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MMA Handicapper Stats: Denim Chicken |
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Denim Chicken: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 12 (63%) Losing Events: 7 (37%)
Average Staked Per Event: 17.30 units Most Staked On One Event: 36.14 units Best Event: 22.51 units Worst Event: -12.33 units Average Event: 2.90 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 49.30 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.33 |
Denim Chicken: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
328.645 |
55.2 |
17% |
22.0 / 172.19 (13%) |
|
12.0 / 44.93 (27%) |
12 / 7 (63%) |
2.90 |
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Denim Chicken: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
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Denim Chicken: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
310.325 |
68.5 |
22% |
33.7 / 159.3 (21%) |
24.0 / 108.695 (22%) |
10.8 / 42.33 (25%) |
Bellator |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) |
|
|
PFL |
17.22 |
-12.2 |
-71% |
-10.6 / 11.79 (-90%) |
-2.8 / 2.83 (-100%) |
1.2 / 2.6 (45%) |
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Denim Chicken: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
15 (13%) |
12 |
80 % |
27.87 |
5.86 |
0.39 |
21% |
Slight Favorites |
32 (27%) |
16 |
50 % |
59.30 |
-12.99 |
-0.41 |
-22% |
Slight Underdogs |
51 (43%) |
30 |
59 % |
66.46 |
33.42 |
0.66 |
50% |
Big Underdogs |
22 (18%) |
4 |
18 % |
18.56 |
-4.26 |
-0.19 |
-23% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
9 (8%) |
3 |
33 % |
14.67 |
-7.26 |
-0.81 |
-50% |
Co-Main Event |
7 (6%) |
7 |
100 % |
7.50 |
8.89 |
1.27 |
119% |
Position 3-5 |
35 (29%) |
13 |
37 % |
53.05 |
-13.45 |
-0.38 |
-25% |
6+ (Undercard) |
69 (58%) |
39 |
57 % |
96.97 |
33.86 |
0.49 |
35% |
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Denim Chicken: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
13 (11%) |
11 |
85 % |
19.51 |
20.18 |
1.55 |
103% |
Light Heavy |
11 (9%) |
2 |
18 % |
13.74 |
-9.38 |
-0.85 |
-68% |
Middleweight |
18 (15%) |
10 |
56 % |
28.29 |
1.55 |
0.09 |
5% |
Welterweight |
10 (8%) |
5 |
50 % |
14.75 |
5.18 |
0.52 |
35% |
Lightweight |
18 (15%) |
7 |
39 % |
21.96 |
-4.12 |
-0.23 |
-19% |
Featherweight |
14 (12%) |
8 |
57 % |
17.10 |
1.30 |
0.09 |
8% |
Bantamweight |
13 (11%) |
7 |
54 % |
24.80 |
1.79 |
0.14 |
7% |
Flyweight |
11 (9%) |
4 |
36 % |
11.16 |
-0.31 |
-0.03 |
-3% |
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|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
12 (10%) |
8 |
67 % |
20.88 |
5.85 |
0.49 |
28% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.57 |
0.57 |
115% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
0.87 |
-0.87 |
-0.87 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
5 (4%) |
3 |
60 % |
10.60 |
3.20 |
0.64 |
30% |
Strawweight |
5 (4%) |
4 |
80 % |
8.91 |
2.95 |
0.59 |
33% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
47 (60%) |
39 |
83 % |
Slight Favorites |
19 (24%) |
14 |
74 % |
Slight Underdogs |
10 (13%) |
3 |
30 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (3%) |
2 |
100 % |
|
78 |
58 |
74 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
8 (4%) |
6 |
75 % |
50-65% |
32 (15%) |
17 |
53 % |
35-50% |
29 (13%) |
16 |
55 % |
<35% chance |
150 (68%) |
20 |
13 % |
|
219 |
59 |
27 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Denim Chicken's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
20.94 |
2.0 |
10% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,019.96 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
21.22 |
22.5 |
106% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,019.96 |
$1,249.59 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
29.31 |
18.8 |
64% |
|
$12.50 |
$1,249.59 |
$1,484.79 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
17.79 |
1.3 |
7% |
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$14.85 |
$1,484.79 |
$1,504.53 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
22.44 |
4.6 |
21% |
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$15.05 |
$1,504.53 |
$1,574.25 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
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$15.74 |
$1,574.25 |
$1,558.51 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
9.06 |
0.8 |
8% |
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$15.59 |
$1,558.51 |
$1,570.36 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
18.73 |
-4.1 |
-22% |
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$15.70 |
$1,570.36 |
$1,505.70 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
36.135 |
12.2 |
34% |
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$15.06 |
$1,505.70 |
$1,689.17 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
11.1 |
4.2 |
38% |
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$16.89 |
$1,689.17 |
$1,759.65 |
22nd Mar |
Bellator Champions Series |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
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$17.60 |
$1,759.65 |
$1,740.29 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
19.76 |
-3.3 |
-16% |
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$17.40 |
$1,740.29 |
$1,683.71 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
15.51 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
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$16.84 |
$1,683.71 |
$1,675.55 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
14.8 |
0.5 |
3% |
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$16.76 |
$1,675.55 |
$1,683.21 |
12th Apr |
PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season |
13.54 |
-12.3 |
-91% |
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$16.83 |
$1,683.21 |
$1,475.67 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
27.28 |
6.9 |
25% |
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$14.76 |
$1,475.67 |
$1,577.04 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
2.68 |
1.1 |
41% |
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$15.77 |
$1,577.04 |
$1,594.16 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
19.42 |
8.6 |
44% |
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$15.94 |
$1,594.16 |
$1,731.55 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
26.83 |
-6.0 |
-22% |
|
$17.32 |
$1,731.55 |
$1,627.63 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 62.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Denim Chicken: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
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1. |
May '24 |
Paul Craig |
Caio Borralho |
5.31 |
0.25 |
TKO, R2 (2:10) |
No |
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2. |
May '24 |
Vinc Pichel |
Ismael Bonfim |
5.25 |
0.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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3. |
May '24 |
Kevin Borjas |
Alessandro Costa |
2.20 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
No |
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4. |
Apr '24 |
Brennan Ward |
Don Madge |
2.46 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:2) |
No |
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5. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.83 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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6. |
Apr '24 |
Mads Burnell |
Michael Dufort |
1.59 |
1.7 |
Sub, R2 (1:3) |
No |
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7. |
Apr '24 |
Sadibou Sy |
Joshua Silveira |
1.83 |
0.6 |
TKO, R1 (1:14) |
No |
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8. |
Apr '24 |
Sodiq Yusuff |
Diego Lopes |
2.24 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:29) |
No |
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9. |
Apr '24 |
Adam Piccolotti |
Elvin Espinoza |
1.83 |
2.4 |
TKO, R3 (2:23) |
No |
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10. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
3.55 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:2) |
No |
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11. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Polizzi |
Impa Kasanganay |
4.73 |
2.63 |
TKO, R1 (3:29) |
No |
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12. |
Apr '24 |
Alex Polizzi |
Impa Kasanganay |
5.10 |
0.7 |
TKO, R1 (3:29) |
No |
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13. |
Apr '24 |
Sadibou Sy |
Joshua Silveira |
1.65 |
1.55 |
TKO, R1 (1:14) |
No |
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14. |
Apr '24 |
Bruno Miranda |
Brent Primus |
2.05 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:49) |
No |
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15. |
Apr '24 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Jiri Prochazka |
1.91 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
No |
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16. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Brundage |
Bo Nickal |
13.00 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (3:38) |
No |
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17. |
Apr '24 |
Pedro Falcao |
Victor Hugo Silva |
2.20 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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18. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.50 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
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19. |
Apr '24 |
Dan Argueta |
Jean Matsumoto |
2.70 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:59) |
No |
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20. |
Apr '24 |
Chris Curtis |
Brendan Allen |
2.90 |
2 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Denim Chicken: Progress Chart |
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