MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Austin Swaim

Austin Swaim (aswaim3)

MMA MHandicapper - Austin Swaim

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	124 (25%)	Right	46 (37%)	Right	64 (20%)	Right	14 (29%)
Wrong	376 (75%)	Wrong	77 (63%)	Wrong	264 (80%)	Wrong	35 (71%)
Avg Odds	3.55	Avg Odds	2.38	Avg Odds	4.44	Avg Odds	3.17
Units Bet	418.5	Units Bet	167.2	Units Bet	185.5	Units Bet	65.8
Avg Bet	0.84	Avg Bet	1.36	Avg Bet	0.57	Avg Bet	1.34
Units Profit	-60.64	Units Profit	-11.82	Units Profit	-27.24	Units Profit	-21.58
ROI %	-14%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	-33%

Austin Swaim: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	19.55	-11.5	-59%	-4.4 / 8 (-55%)	-4.0 / 8.45 (-47%)	-3.1 / 3.1 (-100%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	29.55	-11.7	-40%	-2.5 / 7.2 (-35%)	-4.6 / 13.25 (-35%)	-4.6 / 9.1 (-51%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	24.3	-5.5	-23%	-5.0 / 7.5 (-67%)	2.2 / 14.1 (16%)	-2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
19th Apr '24	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	5	-2.7	-55%	0.3 / 2 (13%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	28.85	6.1	21%	-0.4 / 11.5 (-3%)	3.3 / 10.25 (32%)	3.2 / 7.1 (45%)
12th Apr '24	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	3.55	1.0	28%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		2.0 / 2.55 (79%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	19.3	2.8	14%	3.6 / 6.15 (58%)	-1.6 / 10.15 (-15%)	0.8 / 3 (25%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	21.45	-0.6	-3%	-0.2 / 10.4 (-1%)	-2.0 / 7.95 (-26%)	1.6 / 3.1 (52%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	19.45	-5.4	-28%	-0.2 / 9.4 (-2%)	-2.7 / 7.55 (-36%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	19.2	-3.2	-17%	1.7 / 7.25 (23%)	-2.7 / 9.75 (-28%)	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	24.25	-1.1	-5%	-0.9 / 8 (-11%)	-2.0 / 15 (-13%)	1.8 / 1.25 (144%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	14.15	-9.7	-69%	0.4 / 2 (18%)	-0.0 / 2.15 (-2%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	18.05	-2.8	-16%	0.9 / 8.2 (11%)	-4.2 / 9.15 (-46%)	0.5 / 0.7 (72%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4.8	1.7	35%	-0.3 / 2.6 (-12%)		2.0 / 2.2 (91%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	18	0.7	4%	-0.3 / 6.5 (-5%)	0.7 / 9.5 (7%)	0.4 / 2 (20%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	26.3	11.3	43%	7.5 / 16.55 (45%)	4.8 / 8.75 (55%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	19.45	-2.1	-11%	-1.0 / 5.8 (-17%)	1.7 / 10.85 (16%)	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	15.75	-0.2	-1%	3.3 / 5.5 (60%)	-1.5 / 8.25 (-18%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	13.3	-6.0	-45%	1.2 / 6.05 (20%)	-7.3 / 7.25 (-100%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	4	-2.5	-63%		-2.5 / 4 (-63%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	11.25	-7.0	-62%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-2.8 / 7 (-39%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	10.8	-3.1	-28%	-4.0 / 7.55 (-53%)	0.9 / 3.25 (28%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	10.65	4.5	43%	3.4 / 4.65 (73%)	2.1 / 5 (43%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	5.25	-3.4	-64%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.4 / 4.25 (-56%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	13.4	-1.6	-12%	-5.7 / 5.65 (-100%)	3.1 / 6.75 (46%)	0.9 / 1 (93%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	2.5	1.8	71%	1.8 / 2.5 (71%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	9.5	-8.2	-87%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	0.3 / 1 (28%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	3.25	0.5	14%	0.0 / 1.75 (3%)	0.4 / 1.5 (27%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	8.45	-2.7	-32%	-2.0 / 5.5 (-37%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)	1.1 / 1.2 (91%)

Winning Events: 9 (31%)
Losing Events: 20 (69%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.60 units
Most Staked On One Event: 29.55 units
Best Event: 11.30 units
Worst Event: -11.70 units
Average Event: -2.09 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 13.75
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -31.45

Austin Swaim: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	330.95	-32.9	-10%	1.4 / 125.55 (1%)		-21.6 / 60.3 (-36%)	6 / 12 (33%)	-1.83
2023	92.35	-27.7	-30%	-13.2 / 41.65 (-32%)		0.0 / 5.45 (1%)	3 / 8 (27%)	-2.52

Austin Swaim: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Austin Swaim: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	386.65	-52.1	-13%	-5.9 / 151.3 (-4%)	-23.7 / 177.35 (-13%)	-22.6 / 58 (-39%)
PFL	13.35	-0.0	-0%	-1.0 / 5.6 (-19%)		1.0 / 7.75 (13%)
Other	23.3	-8.5	-36%	-4.9 / 10.3 (-48%)	-3.6 / 13 (-27%)

Austin Swaim: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (1%)	1	100 %	5.00	2.00	2.00	40%
Slight Favorites	25 (20%)	12	48 %	52.80	-4.23	-0.17	-8%
Slight Underdogs	66 (53%)	25	38 %	81.90	-8.68	-0.13	-11%
Big Underdogs	32 (26%)	8	25 %	27.50	-0.91	-0.03	-3%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	15 (12%)	9	60 %	26.05	4.46	0.30	17%
Co-Main Event	14 (11%)	5	36 %	16.80	-2.71	-0.19	-16%
Position 3-5	33 (27%)	6	18 %	40.70	-18.28	-0.55	-45%
6+ (Undercard)	62 (50%)	26	42 %	83.65	4.71	0.08	6%

Austin Swaim: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (7%)	4	44 %	15.10	1.88	0.21	12%
Light Heavy	12 (10%)	4	33 %	20.20	-6.65	-0.55	-33%
Middleweight	15 (12%)	5	33 %	15.80	2.35	0.16	15%
Welterweight	12 (10%)	2	17 %	12.80	-8.40	-0.70	-66%
Lightweight	14 (11%)	8	57 %	21.00	3.81	0.27	18%
Featherweight	23 (19%)	10	43 %	24.15	5.90	0.26	24%
Bantamweight	9 (7%)	3	33 %	16.20	-4.80	-0.53	-30%
Flyweight	9 (7%)	5	56 %	12.40	4.10	0.46	33%

Women's Fights	21 (17%)	5	24 %	29.55	-10.01	-0.48	-34%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.25	1.25	125%
Bantamweight	3 (2%)	1	33 %	3.55	-2.05	-0.68	-58%
Flyweight	10 (8%)	1	10 %	12.75	-8.46	-0.85	-66%
Strawweight	7 (6%)	2	29 %	12.25	-0.75	-0.11	-6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	91 (82%)	70	77 %
Slight Favorites	17 (15%)	7	41 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (2%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %
	111	78	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	10 (3%)	6	60 %
50-65%	35 (10%)	19	54 %
35-50%	50 (14%)	22	44 %
<35% chance	273 (74%)	33	12 %
	368	80	22 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (2%)	4	44 %	1.69	2.80	1.28	-2.6 (-29%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (1%)	3	60 %	2.10	2.54	1.74	0.7 (15%)
Fight Starts Round X	7 (2%)	4	57 %	1.55	2.10	1.20	-1.6 (-23%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (0%)	0	0 %	1.53	1.53	1.53	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	25 (7%)	5	20 %	4.14	19.00	1.74	-12.7 (-51%)
X Wins by Sub	38 (10%)	6	16 %	6.61	21.00	2.80	-1.1 (-3%)
X Wins by Decision	55 (15%)	18	33 %	4.53	17.00	2.00	28.7 (52%)
X Wins Inside Distance	57 (15%)	14	25 %	2.86	8.00	1.61	-19.8 (-35%)
X Wins in Round X	95 (26%)	7	7 %	8.12	36.00	1.67	-34.1 (-36%)
Others	76 (21%)	19	25 %	3.16	50.99	1.18	-22.8 (-30%)
	368	80	22 %	3.98			-66.4 (-18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Austin Swaim's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	8.45	-2.7	-32%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$973.31
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	3.25	0.5	14%		$9.73	$973.31	$977.78
19th Aug	UFC 292	9.5	-8.2	-87%		$9.78	$977.78	$897.38
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	2.5	1.8	71%		$8.97	$897.38	$913.40
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	13.4	-1.6	-12%		$9.13	$913.40	$898.57
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	5.25	-3.4	-64%		$8.99	$898.57	$868.24
9th Sep	UFC 293	10.65	4.5	43%		$8.68	$868.24	$907.61
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	10.8	-3.1	-28%		$9.08	$907.61	$879.75
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	11.25	-7.0	-62%		$8.80	$879.75	$818.16
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	4	-2.5	-63%		$8.18	$818.16	$797.71
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	13.3	-6.0	-45%		$7.98	$797.71	$749.53
20th Jan	UFC 297	15.75	-0.2	-1%		$7.50	$749.53	$748.03
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	19.45	-2.1	-11%		$7.48	$748.03	$732.69
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	26.3	11.3	43%		$7.33	$732.69	$815.53
17th Feb	UFC 298	18	0.7	4%		$8.16	$815.53	$821.63
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4.8	1.7	35%		$8.22	$821.63	$835.60
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	18.05	-2.8	-16%		$8.36	$835.60	$812.22
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	14.15	-9.7	-69%		$8.12	$812.22	$733.43
9th Mar	UFC 299	24.25	-1.1	-5%		$7.33	$733.43	$725.37
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	19.2	-3.2	-17%		$7.25	$725.37	$702.16
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	19.45	-5.4	-28%		$7.02	$702.16	$663.89
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	21.45	-0.6	-3%		$6.64	$663.89	$659.94
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	19.3	2.8	14%		$6.60	$659.94	$678.09
12th Apr	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	3.55	1.0	28%		$6.78	$678.09	$684.89
13th Apr	UFC 300	28.85	6.1	21%		$6.85	$684.89	$726.76
19th Apr	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	5	-2.7	-55%		$7.27	$726.76	$706.78
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	24.3	-5.5	-23%		$7.07	$706.78	$667.91
4th May	UFC 301	29.55	-11.7	-40%		$6.68	$667.91	$589.76
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	19.55	-11.5	-59%		$5.90	$589.76	$521.94

ROI % from starting bank balance: -47.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Austin Swaim: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Charles Johnson	Jake Hadley	2.40	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '24	Alessandro Costa	Kevin Borjas	1.74	2.7	TKO, R2 (1:35)
3.	Apr '24	Austin Hubbard	Michal Figlak	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Apr '24	Kai Kamaka	Bubba Jenkins	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.50	1	TKO, R5 (4:59)
6.	Apr '24	Jessica Andrade	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.80	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.05	2	TKO, R2 (3:17)
8.	Apr '24	Lukasz Brzeski	Valter Walker	3.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '24	Damon Jackson	Alexander Hernandez	2.70	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '24	Ibo Aslan	Anton Turkalj	1.80	2.5	TKO, R3 (1:32)
11.	Mar '24	Chris Weidman	Bruno Silva	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '24	Nate Landwehr	Jamall Emmers	2.70	1	TKO, R1 (4:43)
13.	Mar '24	Julian Erosa	Ricardo Ramos	2.40	2	Sub, R1 (2:15)
14.	Mar '24	Miles Johns	Cody Gibson	1.83	2.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.60	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '24	Chelsea Chandler	Josiane Nunes	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Mar '24	Marcin Tybura	Tai Tuivasa	2.05	2	Sub, R1 (4:8)
18.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.87	2.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.80	1	TKO, R2 (2:32)
20.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.35	1	TKO, R3 (0:49)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Alex Caceres	Sean Woodson	2.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	J.J. Aldrich	Veronica Macedo	2.20	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '24	Terrance McKinney	Esteban Ribovics	2.65	2	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
4.	May '24	Nursulton Ruziboev	Joaquin Buckley	2.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '24	Paul Craig	Caio Borralho	5.70	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:10)	No
6.	May '24	Jack Shore	Joanderson Brito	2.60	0.5	TKO, R2 (3:35)	No
7.	May '24	Ernesta Kareckaite	Dione Barbosa	3.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '24	Elves Brenner	Myktybek Orolbai	3.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	May '24	Steve Erceg	Alexandre Pantoja	2.90	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Gabriel Benitez	Hayisaer Maheshate	2.70	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '24	Caio Machado (2)	Don'tale Mayes	1.80	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '24	Rani Yahya	Victor Henry	4.30	1	TKO, R3 (2:36)	No
13.	Apr '24	Ariane Lipski	Karine Silva	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '24	Enrique Barzola	Adam Borics	2.30	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Apr '24	Justin Gonzales	Gabriel Alves Braga	2.70	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:59)	No
16.	Apr '24	Patricky Freire	Clay Collard	2.60	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:32)	No
17.	Apr '24	Tom Breese	Rob Wilkinson	2.30	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:10)	No
18.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.20	1	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
19.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.87	1.15	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Apr '24	Dan Argueta	Jean Matsumoto	2.40	2	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Austin Swaim: Progress Chart

Chart

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