MMA Handicapper Stats: VDL MMA |
|
VDL MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 19 (50%) Losing Events: 19 (50%)
Average Staked Per Event: 16.66 units Most Staked On One Event: 33.85 units Best Event: 15.53 units Worst Event: -17.00 units Average Event: -0.37 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 18.28 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -20.15 |
VDL MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
238.9 |
-20.5 |
-9% |
-16.0 / 118.3 (-13%) |
|
6.6 / 57.5 (11%) |
6 / 6 (50%) |
-1.71 |
2023 |
394.06 |
6.6 |
2% |
-2.2 / 169.66 (-1%) |
|
-9.4 / 118.4 (-8%) |
13 / 13 (50%) |
0.25 |
|
VDL MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
VDL MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
583.15 |
-17.5 |
-3% |
-23.5 / 257.4 (-9%) |
6.9 / 167.1 (4%) |
-0.8 / 158.65 (-1%) |
Bellator |
2.5 |
-0.3 |
-14% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
0.2 / 2 (8%) |
|
PFL |
30.5 |
10.1 |
33% |
8.8 / 16.5 (53%) |
|
1.3 / 14 (9%) |
Other |
16.81 |
-6.2 |
-37% |
-3.0 / 13.56 (-22%) |
|
-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) |
|
VDL MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
21 (16%) |
14 |
67 % |
73.68 |
-5.09 |
-0.24 |
-7% |
Slight Favorites |
34 (26%) |
19 |
56 % |
84.00 |
-2.87 |
-0.08 |
-3% |
Slight Underdogs |
54 (41%) |
24 |
44 % |
98.00 |
-0.49 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Big Underdogs |
24 (18%) |
7 |
29 % |
32.28 |
-9.73 |
-0.41 |
-30% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
25 (19%) |
8 |
32 % |
55.75 |
-20.71 |
-0.83 |
-37% |
Co-Main Event |
14 (11%) |
9 |
64 % |
30.50 |
6.49 |
0.46 |
21% |
Position 3-5 |
34 (26%) |
16 |
47 % |
78.47 |
-7.89 |
-0.23 |
-10% |
6+ (Undercard) |
60 (45%) |
31 |
52 % |
123.24 |
3.93 |
0.07 |
3% |
|
VDL MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
9 (7%) |
7 |
78 % |
16.50 |
11.76 |
1.31 |
71% |
Light Heavy |
5 (4%) |
1 |
20 % |
9.00 |
-5.20 |
-1.04 |
-58% |
Middleweight |
20 (15%) |
7 |
35 % |
43.85 |
-13.01 |
-0.65 |
-30% |
Welterweight |
15 (11%) |
9 |
60 % |
31.00 |
0.75 |
0.05 |
2% |
Lightweight |
23 (17%) |
10 |
43 % |
49.75 |
0.21 |
0.01 |
0% |
Featherweight |
14 (11%) |
6 |
43 % |
33.80 |
-6.99 |
-0.50 |
-21% |
Bantamweight |
16 (12%) |
8 |
50 % |
37.50 |
-2.18 |
-0.14 |
-6% |
Flyweight |
14 (11%) |
8 |
57 % |
32.56 |
4.18 |
0.30 |
13% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
17 (13%) |
8 |
47 % |
34.00 |
-7.70 |
-0.45 |
-23% |
Bantamweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.50 |
-1.00 |
-0.50 |
-29% |
Flyweight |
5 (4%) |
3 |
60 % |
9.50 |
-1.55 |
-0.31 |
-16% |
Strawweight |
10 (8%) |
4 |
40 % |
21.00 |
-5.15 |
-0.52 |
-25% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
84 (82%) |
65 |
77 % |
Slight Favorites |
15 (15%) |
12 |
80 % |
Slight Underdogs |
3 (3%) |
3 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
102 |
80 |
78 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
92 (30%) |
68 |
74 % |
50-65% |
39 (13%) |
19 |
49 % |
35-50% |
51 (16%) |
22 |
43 % |
<35% chance |
128 (41%) |
26 |
20 % |
|
310 |
135 |
44 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail VDL MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
12.7 |
5.9 |
46% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,058.73 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
8.8 |
-1.0 |
-11% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.73 |
$1,048.15 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
19.8 |
-11.2 |
-57% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,048.15 |
$930.39 |
25th Feb |
Bellator 291 |
2.5 |
-0.3 |
-14% |
|
$9.30 |
$930.39 |
$927.13 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
11.9 |
4.5 |
38% |
|
$9.27 |
$927.13 |
$968.69 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
19.43 |
3.5 |
18% |
|
$9.69 |
$968.69 |
$1,002.27 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
13.4 |
-7.4 |
-55% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,002.27 |
$928.08 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.28 |
$928.08 |
$900.23 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
10.5 |
1.0 |
9% |
|
$9.00 |
$900.23 |
$908.91 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
10 |
-0.7 |
-7% |
|
$9.09 |
$908.91 |
$903.00 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
27 |
15.5 |
58% |
|
$9.03 |
$903.00 |
$1,043.23 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
12.65 |
-9.5 |
-75% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.23 |
$944.64 |
8th Jun |
PFL 4: Regular Season |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.45 |
$944.64 |
$897.41 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
25.3 |
9.5 |
38% |
|
$8.97 |
$897.41 |
$982.57 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
22.92 |
-4.4 |
-19% |
|
$9.83 |
$982.57 |
$939.49 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
13 |
0.1 |
1% |
|
$9.39 |
$939.49 |
$940.85 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
12.5 |
-6.5 |
-52% |
|
$9.41 |
$940.85 |
$879.84 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
24.5 |
3.8 |
16% |
|
$8.80 |
$879.84 |
$913.58 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
14.5 |
-10.5 |
-72% |
|
$9.14 |
$913.58 |
$817.66 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
20.5 |
10.3 |
50% |
|
$8.18 |
$817.66 |
$902.05 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
16.9 |
-0.2 |
-1% |
|
$9.02 |
$902.05 |
$900.61 |
24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
13.5 |
5.7 |
42% |
|
$9.01 |
$900.61 |
$951.80 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
20.7 |
2.7 |
13% |
|
$9.52 |
$951.80 |
$977.88 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
17 |
6.1 |
36% |
|
$9.78 |
$977.88 |
$1,037.38 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
19.25 |
3.8 |
20% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,037.38 |
$1,076.55 |
31st Dec |
Rizin 45 |
16.81 |
-6.2 |
-37% |
|
$10.77 |
$1,076.55 |
$1,009.70 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
20 |
9.0 |
45% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,009.70 |
$1,101.05 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
11.9 |
3.6 |
30% |
|
$11.01 |
$1,101.05 |
$1,140.27 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
17 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$11.40 |
$1,140.27 |
$1,137.22 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
22.1 |
-13.7 |
-62% |
|
$11.37 |
$1,137.22 |
$981.65 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
23.7 |
-6.2 |
-26% |
|
$9.82 |
$981.65 |
$920.80 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
12 |
9.4 |
79% |
|
$9.21 |
$920.80 |
$1,007.68 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
23.25 |
-5.9 |
-25% |
|
$10.08 |
$1,007.68 |
$947.98 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
33.85 |
1.3 |
4% |
|
$9.48 |
$947.98 |
$960.34 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
32.3 |
1.0 |
3% |
|
$9.60 |
$960.34 |
$969.68 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
14.8 |
-5.0 |
-34% |
|
$9.70 |
$969.68 |
$921.30 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
11 |
3.2 |
29% |
|
$9.21 |
$921.30 |
$951.15 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
17 |
-17.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.51 |
$951.15 |
$789.45 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -21.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
VDL MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.90 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
|
|
2. |
Mar '24 |
Rose Namajunas |
Amanda Ribas |
1.58 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Page |
Kevin Holland |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Petr Yan |
Yadong Song |
1.72 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.40 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Aiemann Zahabi |
Javid Basharat |
5.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Loik Radzhabov |
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady |
2.30 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
|
|
8. |
Feb '24 |
Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Mateus Mendonca |
2.25 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Feb '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.70 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (1:46) |
|
|
10. |
Feb '24 |
Brian Ortega |
Yair Rodriguez |
2.30 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (0:58) |
|
|
11. |
Feb '24 |
A.J. McKee |
Clay Collard |
1.36 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (1:10) |
|
|
12. |
Feb '24 |
Yoel Romero |
Thiago Santos |
1.90 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Feb '24 |
Renan Ferreira |
Ryan Bader |
2.15 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:21) |
|
|
14. |
Feb '24 |
Amanda Lemos |
Mackenzie Dern |
1.72 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Feb '24 |
Dan Ige |
Andre Fili |
1.57 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:43) |
|
|
16. |
Feb '24 |
Jamal Pogues |
Thomas Petersen |
2.40 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jan '24 |
Neil Magny |
Mike Malott |
3.40 |
0.8 |
TKO, R3 (4:45) |
|
|
18. |
Jan '24 |
Joshua Van |
Felipe Bunes |
1.47 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:31) |
|
|
19. |
Dec '23 |
Kyoji Horiguchi |
Makoto Takahashi |
1.40 |
4 |
Sub, R2 (3:44) |
|
|
20. |
Jan '24 |
Brunno Ferreira |
Phil Hawes |
2.00 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:55) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '24 |
Bill Algeo |
Kyle Nelson |
1.50 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Mar '24 |
Andre Petroski |
Jacob Malkoun |
2.70 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:39) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Mar '24 |
Lupita Godinez |
Virna Jandiroba |
1.57 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '24 |
Jamall Emmers |
Nate Landwehr |
1.53 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:43) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Mar '24 |
Cody Gibson |
Miles Johns |
2.00 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Mar '24 |
Marlon Vera |
Sean O'Malley |
3.00 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Mar '24 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Kyler Phillips |
2.80 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Mar '24 |
Gilbert Burns |
Jack Della Maddalena |
2.00 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Mar '24 |
Bernardo Sopai |
Vinicius de Oliveira |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (4:41) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '24 |
Denys Bondar |
Luis Rodriguez |
2.00 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Feb '24 |
Daniel Lacerda |
Edgar Chairez |
3.75 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Feb '24 |
Brandon Moreno |
Brandon Royval |
1.40 |
3 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Feb '24 |
Valentine Woodburn |
Oban Elliott |
3.25 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Feb '24 |
Brendson Ribeiro |
Mingyang Zhang |
2.20 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:41) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Feb '24 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Ilia Topuria |
1.90 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Feb '24 |
Armen Petrosyan |
Rodolfo Vieira |
2.01 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Feb '24 |
Darrius Flowers |
Michael Johnson |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Feb '24 |
Joe Pyfer |
Jack Hermansson |
1.44 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Feb '24 |
Julija Stoliarenko |
Luana Carolina |
1.72 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (4:52) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '24 |
Roman Dolidze |
Nassourdine Imavov |
2.40 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
VDL MMA: Progress Chart |
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