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MMA Handicapper Stats: Austin Swaim

Austin Swaim (aswaim3)


MMA MHandicapper - Austin Swaim

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 121 (25%) Right 45 (38%) Right 62 (20%) Right 14 (30%)
Wrong 360 (75%) Wrong 73 (62%) Wrong 255 (80%) Wrong 32 (70%)
Avg Odds 3.56 Avg Odds 2.38 Avg Odds 4.49 Avg Odds 3.08
Units Bet 398.9 Units Bet 159.2 Units Bet 177.1 Units Bet 62.7
Avg Bet 0.83 Avg Bet 1.35 Avg Bet 0.56 Avg Bet 1.36
Units Profit -49.14 Units Profit -7.42 Units Profit -23.24 Units Profit -18.48
ROI % -12% ROI % -5% ROI % -13% ROI % -30%
View Handicapper's Profile

Austin Swaim: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
4th May '24 UFC 301 29.55 -11.7 -40% -2.5 / 7.2 (-35%) -4.6 / 13.25 (-35%) -4.6 / 9.1 (-51%)
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 24.3 -5.5 -23% -5.0 / 7.5 (-67%) 2.2 / 14.1 (16%) -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 5 -2.7 -55% 0.3 / 2 (13%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 28.85 6.1 21% -0.4 / 11.5 (-3%) 3.3 / 10.25 (32%) 3.2 / 7.1 (45%)
12th Apr '24 PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season 3.55 1.0 28% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.55 (79%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 19.3 2.8 14% 3.6 / 6.15 (58%) -1.6 / 10.15 (-15%) 0.8 / 3 (25%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 21.45 -0.6 -3% -0.2 / 10.4 (-1%) -2.0 / 7.95 (-26%) 1.6 / 3.1 (52%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 19.45 -5.4 -28% -0.2 / 9.4 (-2%) -2.7 / 7.55 (-36%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 19.2 -3.2 -17% 1.7 / 7.25 (23%) -2.7 / 9.75 (-28%) -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 24.25 -1.1 -5% -0.9 / 8 (-11%) -2.0 / 15 (-13%) 1.8 / 1.25 (144%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 14.15 -9.7 -69% 0.4 / 2 (18%) -0.0 / 2.15 (-2%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 18.05 -2.8 -16% 0.9 / 8.2 (11%) -4.2 / 9.15 (-46%) 0.5 / 0.7 (72%)
24th Feb '24 PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 4.8 1.7 35% -0.3 / 2.6 (-12%) 2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 18 0.7 4% -0.3 / 6.5 (-5%) 0.7 / 9.5 (7%) 0.4 / 2 (20%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 26.3 11.3 43% 7.5 / 16.55 (45%) 4.8 / 8.75 (55%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 19.45 -2.1 -11% -1.0 / 5.8 (-17%) 1.7 / 10.85 (16%) -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 15.75 -0.2 -1% 3.3 / 5.5 (60%) -1.5 / 8.25 (-18%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.3 -6.0 -45% 1.2 / 6.05 (20%) -7.3 / 7.25 (-100%)
19th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 7 4 -2.5 -63% -2.5 / 4 (-63%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 11.25 -7.0 -62% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.8 / 7 (-39%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
12th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 6 10.8 -3.1 -28% -4.0 / 7.55 (-53%) 0.9 / 3.25 (28%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 10.65 4.5 43% 3.4 / 4.65 (73%) 2.1 / 5 (43%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 5 5.25 -3.4 -64% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.4 / 4.25 (-56%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 13.4 -1.6 -12% -5.7 / 5.65 (-100%) 3.1 / 6.75 (46%) 0.9 / 1 (93%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 2.5 1.8 71% 1.8 / 2.5 (71%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 9.5 -8.2 -87% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 0.3 / 1 (28%)
15th Aug '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 2 3.25 0.5 14% 0.0 / 1.75 (3%) 0.4 / 1.5 (27%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 8.45 -2.7 -32% -2.0 / 5.5 (-37%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%) 1.1 / 1.2 (91%)


Winning Events: 9 (32%)
Losing Events: 19 (68%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.42 units
Most Staked On One Event: 29.55 units
Best Event: 11.30 units
Worst Event: -11.70 units
Average Event: -1.76 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 13.75
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -22.84

Austin Swaim: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 311.4 -21.4 -7% 5.8 / 117.55 (5%) -18.5 / 57.2 (-32%) 6 / 11 (35%) -1.26
2023 92.35 -27.7 -30% -13.2 / 41.65 (-32%) 0.0 / 5.45 (1%) 3 / 8 (27%) -2.52

Austin Swaim: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Austin Swaim: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 367.1 -40.6 -11% -1.5 / 143.3 (-1%) -19.7 / 168.9 (-12%) -19.5 / 54.9 (-35%)
PFL 13.35 -0.0 -0% -1.0 / 5.6 (-19%) 1.0 / 7.75 (13%)
Other 23.3 -8.5 -36% -4.9 / 10.3 (-48%) -3.6 / 13 (-27%)

Austin Swaim: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (1%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.00 2.00 40%
Slight Favorites 25 (21%) 12 48 % 52.80 -4.23 -0.17 -8%
Slight Underdogs 62 (52%) 24 39 % 74.90 -5.28 -0.09 -7%
Big Underdogs 31 (26%) 8 26 % 26.50 0.09 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 15 (13%) 9 60 % 26.05 4.46 0.30 17%
Co-Main Event 13 (11%) 5 38 % 14.80 -0.71 -0.05 -5%
Position 3-5 32 (27%) 6 19 % 39.70 -17.28 -0.54 -44%
6+ (Undercard) 59 (50%) 25 42 % 78.65 6.11 0.10 8%

Austin Swaim: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (8%) 4 44 % 15.10 1.88 0.21 12%
Light Heavy 12 (10%) 4 33 % 20.20 -6.65 -0.55 -33%
Middleweight 14 (12%) 5 36 % 13.80 4.35 0.31 32%
Welterweight 12 (10%) 2 17 % 12.80 -8.40 -0.70 -66%
Lightweight 13 (11%) 8 62 % 19.00 5.81 0.45 31%
Featherweight 22 (18%) 10 45 % 23.15 6.90 0.31 30%
Bantamweight 9 (8%) 3 33 % 16.20 -4.80 -0.53 -30%
Flyweight 8 (7%) 4 50 % 10.90 2.00 0.25 18%
               
Women's Fights 20 (17%) 5 25 % 28.05 -8.51 -0.43 -30%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.25 1.25 125%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 3.55 -2.05 -0.68 -58%
Flyweight 9 (8%) 1 11 % 11.25 -6.96 -0.77 -62%
Strawweight 7 (6%) 2 29 % 12.25 -0.75 -0.11 -6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 89 (82%) 69 78 %
Slight Favorites 16 (15%) 7 44 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (2%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
108 77 71 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 10 (3%) 6 60 %
50-65% 32 (9%) 16 50 %
35-50% 47 (13%) 22 47 %
<35% chance 264 (75%) 33 13 %
353 77 22 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (3%) 4 44 % 1.69 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was correct -2.6 (-29%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (1%) 3 60 % 2.10 2.54Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was correct 0.7 (15%)
Fight Starts Round X 7 (2%) 4 57 % 1.55 2.10Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was incorrect -1.6 (-23%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (0%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 19 (5%) 2 11 % 4.73 19.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct -12.1 (-64%)
X Wins by Sub 37 (10%) 6 16 % 6.65 21.00Pick was incorrect 2.80Pick was correct -0.1 (-0%)
X Wins by Decision 53 (15%) 18 34 % 4.53 9.50Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct 30.7 (58%)
X Wins Inside Distance 55 (16%) 14 25 % 2.85 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -17.8 (-32%)
X Wins in Round X 95 (27%) 7 7 % 8.12 36.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect -34.1 (-36%)
Others 72 (20%) 19 26 % 3.14 50.99Pick was incorrect 1.18Pick was correct -18.8 (-26%)
353 77 22 % 4.01     -56.8 (-16%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Austin Swaim's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 8.45 -2.7 -32% $10.00 $1,000.00 $973.31
15th Aug Contender Series 2023: Week 2 3.25 0.5 14% $9.73 $973.31 $977.78
19th Aug UFC 292 9.5 -8.2 -87% $9.78 $977.78 $897.38
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 2.5 1.8 71% $8.97 $897.38 $913.40
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 13.4 -1.6 -12% $9.13 $913.40 $898.57
5th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 5 5.25 -3.4 -64% $8.99 $898.57 $868.24
9th Sep UFC 293 10.65 4.5 43% $8.68 $868.24 $907.61
12th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 6 10.8 -3.1 -28% $9.08 $907.61 $879.75
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 11.25 -7.0 -62% $8.80 $879.75 $818.16
19th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 7 4 -2.5 -63% $8.18 $818.16 $797.71
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.3 -6.0 -45% $7.98 $797.71 $749.53
20th Jan UFC 297 15.75 -0.2 -1% $7.50 $749.53 $748.03
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 19.45 -2.1 -11% $7.48 $748.03 $732.69
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 26.3 11.3 43% $7.33 $732.69 $815.53
17th Feb UFC 298 18 0.7 4% $8.16 $815.53 $821.63
24th Feb PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 4.8 1.7 35% $8.22 $821.63 $835.60
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 18.05 -2.8 -16% $8.36 $835.60 $812.22
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 14.15 -9.7 -69% $8.12 $812.22 $733.43
9th Mar UFC 299 24.25 -1.1 -5% $7.33 $733.43 $725.37
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 19.2 -3.2 -17% $7.25 $725.37 $702.16
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 19.45 -5.4 -28% $7.02 $702.16 $663.89
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 21.45 -0.6 -3% $6.64 $663.89 $659.94
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 19.3 2.8 14% $6.60 $659.94 $678.09
12th Apr PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season 3.55 1.0 28% $6.78 $678.09 $684.89
13th Apr UFC 300 28.85 6.1 21% $6.85 $684.89 $726.76
19th Apr PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 5 -2.7 -55% $7.27 $726.76 $706.78
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 24.3 -5.5 -23% $7.07 $706.78 $667.91
4th May UFC 301 29.55 -11.7 -40% $6.68 $667.91 $589.76


ROI % from starting bank balance: -41.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Austin Swaim: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '24 Alessandro Costa Kevin Borjas 1.74 2.7 TKO, R2 (1:35) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Austin Hubbard Michal Figlak 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Kai Kamaka Bubba Jenkins 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Max Holloway Justin Gaethje 2.50 1 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Jessica Andrade Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.80 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Jiri Prochazka Aleksandar Rakic 2.05 2 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Lukasz Brzeski Valter Walker 3.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Damon Jackson Alexander Hernandez 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Ibo Aslan Anton Turkalj 1.80 2.5 TKO, R3 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Chris Weidman Bruno Silva 3.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Nate Landwehr Jamall Emmers 2.70 1 TKO, R1 (4:43) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Julian Erosa Ricardo Ramos 2.40 2 Sub, R1 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Miles Johns Cody Gibson 1.83 2.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Danny Silva Joshua Culibao 2.60 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Chelsea Chandler Josiane Nunes 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Marcin Tybura Tai Tuivasa 2.05 2 Sub, R1 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.87 2.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.80 1 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Loik Radzhabov Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 2.35 1 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '24 Brian Ortega Yair Rodriguez 2.30 1 Sub, R3 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '24 Paul Craig Caio Borralho 5.70 0.5 TKO, R2 (2:10) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Jack Shore Joanderson Brito 2.60 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:35) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Ernesta Kareckaite Dione Barbosa 3.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Elves Brenner Myktybek Orolbai 3.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Steve Erceg Alexandre Pantoja 2.90 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Gabriel Benitez Hayisaer Maheshate 2.70 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Caio Machado (2) Don'tale Mayes 1.80 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Rani Yahya Victor Henry 4.30 1 TKO, R3 (2:36) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Ariane Lipski Karine Silva 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Enrique Barzola Adam Borics 2.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Justin Gonzales Gabriel Alves Braga 2.70 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Patricky Freire Clay Collard 2.60 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Tom Breese Rob Wilkinson 2.30 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:10) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '24 Sodiq Yusuff Diego Lopes 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '24 Morgan Charriere Jose Mariscal 1.87 1.15 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '24 Dan Argueta Jean Matsumoto 2.40 2 Sub, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Vicente Luque Joaquin Buckley 1.91 2.2 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Andre Petroski Jacob Malkoun 2.75 1 TKO, R2 (0:39) Yes MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Erin Blanchfield Manon Fiorot 1.74 2.7 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 2.00 2 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Austin Swaim: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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