MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: 3rdBestMJ

3rdBestMJ (3rdBestMJ)

MMA MHandicapper - 3rdBestMJ

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	52 (27%)	Right	17 (37%)	Right	18 (17%)	Right	17 (43%)
Wrong	142 (73%)	Wrong	29 (63%)	Wrong	90 (83%)	Wrong	23 (58%)
Avg Odds	3.68	Avg Odds	2.69	Avg Odds	5.60	Avg Odds	2.44
Units Bet	82.1	Units Bet	26.3	Units Bet	31.1	Units Bet	24.7
Avg Bet	0.42	Avg Bet	0.57	Avg Bet	0.29	Avg Bet	0.62
Units Profit	-2.26	Units Profit	0.50	Units Profit	-4.25	Units Profit	1.50
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	-14%	ROI %	6%

3rdBestMJ : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th May '24	UFC 301	4.95	-2.0	-40%	-0.4 / 1.6 (-22%)	0.7 / 1 (70%)	-2.4 / 2.35 (-100%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	4.65	-3.0	-64%	0.6 / 1.1 (53%)	-2.2 / 2.15 (-100%)	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	10.15	1.3	12%	-0.8 / 4.3 (-19%)	1.2 / 5.15 (22%)	0.9 / 0.7 (130%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	7.3	-4.1	-56%	-0.2 / 2 (-10%)	-2.6 / 4 (-64%)	-1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6.35	2.8	44%	1.5 / 1.7 (87%)	2.1 / 3.85 (54%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	3.4	-0.3	-8%	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)	0.8 / 0.8 (94%)	0.2 / 1.4 (12%)
22nd Mar '24	Bellator Champions Series	1.3	0.4	29%	0.4 / 1.3 (29%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	4.2	0.3	8%	0.9 / 1 (91%)	-0.5 / 1.35 (-33%)	-0.1 / 1.85 (-6%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	10.15	-5.3	-52%	-1.8 / 3.7 (-48%)	-2.0 / 3.35 (-60%)	-1.5 / 3.1 (-48%)
7th Mar '24	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	0.5	0.5	105%	0.5 / 0.5 (105%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	3.85	1.5	38%	1.0 / 2.35 (43%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	1.0 / 1 (96%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	10.6	2.4	23%	0.6 / 2.4 (26%)	-1.7 / 3.2 (-53%)	3.5 / 5 (70%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	9.35	2.6	28%	-0.8 / 2.55 (-32%)	0.4 / 4.1 (10%)	3.0 / 2.7 (111%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	3.35	2.7	79%	0.5 / 0.25 (200%)	0.2 / 1.6 (11%)	2.0 / 1.5 (132%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	3.05	-2.1	-67%	-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)	-0.2 / 1.15 (-13%)	-1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)

Winning Events: 9 (60%)
Losing Events: 6 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.54 units
Most Staked On One Event: 10.60 units
Best Event: 2.77 units
Worst Event: -5.31 units
Average Event: -0.15 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 9.68
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -5.31

3rdBestMJ : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	83.15	-2.3	-3%	0.5 / 26.3 (2%)		1.5 / 24.65 (6%)	9 / 6 (60%)	-0.15

3rdBestMJ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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3rdBestMJ : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	81.35	-3.2	-4%	-0.4 / 24.5 (-2%)	-4.3 / 32.2 (-13%)	1.5 / 24.65 (6%)
Bellator	1.3	0.4	29%	0.4 / 1.3 (29%)
PFL	0.5	0.5	105%	0.5 / 0.5 (105%)

3rdBestMJ : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	4 (9%)	3	75 %	4.00	1.54	0.39	39%
Slight Underdogs	21 (46%)	10	48 %	14.05	2.47	0.12	18%
Big Underdogs	21 (46%)	4	19 %	8.25	-3.51	-0.17	-43%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (26%)	7	58 %	7.15	2.94	0.25	41%
Co-Main Event	2 (4%)	0	0 %	0.90	-0.90	-0.45	-100%
Position 3-5	14 (30%)	4	29 %	6.65	-0.56	-0.04	-8%
6+ (Undercard)	18 (39%)	6	33 %	11.60	-0.99	-0.06	-9%

3rdBestMJ : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (9%)	2	50 %	3.30	0.29	0.07	9%
Light Heavy	5 (11%)	3	60 %	3.15	1.78	0.36	57%
Middleweight	7 (15%)	3	43 %	3.30	0.69	0.10	21%
Welterweight	4 (9%)	1	25 %	2.10	-1.07	-0.27	-51%
Lightweight	6 (13%)	2	33 %	3.30	-0.12	-0.02	-4%
Featherweight	3 (7%)		0 %	1.40	-1.40	-0.47	-100%
Bantamweight	6 (13%)	1	17 %	3.55	-1.64	-0.27	-46%
Flyweight	6 (13%)	3	50 %	3.25	1.46	0.24	45%

Women's Fights	5 (11%)	2	40 %	2.95	0.52	0.10	18%
Flyweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	1.25	0.50	0.25	40%
Strawweight	3 (7%)	1	33 %	1.70	0.02	0.01	1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	34 (69%)	26	76 %
Slight Favorites	15 (31%)	11	73 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	49	37	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	16 (11%)	12	75 %
50-65%	18 (12%)	6	33 %
35-50%	22 (15%)	7	32 %
<35% chance	92 (62%)	12	13 %
	148	37	25 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	24 (16%)	11	46 %	1.57	3.25	1.17	-6.5 (-27%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	10 (7%)	6	60 %	2.04	3.10	1.26	3.6 (36%)
X Wins by KO	17 (11%)	4	24 %	3.54	8.00	2.00	4.6 (27%)
X Wins by Sub	13 (9%)	2	15 %	7.72	23.00	4.33	8.3 (64%)
X Wins by Decision	6 (4%)	3	50 %	3.95	10.00	1.80	4.1 (68%)
X Wins Inside Distance	11 (7%)	2	18 %	2.53	4.75	1.71	-6.1 (-56%)
X Wins in Round X	46 (31%)	2	4 %	13.39	34.00	5.00	-1.0 (-2%)
Others	21 (14%)	7	33 %	2.91	34.00	1.30	-2.6 (-13%)
	148	37	25 %	3.43			4.3 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail 3rdBestMJ 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	3.05	-2.1	-67%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$979.50
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	3.35	2.7	79%		$9.80	$979.50	$1,005.52
17th Feb	UFC 298	9.35	2.6	28%		$10.06	$1,005.52	$1,031.56
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	10.6	2.4	23%		$10.32	$1,031.56	$1,056.73
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	3.85	1.5	38%		$10.57	$1,056.73	$1,072.23
7th Mar	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	0.5	0.5	105%		$10.72	$1,072.23	$1,077.86
9th Mar	UFC 299	10.15	-5.3	-52%		$10.78	$1,077.86	$1,020.61
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	4.2	0.3	8%		$10.21	$1,020.61	$1,024.17
22nd Mar	Bellator Champions Series	1.3	0.4	29%		$10.24	$1,024.17	$1,028.06
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	3.4	-0.3	-8%		$10.28	$1,028.06	$1,025.20
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	6.35	2.8	44%		$10.25	$1,025.20	$1,053.54
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	7.3	-4.1	-56%		$10.54	$1,053.54	$1,010.61
13th Apr	UFC 300	10.15	1.3	12%		$10.11	$1,010.61	$1,023.32
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	4.65	-3.0	-64%		$10.23	$1,023.32	$992.93
4th May	UFC 301	4.95	-2.0	-40%		$9.93	$992.93	$973.07

ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

3rdBestMJ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Anthony Smith	Vitor Petrino	5.00	0.25	Sub, R1 (2:0)
2.	Apr '24	Alex Perez	Matheus Nicolau	2.40	0.7	TKO, R2 (2:16)
3.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.00	1	TKO, R2 (3:17)
4.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.50	0.6	TKO, R5 (4:59)
5.	Apr '24	César Almeida	Dylan Budka	2.25	0.8	TKO, R2 (2:13)
6.	Mar '24	Chris Weidman	Bruno Silva	2.87	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '24	Manon Fiorot	Erin Blanchfield	2.50	0.7	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Luke Trainer	Grant Neal	2.40	0.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Marcin Tybura	Tai Tuivasa	1.91	1	Sub, R1 (4:8)
10.	Mar '24	Baissangour Chamsoudinov	Cedric Doumbe	2.05	0.5	TKO, R3 (1:21)
11.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.91	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.40	0.7	TKO, R3 (0:49)
13.	Mar '24	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Shamil Gaziev	2.40	0.7	TKO, R4 (5:0)
14.	Feb '24	Brandon Royval	Brandon Moreno	3.25	0.4	Split Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Feb '24	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Mateus Mendonca	2.30	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '24	Amanda Lemos	Mackenzie Dern	1.72	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '24	Jack Hermansson	Joe Pyfer	3.00	0.25	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	2.62	0.6	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	Jamie Mullarkey	Mauricio Ruffy	2.87	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:42)	No
3.	May '24	Paul Craig	Caio Borralho	5.50	0.25	TKO, R2 (2:10)	No
4.	Apr '24	Tim Means	Uros Medic	3.40	0.4	TKO, R1 (2:9)	No
5.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.50	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.10	0.8	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
7.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.20	0.8	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
8.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.87	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Chris Curtis	Brendan Allen	2.87	0.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Dan Argueta	Jean Matsumoto	2.50	0.7	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
11.	Mar '24	Sedriques Dumas	Nursulton Ruziboev	2.87	0.5	TKO, R1 (3:18)	No
12.	Mar '24	Amanda Ribas	Rose Namajunas	2.75	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Isaiah Pinson	Abraham Bably	2.50	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	2.30	0.7	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No
15.	Mar '24	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	3.25	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.87	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.91	1	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
18.	Mar '24	Gilbert Burns	Jack Della Maddalena	2.30	0.7	TKO, R3 (3:43)	No
19.	Mar '24	Bekzat Almakhan	Umar Nurmagomedov	9.00	0.15	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Mar '24	Alex Perez	Muhammad Mokaev	3.75	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

3rdBestMJ : Progress Chart

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