MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6401
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2366

MMA Handicapper Stats: The Degenerate Mark

The Degenerate Mark (DegenerateMark)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	51 (26%)	Right	24 (39%)	Right	17 (31%)	Right	10 (12%)
Wrong	146 (74%)	Wrong	38 (61%)	Wrong	37 (69%)	Wrong	71 (88%)
Avg Odds	3.07	Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	2.91	Avg Odds	5.46
Units Bet	214.4	Units Bet	94.5	Units Bet	40.2	Units Bet	79.7
Avg Bet	1.09	Avg Bet	1.52	Avg Bet	0.74	Avg Bet	0.98
Units Profit	-58.99	Units Profit	-21.23	Units Profit	-4.75	Units Profit	-33.01
ROI %	-28%	ROI %	-22%	ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-41%

The Degenerate Mark: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th May '24	UFC 301	16.85	-8.4	-50%	1.2 / 5 (24%)	-3.0 / 5.25 (-57%)	-6.6 / 6.6 (-100%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	10	-5.8	-58%	-3.0 / 5.5 (-54%)	1.1 / 0.5 (225%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	15.5	-3.5	-23%	-4.8 / 7.5 (-65%)	0.6 / 2.75 (23%)	0.7 / 5.25 (13%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	6.75	2.9	42%	-0.3 / 3 (-10%)	2.0 / 1 (200%)	1.2 / 2.75 (42%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	18.75	-9.0	-48%	0.2 / 9.5 (2%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-7.8 / 7.75 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	15.25	-3.6	-24%	-3.6 / 10.5 (-34%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	1.2 / 3.5 (35%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	14.85	3.4	23%	0.9 / 6.5 (14%)	1.8 / 3 (58%)	0.8 / 5.35 (14%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	15.5	-3.7	-24%	-4.2 / 9 (-47%)	-0.0 / 3 (-0%)	0.5 / 3.5 (15%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	14	2.3	17%	-1.2 / 2.5 (-48%)	3.0 / 5.75 (53%)	0.5 / 5.75 (9%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	15.05	-9.4	-62%	-1.4 / 4.5 (-31%)	-1.1 / 3.7 (-31%)	-6.9 / 6.85 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	15.25	6.6	43%	-0.2 / 5 (-4%)	1.1 / 3.75 (29%)	5.7 / 6.5 (88%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	15	-5.1	-34%	-1.1 / 7 (-15%)	-3.3 / 3.75 (-87%)	-0.8 / 4.25 (-18%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	13.85	-6.4	-46%	1.5 / 6 (24%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	-6.6 / 6.6 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	15.5	-14.3	-92%	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)	-1.5 / 2.75 (-55%)	-6.3 / 6.25 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	12.75	-5.0	-40%	1.2 / 6.5 (18%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-4.8 / 4.75 (-100%)

Winning Events: 4 (27%)
Losing Events: 11 (73%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.32 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.75 units
Best Event: 6.59 units
Worst Event: -14.25 units
Average Event: -3.93 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 6.59
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -30.74

The Degenerate Mark: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	214.85	-59.0	-27%	-21.2 / 94.5 (-22%)		-33.0 / 79.65 (-41%)	4 / 11 (27%)	-3.93

The Degenerate Mark: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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The Degenerate Mark: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	214.85	-59.0	-27%	-21.2 / 94.5 (-22%)	-4.8 / 40.7 (-12%)	-33.0 / 79.65 (-41%)

The Degenerate Mark: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (8%)	4	80 %	10.00	2.16	0.43	22%
Slight Favorites	26 (42%)	12	46 %	47.00	-9.62	-0.37	-20%
Slight Underdogs	23 (37%)	8	35 %	29.50	-5.78	-0.25	-20%
Big Underdogs	8 (13%)	0	0 %	8.00	-8.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (18%)	7	64 %	17.00	5.57	0.51	33%
Co-Main Event	8 (13%)	3	38 %	10.50	-3.28	-0.41	-31%
Position 3-5	10 (16%)	3	30 %	18.00	-6.46	-0.65	-36%
6+ (Undercard)	33 (53%)	11	33 %	49.00	-17.06	-0.52	-35%

The Degenerate Mark: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (3%)	2	100 %	2.50	2.62	1.31	105%
Light Heavy	5 (8%)	2	40 %	6.00	-0.65	-0.13	-11%
Middleweight	8 (13%)	2	25 %	12.50	-7.88	-0.98	-63%
Welterweight	6 (10%)	1	17 %	10.50	-7.70	-1.28	-73%
Lightweight	7 (11%)	4	57 %	8.50	2.03	0.29	24%
Featherweight	15 (24%)	6	40 %	24.50	-7.09	-0.47	-29%
Bantamweight	6 (10%)	3	50 %	9.50	1.63	0.27	17%
Flyweight	3 (5%)	1	33 %	5.50	-1.65	-0.55	-30%

Women's Fights	10 (16%)	3	30 %	15.00	-2.55	-0.26	-17%
Featherweight	1 (2%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Bantamweight	4 (6%)		0 %	6.00	-6.00	-1.50	-100%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.00	3.10	3.10	155%
Strawweight	4 (6%)	2	50 %	6.00	1.35	0.34	22%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	299 (61%)	230	77 %
Slight Favorites	126 (26%)	61	48 %
Slight Underdogs	54 (11%)	16	30 %
Big Underdogs	11 (2%)	0	0 %
	490	307	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (2%)	0	0 %
50-65%	19 (29%)	11	58 %
35-50%	13 (20%)	5	38 %
<35% chance	33 (50%)	5	15 %
	66	21	32 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.81	2.10	1.59	1.7 (84%)
X Wins by KO	9 (14%)	3	33 %	3.16	8.00	1.91	1.0 (11%)
X Wins by Sub	9 (14%)	2	22 %	5.19	8.50	3.50	-0.5 (-6%)
X Wins by Decision	10 (15%)	2	20 %	2.55	4.50	1.69	-4.3 (-43%)
X Wins Inside Distance	23 (35%)	8	35 %	2.09	11.00	1.44	-9.7 (-42%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (5%)	1	33 %	2.65	6.50	1.87	-0.7 (-25%)
Others	10 (15%)	3	30 %	3.67	21.00	1.80	-3.5 (-35%)
	66	21	32 %	2.69			-16.1 (-24%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Degenerate Mark's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	12.75	-5.0	-40%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$949.52
20th Jan	UFC 297	15.5	-14.3	-92%		$9.50	$949.52	$814.21
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	13.85	-6.4	-46%		$8.14	$814.21	$762.21
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	15	-5.1	-34%		$7.62	$762.21	$723.66
17th Feb	UFC 298	15.25	6.6	43%		$7.24	$723.66	$771.35
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	15.05	-9.4	-62%		$7.71	$771.35	$699.09
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	14	2.3	17%		$6.99	$699.09	$715.44
9th Mar	UFC 299	15.5	-3.7	-24%		$7.15	$715.44	$689.18
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	14.85	3.4	23%		$6.89	$689.18	$712.91
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	15.25	-3.6	-24%		$7.13	$712.91	$686.94
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	18.75	-9.0	-48%		$6.87	$686.94	$624.93
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	6.75	2.9	42%		$6.25	$624.93	$642.77
13th Apr	UFC 300	15.5	-3.5	-23%		$6.43	$642.77	$619.96
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	10	-5.8	-58%		$6.20	$619.96	$583.84
4th May	UFC 301	16.85	-8.4	-50%		$5.84	$583.84	$534.85

ROI % from starting bank balance: -46.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Degenerate Mark: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Joanderson Brito	Jack Shore	1.57	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:35)
2.	May '24	Alexandre Pantoja	Steve Erceg	1.54	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
3.	Apr '24	Austin Hubbard	Michal Figlak	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Apr '24	Alex Pereira	Jamahal Hill	1.77	1.5	TKO, R1 (3:14)
5.	Apr '24	Damon Jackson	Alexander Hernandez	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '24	Jacob Malkoun	Andre Petroski	1.45	2	TKO, R2 (0:39)
7.	Mar '24	Chidi Njokuani	Rhys McKee	1.71	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Manon Fiorot	Erin Blanchfield	2.55	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Fernando Padilla	Luis Pajuelo	1.57	2	Sub, R1 (2:45)
10.	Mar '24	Rose Namajunas	Amanda Ribas	1.50	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Mar '24	Jaqueline Amorim	Cory McKenna	2.40	1.5	Sub, R1 (1:38)
12.	Mar '24	Marcin Tybura	Tai Tuivasa	1.91	2	Sub, R1 (4:8)
13.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.75	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:32)
15.	Mar '24	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Shamil Gaziev	2.60	0.5	TKO, R4 (5:0)
16.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.56	2	Sub, R1 (1:46)
17.	Feb '24	Mingyang Zhang	Brendson Ribeiro	1.80	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:41)
18.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.10	1	TKO, R2 (3:32)
19.	Feb '24	Carlos Prates	Trevin Giles	1.40	2	TKO, R2 (4:3)
20.	Feb '24	Dan Ige	Andre Fili	1.57	2	TKO, R1 (2:43)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Elves Brenner	Myktybek Orolbai	3.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Tim Means	Uros Medic	3.50	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:9)	No
3.	Apr '24	Jonathan Pearce	David Onama	1.69	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '24	Matheus Nicolau	Alex Perez	1.56	2	TKO, R2 (2:16)	No
5.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
8.	Apr '24	Holly Holm	Kayla Harrison	4.25	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:47)	No
9.	Apr '24	Aleksandar Rakic	Jiri Prochazka	1.95	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
10.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '24	Germaine de Randamie	Norma Dumont	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '24	Connor Matthews	Dennis Buzukja	2.05	1	TKO, R3 (0:22)	No
13.	Mar '24	Jamall Emmers	Nate Landwehr	1.54	2	TKO, R1 (4:43)	No
14.	Mar '24	Vicente Luque	Joaquin Buckley	1.91	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
15.	Mar '24	Montserrat Rendon	Dariya Zheleznyakova	2.90	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '24	Ricardo Ramos	Julian Erosa	1.57	2	Sub, R1 (2:15)	No
17.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.91	2	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
18.	Mar '24	Joshua Culibao	Danny Silva	1.54	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Mar '24	Josiane Nunes	Chelsea Chandler	1.71	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '24	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Michel Pereira	2.20	1	Sub, R1 (1:1)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Degenerate Mark: Progress Chart

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