MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6425
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2371

MMA Handicapper Stats: Deep Value Picks

Deep Value Picks (DeepValuePicks)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	18 (45%)	Right	15 (52%)	Right	0 (0%)	Right	3 (33%)
Wrong	22 (55%)	Wrong	14 (48%)	Wrong	2 (100%)	Wrong	6 (67%)
Avg Odds	1.99	Avg Odds	1.82	Avg Odds	3.47	Avg Odds	2.48
Units Bet	266.5	Units Bet	202.0	Units Bet	2.5	Units Bet	62.0
Avg Bet	6.66	Avg Bet	6.97	Avg Bet	1.25	Avg Bet	6.89
Units Profit	-32.38	Units Profit	-4.24	Units Profit	-2.50	Units Profit	-25.64
ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-100%	ROI %	-41%

Deep Value Picks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
31st Jul '21	Bellator 263	6	-6.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
31st Jul '21	UFC FN	48	-38.0	-79%	-27.0 / 37 (-73%)		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
24th Jul '21	UFC FN	82	-21.5	-26%	10.5 / 50 (21%)		-32.0 / 32 (-100%)
17th Jul '21	UFC FN	27	6.8	25%	3.6 / 16 (23%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	5.2 / 9 (58%)
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	45	29.2	65%	29.2 / 45 (65%)
26th Jun '21	UFC FN	16	6.2	39%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)		12.2 / 10 (122%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	10.5	-10.5	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	15	-0.5	-3%	-0.5 / 15 (-3%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	6	-6.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	11	7.9	71%	7.9 / 11 (71%)

Winning Events: 4 (40%)
Losing Events: 6 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 26.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 82.00 units
Best Event: 29.24 units
Worst Event: -38.00 units
Average Event: -3.24 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 42.25
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -65.50

Deep Value Picks : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	266.5	-32.4	-12%	-4.2 / 202 (-2%)		-25.6 / 62 (-41%)	4 / 6 (40%)	-3.24

Deep Value Picks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Deep Value Picks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	260.5	-26.4	-10%	1.8 / 196 (1%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-25.6 / 62 (-41%)
Bellator	6	-6.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)

Deep Value Picks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (28%)	5	63 %	71.00	-18.77	-2.35	-26%
Slight Favorites	10 (34%)	6	60 %	69.00	6.35	0.63	9%
Slight Underdogs	7 (24%)	3	43 %	48.00	13.57	1.94	28%
Big Underdogs	4 (14%)	1	25 %	14.00	-5.39	-1.35	-38%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (17%)	1	20 %	37.00	-24.29	-4.86	-66%
Co-Main Event	5 (17%)	3	60 %	36.00	1.47	0.29	4%
Position 3-5	7 (24%)	3	43 %	44.00	-5.00	-0.71	-11%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (41%)	8	67 %	85.00	23.59	1.97	28%

Deep Value Picks : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (7%)		0 %	11.00	-11.00	-5.50	-100%
Middleweight	4 (14%)	2	50 %	21.00	3.43	0.86	16%
Welterweight	6 (21%)	3	50 %	43.00	-19.92	-3.32	-46%
Lightweight	3 (10%)	3	100 %	25.00	12.48	4.16	50%
Featherweight	4 (14%)	1	25 %	23.00	-7.20	-1.80	-31%
Bantamweight	2 (7%)		0 %	22.00	-22.00	-11.00	-100%
Flyweight	3 (10%)	2	67 %	20.00	5.40	1.80	27%

Women's Fights	5 (17%)	4	80 %	37.00	34.57	6.91	93%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	11.00	11.55	11.55	105%
Flyweight	3 (10%)	2	67 %	20.00	19.02	6.34	95%
Strawweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	6.00	4.00	4.00	67%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	14 (67%)	5	36 %
Slight Favorites	5 (24%)	1	20 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (10%)	2	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	21	8	38 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	1 (50%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	1 (50%)	0	0 %
	2	0	0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by Decision	2 (100%)	0	0 %	3.47	13.00	2.00	-2.0 (-100%)
	2	0	0 %	3.47			-2.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Deep Value Picks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th May	UFC 262	11	7.9	71%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,078.57
5th Jun	UFC FN	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.79	$1,078.57	$1,013.86
12th Jun	UFC 263	15	-0.5	-3%		$10.14	$1,013.86	$1,009.02
19th Jun	UFC FN	10.5	-10.5	-100%		$10.09	$1,009.02	$903.07
26th Jun	UFC FN	16	6.2	39%		$9.03	$903.07	$958.93
10th Jul	UFC 264	45	29.2	65%		$9.59	$958.93	$1,239.35
17th Jul	UFC FN	27	6.8	25%		$12.39	$1,239.35	$1,323.87
24th Jul	UFC FN	82	-21.5	-26%		$13.24	$1,323.87	$1,039.19
31st Jul	UFC FN	48	-38.0	-79%		$10.39	$1,039.19	$644.30
31st Jul	Bellator 263	6	-6.0	-100%		$6.44	$644.30	$605.64

ROI % from starting bank balance: -39.44% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Deep Value Picks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '21	Cheyanne Buys	Gloria de Paula	1.67	6	TKO, R1 (1:0)
2.	Jul '21	Brendan Allen	Punahele Soriano	1.95	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '21	Maycee Barber	Miranda Maverick	2.25	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '21	Diana Belbita	Hannah Goldy	2.32	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '21	Rodolfo Vieira	Dustin Stoltzfus	1.48	2	Sub, R3 (1:54)
6.	Jul '21	Daniel Rodriguez	Preston Parsons	1.33	3	TKO, R1 (3:47)
7.	Jul '21	Islam Makhachev	Thiago Moises	1.16	11	Sub, R4 (2:38)
8.	Jul '21	Michel Pereira	Niko Price	1.60	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '21	Max Griffin	Carlos Condit	1.59	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jul '21	Jennifer Maia	Jessica Eye	1.53	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jul '21	Irene Aldana	Yana Santos	2.05	11	TKO, R1 (4:35)
12.	Jul '21	Ilia Topuria	Ryan Hall	1.44	11	TKO, R1 (4:47)
13.	Jun '21	Fares Ziam	Luigi Vendramini	1.97	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '21	Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	2.87	3	Sub, R3 (2:26)
15.	May '21	Beneil Dariush	Tony Ferguson	1.71	11	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '21	Patricio Freire	A.J. McKee	1.95	6	Sub, R1 (1:57)	No
2.	Jul '21	Collin Anglin	Melsik Bagdasaryan	2.37	3	TKO, R2 (1:50)	No
3.	Jul '21	Ryan Benoit	Zarrukh Adashev	1.77	6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '21	Bryan Barberena	Jason Witt	1.44	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jul '21	Orion Cosce	Phil Rowe	1.65	11	TKO, R2 (4:21)	No
6.	Jul '21	Kyler Phillips	Raulian Paiva	1.38	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '21	Cory Sandhagen	T.J. Dillashaw	1.51	11	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Jun '21	Nicolas Dalby	Tim Means	2.20	6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jun '21	Wellington Turman	Bruno Silva	2.20	5	TKO, R1 (4:45)	No
10.	Jun '21	Aleksei Oleinik	Sergey Spivak	3.10	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jun '21	Joanne Wood	Lauren Murphy	1.79	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '21	Hakeem Dawodu	Movsar Evloev	3.00	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '21	Marvin Vettori	Israel Adesanya	3.20	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Jun '21	Augusto Sakai	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	2.08	6	TKO, R1 (4:59)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Deep Value Picks : Progress Chart

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