MMA Handicapper Stats: Rafael Amador |
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Rafael Amador: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 9 (45%) Losing Events: 11 (55%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.47 units Most Staked On One Event: 12.80 units Best Event: 5.67 units Worst Event: -5.46 units Average Event: -0.07 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.21 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.09 |
Rafael Amador: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
24 |
-1.2 |
-5% |
-0.1 / 6 (-1%) |
|
-2.2 / 17 (-13%) |
1 / 2 (33%) |
-0.39 |
2023 |
105.38 |
-0.3 |
-0% |
-7.2 / 31.25 (-23%) |
|
-1.1 / 46.38 (-2%) |
8 / 9 (47%) |
-0.02 |
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Rafael Amador: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Rafael Amador: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
128.38 |
-0.5 |
-0% |
-6.3 / 36.25 (-17%) |
9.2 / 28.75 (32%) |
-3.4 / 63.38 (-5%) |
Other |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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Rafael Amador: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
11 (29%) |
4 |
36 % |
12.75 |
-6.55 |
-0.60 |
-51% |
Slight Favorites |
10 (26%) |
7 |
70 % |
10.50 |
3.75 |
0.38 |
36% |
Slight Underdogs |
12 (32%) |
4 |
33 % |
10.00 |
-0.51 |
-0.04 |
-5% |
Big Underdogs |
5 (13%) |
0 |
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-0.80 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
4 (11%) |
2 |
50 % |
8.00 |
-2.71 |
-0.68 |
-34% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (13%) |
3 |
60 % |
5.50 |
-0.60 |
-0.12 |
-11% |
Position 3-5 |
13 (34%) |
4 |
31 % |
10.50 |
-3.31 |
-0.25 |
-32% |
6+ (Undercard) |
16 (42%) |
6 |
38 % |
13.25 |
-0.70 |
-0.04 |
-5% |
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Rafael Amador: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (8%) |
|
0 % |
2.50 |
-2.25 |
-0.75 |
-90% |
Light Heavy |
3 (8%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.00 |
1.38 |
0.46 |
46% |
Middleweight |
3 (8%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.50 |
0.46 |
0.15 |
13% |
Welterweight |
5 (13%) |
2 |
40 % |
4.00 |
0.88 |
0.18 |
22% |
Lightweight |
10 (26%) |
1 |
10 % |
9.25 |
-7.66 |
-0.77 |
-83% |
Featherweight |
4 (11%) |
4 |
100 % |
4.00 |
3.68 |
0.92 |
92% |
Bantamweight |
5 (13%) |
2 |
40 % |
5.50 |
-3.44 |
-0.69 |
-63% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
5 (13%) |
3 |
60 % |
5.50 |
-0.36 |
-0.07 |
-6% |
Bantamweight |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.50 |
-0.49 |
-0.25 |
-33% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.00 |
0.69 |
0.69 |
69% |
Strawweight |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.00 |
-0.56 |
-0.28 |
-19% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
68 (79%) |
48 |
71 % |
Slight Favorites |
17 (20%) |
13 |
76 % |
Slight Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
86 |
62 |
72 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
25 (52%) |
19 |
76 % |
50-65% |
17 (35%) |
14 |
82 % |
35-50% |
5 (10%) |
3 |
60 % |
<35% chance |
1 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
48 |
36 |
75 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Rafael Amador's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
7.5 |
1.8 |
23% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,017.50 |
30th Jul |
Super Rizin 2 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,017.50 |
$1,007.33 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
10.05 |
1.5 |
15% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,007.33 |
$1,022.34 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
6.5 |
-0.1 |
-2% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,022.34 |
$1,021.31 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
12.8 |
-0.5 |
-4% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,021.31 |
$1,016.07 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
2.5 |
2.2 |
88% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,016.07 |
$1,038.54 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
4 |
4.0 |
100% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,038.54 |
$1,080.03 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
6.33 |
-3.9 |
-61% |
|
$10.80 |
$1,080.03 |
$1,038.01 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
6.5 |
1.5 |
23% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.01 |
$1,053.26 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
5 |
-1.6 |
-33% |
|
$10.53 |
$1,053.26 |
$1,036.14 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
7 |
-5.5 |
-78% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,036.14 |
$979.57 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
8.5 |
0.9 |
11% |
|
$9.80 |
$979.57 |
$988.71 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
6 |
-2.4 |
-39% |
|
$9.89 |
$988.71 |
$965.38 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
4.2 |
3.5 |
84% |
|
$9.65 |
$965.38 |
$999.27 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
7 |
-5.4 |
-77% |
|
$9.99 |
$999.27 |
$945.19 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
2.5 |
-0.6 |
-24% |
|
$9.45 |
$945.19 |
$939.54 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
8 |
5.3 |
66% |
|
$9.40 |
$939.54 |
$989.32 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
9 |
-1.8 |
-20% |
|
$9.89 |
$989.32 |
$971.11 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.71 |
$971.11 |
$922.55 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
10 |
5.7 |
57% |
|
$9.23 |
$922.55 |
$974.88 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Rafael Amador: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.86 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '24 |
Jim Miller |
Bobby Green |
2.56 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Jan '24 |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
Raquel Pennington |
1.61 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Dec '23 |
Clay Guida |
Joaquim Silva |
27.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Dec '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.04 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Sergey Pavlovich |
Tom Aspinall |
1.96 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '23 |
Mark O. Madsen |
Jared Gordon |
2.78 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Oct '23 |
Bruno Silva |
Sharabutdin Magomedov |
3.45 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '23 |
Grant Dawson |
Bobby Green |
1.28 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Sep '23 |
Kiefer Crosbie |
Kevin Jousset |
2.44 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:49) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Sep '23 |
Austen Lane |
Justin Tafa |
2.94 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:22) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Aug '23 |
Austin Hubbard |
Kurt Holobaugh |
1.61 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:39) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Aug '23 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Sean O'Malley |
1.42 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (0:51) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Aug '23 |
Cody Gibson |
Brad Katona |
2.49 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Aug '23 |
Chris Weidman |
Brad Tavares |
3.33 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Aug '23 |
Polyana Viana |
Iasmin Lucindo |
2.70 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:42) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Aug '23 |
Raoni Barcelos |
Kyler Phillips |
2.70 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Aug '23 |
Aleksa Camur |
Tanner Boser |
2.33 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Aug '23 |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
Ludovit Klein |
1.49 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jul '23 |
Patricio Freire |
Chihiro Suzuki |
1.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:32) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Rafael Amador: Progress Chart |
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