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Straight Pick Stats
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Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
79 (13%) |
55 |
70 % |
265.30 |
8.84 |
0.11 |
3% |
Slight Favorites |
206 (35%) |
112 |
54 % |
506.72 |
-14.91 |
-0.07 |
-3% |
Slight Underdogs |
229 (39%) |
110 |
48 % |
401.37 |
31.71 |
0.14 |
8% |
Big Underdogs |
79 (13%) |
18 |
23 % |
92.42 |
-29.57 |
-0.37 |
-32% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper Bio
|
2021 was my first full year taping, betting and tracking every UFC event, I am still adjusting and tweaking a few things with my betting style, but I believe I have an eye for the tape and I'm looking to match or beat my 2021 results (150 units profit) I 2022.
I will stick mostly to the UFC as I feel there is less variance, and it allows me to spend more time on each fight.
I look at it as there being, give or take, 12 fights a week, and roughly 40 events a year, this isn't like football or tennis where there are games to bet all day everyday. It's a limited opportunity, so make the most of every event and hopefully find a bet on most fights. |
Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by TheMMA Casual |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Unit Bet |
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1. Paid Pick (made 05 May 08:40 PM GMT) | Hidden | Hidden | Hidden |
2. Paid Pick (made 06 May 03:03 PM GMT) | Hidden | Hidden | Hidden |
3. Paid Pick (made 05 May 01:44 PM GMT) | Hidden | Hidden | Hidden |
Props and Parlays |
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Unit
Bet |
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Paid Pick: Hidden Prop Bet (General Prop Bet).
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Buy TheMMA Casual's MMA Picks! |
Click below to purchase this handicapper's paid picks for $5.00
You will be able to view any more paid picks they make between now and the next event for no extra charge. The next event is
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento (11 May, 2024, 10:00 PM GMT)
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TheMMA Casual's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
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Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
UFC 301, Rio de Janeiro,
4th May '24 |
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg |
Under 3.5 rounds |
L |
2.15 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Dione Barbosa vs Ernesta Kareckaite |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
7.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dione Barbosa vs Ernesta Kareckaite |
Barbosa wins by TKO/KO |
L |
20.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.75 |
-5.75 |
$-57.50 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.75 |
-5.75 |
$-57.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Gabriel Benitez vs Hayisaer Maheshate |
Maheshate wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
3.30 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.50 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.00 |
-7.00 |
$-70.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Cody Garbrandt |
Figueiredo wins by Sub or Decision |
W |
2.10 |
|
|
1 |
1.10 |
$11.00 |
110% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sodiq Yusuff vs Diego Lopes |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.15 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.57 |
$5.75 |
115% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Sodiq Yusuff vs Diego Lopes |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
1 |
0.50 |
$5.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Charles Oliveira vs Arman Tsarukyan |
NOT Fight starts round 3 |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.50 |
-0.83 |
$-8.25 |
-15% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.50 |
-4.83 |
$-48.25 |
-51% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Dylan Budka vs César Almeida |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
2.00 |
|
|
2 |
2.00 |
$20.00 |
100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Christos Giagos |
Giagos wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
20.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Melissa Dixon vs Nora Cornolle |
Dixon wins by submission |
L |
7.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.75 |
1.25 |
$12.50 |
45% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.75 |
0.45 |
$4.50 |
8% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Chris Weidman vs Bruno Silva |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
2 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Erin Blanchfield vs Manon Fiorot |
Over 3.5 rounds |
W |
1.65 |
|
|
1 |
0.65 |
$6.50 |
65% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
55% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.00 |
1.35 |
$13.50 |
15% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Igor da Silva vs Andre Lima |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
2 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Miles Johns vs Cody Gibson |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.10 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Kurt Holobaugh vs Trey Ogden |
Ogden wins in round 3/Dec |
W |
2.20 |
|
|
0.5 |
0.60 |
$6.00 |
120% |
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|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Luis Pajuelo vs Fernando Padilla |
Fight goes the distance |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas |
Ribas wins in round 4,5 or by Dec |
L |
4.20 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas |
Namajunas wins by (T)KO round 1 |
L |
7.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.10 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-20% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.60 |
-1.63 |
$-16.30 |
-19% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Joshua Culibao |
Danny Silva |
L |
1.50 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
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Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Thiago Moises vs Mitch Ramirez |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.80 |
|
|
2 |
1.60 |
$16.00 |
80% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bryan Battle vs Ange Loosa |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
NA |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Charalampos Grigoriou vs Chad Anheliger |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.50 |
|
|
2 |
1.00 |
$10.00 |
50% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Joshua Culibao vs Danny Silva |
Culibao wins by submission |
L |
8.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Bryan Barberena vs Gerald Meerschaert |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.57 |
|
|
1 |
0.57 |
$5.70 |
57% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Bryan Battle vs Ange Loosa |
Battle wins by submission |
NA |
5.20 |
|
|
0.25 |
0.00 |
$0.00 |
0% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.50 |
2.92 |
$29.20 |
45% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
7.50 |
1.92 |
$19.20 |
26% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Joanne Wood vs Maryna Moroz |
Moroz wins by TKO/KO |
L |
15.00 |
|
|
0.1 |
-0.10 |
$-1.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Carlos Vergara vs Assu Almabaev |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.49 |
|
|
1 |
0.49 |
$4.90 |
49% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michel Pereira vs Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.45 |
|
|
1 |
1.45 |
$14.50 |
145% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Michael Page vs Kevin Holland |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
2.20 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Dustin Poirier vs Benoit Saint-Denis |
Saint-Denis wins in round 1/2 |
L |
6.50 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.60 |
0.34 |
$3.40 |
9% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.10 |
0.36 |
$3.60 |
4% |
|
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Vinicius de Oliveira vs Bernardo Sopai |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.75 |
|
|
2 |
1.50 |
$15.00 |
75% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg |
Under 1.5 rounds |
W |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
1.15 |
$11.50 |
115% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
2.65 |
$26.50 |
88% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
2.65 |
$26.50 |
88% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Brian Ortega vs Yair Rodriguez |
Over 2.5 rounds |
L |
1.66 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Victor Altamirano vs Felipe Dos Santos |
Dos Santos wins inside distance |
L |
3.25 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Mateus Mendonca vs Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
L |
1.50 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Erik Silva vs Muhammadjon Naimov |
Under 2.5 rounds |
W |
1.62 |
|
|
1 |
0.62 |
$6.20 |
62% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
4.50 |
-2.88 |
$-28.80 |
-64% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
6.50 |
-4.88 |
$-48.80 |
-75% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.25 |
-3.25 |
$-32.50 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.50 |
-0.20 |
$-2.00 |
-6% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
1.85 |
$18.50 |
37% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.50 |
4.73 |
$47.25 |
135% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jim Miller vs Gabriel Benitez |
Over 1.5 rounds |
W |
1.75 |
|
|
1 |
0.75 |
$7.50 |
75% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Farid Basharat vs Taylor Lapilus |
Lapilus wins by TKO/KO |
L |
9.00 |
|
|
0.25 |
-0.25 |
$-2.50 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Marcus McGhee vs Gaston Bolanos |
McGhee wins in round 1/2 |
W |
3.75 |
|
|
0.5 |
1.37 |
$13.75 |
275% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
PrPi |
Andrei Arlovski vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta |
Cortes-Acosta wins in round 2/3 |
L |
3.25 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.25 |
1.37 |
$13.75 |
61% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
4.75 |
0.37 |
$3.75 |
8% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-3.24 |
$-32.40 |
-27% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Ilia Topuria vs Josh Emmett |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
1.91 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
12.00 |
-12.00 |
$-120.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Tereza Bleda vs Gabriella Fernandes |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
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|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Nikolas Motta vs Manuel Torres |
Fight doesn't go the distance |
W |
1.30 |
|
|
6 |
1.80 |
$18.00 |
30% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Pat Sabatini vs Lucas Almeida |
Over 1.5 rounds |
L |
1.57 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Carlos Hernandez vs Denys Bondar |
Fight ends by sub |
L |
3.15 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
13.00 |
-5.20 |
$-52.00 |
-40% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
29.50 |
-14.20 |
$-142.00 |
-48% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-5.25 |
$-52.50 |
-35% |
|
|
Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
Cody Stamann |
Douglas Silva de Andrade |
L |
1.63 |
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
1.63 |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
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|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Jailton Junior |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
2.15 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
|
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
Pr |
Karl Williams vs Chase Sherman |
Fight ends by (T)KO |
L |
1.75 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
2.00 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
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>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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