MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Ericwill420

Ericwill420 (Ericwill420)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	21 (39%)	Right	10 (63%)	Right	10 (31%)	Right	1 (17%)
Wrong	33 (61%)	Wrong	6 (38%)	Wrong	22 (69%)	Wrong	5 (83%)
Avg Odds	2.50	Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	3.31	Avg Odds	1.81
Units Bet	86.5	Units Bet	38.0	Units Bet	34.5	Units Bet	14.0
Avg Bet	1.60	Avg Bet	2.38	Avg Bet	1.08	Avg Bet	2.33
Units Profit	-2.27	Units Profit	3.13	Units Profit	5.21	Units Profit	-10.61
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	15%	ROI %	-76%

Ericwill420 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
30th Apr '22	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	4.25	-0.6	-14%		1.4 / 2.25 (63%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Apr '22	UFC 273	12.25	-8.8	-72%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-0.8 / 4.25 (-19%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
26th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	0.5	-0.5	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
19th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	8.25	-6.5	-79%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-0.5 / 2.25 (-24%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
12th Mar '22	Bellator 276	4	-4.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Mar '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	4.75	-1.0	-22%	0.2 / 3.5 (6%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
5th Mar '22	UFC 272	12	4.1	34%	2.5 / 5 (50%)	1.6 / 7 (23%)
26th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	6	1.6	26%		1.6 / 6 (26%)
19th Feb '22	Bellator 274	5.5	2.6	48%	1.3 / 3.5 (36%)		1.4 / 2 (70%)
19th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	3.5	3.2	93%	1.7 / 1 (175%)	1.5 / 2.5 (60%)
12th Feb '22	UFC 271	12	11.0	91%	4.3 / 8 (53%)	6.7 / 4 (167%)
5th Feb '22	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	4.75	2.8	59%	4.6 / 3 (152%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
22nd Jan '22	UFC 270	8.75	-6.2	-71%	-0.5 / 3 (-15%)	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 6 (46%)
Losing Events: 7 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.65 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.25 units
Best Event: 10.98 units
Worst Event: -8.80 units
Average Event: -0.17 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 25.37
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -21.45

Ericwill420 : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	86.5	-2.3	-3%	3.1 / 38 (8%)		-10.6 / 14 (-76%)	6 / 7 (46%)	-0.17

Ericwill420 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Ericwill420 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	77	-0.9	-1%	3.9 / 32.5 (12%)	5.2 / 34.5 (15%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
Bellator	9.5	-1.4	-14%	-0.7 / 5.5 (-14%)		-0.6 / 4 (-15%)

Ericwill420 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (31%)	3	60 %	16.50	-3.29	-0.66	-20%
Slight Favorites	3 (19%)	2	67 %	9.00	2.34	0.78	26%
Slight Underdogs	8 (50%)	5	63 %	12.50	4.08	0.51	33%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (19%)	1	33 %	7.00	-2.85	-0.95	-41%
Co-Main Event	5 (31%)	4	80 %	12.50	0.71	0.14	6%
Position 3-5	4 (25%)	3	75 %	12.00	5.29	1.32	44%
6+ (Undercard)	4 (25%)	2	50 %	6.50	-0.03	-0.01	-0%

Ericwill420 : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (6%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Light Heavy	1 (6%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Middleweight	4 (25%)	3	75 %	8.00	3.71	0.93	46%
Welterweight	3 (19%)	2	67 %	7.50	1.55	0.52	21%
Lightweight	2 (13%)	2	100 %	7.00	4.34	2.17	62%
Featherweight	2 (13%)	1	50 %	3.50	0.22	0.11	6%
Bantamweight	1 (6%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.55	1.55	155%

Women's Fights	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.75	1.75	175%
Bantamweight	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.75	1.75	175%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	5 (83%)	2	40 %
Slight Favorites	1 (17%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	6	2	33 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (16%)	4	67 %
50-65%	8 (21%)	5	63 %
35-50%	5 (13%)	2	40 %
<35% chance	19 (50%)	3	16 %
	38	14	37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (11%)	2	50 %	1.80	2.20	1.33	-0.8 (-21%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (13%)	3	60 %	2.00	4.00	1.36	0.5 (9%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (5%)	1	50 %	1.37	1.40	1.33	-0.6 (-30%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (3%)	0	0 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	3 (8%)	0	0 %	3.03	4.40	2.40	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	6 (16%)	1	17 %	7.41	9.25	5.00	0.5 (8%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (5%)	2	100 %	3.09	3.45	2.80	4.2 (212%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (11%)	2	50 %	1.83	1.91	1.72	-0.4 (-11%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (5%)	1	50 %	6.32	15.00	4.00	2.0 (100%)
Others	9 (24%)	2	22 %	3.94	26.00	1.25	-6.1 (-68%)
	38	14	37 %	2.69			-4.8 (-13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Ericwill420 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Jan	UFC 270	8.75	-6.2	-71%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$938.00
5th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland	4.75	2.8	59%		$9.38	$938.00	$964.36
12th Feb	UFC 271	12	11.0	91%		$9.64	$964.36	$1,070.23
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill	3.5	3.2	93%		$10.70	$1,070.23	$1,105.01
19th Feb	Bellator 274	5.5	2.6	48%		$11.05	$1,105.01	$1,134.22
26th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev	6	1.6	26%		$11.34	$1,134.22	$1,152.07
5th Mar	UFC 272	12	4.1	34%		$11.52	$1,152.07	$1,199.52
12th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev	4.75	-1.0	-22%		$12.00	$1,199.52	$1,187.17
12th Mar	Bellator 276	4	-4.0	-100%		$11.87	$1,187.17	$1,139.68
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall	8.25	-6.5	-79%		$11.40	$1,139.68	$1,065.19
26th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.65	$1,065.19	$1,059.87
9th Apr	UFC 273	12.25	-8.8	-72%	$5	$10.60	$1,059.87	$961.60
30th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera	4.25	-0.6	-14%		$9.62	$961.60	$955.99

ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.40% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Ericwill420 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '22	Damon Jackson	Kamuela Kirk	2.48	1.5	Sub, R2 (4:42)
2.	Mar '22	Rafael dos Anjos	Renato Moicano	1.61	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
3.	Mar '22	Kevin Holland	Alex Oliveira	1.43	3	TKO, R2 (0:38)
4.	Feb '22	Stephanie Egger	Jessica-Rose Clark	2.75	1	Sub, R1 (3:44)
5.	Feb '22	Andrey Koreshkov	Chance Rencountre	1.36	3.5	TKO, R1 (0:38)
6.	Feb '22	Bryan Battle	Tresean Gore	2.43	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Feb '22	Nick Maximov	Punahele Soriano	2.70	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Feb '22	Israel Adesanya	Robert Whittaker	1.38	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Feb '22	Bobby Green	Nasrat Haqparast	1.63	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jan '22	Deiveson Figueiredo	Brandon Moreno	2.55	1	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '22	Mickey Gall	Mike Malott	2.65	1	TKO, R1 (3:41)	No
2.	Mar '22	Mads Burnell	Adam Borics	1.50	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '22	Karl Roberson	Khalil Rountree	2.00	2	TKO, R2 (0:25)	No
4.	Mar '22	Nikita Krylov	Paul Craig	2.34	3	Sub, R1 (3:57)	No
5.	Apr '22	Petr Yan	Aljamain Sterling	1.31	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Jan '22	Ciryl Gane	Francis Ngannou	1.87	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Ericwill420 : Progress Chart

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event

Unit Profit

MMA Handicapper Performance Over Time