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MMA Handicapper Stats: Straight Up MMA KILLER

Straight Up MMA KILLER (ArmBarUrBookie)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	123 (40%)	Right	77 (51%)	Right	36 (28%)	Right	10 (33%)
Wrong	186 (60%)	Wrong	74 (49%)	Wrong	92 (72%)	Wrong	20 (67%)
Avg Odds	2.41	Avg Odds	2.07	Avg Odds	2.81	Avg Odds	3.10
Units Bet	974.9	Units Bet	564.1	Units Bet	260.6	Units Bet	150.3
Avg Bet	3.16	Avg Bet	3.74	Avg Bet	2.04	Avg Bet	5.01
Units Profit	18.86	Units Profit	74.33	Units Profit	-45.52	Units Profit	-9.95
ROI %	2%	ROI %	13%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-7%

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th May '24	UFC 301	68.6	-23.6	-34%	-9.8 / 24 (-41%)	-0.2 / 31.1 (-1%)	-13.5 / 13.5 (-100%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	7.5	-5.3	-71%	-2.3 / 4.5 (-51%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Apr '24	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	23	11.4	49%	2.8 / 18 (15%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	10.6 / 3 (354%)
18th Apr '24	Ares FC 20	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	57.5	13.3	23%	18.7 / 35 (54%)	-0.4 / 17.5 (-3%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	46	27.4	59%	28.1 / 37 (76%)	4.3 / 4 (107%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	21.5	-6.2	-29%	-6.2 / 21.5 (-29%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	50.3	-3.9	-8%	3.1 / 17.3 (18%)	-17.0 / 23 (-74%)	10.0 / 10 (100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	19.5	-5.1	-26%	-5.1 / 19.5 (-26%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	11	14.1	128%			14.1 / 11 (128%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	45	-27.0	-60%	-25.0 / 43 (-58%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	13.25	1.5	11%	1.5 / 13.25 (11%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	14	5.8	42%	5.8 / 14 (42%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	40.6	-7.8	-19%	2.5 / 14.5 (17%)	-21.1 / 21.1 (-100%)	10.8 / 5 (215%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	23.1	9.0	39%	0.3 / 3 (8%)	2.0 / 19.1 (10%)	6.8 / 1 (677%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	16	-4.2	-26%	-4.2 / 16 (-26%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	18	0.8	4%		0.8 / 18 (4%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	17.6	0.8	4%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.3 / 13.1 (-10%)	3.6 / 3 (121%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	21	16.5	79%	9.5 / 10 (95%)	10.0 / 8 (125%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	34	-18.4	-54%	-2.2 / 14.5 (-15%)	-6.2 / 9.5 (-66%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	18	-18.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	48	20.7	43%	9.6 / 26.5 (36%)	1.7 / 16.5 (10%)	9.4 / 5 (188%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	22	-17.0	-77%	-2.0 / 7 (-29%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	55.1	-4.9	-9%	-0.0 / 21.5 (-0%)	-2.7 / 15.6 (-17%)	-2.1 / 18 (-12%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	10.2	8.2	81%	4.4 / 5 (89%)	3.8 / 5.2 (73%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	27.5	19.7	72%	8.6 / 12 (72%)	0.5 / 5 (10%)	10.6 / 10.5 (101%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	36	-7.9	-22%	11.1 / 17 (65%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-15.0 / 15 (-100%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	21	7.2	35%	15.2 / 13 (117%)		-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	21	2.1	10%	2.1 / 21 (10%)
16th Jun '23	PFL 5: Regular Season	10	-4.7	-47%	-0.7 / 4 (-18%)	-3.9 / 6 (-66%)
16th Jun '23	Bellator 297	15	-10.4	-70%	-8.4 / 13 (-65%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	28	8.0	29%	8.0 / 28 (29%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	18	-13.4	-75%	-13.4 / 18 (-75%)
1st Oct '22	Bellator 286	10	6.7	67%	6.7 / 10 (67%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	42.25	19.7	47%	15.4 / 16 (96%)	14.5 / 16 (91%)	-10.3 / 10.25 (-100%)
11th Dec '21	UFC 269	22	4.4	20%	4.4 / 22 (20%)
25th Jun '21	PFL 2021: Week 6	7.5	-0.8	-11%	3.2 / 3.5 (91%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	12	4.3	36%	4.2 / 10 (42%)	0.1 / 2 (3%)
17th Jun '21	PFL 2021: Week 5	5.5	-3.5	-64%		-3.5 / 5.5 (-64%)

Winning Events: 20 (51%)
Losing Events: 19 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 25.05 units
Most Staked On One Event: 68.60 units
Best Event: 27.35 units
Worst Event: -26.96 units
Average Event: 0.48 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 40.63
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -36.45

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	294.4	7.4	3%	29.2 / 176.8 (17%)		-6.4 / 40 (-16%)	3 / 6 (33%)	0.82
2023	565.35	-5.8	-1%	24.6 / 307.75 (8%)		10.7 / 96 (11%)	13 / 10 (57%)	-0.25
2022	70.25	12.9	18%	8.6 / 44 (20%)		-10.3 / 10.25 (-100%)	2 / 1 (67%)	4.29
2021	47	4.4	9%	11.8 / 35.5 (33%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	2 / 2 (50%)	1.09

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Straight Up MMA KILLER: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	800.3	34.4	4%	73.1 / 467.55 (16%)	-31.6 / 199 (-16%)	-7.1 / 133.75 (-5%)
Bellator	25	-3.8	-15%	-1.8 / 23 (-8%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
PFL	46	2.4	5%	5.2 / 25.5 (21%)	-9.4 / 13.5 (-70%)	6.6 / 7 (94%)
Other	105.7	-14.2	-13%	-2.3 / 48 (-5%)	-2.5 / 48.2 (-5%)	-9.5 / 9.5 (-100%)

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	17 (11%)	8	47 %	113.50	-44.91	-2.64	-40%
Slight Favorites	51 (34%)	32	63 %	227.00	45.79	0.90	20%
Slight Underdogs	51 (34%)	31	61 %	178.00	97.73	1.92	55%
Big Underdogs	32 (21%)	6	19 %	45.55	-24.28	-0.76	-53%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (7%)	9	82 %	75.00	37.58	3.42	50%
Co-Main Event	19 (13%)	6	32 %	69.50	-15.15	-0.80	-22%
Position 3-5	36 (24%)	19	53 %	139.05	6.08	0.17	4%
6+ (Undercard)	85 (56%)	43	51 %	280.50	45.82	0.54	16%

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (5%)	4	57 %	40.00	-2.04	-0.29	-5%
Light Heavy	9 (6%)	6	67 %	52.50	19.81	2.20	38%
Middleweight	12 (8%)	5	42 %	44.00	-14.99	-1.25	-34%
Welterweight	18 (12%)	10	56 %	67.00	7.84	0.44	12%
Lightweight	24 (16%)	14	58 %	90.50	13.24	0.55	15%
Featherweight	23 (15%)	16	70 %	90.00	56.17	2.44	62%
Bantamweight	22 (15%)	9	41 %	69.55	15.55	0.71	22%
Flyweight	9 (6%)	4	44 %	22.50	-5.09	-0.57	-23%

Women's Fights	27 (18%)	9	33 %	88.00	-16.17	-0.60	-18%
Featherweight	2 (1%)	1	50 %	4.00	-0.72	-0.36	-18%
Bantamweight	6 (4%)	1	17 %	30.00	-12.80	-2.13	-43%
Flyweight	7 (5%)	1	14 %	22.00	-5.40	-0.77	-25%
Strawweight	12 (8%)	6	50 %	32.00	2.75	0.23	9%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	53 (73%)	44	83 %
Slight Favorites	14 (19%)	11	79 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (4%)	2	67 %
Big Underdogs	3 (4%)	0	0 %
	73	57	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	19 (11%)	15	79 %
50-65%	39 (23%)	19	49 %
35-50%	43 (26%)	14	33 %
<35% chance	67 (40%)	13	19 %
	168	61	36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (5%)	6	75 %	1.54	2.00	1.21	2.5 (31%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	11 (7%)	7	64 %	1.64	3.00	1.23	-0.5 (-4%)
Goes to Decision	4 (2%)	3	75 %	2.12	4.50	1.66	1.5 (37%)
Does not go to Decision	11 (7%)	6	55 %	1.58	2.35	1.10	-1.5 (-14%)
X Wins by KO	27 (16%)	12	44 %	3.38	14.00	1.80	25.1 (93%)
X Wins by Sub	27 (16%)	3	11 %	3.51	26.00	1.80	-17.7 (-66%)
X Wins by Decision	28 (17%)	4	14 %	3.28	11.00	1.80	-15.1 (-54%)
X Wins Inside Distance	20 (12%)	7	35 %	2.28	5.50	1.67	-4.1 (-20%)
X Wins in Round X	7 (4%)	1	14 %	5.96	17.00	2.05	-4.9 (-71%)
Others	25 (15%)	12	48 %	1.77	6.50	1.23	-5.3 (-21%)
	168	61	36 %	2.43			-20.1 (-12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Straight Up MMA KILLER's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
17th Jun	PFL 2021: Week 5	5.5	-3.5	-64%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$965.00
19th Jun	UFC FN	12	4.3	36%		$9.65	$965.00	$1,006.32
25th Jun	PFL 2021: Week 6	7.5	-0.8	-11%		$10.06	$1,006.32	$998.01
11th Dec	UFC 269	22	4.4	20%		$9.98	$998.01	$1,041.92
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	42.25	19.7	47%		$10.42	$1,041.92	$1,246.67
1st Oct	Bellator 286	10	6.7	67%		$12.47	$1,246.67	$1,329.78
22nd Oct	UFC 280	18	-13.4	-75%		$13.30	$1,329.78	$1,151.06
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	28	8.0	29%		$11.51	$1,151.06	$1,243.72
16th Jun	Bellator 297	15	-10.4	-70%		$12.44	$1,243.72	$1,113.87
16th Jun	PFL 5: Regular Season	10	-4.7	-47%		$11.14	$1,113.87	$1,061.86
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	21	2.1	10%		$10.62	$1,061.86	$1,084.47
29th Jul	UFC 291	21	7.2	35%	$5	$10.84	$1,084.47	$1,158.10
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	36	-7.9	-22%		$11.58	$1,158.10	$1,066.61
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	27.5	19.7	72%		$10.67	$1,066.61	$1,277.24
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	10.2	8.2	81%		$12.77	$1,277.24	$1,382.61
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	55.1	-4.9	-9%		$13.83	$1,382.61	$1,315.31
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	22	-17.0	-77%		$13.15	$1,315.31	$1,091.70
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	48	20.7	43%		$10.92	$1,091.70	$1,317.63
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	18	-18.0	-100%		$13.18	$1,317.63	$1,080.45
9th Sep	UFC 293	34	-18.4	-54%		$10.80	$1,080.45	$881.11
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	21	16.5	79%		$8.81	$881.11	$1,026.49
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	17.6	0.8	4%		$10.26	$1,026.49	$1,034.56
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	18	0.8	4%	$5	$10.35	$1,034.56	$1,037.32
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	16	-4.2	-26%	$5	$10.37	$1,037.32	$988.75
21st Oct	UFC 294	23.1	9.0	39%	$5	$9.89	$988.75	$1,072.50
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	40.6	-7.8	-19%	$5	$10.73	$1,072.50	$983.47
11th Nov	UFC 295	14	5.8	42%	$5	$9.83	$983.47	$1,035.71
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	13.25	1.5	11%	$5	$10.36	$1,035.71	$1,045.73
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	45	-27.0	-60%		$10.46	$1,045.73	$763.80
16th Dec	UFC 296	11	14.1	128%	$5	$7.64	$763.80	$866.67
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	19.5	-5.1	-26%		$8.67	$866.67	$822.82
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	50.3	-3.9	-8%	$5	$8.23	$822.82	$785.46
9th Mar	UFC 299	21.5	-6.2	-29%		$7.85	$785.46	$736.45
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	46	27.4	59%		$7.36	$736.45	$937.87
13th Apr	UFC 300	57.5	13.3	23%	$5	$9.38	$937.87	$1,057.42
18th Apr	Ares FC 20	0.5	-0.5	-100%	$5	$10.57	$1,057.42	$1,047.13
19th Apr	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	23	11.4	49%	$5	$10.47	$1,047.13	$1,161.31
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	7.5	-5.3	-71%	$5	$11.61	$1,161.31	$1,094.76
4th May	UFC 301	68.6	-23.6	-34%	$5	$10.95	$1,094.76	$831.84

ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.82% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Alexandre Pantoja	Steve Erceg	1.53	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	May '24	Joanderson Brito	Jack Shore	1.58	3	TKO, R2 (3:35)
3.	May '24	Drakkar Klose	Joaquim Silva	1.57	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	May '24	Alessandro Costa	Kevin Borjas	1.72	1	TKO, R2 (1:35)
5.	Apr '24	David Onama	Jonathan Pearce	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Apr '24	Shamil Musaev	Logan Storley	2.75	0.5	TKO, R2 (0:27)
7.	Apr '24	Adam Borics	Enrique Barzola	1.66	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '24	Murad Ramazanov	Laureano Staropoli	1.11	10	Sub, R1 (4:6)
9.	Apr '24	Renato Moicano	Jalin Turner	3.00	2	TKO, R2 (4:11)
10.	Apr '24	Diego Lopes	Sodiq Yusuff	1.66	4	TKO, R1 (1:29)
11.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.00	10	TKO, R2 (3:17)
13.	Apr '24	Alex Pereira	Jamahal Hill	1.77	11	TKO, R1 (3:14)
14.	Apr '24	Damon Jackson	Alexander Hernandez	2.70	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '24	Jose Mariscal	Morgan Charriere	2.10	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Apr '24	Norma Dumont	Germaine de Randamie	1.72	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Apr '24	Jean Matsumoto	Dan Argueta	1.62	5	Sub, R2 (4:59)
18.	Apr '24	César Almeida	Dylan Budka	2.25	5	TKO, R2 (2:13)
19.	Mar '24	Michael Page	Kevin Holland	2.00	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Jonathan Martinez	Jose Aldo	1.72	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	Vitor Petrino	Anthony Smith	1.20	11	Sub, R1 (2:0)	No
3.	May '24	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Iasmin Lucindo	4.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	May '24	Ernesta Kareckaite	Dione Barbosa	3.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Caio Machado (2)	Don'tale Mayes	1.90	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '24	Rani Yahya	Victor Henry	5.00	0.5	TKO, R3 (2:36)	No
7.	Apr '24	Bubba Jenkins	Kai Kamaka	1.64	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '24	Brett Johns	Timur Khizriev	3.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Otto Rodrigues	Tyler Diamond	1.66	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.87	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '24	Yan Xiaonan	Weili Zhang	5.00	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '24	Trevor Peek	Charlie Campbell	2.62	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Apr '24	Pedro Falcao	Victor Hugo Silva	2.10	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '24	Gilbert Burns	Jack Della Maddalena	2.30	3	TKO, R3 (3:43)	No
15.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.90	10	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
17.	Mar '24	Alex Perez	Muhammad Mokaev	3.75	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
18.	Mar '24	Bekzat Almakhan	Umar Nurmagomedov	8.00	0.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Mar '24	Matt Schnell	Steve Erceg	4.00	3	TKO, R2 (0:26)	No
20.	Feb '24	Azat Maksum	Charles Johnson	1.40	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Straight Up MMA KILLER: Progress Chart

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