
-0.47
$-4.75
-47%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
3.75
-1.35
$-13.50
-36%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Kevin Holland vs Reinier de Ridder
de Ridder (scorecards = no action)
W
2.10
0.5
0.55
$5.50
110%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
0.50
0.55
$5.50
110%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
2.75
1.15
$11.50
42%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Punahele Soriano vs Uros Medic
Soriano (scorecards = no action)
W
2.88
1
1.88
$18.80
188%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Amanda Ribas vs Mackenzie Dern
Ribas wins in round 4,5 or by Dec
L
1.84
0.5
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Chris Curtis vs Roman Kopylov
Curtis (scorecards = no action)
L
2.10
0.5
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
2.00
0.88
$8.80
44%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
4.00
1.72
$17.25
43%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Adrian Yanez vs Daniel Marcos
Yanez (scorecards = no action)
NA
2.40
0.5
0.00
$0.00
0%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Michael Johnson vs Ottman Azaitar
Azaitar (scorecards = no action)
L
2.50
0.5
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Colby Covington vs Joaquin Buckley
Covington wins in round 4,5 or by Dec
L
4.00
0.25
-0.25
$-2.50
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Adrian Yanez vs Daniel Marcos
Yanez (scorecards = no action)
NA
2.50
0.5
0.00
$0.00
0%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
1.75
-0.75
$-7.50
-43%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
2.50
-1.50
$-15.00
-60%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Garry
Rakhmonov to win
W
1.30
Pi
Bryce Mitchell vs Kron Gracie
Mitchell to win
W
1.18
Parlay Odds:
1.53
2
1.07
$10.68
53%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Garry
Fight starts round 3
W
1.57
3
1.71
$17.10
57%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Asakura
Fight starts round 2
W
1.30
Pr
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Ian Garry
Fight starts round 2
W
1.25
Parlay Odds:
1.63
3
1.88
$18.75
63%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
8.00
4.65
$46.53
58%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
12.00
2.28
$22.83
19%
Pick
Opponent
Odds
Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI
Kenan Song
Muslim Salikhov
L
2.88
0.5
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:
2.88
0.50
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Petr Yan vs Deiveson Figueiredo
Yan wins in round 4,5 or by Dec
W
1.83
1
0.83
$8.30
83%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Petr Yan vs Deiveson Figueiredo
Yan to win
W
1.40
Pi
Yan Xiaonan vs Tabatha Ricci
Xiaonan to win
W
1.50
Parlay Odds:
2.10
1
1.10
$11.00
110%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
2.00
1.93
$19.30
96%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
2.50
1.43
$14.30
57%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
5.50
-0.68
$-6.75
-12%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Marc-Andre Barriault vs Dustin Stoltzfus
Barriault to win
L
1.50
0.5
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
0.50
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
2.25
-1.35
$-13.50
-60%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pr
Ilia Topuria vs Max Holloway
Fight starts round 4
L
1.80
1.5
-1.50
$-15.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Geoff Neal vs Rafael dos Anjos
Neal to win
W
1.33
Pi
Myktybek Orolbai vs Mateusz Rebecki
Orolbai to win
L
1.33
Parlay Odds:
1.77
1
-1.00
$-10.00
-100%
Fight
Pick
Odds
PrPi
Abusupiyan Magomedov vs Brunno Ferreira
Ferreira (scorecards = no action)
L
2.10
0.5
-0.50
$-5.00
-100%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
3.00
-3.00
$-30.00
-100%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
4.00
-4.00
$-40.00
-100%
Pick
Opponent
Odds
Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI
Darren Elkins
Daniel Pineda
W
2.00
0.5
0.50
$5.00
100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:
2.00
0.50
0.50
$5.00
100%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
0.50
0.50
$5.00
100%
Pick
Opponent
Odds
Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI
Pat Sabatini
Jonathan Pearce
W
2.60
0.6
0.96
$9.60
160%
Straight Pick Event Totals:
2.60
0.60
0.96
$9.60
160%
Fight
Pick
Odds
Pi
Niko Price vs Themba Gorimbo
Gorimbo to win
W
1.30
Pi
Brandon Royval vs Tatsuro Taira
Taira to win
L
1.33
Parlay Odds:
1.73
1
-1.00
$-10.00
-100%
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:
1.00
-1.00
$-10.00
-100%
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):
1.60
-0.04
$-0.40
-3%
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