MMA Handicapper Stats: Mitch’s Picks |
|
Mitch’s Picks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 34 (50%) Losing Events: 34 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.24 units Most Staked On One Event: 21.00 units Best Event: 9.13 units Worst Event: -9.75 units Average Event: -0.23 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 22.23 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -17.37 |
Mitch’s Picks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
149.16 |
-11.3 |
-8% |
-12.1 / 83.18 (-15%) |
|
4.9 / 43.38 (11%) |
10 / 9 (53%) |
-0.60 |
2023 |
342.85 |
-4.3 |
-1% |
4.3 / 116.46 (4%) |
|
4.7 / 163.74 (3%) |
24 / 25 (49%) |
-0.09 |
|
Mitch’s Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Mitch’s Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
441.24 |
-22.0 |
-5% |
-10.1 / 173.09 (-6%) |
-15.4 / 83.25 (-19%) |
3.5 / 184.9 (2%) |
Bellator |
11.55 |
8.7 |
75% |
1.1 / 4.55 (25%) |
|
7.6 / 7 (108%) |
PFL |
24.1 |
-0.1 |
-0% |
3.3 / 16.5 (20%) |
|
-3.4 / 7.6 (-44%) |
Other |
15.12 |
-2.2 |
-15% |
-2.1 / 5.5 (-39%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
1.9 / 7.62 (25%) |
|
Mitch’s Picks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
6 (4%) |
5 |
83 % |
9.68 |
1.87 |
0.31 |
19% |
Slight Favorites |
67 (44%) |
40 |
60 % |
107.86 |
1.89 |
0.03 |
2% |
Slight Underdogs |
68 (45%) |
30 |
44 % |
74.60 |
-4.03 |
-0.06 |
-5% |
Big Underdogs |
10 (7%) |
0 |
0 % |
7.50 |
-7.50 |
-0.75 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
22 (15%) |
5 |
23 % |
31.58 |
-13.68 |
-0.62 |
-43% |
Co-Main Event |
12 (8%) |
5 |
42 % |
19.70 |
-6.00 |
-0.50 |
-30% |
Position 3-5 |
37 (25%) |
18 |
49 % |
54.80 |
2.43 |
0.07 |
4% |
6+ (Undercard) |
80 (53%) |
47 |
59 % |
93.56 |
9.49 |
0.12 |
10% |
|
Mitch’s Picks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
14 (9%) |
7 |
50 % |
18.05 |
-3.21 |
-0.23 |
-18% |
Light Heavy |
13 (9%) |
4 |
31 % |
21.60 |
-9.63 |
-0.74 |
-45% |
Middleweight |
15 (10%) |
3 |
20 % |
19.50 |
-7.74 |
-0.52 |
-40% |
Welterweight |
13 (9%) |
6 |
46 % |
18.98 |
0.85 |
0.07 |
4% |
Lightweight |
20 (13%) |
9 |
45 % |
22.95 |
3.15 |
0.16 |
14% |
Featherweight |
28 (19%) |
19 |
68 % |
38.50 |
8.31 |
0.30 |
22% |
Bantamweight |
13 (9%) |
7 |
54 % |
13.41 |
0.16 |
0.01 |
1% |
Flyweight |
9 (6%) |
3 |
33 % |
12.65 |
-2.99 |
-0.33 |
-24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
26 (17%) |
17 |
65 % |
34.00 |
3.35 |
0.13 |
10% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.88 |
1.88 |
125% |
Bantamweight |
7 (5%) |
4 |
57 % |
9.17 |
-1.05 |
-0.15 |
-11% |
Flyweight |
12 (8%) |
7 |
58 % |
15.15 |
-1.32 |
-0.11 |
-9% |
Strawweight |
6 (4%) |
5 |
83 % |
8.18 |
3.84 |
0.64 |
47% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
161 (86%) |
128 |
80 % |
Slight Favorites |
26 (14%) |
12 |
46 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
187 |
140 |
75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
77 (51%) |
57 |
74 % |
50-65% |
27 (18%) |
10 |
37 % |
35-50% |
18 (12%) |
10 |
56 % |
<35% chance |
30 (20%) |
5 |
17 % |
|
152 |
82 |
54 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Mitch’s Picks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
16.5 |
-1.8 |
-11% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$982.45 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
14.75 |
2.4 |
17% |
|
$9.82 |
$982.45 |
$1,006.43 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
7 |
4.1 |
58% |
|
$10.06 |
$1,006.43 |
$1,047.33 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
14.35 |
-6.4 |
-45% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,047.33 |
$979.97 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
9.02 |
-6.3 |
-70% |
|
$9.80 |
$979.97 |
$918.04 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
7.05 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
|
$9.18 |
$918.04 |
$916.03 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
67% |
|
$9.16 |
$916.03 |
$940.13 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
8.5 |
-6.1 |
-72% |
|
$9.40 |
$940.13 |
$882.92 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
3.5 |
-0.6 |
-18% |
|
$8.83 |
$882.92 |
$877.42 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
1 |
1.3 |
130% |
|
$8.77 |
$877.42 |
$888.83 |
21st Apr |
Bellator 294 |
2 |
2.6 |
129% |
|
$8.89 |
$888.83 |
$911.75 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
17.4 |
9.1 |
52% |
|
$9.12 |
$911.75 |
$994.98 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
3.4 |
-0.0 |
-1% |
|
$9.95 |
$994.98 |
$994.76 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
0.55 |
0.4 |
78% |
|
$9.95 |
$994.76 |
$999.01 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
2.5 |
1.2 |
49% |
|
$9.99 |
$999.01 |
$1,011.31 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
0.93 |
-0.1 |
-15% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.31 |
$1,009.94 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
0.6 |
-0.6 |
-100% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,009.94 |
$1,003.88 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
0.7 |
-0.1 |
-21% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,003.88 |
$1,002.43 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
1.52 |
-0.0 |
-2% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,002.43 |
$1,002.05 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
0.85 |
-0.1 |
-17% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,002.05 |
$1,000.56 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
0.95 |
0.1 |
12% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,000.56 |
$1,001.70 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
1.4 |
-0.4 |
-28% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.70 |
$997.74 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
1.73 |
1.3 |
73% |
|
$9.98 |
$997.74 |
$1,010.42 |
18th Aug |
PFL 8: 2023 Playoffs |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
-100% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.42 |
$1,009.40 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
28% |
|
$10.09 |
$1,009.40 |
$1,014.23 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
3.62 |
0.7 |
19% |
|
$10.14 |
$1,014.23 |
$1,021.03 |
23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,021.03 |
$1,010.82 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
15 |
-7.9 |
-53% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,010.82 |
$930.98 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
9 |
2.7 |
30% |
|
$9.31 |
$930.98 |
$956.19 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
13.5 |
-5.4 |
-40% |
|
$9.56 |
$956.19 |
$904.91 |
12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
2 |
1.4 |
69% |
|
$9.05 |
$904.91 |
$917.40 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
16 |
-4.6 |
-29% |
|
$9.17 |
$917.40 |
$875.00 |
30th Sep |
PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs |
2.5 |
1.4 |
57% |
|
$8.75 |
$875.00 |
$887.50 |
3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.87 |
$887.50 |
$852.00 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
9 |
-2.3 |
-25% |
|
$8.52 |
$852.00 |
$832.58 |
14th Oct |
Cage Warriors 161 |
3.5 |
1.8 |
50% |
|
$8.33 |
$832.58 |
$847.15 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
7.9 |
1.0 |
13% |
|
$8.47 |
$847.15 |
$855.60 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
21 |
6.3 |
30% |
|
$8.56 |
$855.60 |
$909.45 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
13.18 |
3.4 |
26% |
|
$9.09 |
$909.45 |
$940.10 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
17.25 |
4.8 |
28% |
|
$9.40 |
$940.10 |
$985.48 |
17th Nov |
Bellator 301 |
5 |
5.0 |
100% |
|
$9.85 |
$985.48 |
$1,034.69 |
18th Nov |
Oktagon 49 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.35 |
$1,034.69 |
$1,024.34 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
13.5 |
1.2 |
9% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.34 |
$1,036.25 |
24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
9 |
-5.0 |
-56% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,036.25 |
$984.13 |
25th Nov |
Cage Warriors 164 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.84 |
$984.13 |
$974.29 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
15.5 |
-3.6 |
-23% |
|
$9.74 |
$974.29 |
$939.15 |
8th Dec |
PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships |
2 |
1.7 |
87% |
|
$9.39 |
$939.15 |
$955.48 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
15.5 |
2.2 |
14% |
|
$9.55 |
$955.48 |
$976.53 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
20 |
-4.6 |
-23% |
|
$9.77 |
$976.53 |
$931.37 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
8.6 |
2.7 |
31% |
|
$9.31 |
$931.37 |
$956.45 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
15 |
-9.7 |
-65% |
|
$9.56 |
$956.45 |
$863.20 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
9.5 |
-7.6 |
-80% |
|
$8.63 |
$863.20 |
$797.38 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
9.2 |
1.2 |
13% |
|
$7.97 |
$797.38 |
$807.08 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
12 |
2.0 |
17% |
|
$8.07 |
$807.08 |
$823.30 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
1.5 |
1.7 |
115% |
|
$8.23 |
$823.30 |
$837.51 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.38 |
$837.51 |
$799.82 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
4 |
0.7 |
17% |
|
$8.00 |
$799.82 |
$805.15 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
8.25 |
-0.5 |
-6% |
|
$8.05 |
$805.15 |
$801.35 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
8 |
-0.3 |
-4% |
|
$8.01 |
$801.35 |
$799.00 |
22nd Mar |
Bellator Champions Series |
4.55 |
1.1 |
25% |
|
$7.99 |
$799.00 |
$807.99 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
6.5 |
1.8 |
28% |
|
$8.08 |
$807.99 |
$822.80 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
7.5 |
-1.9 |
-25% |
|
$8.23 |
$822.80 |
$807.58 |
4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.08 |
$807.58 |
$795.47 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
10.38 |
-0.3 |
-3% |
|
$7.95 |
$795.47 |
$792.69 |
12th Apr |
PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season |
6.5 |
2.7 |
41% |
|
$7.93 |
$792.69 |
$813.80 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
11.75 |
-4.1 |
-35% |
|
$8.14 |
$813.80 |
$780.50 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
9.95 |
0.7 |
7% |
|
$7.81 |
$780.50 |
$785.79 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
9.98 |
4.5 |
45% |
|
$7.86 |
$785.79 |
$821.11 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.89% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Mitch’s Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Kevin Borjas |
Alessandro Costa |
2.10 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.63 |
1.6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '24 |
Matheus Nicolau |
Alex Perez |
1.57 |
1.75 |
TKO, R2 (2:16) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '24 |
Caio Machado (2) |
Don'tale Mayes |
2.37 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Calvin Kattar |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.40 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '24 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.80 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '24 |
Jakob Nedoh |
Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov |
1.67 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:54) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '24 |
Jamahal Hill |
Alex Pereira |
2.10 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:14) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '24 |
Ante Delija |
Valentin Moldavsky |
2.35 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '24 |
Germaine de Randamie |
Norma Dumont |
2.30 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '24 |
Christos Giagos |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
3.75 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:34) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '24 |
Chris Curtis |
Brendan Allen |
2.70 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '24 |
Sedriques Dumas |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
3.25 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:18) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '24 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Manon Fiorot |
1.67 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '24 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Youssef Zalal |
2.00 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Mar '24 |
Tim Wilde |
Manoel Sousa |
2.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '24 |
Isaiah Pinson |
Abraham Bably |
2.50 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '24 |
Tim Wilde |
Manoel Sousa |
1.87 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '24 |
Isaac Dulgarian |
Christian Rodriguez |
1.80 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Mar '24 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Michel Pereira |
2.25 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Mitch’s Picks: Progress Chart |
|