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MMA Handicapper Stats: Trans Polygamist

Trans Polygamist (eatingwriting)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Trans Polygamist

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 58 (45%) Right 23 (42%) Right 24 (44%) Right 11 (52%)
Wrong 72 (55%) Wrong 32 (58%) Wrong 30 (56%) Wrong 10 (48%)
Avg Odds 2.39 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 2.70 Avg Odds 2.71
Units Bet 285.1 Units Bet 157.4 Units Bet 91.3 Units Bet 36.4
Avg Bet 2.19 Avg Bet 2.86 Avg Bet 1.69 Avg Bet 1.73
Units Profit 16.77 Units Profit -26.62 Units Profit 29.91 Units Profit 13.49
ROI % 6% ROI % -17% ROI % 33% ROI % 37%
View Handicapper's Profile

Trans Polygamist: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
24th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 13 8.8 68% -0.6 / 6 (-11%) 10.5 / 6 (174%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Jun '23 UFC 289 6 -6.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 12 11.2 93% 2.5 / 5 (50%) 3.7 / 5 (74%) 5.0 / 2 (249%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 7.5 -7.5 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 10.5 -3.5 -33% -0.2 / 5 (-4%) -3.3 / 5.5 (-60%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 3.5 -3.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 9.2 -3.5 -38% -7.2 / 7.2 (-100%) 3.7 / 2 (185%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 6.5 -6.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Mar '22 UFC 272 6 -6.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th Feb '22 UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 7 2.8 40% 2.8 / 7 (40%)
11th Dec '21 UFC 269 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Dec '21 UFC FN 17.35 -7.8 -45% -5.7 / 15.25 (-38%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Nov '21 UFC FN 8 5.0 63% 5.0 / 8 (63%)
6th Nov '21 UFC 268 18.5 7.4 40% 3.0 / 15 (20%) 4.4 / 3.5 (127%)
30th Oct '21 UFC 267 5 3.3 67% 3.3 / 5 (67%)
23rd Oct '21 UFC FN 29 -4.0 -14% -4.8 / 19 (-25%) 3.6 / 5 (71%) -2.8 / 5 (-55%)
16th Oct '21 UFC FN 16 -5.1 -32% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) 3.9 / 7 (56%)
9th Oct '21 UFC FN 11 3.2 29% 3.2 / 11 (29%)
2nd Oct '21 UFC FN 9 6.2 69% 2.5 / 4 (63%) 1.9 / 4 (47%) 1.9 / 1 (189%)
25th Sep '21 UFC 266 12.85 2.5 20% 2.6 / 6 (43%) -3.9 / 3.85 (-100%) 3.8 / 3 (125%)
18th Sep '21 UFC FN 17 8.9 52% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 5.7 / 7 (82%) 7.1 / 6 (119%)
4th Sep '21 UFC FN 5 2.2 45% 0.5 / 2 (25%) 1.7 / 3 (58%)
28th Aug '21 UFC FN 11.35 3.9 34% 1.1 / 5 (21%) 2.8 / 6.35 (44%)
21st Aug '21 UFC FN 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th Aug '21 UFC 265 11 7.1 64% 3.3 / 4 (83%) 3.7 / 7 (53%)
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 3.75 5.1 137% 5.1 / 3.75 (137%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 8.65 7.6 88% 2.8 / 2 (140%) 2.6 / 4.65 (55%) 2.3 / 2 (115%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 4.77 -2.2 -46% -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) -1.1 / 3.67 (-30%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 8.32 -2.6 -31% -2.0 / 4.65 (-43%) -2.4 / 2.42 (-100%) 1.9 / 1.25 (150%)


Winning Events: 15 (50%)
Losing Events: 15 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.61 units
Most Staked On One Event: 29.00 units
Best Event: 11.18 units
Worst Event: -7.83 units
Average Event: 0.56 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 26.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -30.49

Trans Polygamist: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 61.7 -4.0 -6% -14.5 / 32.2 (-45%) 8.1 / 25 (32%) 2.5 / 4.5 (55%) 2 / 5 (29%) -0.57
2022 19.5 -9.7 -50% -4.7 / 14.5 (-32%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 1 / 2 (33%) -3.23
2021 181.55 22.4 12% -13.3 / 100.25 (-13%) 23.8 / 60.3 (39%) 11.9 / 21 (57%) 10 / 6 (63%) 1.40
2020 25.49 8.0 32% 5.9 / 10.4 (57%) -1.0 / 8.17 (-12%) 3.1 / 6.92 (44%) 2 / 2 (50%) 2.01

Trans Polygamist: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Trans Polygamist: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 288.24 16.8 6% -26.6 / 157.35 (-17%) 29.9 / 94.47 (32%) 13.5 / 36.42 (37%)

Trans Polygamist: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 8 (15%) 6 75 % 43.00 3.17 0.40 7%
Slight Favorites 18 (33%) 9 50 % 60.35 -7.80 -0.43 -13%
Slight Underdogs 18 (33%) 7 39 % 40.25 -11.13 -0.62 -28%
Big Underdogs 11 (20%) 1 9 % 13.75 -10.86 -0.99 -79%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (15%) 4 50 % 26.00 4.34 0.54 17%
Co-Main Event 8 (15%) 5 63 % 24.25 1.33 0.17 5%
Position 3-5 15 (27%) 6 40 % 46.50 -9.91 -0.66 -21%
6+ (Undercard) 24 (44%) 8 33 % 60.60 -22.38 -0.93 -37%

Trans Polygamist: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 5.00 1.00 0.33 20%
Light Heavy 6 (11%) 3 50 % 25.50 -4.84 -0.81 -19%
Middleweight 7 (13%) 2 29 % 21.00 -9.24 -1.32 -44%
Welterweight 4 (7%) 2 50 % 13.00 0.58 0.15 4%
Lightweight 7 (13%) 2 29 % 20.00 -12.34 -1.76 -62%
Featherweight 8 (15%) 2 25 % 20.70 -10.70 -1.34 -52%
Bantamweight 10 (18%) 8 80 % 32.00 18.14 1.81 57%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 2.65 2.50 1.25 94%
               
Women's Fights 8 (15%) 1 13 % 17.50 -11.72 -1.47 -67%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (4%) 0 % 4.50 -4.50 -2.25 -100%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Strawweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 8.00 -2.22 -0.56 -28%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 25 (58%) 17 68 %
Slight Favorites 16 (37%) 12 75 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (5%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
43 30 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 10 (16%) 6 60 %
50-65% 13 (21%) 10 77 %
35-50% 19 (30%) 13 68 %
<35% chance 21 (33%) 1 5 %
63 30 48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 12 (19%) 7 58 % 1.71 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -0.0 (-0%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (5%) 1 33 % 2.35 3.20Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -1.3 (-44%)
Goes to Decision 6 (10%) 6 100 % 1.78 2.85Pick was correct 1.43Pick was correct 5.3 (89%)
Does not go to Decision 7 (11%) 7 100 % 1.77 2.20Pick was correct 1.45Pick was correct 5.8 (82%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (2%) 1 100 % 8.10 8.10Pick was correct 8.10Pick was incorrect 7.1 (710%)
X Wins by KO 4 (6%) 0 0 % 4.71 8.91Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (3%) 0 0 % 6.63 11.00Pick was incorrect 4.75Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (6%) 1 25 % 2.93 6.75Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -1.8 (-46%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (3%) 2 100 % 2.12 2.70Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 2.4 (122%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (5%) 0 0 % 8.26 11.50Pick was incorrect 6.05Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Others 19 (30%) 5 26 % 2.87 8.50Pick was incorrect 1.46Pick was incorrect -8.3 (-44%)
63 30 48 % 2.41     0.1 (0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Trans Polygamist's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Jul UFC 251 8.32 -2.6 -31% $10.00 $1,000.00 $974.50
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 4.77 -2.2 -46% $9.74 $974.50 $953.05
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 8.65 7.6 88% $9.53 $953.05 $1,025.94
15th Aug UFC 252 3.75 5.1 137% $10.26 $1,025.94 $1,078.65
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 6 -6.0 -100% $10.79 $1,078.65 $1,013.93
7th Aug UFC 265 11 7.1 64% $10.14 $1,013.93 $1,085.66
21st Aug UFC FN 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.86 $1,085.66 $1,069.38
28th Aug UFC FN 11.35 3.9 34% $10.69 $1,069.38 $1,110.58
4th Sep UFC FN 5 2.2 45% $11.11 $1,110.58 $1,135.57
18th Sep UFC FN 17 8.9 52% $11.36 $1,135.57 $1,236.36
25th Sep UFC 266 12.85 2.5 20% $12.36 $1,236.36 $1,267.37
2nd Oct UFC FN 9 6.2 69% $12.67 $1,267.37 $1,346.58
9th Oct UFC FN 11 3.2 29% $13.47 $1,346.58 $1,389.82
16th Oct UFC FN 16 -5.1 -32% $13.90 $1,389.82 $1,319.17
23rd Oct UFC FN 29 -4.0 -14% $13.19 $1,319.17 $1,267.01
30th Oct UFC 267 5 3.3 67% $12.67 $1,267.01 $1,309.25
6th Nov UFC 268 18.5 7.4 40% $13.09 $1,309.25 $1,406.07
13th Nov UFC FN 8 5.0 63% $14.06 $1,406.07 $1,476.79
4th Dec UFC FN 17.35 -7.8 -45% $14.77 $1,476.79 $1,361.23
11th Dec UFC 269 3 -3.0 -100% $13.61 $1,361.23 $1,320.40
19th Feb UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill 7 2.8 40% $13.20 $1,320.40 $1,357.37
5th Mar UFC 272 6 -6.0 -100% $13.57 $1,357.37 $1,275.92
11th Jun UFC 275 6.5 -6.5 -100% $12.76 $1,275.92 $1,192.99
11th Feb UFC 284 9.2 -3.5 -38% $11.93 $1,192.99 $1,151.23
4th Mar UFC 285 3.5 -3.5 -100% $11.51 $1,151.23 $1,110.94
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 10.5 -3.5 -33% $11.11 $1,110.94 $1,072.14
18th Mar UFC 286 7.5 -7.5 -100% $10.72 $1,072.14 $991.73
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 12 11.2 93% $9.92 $991.73 $1,102.62
10th Jun UFC 289 6 -6.0 -100% $11.03 $1,102.62 $1,036.47
24th Jun UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria 13 8.8 68% $10.36 $1,036.47 $1,128.01


ROI % from starting bank balance: 12.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Trans Polygamist: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '23 Mateusz Rebecki Loik Radzhabov 1.79 3 TKO, R2 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '23 Nate Landwehr Austin Lingo 1.50 5 Sub, R2 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '23 Nikita Krylov Ryan Spann 1.60 3 Sub, R1 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '22 Jamahal Hill Johnny Walker 1.40 7 TKO, R1 (2:55) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '21 Vincent Morales Louis Smolka 2.34 1.25 TKO, R1 (2:2) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '21 Jose Aldo Rob Font 2.20 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '21 Rose Namajunas Weili Zhang 1.93 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '21 Nassourdine Imavov Edmen Shahbazyan 1.91 2 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '21 Marlon Vera Frankie Edgar 1.67 5 TKO, R3 (3:50) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '21 Jonathan Martinez Zviad Lazishvili 2.10 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '21 Marvin Vettori Paulo Costa 1.59 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '21 Chris Gutierrez Felipe Colares 1.43 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '21 Randy Brown Jared Gooden 1.42 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '21 Niko Price Alex Oliveira 1.63 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '21 Julian Erosa Charles Jourdain 2.50 1 Sub, R3 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '21 Dustin Jacoby Darren Stewart 1.51 4 TKO, R1 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '21 Merab Dvalishvili Marlon Moraes 1.43 6 TKO, R2 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '21 Jose Aldo Pedro Munhoz 1.83 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '20 Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 2.00 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '20 Jennifer Maia Joanne Wood 2.50 1 Sub, R1 (4:29) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '23 Trevor Peek Jose Mariscal 1.79 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '23 Irene Aldana Amanda Nunes 3.70 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '23 Nate Landwehr Dan Ige 3.31 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '23 Roman Dolidze Marvin Vettori 3.16 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '23 Rafael Fiziev Justin Gaethje 1.42 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '23 Raphael Assuncao Davey Grant 2.24 2 Sub, R3 (4:43) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '23 Jessica Penne Tabatha Ricci 3.82 2 Sub, R2 (2:14) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '23 Randy Brown Jack Della Maddalena 3.58 2 Sub, R1 (2:13) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '23 Josh Emmett Yair Rodriguez 2.60 2 Sub, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '23 Elise Reed Loma Lookboonmee 3.67 1 Sub, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '23 Melsik Bagdasaryan Joshua Culibao 1.91 2.2 Sub, R2 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '22 Ramazan Emeev Jack Della Maddalena 2.35 2 TKO, R1 (2:32) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '22 Glover Teixeira Jiri Prochazka 2.75 3.5 Sub, R5 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '22 Yan Xiaonan Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 3.04 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '21 Chris Gruetzemacher Claudio Puelles 2.00 2.5 Sub, R3 (3:25) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '21 Alonzo Menifield William Knight 1.63 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '21 Brad Riddell Rafael Fiziev 1.91 3.5 TKO, R3 (2:20) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '21 Michael Chandler Justin Gaethje 2.65 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '21 Billy Quarantillo Shane Burgos 2.54 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '21 Jun Yong Park Gregory Rodrigues 1.97 5 TKO, R2 (3:13) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Trans Polygamist: Progress Chart
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