|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Mitch-Picks MMA |
|
Mitch-Picks MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 28 (51%) Losing Events: 27 (49%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.36 units Most Staked On One Event: 7.50 units Best Event: 4.13 units Worst Event: -4.00 units Average Event: -0.07 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 4.62 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -5.25 |
Mitch-Picks MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
52.65 |
-5.5 |
-10% |
-4.5 / 17.4 (-26%) |
|
-2.4 / 6.5 (-37%) |
5 / 7 (42%) |
-0.46 |
2023 |
186.95 |
1.6 |
1% |
-1.4 / 48.33 (-3%) |
|
-0.8 / 37.7 (-2%) |
23 / 20 (53%) |
0.04 |
|
Mitch-Picks MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Mitch-Picks MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
239.6 |
-3.9 |
-2% |
-5.9 / 65.73 (-9%) |
5.2 / 129.67 (4%) |
-3.2 / 44.2 (-7%) |
|
Mitch-Picks MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
7 (9%) |
5 |
71 % |
9.25 |
1.52 |
0.22 |
16% |
Slight Favorites |
26 (34%) |
13 |
50 % |
28.73 |
-3.28 |
-0.13 |
-11% |
Slight Underdogs |
32 (42%) |
14 |
44 % |
19.50 |
-0.25 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Big Underdogs |
11 (14%) |
2 |
18 % |
8.25 |
-3.89 |
-0.35 |
-47% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
9 (12%) |
4 |
44 % |
10.85 |
-0.18 |
-0.02 |
-2% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (12%) |
2 |
22 % |
7.42 |
-5.24 |
-0.58 |
-71% |
Position 3-5 |
20 (26%) |
9 |
45 % |
16.08 |
-0.75 |
-0.04 |
-5% |
6+ (Undercard) |
38 (50%) |
19 |
50 % |
31.38 |
0.27 |
0.01 |
1% |
|
Mitch-Picks MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (5%) |
3 |
75 % |
2.75 |
0.79 |
0.20 |
29% |
Light Heavy |
9 (12%) |
3 |
33 % |
6.46 |
-3.68 |
-0.41 |
-57% |
Middleweight |
10 (13%) |
2 |
20 % |
7.25 |
-2.50 |
-0.25 |
-34% |
Welterweight |
9 (12%) |
5 |
56 % |
9.17 |
2.28 |
0.25 |
25% |
Lightweight |
12 (16%) |
3 |
25 % |
9.75 |
-4.23 |
-0.35 |
-43% |
Featherweight |
9 (12%) |
3 |
33 % |
7.35 |
-3.57 |
-0.40 |
-49% |
Bantamweight |
6 (8%) |
4 |
67 % |
5.75 |
1.37 |
0.23 |
24% |
Flyweight |
5 (7%) |
3 |
60 % |
6.00 |
-0.03 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
12 (16%) |
8 |
67 % |
11.25 |
3.67 |
0.31 |
33% |
Flyweight |
6 (8%) |
4 |
67 % |
4.00 |
1.69 |
0.28 |
42% |
Strawweight |
6 (8%) |
4 |
67 % |
7.25 |
1.99 |
0.33 |
27% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
35 (85%) |
22 |
63 % |
Slight Favorites |
6 (15%) |
2 |
33 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
41 |
24 |
59 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
89 (34%) |
61 |
69 % |
50-65% |
83 (32%) |
41 |
49 % |
35-50% |
45 (17%) |
16 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
45 (17%) |
10 |
22 % |
|
262 |
128 |
49 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Mitch-Picks MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
2.5 |
0.1 |
4% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,001.07 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
5.15 |
-2.4 |
-47% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,001.07 |
$977.05 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
5.25 |
-0.2 |
-4% |
|
$9.77 |
$977.05 |
$974.92 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
5.6 |
-0.4 |
-8% |
|
$9.75 |
$974.92 |
$970.78 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
5.91 |
-1.7 |
-28% |
|
$9.71 |
$970.78 |
$954.47 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
3.5 |
3.3 |
94% |
|
$9.54 |
$954.47 |
$986.02 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
5.75 |
0.3 |
6% |
|
$9.86 |
$986.02 |
$989.42 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
7.5 |
0.7 |
9% |
|
$9.89 |
$989.42 |
$996.27 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
5.25 |
0.3 |
5% |
|
$9.96 |
$996.27 |
$999.06 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
5 |
-2.4 |
-48% |
|
$9.99 |
$999.06 |
$974.92 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
5.35 |
4.1 |
77% |
|
$9.75 |
$974.92 |
$1,015.15 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
5.08 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,015.15 |
$1,015.97 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
1.5 |
-0.1 |
-7% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,015.97 |
$1,014.96 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
3.5 |
1.3 |
37% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.96 |
$1,028.02 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
4.5 |
-0.3 |
-6% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,028.02 |
$1,025.27 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
2.5 |
-1.0 |
-40% |
|
$10.25 |
$1,025.27 |
$1,014.92 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
5.6 |
1.6 |
28% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.92 |
$1,030.74 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
4 |
0.0 |
1% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,030.74 |
$1,031.11 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
5.54 |
0.8 |
14% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.11 |
$1,039.06 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
4 |
0.5 |
13% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,039.06 |
$1,044.58 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
3.85 |
-1.8 |
-47% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,044.58 |
$1,025.82 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
3.08 |
0.1 |
3% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,025.82 |
$1,026.76 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
2.58 |
-0.7 |
-28% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,026.76 |
$1,019.22 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
4 |
-0.8 |
-20% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,019.22 |
$1,011.02 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
3.5 |
2.1 |
59% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.02 |
$1,031.81 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
3.5 |
-2.1 |
-60% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.81 |
$1,010.15 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
0.83 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.15 |
$1,001.76 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
3 |
0.1 |
3% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.76 |
$1,002.72 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
7 |
1.9 |
27% |
|
$10.03 |
$1,002.72 |
$1,021.75 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
5.38 |
-1.7 |
-32% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,021.75 |
$1,004.15 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
5.5 |
2.9 |
52% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,004.15 |
$1,032.90 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
3 |
0.6 |
19% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,032.90 |
$1,038.69 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
4.5 |
-1.7 |
-39% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,038.69 |
$1,020.57 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
6.5 |
1.1 |
17% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,020.57 |
$1,031.72 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
2.5 |
-0.6 |
-23% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.72 |
$1,025.80 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,025.80 |
$1,010.41 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
1 |
1.2 |
121% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,010.41 |
$1,022.60 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
5 |
0.5 |
10% |
|
$10.23 |
$1,022.60 |
$1,027.87 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
5.5 |
-2.8 |
-52% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,027.87 |
$998.62 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
5.5 |
-0.3 |
-5% |
|
$9.99 |
$998.62 |
$995.89 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
5.75 |
-1.2 |
-21% |
|
$9.96 |
$995.89 |
$983.93 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
4 |
1.7 |
42% |
|
$9.84 |
$983.93 |
$1,000.59 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
7 |
1.0 |
15% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,000.59 |
$1,011.10 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
5.5 |
-1.4 |
-25% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.10 |
$997.35 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
7 |
-1.1 |
-16% |
|
$9.97 |
$997.35 |
$986.01 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
5 |
0.5 |
9% |
|
$9.86 |
$986.01 |
$990.45 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
6.5 |
0.9 |
15% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.45 |
$999.79 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
6.85 |
-1.8 |
-27% |
|
$10.00 |
$999.79 |
$981.52 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
1 |
1.4 |
140% |
|
$9.82 |
$981.52 |
$995.26 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
3 |
0.5 |
17% |
|
$9.95 |
$995.26 |
$1,000.31 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
6.05 |
-2.0 |
-32% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.31 |
$980.71 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
2 |
-1.0 |
-50% |
|
$9.81 |
$980.71 |
$970.90 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
4.5 |
3.7 |
83% |
|
$9.71 |
$970.90 |
$1,006.98 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
1.25 |
-1.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,006.98 |
$994.40 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.94 |
$994.40 |
$954.62 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.54% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Mitch-Picks MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.69 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '24 |
Rose Namajunas |
Amanda Ribas |
1.48 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
1.63 |
1.25 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
|
|
4. |
Feb '24 |
Rodolfo Vieira |
Armen Petrosyan |
1.87 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
|
|
5. |
Feb '24 |
Charlie Radtke |
Gilbert Urbina |
2.70 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
|
|
6. |
Dec '23 |
Shamil Gaziev |
Martin Buday |
2.45 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (0:56) |
|
|
7. |
Dec '23 |
Leon Edwards |
Colby Covington |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Dec '23 |
Veronica Macedo |
Jamey Lyn-Horth |
2.60 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Nov '23 |
Rafael Estevam |
Charles Johnson |
1.68 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Nov '23 |
Marc Diakiese |
Kaue Fernandes |
1.63 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Nov '23 |
Angela Hill |
Denise Gomes |
2.14 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '23 |
Qileng Aori |
Johnny Munoz |
1.93 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Sep '23 |
Marina Alcalde Rodriguez |
Michelle Waterson |
1.32 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:42) |
|
|
14. |
Sep '23 |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
Thiago Moises |
1.61 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:44) |
|
|
15. |
Sep '23 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.57 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:46) |
|
|
16. |
Aug '23 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Taila Santos |
1.72 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jul '23 |
Melsik Bagdasaryan |
Tucker Lutz |
1.55 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Jul '23 |
Alonzo Menifield |
Jim Crute |
2.02 |
0.33 |
Sub, R2 (1:55) |
|
|
19. |
Jul '23 |
Rinat Fakhretdinov |
Kevin Lee |
1.53 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (0:55) |
|
|
20. |
Jul '23 |
Ariane Lipski |
Melissa Gatto |
2.95 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Trevor Peek |
Charlie Campbell |
2.63 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Mar '24 |
Jailton Junior |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.95 |
1.25 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Ion Cutelaba |
Philipe Lins |
1.77 |
1.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Yadong Song |
Petr Yan |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Feb '24 |
Andrea Lee |
Miranda Maverick |
2.70 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Feb '24 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Ilia Topuria |
1.91 |
1.1 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Feb '24 |
Timothy Cuamba |
Bolaji Oki |
2.50 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Feb '24 |
Pete Rodriguez |
Themba Gorimbo |
3.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Feb '24 |
Roman Dolidze |
Nassourdine Imavov |
2.50 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jan '24 |
Polyana Viana |
Gillian Robertson |
3.10 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:12) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Dec '23 |
Brandon Royval |
Alexandre Pantoja |
2.62 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Dec '23 |
Anthony Smith |
Khalil Rountree |
3.00 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:56) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Dec '23 |
Wellington Turman |
Jared Gooden |
1.54 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:11) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Dec '23 |
Beneil Dariush |
Arman Tsarukyan |
3.25 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Nov '23 |
Jonathan Pearce |
Joanderson Brito |
1.80 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:54) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Nov '23 |
Luana Pinheiro |
Amanda Ribas |
3.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (3:53) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Nov '23 |
Matt Frevola |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.95 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:31) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Oct '23 |
Jennifer Maia |
Viviane Araujo |
1.65 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Oct '23 |
Alex Morono |
Joaquin Buckley |
2.50 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Sep '23 |
Dan Ige |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.70 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Mitch-Picks MMA: Progress Chart |
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