MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6446
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2394

MMA Handicapper Stats: Prof. Speculate

Prof. Speculate (Ldog)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	230 (46%)	Right	169 (54%)	Right	41 (31%)	Right	20 (38%)
Wrong	268 (54%)	Wrong	146 (46%)	Wrong	90 (69%)	Wrong	32 (62%)
Avg Odds	1.91	Avg Odds	1.61	Avg Odds	2.72	Avg Odds	3.07
Units Bet	1,022.9	Units Bet	843.9	Units Bet	103.8	Units Bet	75.2
Avg Bet	2.05	Avg Bet	2.68	Avg Bet	0.79	Avg Bet	1.45
Units Profit	-127.39	Units Profit	-139.11	Units Profit	-7.90	Units Profit	19.62
ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-16%	ROI %	-8%	ROI %	26%

Prof. Speculate: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
28th Aug '21	UFC FN	14.35	1.2	8%	-0.4 / 4.4 (-9%)	-1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)	3.0 / 8.5 (36%)
26th Jun '21	UFC FN	30.18	-10.4	-34%	-11.5 / 25.75 (-45%)	1.2 / 4.43 (26%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	6.6	-2.3	-35%	-1.3 / 5.4 (-24%)	-1.0 / 1.2 (-82%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	37.15	-3.7	-10%	-10.3 / 22.9 (-45%)	2.3 / 9 (25%)	4.3 / 5.25 (82%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	20.2	7.3	36%	7.3 / 20.2 (36%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	30.41	4.3	14%	3.1 / 24.7 (13%)	-2.3 / 2.71 (-83%)	3.4 / 3 (114%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	36.53	11.7	32%	7.1 / 22.03 (32%)	4.6 / 14.5 (32%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	35.2	-18.5	-52%	-18.5 / 35.2 (-52%)
16th Sep '20	DWCS 33	18.5	-7.6	-41%	-5.6 / 16.5 (-34%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	4	9.7	242%			9.7 / 4 (242%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	46.5	6.1	13%	5.0 / 35 (14%)	-3.0 / 7.5 (-40%)	4.2 / 4 (104%)
2nd Sep '20	DWCS 31	8	0.9	11%	0.9 / 8 (11%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	20	-0.2	-1%	-3.7 / 12 (-31%)	2.0 / 5.5 (37%)	1.5 / 2.5 (59%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	80	-0.2	-0%	-0.2 / 80 (-0%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	81	-25.6	-32%	-25.6 / 81 (-32%)
8th Aug '20	Bellator 243	30.2	-3.8	-13%	-3.8 / 30.2 (-13%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	76.4	-7.3	-10%	-7.3 / 76.4 (-10%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	80.1	-34.8	-43%	-34.8 / 80.1 (-43%)
13th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 173	25.9	-9.3	-36%	-8.8 / 25.4 (-35%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	0.8	-0.2	-27%	-0.2 / 0.8 (-27%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	0.7	0.5	65%	0.5 / 0.7 (65%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	27.2	8.5	31%	8.5 / 27.2 (31%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	37.08	-6.5	-18%	-6.7 / 33.85 (-20%)	0.2 / 3.23 (5%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	19.4	-8.7	-45%	-4.8 / 12.63 (-38%)	-4.0 / 6.77 (-58%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	18.58	-5.0	-27%	-4.3 / 7.95 (-55%)	0.4 / 9.18 (4%)	-1.1 / 1.45 (-76%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	19.8	-16.1	-81%	-9.1 / 10.57 (-86%)	-6.0 / 8.23 (-73%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
21st Feb '20	Bellator 239	2.3	1.2	51%	1.2 / 2.3 (51%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	40.3	-29.1	-72%	-19.8 / 31 (-64%)	-6.3 / 6.3 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Jan '20	Bellator 238	4	-1.2	-30%	-1.2 / 4 (-30%)
25th Jan '20	UFC Fight Night 166	22	1.5	7%	-4.7 / 9.25 (-50%)		6.2 / 12.75 (49%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	9.03	-3.2	-35%	-0.1 / 4.75 (-1%)	-2.4 / 3.58 (-68%)	-0.7 / 0.7 (-100%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	20	-4.7	-24%	0.5 / 14 (3%)	-0.7 / 1.5 (-48%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	21	-6.2	-29%	-3.6 / 11.5 (-31%)	1.9 / 5 (38%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	12.25	5.6	46%	2.7 / 5.5 (50%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	4.2 / 5.5 (76%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	30.5	11.1	36%	4.9 / 18.75 (26%)	5.3 / 6.75 (79%)	0.9 / 5 (18%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	38	3.5	9%	-0.6 / 33.5 (-2%)	5.6 / 3 (187%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	1	-0.1	-13%	-0.1 / 1 (-13%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	15	7.2	48%	6.2 / 9.5 (65%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	3.6 / 3 (119%)

Winning Events: 15 (38%)
Losing Events: 24 (62%)

Average Staked Per Event: 26.23 units
Most Staked On One Event: 81.00 units
Best Event: 11.73 units
Worst Event: -34.79 units
Average Event: -3.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 23.35
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -81.42

Prof. Speculate: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	51.13	-11.5	-22%	-13.2 / 35.55 (-37%)	-1.3 / 7.08 (-18%)	3.0 / 8.5 (36%)	1 / 2 (33%)	-3.82
2020	831.28	-129.3	-16%	-135.8 / 714.63 (-19%)	-15.0 / 77 (-19%)	21.5 / 39.65 (54%)	10 / 18 (36%)	-4.62
2019	140.75	13.4	9%	9.9 / 93.75 (11%)	8.3 / 20 (42%)	-4.9 / 27 (-18%)	4 / 4 (50%)	1.67

Prof. Speculate: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Prof. Speculate: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	960.16	-116.9	-12%	-130.6 / 782.93 (-17%)	-7.9 / 104.08 (-8%)	21.6 / 73.15 (30%)
Bellator	36.5	-3.9	-11%	-3.9 / 36.5 (-11%)
Other	26.5	-6.7	-25%	-4.7 / 24.5 (-19%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Prof. Speculate: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	147 (41%)	109	74 %	323.92	-8.44	-0.06	-3%
Slight Favorites	102 (29%)	59	58 %	315.10	-21.43	-0.21	-7%
Slight Underdogs	83 (23%)	26	31 %	183.82	-104.95	-1.26	-57%
Big Underdogs	23 (6%)	4	17 %	21.09	-4.29	-0.19	-20%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	36 (10%)	20	56 %	80.30	-18.05	-0.50	-22%
Co-Main Event	31 (9%)	16	52 %	62.30	-20.72	-0.67	-33%
Position 3-5	97 (27%)	59	61 %	245.73	-29.57	-0.30	-12%
6+ (Undercard)	191 (54%)	103	54 %	455.60	-70.77	-0.37	-16%

Prof. Speculate: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	33 (9%)	16	48 %	75.03	4.14	0.13	6%
Light Heavy	29 (8%)	16	55 %	71.90	-8.66	-0.30	-12%
Middleweight	61 (17%)	44	72 %	100.25	16.04	0.26	16%
Welterweight	57 (16%)	32	56 %	137.71	-45.68	-0.80	-33%
Lightweight	29 (8%)	15	52 %	94.25	-7.40	-0.26	-8%
Featherweight	47 (13%)	23	49 %	133.43	-17.17	-0.37	-13%
Bantamweight	41 (12%)	22	54 %	104.50	-42.75	-1.04	-41%
Flyweight	13 (4%)	8	62 %	34.30	-1.67	-0.13	-5%

Women's Fights	45 (13%)	22	49 %	92.56	-35.95	-0.80	-39%
Featherweight	4 (1%)	2	50 %	10.70	-10.47	-2.62	-98%
Bantamweight	8 (2%)	3	38 %	10.20	-6.28	-0.79	-62%
Flyweight	20 (6%)	10	50 %	40.20	-22.56	-1.13	-56%
Strawweight	13 (4%)	7	54 %	31.46	3.36	0.26	11%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	82 (63%)	70	85 %
Slight Favorites	36 (28%)	14	39 %
Slight Underdogs	12 (9%)	3	25 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	130	87	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	33 (20%)	22	67 %
50-65%	31 (19%)	13	42 %
35-50%	33 (20%)	15	45 %
<35% chance	67 (41%)	10	15 %
	164	60	37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (5%)	8	89 %	1.58	2.63	1.22	4.8 (54%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (2%)	3	100 %	1.64	2.10	1.25	2.1 (72%)
Goes to Decision	22 (13%)	14	64 %	1.54	2.45	1.22	1.0 (4%)
Does not go to Decision	10 (6%)	6	60 %	1.47	1.95	1.25	-1.5 (-15%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.87	1.87	1.87	0.9 (87%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.29	1.29	1.29	0.3 (29%)
X Wins by KO	25 (15%)	8	32 %	3.04	9.00	1.50	-0.5 (-2%)
X Wins by Sub	10 (6%)	2	20 %	5.41	17.00	1.62	-3.9 (-39%)
X Wins by Decision	26 (16%)	4	15 %	2.90	10.00	1.73	-15.6 (-60%)
X Wins in Round X	7 (4%)	0	0 %	7.26	13.00	3.10	-5.0 (-71%)
Others	50 (30%)	13	26 %	2.49	14.00	1.29	-21.6 (-43%)
	164	60	37 %	2.34			-38.9 (-24%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Prof. Speculate's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Oct	UFC 243	15	7.2	48%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,072.42
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	1	-0.1	-13%		$10.72	$1,072.42	$1,070.97
2nd Nov	UFC 244	38	3.5	9%		$10.71	$1,070.97	$1,108.19
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	30.5	11.1	36%		$11.08	$1,108.19	$1,230.75
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.31	$1,230.75	$1,193.83
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	12.25	5.6	46%		$11.94	$1,193.83	$1,261.14
15th Dec	UFC 245	21	-6.2	-29%		$12.61	$1,261.14	$1,183.33
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	20	-4.7	-24%		$11.83	$1,183.33	$1,127.24
18th Jan	UFC 246	9.03	-3.2	-35%		$11.27	$1,127.24	$1,091.39
25th Jan	UFC Fight Night 166	22	1.5	7%		$10.91	$1,091.39	$1,108.26
26th Jan	Bellator 238	4	-1.2	-30%		$11.08	$1,108.26	$1,094.96
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	40.3	-29.1	-72%		$10.95	$1,094.96	$776.32
21st Feb	Bellator 239	2.3	1.2	51%		$7.76	$776.32	$785.44
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	19.8	-16.1	-81%		$7.85	$785.44	$658.80
8th Mar	UFC 248	18.58	-5.0	-27%		$6.59	$658.80	$625.59
10th May	UFC 249	19.4	-8.7	-45%		$6.26	$625.59	$571.00
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	37.08	-6.5	-18%		$5.71	$571.00	$533.91
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	27.2	8.5	31%		$5.34	$533.91	$579.20
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	0.7	0.5	65%		$5.79	$579.20	$581.84
6th Jun	UFC 250	0.8	-0.2	-27%		$5.82	$581.84	$580.59
13th Jun	UFC Fight Night 173	25.9	-9.3	-36%		$5.81	$580.59	$526.45
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	80.1	-34.8	-43%		$5.26	$526.45	$343.32
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	76.4	-7.3	-10%		$3.43	$343.32	$318.11
8th Aug	Bellator 243	30.2	-3.8	-13%		$3.18	$318.11	$305.94
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	81	-25.6	-32%		$3.06	$305.94	$227.75
15th Aug	UFC 252	80	-0.2	-0%		$2.28	$227.75	$227.30
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	20	-0.2	-1%		$2.27	$227.30	$226.92
2nd Sep	DWCS 31	8	0.9	11%		$2.27	$226.92	$228.96
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	46.5	6.1	13%		$2.29	$228.96	$243.01
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	4	9.7	242%		$2.43	$243.01	$266.53
16th Sep	DWCS 33	18.5	-7.6	-41%		$2.67	$266.53	$246.34
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	35.2	-18.5	-52%		$2.46	$246.34	$200.87
26th Sep	UFC 253	36.53	11.7	32%		$2.01	$200.87	$224.43
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	30.41	4.3	14%		$2.24	$224.43	$234.02
24th Oct	UFC 254	20.2	7.3	36%		$2.34	$234.02	$251.21
21st Nov	UFC 255	37.15	-3.7	-10%		$2.51	$251.21	$241.94
12th Jun	UFC 263	6.6	-2.3	-35%		$2.42	$241.94	$236.43
26th Jun	UFC FN	30.18	-10.4	-34%		$2.36	$236.43	$211.94
28th Aug	UFC FN	14.35	1.2	8%		$2.12	$211.94	$214.41

ROI % from starting bank balance: -78.56% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Prof. Speculate: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '21	Mana Martinez	Guido Cannetti	1.36	0.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '21	Pat Sabatini	Jamall Emmers	2.25	0.25	Sub, R1 (1:53)
3.	Aug '21	Dustin Jacoby	Darren Stewart	1.50	0.5	TKO, R1 (3:4)
4.	Aug '21	J.J. Aldrich	Vanessa Demopoulos	1.25	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Aug '21	Andre Petroski	Micheal Gillmore	1.17	0.1	TKO, R3 (3:12)
6.	Aug '21	Daniel Rodriguez	Kevin Lee	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '21	Charles Rosa	Justin Jaynes	1.59	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '21	Tim Means	Nicolas Dalby	1.73	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '21	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Michel Prazeres	1.33	0.5	Sub, R2 (2:10)
10.	Jun '21	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Danilo Marques	1.80	3.5	TKO, R3 (0:20)
11.	Jun '21	Renato Moicano	Jai Herbert	1.44	1	Sub, R2 (4:34)
12.	Jun '21	Tanner Boser	Ovince St Preux	1.57	1	TKO, R2 (2:31)
13.	Jun '21	Carlos Felipe	Jake Collier	1.57	0.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '21	Steven Peterson	Chase Hooper	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jun '21	Terrance McKinney	Matt Frevola	2.75	0.2	TKO, R1 (0:7)
16.	Jun '21	Eryk Anders	Darren Stewart	1.62	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '21	Leon Edwards	Nate Diaz	1.17	0.1	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Jun '21	Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	2.63	0.5	Sub, R3 (2:26)
19.	Nov '20	Valentina Shevchenko	Jennifer Maia	1.08	0.1	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Nov '20	Joaquin Buckley	Jordan Wright	1.44	5	TKO, R2 (0:18)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '21	Sam Alvey	Wellington Turman	2.00	0.15	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Aug '21	Alessio Di Chirico	Abdul Razak Alhassan	1.40	0.1	TKO, R1 (0:17)	No
3.	Aug '21	Makhmud Muradov	Gerald Meerschaert	1.17	0.1	Sub, R2 (1:49)	No
4.	Aug '21	Edson Barboza	Giga Chikadze	1.83	2	TKO, R3 (1:44)	No
5.	Jun '21	Yancy Medeiros	Damir Hadzovic	2.25	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jun '21	Warlley Alves	Jeremiah Wells	1.40	11	TKO, R2 (0:30)	No
7.	Jun '21	Raoni Barcelos	Timur Valiev	1.44	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jun '21	Alexander Volkov	Ciryl Gane	2.25	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	Yes
9.	Jun '21	Luigi Vendramini	Fares Ziam	2.00	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jun '21	Alexis Davis	Pannie Kianzad	2.75	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jun '21	Hakeem Dawodu	Movsar Evloev	2.88	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '21	Joanne Wood	Lauren Murphy	1.73	0.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '21	Drew Dober	Brad Riddell	1.67	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jun '21	Jamahal Hill	Paul Craig	1.33	0.1	TKO, R1 (1:59)	No
15.	Jun '21	Marvin Vettori	Israel Adesanya	2.88	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '20	Daniel Rodriguez	Nicolas Dalby	1.30	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '20	Louis Cosce	Sasha Palatnikov	1.20	5	TKO, R3 (2:47)	No
18.	Nov '20	Daniel Rodriguez	Nicolas Dalby	1.30	0.1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Nov '20	Dustin Stoltzfus	Kyle Daukaus	2.75	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Nov '20	Jared Gooden	Alan Jouban	2.20	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Prof. Speculate: Progress Chart

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