|
MMA Handicapper Stats: MMATakes Podcast |
|
MMATakes Podcast: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 29 (40%) Losing Events: 43 (60%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.89 units Most Staked On One Event: 17.00 units Best Event: 8.26 units Worst Event: -9.16 units Average Event: -0.69 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.90 Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -23.05 |
MMATakes Podcast: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
226 |
-17.8 |
-8% |
-7.4 / 196 (-4%) |
|
-3.4 / 14 (-24%) |
7 / 9 (44%) |
-1.11 |
2023 |
559 |
-40.8 |
-7% |
-27.6 / 485 (-6%) |
|
-6.6 / 41 (-16%) |
15 / 26 (37%) |
-0.99 |
2022 |
4.9 |
0.4 |
8% |
1.0 / 2.35 (41%) |
|
0.2 / 1.75 (12%) |
1 / 1 (50%) |
0.19 |
2021 |
66.17 |
8.8 |
13% |
7.8 / 29.55 (26%) |
|
6.5 / 29.8 (22%) |
6 / 7 (46%) |
0.68 |
|
MMATakes Podcast: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
MMATakes Podcast: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
854.27 |
-48.9 |
-6% |
-25.9 / 711.1 (-4%) |
-19.8 / 56.62 (-35%) |
-3.3 / 86.55 (-4%) |
PFL |
1.8 |
-0.4 |
-24% |
-0.4 / 1.8 (-24%) |
|
|
|
MMATakes Podcast: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
297 (41%) |
220 |
74 % |
298.20 |
-5.54 |
-0.02 |
-2% |
Slight Favorites |
217 (30%) |
130 |
60 % |
215.30 |
2.40 |
0.01 |
1% |
Slight Underdogs |
147 (20%) |
61 |
41 % |
141.40 |
-6.45 |
-0.04 |
-5% |
Big Underdogs |
61 (8%) |
12 |
20 % |
58.00 |
-16.70 |
-0.27 |
-29% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
61 (8%) |
32 |
52 % |
60.60 |
-10.06 |
-0.16 |
-17% |
Co-Main Event |
58 (8%) |
33 |
57 % |
57.80 |
1.89 |
0.03 |
3% |
Position 3-5 |
177 (25%) |
109 |
62 % |
171.40 |
1.40 |
0.01 |
1% |
6+ (Undercard) |
426 (59%) |
249 |
58 % |
423.10 |
-19.52 |
-0.05 |
-5% |
|
MMATakes Podcast: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
49 (7%) |
25 |
51 % |
49.00 |
-10.64 |
-0.22 |
-22% |
Light Heavy |
46 (6%) |
23 |
50 % |
46.00 |
-7.43 |
-0.16 |
-16% |
Middleweight |
82 (11%) |
45 |
55 % |
81.10 |
-7.15 |
-0.09 |
-9% |
Welterweight |
80 (11%) |
54 |
68 % |
78.20 |
14.27 |
0.18 |
18% |
Lightweight |
114 (16%) |
60 |
53 % |
110.10 |
-17.26 |
-0.15 |
-16% |
Featherweight |
90 (12%) |
56 |
62 % |
88.55 |
8.16 |
0.09 |
9% |
Bantamweight |
82 (11%) |
43 |
52 % |
81.20 |
-15.92 |
-0.19 |
-20% |
Flyweight |
56 (8%) |
35 |
63 % |
56.20 |
0.50 |
0.01 |
1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
123 (17%) |
82 |
67 % |
122.55 |
9.17 |
0.07 |
7% |
Featherweight |
4 (1%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.00 |
-1.08 |
-0.27 |
-27% |
Bantamweight |
29 (4%) |
21 |
72 % |
28.60 |
4.52 |
0.16 |
16% |
Flyweight |
41 (6%) |
24 |
59 % |
41.75 |
-3.50 |
-0.09 |
-8% |
Strawweight |
49 (7%) |
35 |
71 % |
48.20 |
9.24 |
0.19 |
19% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
145 (71%) |
108 |
74 % |
Slight Favorites |
51 (25%) |
27 |
53 % |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (3%) |
4 |
57 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
203 |
139 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
13 (18%) |
7 |
54 % |
50-65% |
22 (30%) |
10 |
45 % |
35-50% |
20 (27%) |
5 |
25 % |
<35% chance |
19 (26%) |
2 |
11 % |
|
74 |
24 |
32 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMATakes Podcast's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
21st Aug |
UFC FN |
3.1 |
4.9 |
159% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,049.27 |
27th Aug |
PFL 2021 #9: Playoffs |
1.8 |
-0.4 |
-24% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.27 |
$1,044.77 |
28th Aug |
UFC FN |
3.9 |
-0.5 |
-13% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,044.77 |
$1,039.55 |
4th Sep |
UFC FN |
3.8 |
-2.0 |
-53% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.55 |
$1,018.76 |
18th Sep |
UFC FN |
5.2 |
3.0 |
57% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,018.76 |
$1,049.00 |
25th Sep |
UFC 266 |
6.2 |
-2.5 |
-41% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.00 |
$1,022.26 |
2nd Oct |
UFC FN |
8.6 |
5.0 |
58% |
|
$10.22 |
$1,022.26 |
$1,073.11 |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
3.1 |
1.1 |
35% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.11 |
$1,084.69 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
3.7 |
-3.7 |
-100% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,084.69 |
$1,044.55 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
5.9 |
-1.7 |
-29% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,044.55 |
$1,026.56 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
8 |
1.3 |
16% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,026.56 |
$1,040.10 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
8.82 |
6.1 |
70% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,040.10 |
$1,104.04 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
4.05 |
-1.7 |
-42% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,104.04 |
$1,085.27 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
2.8 |
-1.4 |
-51% |
|
$10.85 |
$1,085.27 |
$1,069.75 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
2.1 |
1.8 |
86% |
|
$10.70 |
$1,069.75 |
$1,089.07 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
12 |
-1.8 |
-15% |
|
$10.89 |
$1,089.07 |
$1,069.22 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
17 |
4.4 |
26% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.22 |
$1,115.83 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
11 |
-7.0 |
-64% |
|
$11.16 |
$1,115.83 |
$1,037.59 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
13 |
2.0 |
15% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,037.59 |
$1,058.16 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
11 |
0.2 |
2% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,058.16 |
$1,060.07 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
11 |
-2.2 |
-20% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,060.07 |
$1,036.96 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
15 |
-4.2 |
-28% |
|
$10.37 |
$1,036.96 |
$993.20 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
14 |
-4.2 |
-30% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.20 |
$951.92 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
15 |
-2.0 |
-13% |
|
$9.52 |
$951.92 |
$932.97 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
11 |
-2.9 |
-26% |
|
$9.33 |
$932.97 |
$905.93 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
14 |
-1.6 |
-11% |
|
$9.06 |
$905.93 |
$891.53 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
17 |
-6.0 |
-35% |
|
$8.92 |
$891.53 |
$837.94 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
12 |
1.0 |
8% |
|
$8.38 |
$837.94 |
$846.01 |
29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
13 |
-6.1 |
-47% |
|
$8.46 |
$846.01 |
$794.06 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
14 |
8.3 |
59% |
|
$7.94 |
$794.06 |
$859.62 |
13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
13 |
-4.4 |
-34% |
|
$8.60 |
$859.62 |
$822.14 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
13 |
-2.2 |
-17% |
|
$8.22 |
$822.14 |
$803.87 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
15 |
-3.8 |
-25% |
|
$8.04 |
$803.87 |
$773.69 |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
12 |
-0.8 |
-7% |
|
$7.74 |
$773.69 |
$767.46 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
15 |
2.7 |
18% |
|
$7.67 |
$767.46 |
$788.10 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
14 |
2.0 |
15% |
|
$7.88 |
$788.10 |
$804.10 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
15 |
-2.7 |
-18% |
|
$8.04 |
$804.10 |
$782.73 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
14 |
2.6 |
18% |
|
$7.83 |
$782.73 |
$802.94 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
17 |
2.0 |
12% |
|
$8.03 |
$802.94 |
$819.32 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
13 |
-5.6 |
-43% |
|
$8.19 |
$819.32 |
$773.46 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
13 |
-3.4 |
-26% |
|
$7.73 |
$773.46 |
$747.01 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
15 |
3.5 |
24% |
|
$7.47 |
$747.01 |
$773.43 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
14 |
-3.6 |
-26% |
|
$7.73 |
$773.43 |
$745.25 |
26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
16 |
3.7 |
23% |
|
$7.45 |
$745.25 |
$772.80 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
13 |
0.5 |
4% |
|
$7.73 |
$772.80 |
$776.48 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
14 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
|
$7.76 |
$776.48 |
$772.89 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
14 |
-8.1 |
-58% |
|
$7.73 |
$772.89 |
$710.11 |
7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
12 |
-3.2 |
-26% |
|
$7.10 |
$710.11 |
$687.73 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
13 |
-1.2 |
-10% |
|
$6.88 |
$687.73 |
$679.21 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
13 |
-2.3 |
-18% |
|
$6.79 |
$679.21 |
$663.26 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
11 |
4.6 |
42% |
|
$6.63 |
$663.26 |
$693.61 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
14 |
4.3 |
31% |
|
$6.94 |
$693.61 |
$723.63 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
15 |
-1.0 |
-6% |
|
$7.24 |
$723.63 |
$716.72 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
14 |
-2.0 |
-14% |
|
$7.17 |
$716.72 |
$702.55 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
13 |
-0.9 |
-7% |
|
$7.03 |
$702.55 |
$695.91 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
14 |
1.2 |
9% |
|
$6.96 |
$695.91 |
$704.44 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
13 |
2.1 |
16% |
|
$7.04 |
$704.44 |
$719.38 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
14 |
0.5 |
3% |
|
$7.19 |
$719.38 |
$722.84 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
14 |
1.7 |
12% |
|
$7.23 |
$722.84 |
$735.03 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
15 |
-4.9 |
-33% |
|
$7.35 |
$735.03 |
$698.70 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
13 |
5.5 |
42% |
|
$6.99 |
$698.70 |
$736.87 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
12 |
-2.1 |
-17% |
|
$7.37 |
$736.87 |
$721.43 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
13 |
-3.2 |
-25% |
|
$7.21 |
$721.43 |
$698.44 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
15 |
-2.3 |
-15% |
|
$6.98 |
$698.44 |
$682.70 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
14 |
1.0 |
7% |
|
$6.83 |
$682.70 |
$689.61 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
15 |
-1.6 |
-10% |
|
$6.90 |
$689.61 |
$678.81 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
15 |
-2.9 |
-20% |
|
$6.79 |
$678.81 |
$658.90 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
13 |
-5.7 |
-44% |
|
$6.59 |
$658.90 |
$621.40 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
15 |
-1.1 |
-8% |
|
$6.21 |
$621.40 |
$614.31 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
15 |
2.9 |
19% |
|
$6.14 |
$614.31 |
$632.17 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
16 |
1.5 |
9% |
|
$6.32 |
$632.17 |
$641.71 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
14 |
-9.2 |
-65% |
|
$6.42 |
$641.71 |
$582.91 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -41.71% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMATakes Podcast: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Derrick Lewis |
Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira |
1.65 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Sean Woodson |
Alex Caceres |
1.49 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Veronica Macedo |
J.J. Aldrich |
1.70 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
4. |
May '24 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Steve Erceg |
1.52 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
May '24 |
Jose Aldo |
Jonathan Martinez |
2.24 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
May '24 |
Michel Pereira |
Ihor Potieria |
1.15 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (0:54) |
|
|
7. |
May '24 |
Caio Borralho |
Paul Craig |
1.15 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:10) |
|
|
8. |
May '24 |
Iasmin Lucindo |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
1.24 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
May '24 |
Joanderson Brito |
Jack Shore |
1.60 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
|
|
10. |
May '24 |
Mauricio Ruffy |
Jamie Mullarkey |
1.46 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
|
|
11. |
May '24 |
Dione Barbosa |
Ernesta Kareckaite |
1.42 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
May '24 |
Alessandro Costa |
Kevin Borjas |
1.74 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
|
|
13. |
Apr '24 |
Hayisaer Maheshate |
Gabriel Benitez |
1.40 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Apr '24 |
Ivana Petrovic |
Na Liang |
1.20 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (1:29) |
|
|
15. |
Apr '24 |
Ketlen Souza |
Marnic Mann |
1.28 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Apr '24 |
Don'tale Mayes |
Caio Machado (2) |
1.93 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Apr '24 |
Austin Hubbard |
Michal Figlak |
2.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Apr '24 |
Victor Henry |
Rani Yahya |
1.25 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:36) |
|
|
19. |
Apr '24 |
Uros Medic |
Tim Means |
1.33 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:9) |
|
|
20. |
Apr '24 |
Jhonata Diniz |
Austen Lane |
1.29 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:12) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Nursulton Ruziboev |
Joaquin Buckley |
2.14 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Alonzo Menifield |
Carlos Ulberg |
3.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:12) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Viacheslav Borshchev |
Chase Hooper |
1.68 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:0) |
No |
|
|
4. |
May '24 |
Mateusz Rebecki |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
1.25 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
5. |
May '24 |
Robelis Despaigne |
Waldo Cortes-Acosta |
1.49 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
May '24 |
Terrance McKinney |
Esteban Ribovics |
2.36 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:37) |
No |
|
|
7. |
May '24 |
Tecia Torres |
Tabatha Ricci |
2.24 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
May '24 |
Billy Goff |
Trey Waters |
2.36 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
May '24 |
Jake Hadley |
Charles Johnson |
1.65 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
May '24 |
Vitor Petrino |
Anthony Smith |
1.17 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:0) |
No |
|
|
11. |
May '24 |
Elves Brenner |
Myktybek Orolbai |
3.05 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
May '24 |
Joaquim Silva |
Drakkar Klose |
2.54 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
May '24 |
Vinc Pichel |
Ismael Bonfim |
4.90 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '24 |
James Llontop |
Chris Padilla |
1.23 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:33) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Apr '24 |
Jonathan Pearce |
David Onama |
1.68 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Apr '24 |
Ryan Spann |
Bogdan Guskov |
1.56 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Apr '24 |
Jalin Turner |
Renato Moicano |
1.44 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:11) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
3.70 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:2) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Apr '24 |
Justin Gaethje |
Max Holloway |
1.62 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Apr '24 |
Charles Oliveira |
Arman Tsarukyan |
2.85 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMATakes Podcast: Progress Chart |
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