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MMA Handicapper Stats: Doyle Carroll

Doyle Carroll (doylecarroll)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	38 (36%)	Right	25 (44%)	Right	7 (20%)	Right	6 (40%)
Wrong	69 (64%)	Wrong	32 (56%)	Wrong	28 (80%)	Wrong	9 (60%)
Avg Odds	2.28	Avg Odds	1.88	Avg Odds	3.48	Avg Odds	2.25
Units Bet	297.0	Units Bet	179.4	Units Bet	44.1	Units Bet	73.4
Avg Bet	2.78	Avg Bet	3.15	Avg Bet	1.26	Avg Bet	4.90
Units Profit	-33.01	Units Profit	-24.07	Units Profit	-20.17	Units Profit	11.22
ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	-46%	ROI %	15%

Doyle Carroll: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Jun '21	UFC FN	20.51	7.6	37%	7.6 / 20.51 (37%)
12th Jun '21	UFC 263	24.2	1.0	4%	2.0 / 3 (67%)		-1.0 / 21.2 (-5%)
5th Jun '21	UFC FN	30.3	-6.5	-22%	-2.4 / 14.95 (-16%)	-1.4 / 8.35 (-17%)	-2.7 / 7 (-39%)
22nd May '21	UFC FN	25	20.1	80%	-0.1 / 9.5 (-1%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	20.7 / 15 (138%)
15th May '21	UFC 262	38.69	-33.8	-87%	-14.5 / 14.45 (-100%)	-14.7 / 19.6 (-75%)	-4.6 / 4.64 (-100%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	16.18	-5.6	-34%	-5.6 / 16.18 (-34%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	31.15	-15.3	-49%	-6.6 / 14.9 (-44%)	3.2 / 4.4 (72%)	-11.9 / 11.85 (-100%)
10th Apr '21	UFC FN	36.59	-3.7	-10%	2.5 / 30.35 (8%)	-6.2 / 6.24 (-100%)
28th Mar '21	UFC 260	40.5	1.0	2%	-1.0 / 37.7 (-3%)	2.0 / 2.8 (71%)
20th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 188	29.1	-6.1	-21%	-6.1 / 17.85 (-34%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	2.5 / 8.75 (29%)
19th Mar '21	Cage Warriors 121	5	8.2	164%			8.2 / 5 (164%)

Winning Events: 5 (45%)
Losing Events: 6 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 27.02 units
Most Staked On One Event: 40.50 units
Best Event: 20.10 units
Worst Event: -33.79 units
Average Event: -3.00 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 20.10
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -58.41

Doyle Carroll: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	297.22	-33.0	-11%	-24.1 / 179.39 (-13%)		11.2 / 73.44 (15%)	5 / 6 (45%)	-3.00

Doyle Carroll: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Doyle Carroll: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	292.22	-41.2	-14%	-24.1 / 179.39 (-13%)	-20.2 / 44.39 (-45%)	3.0 / 68.44 (4%)
Other	5	8.2	164%			8.2 / 5 (164%)

Doyle Carroll: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (14%)	6	75 %	39.18	6.52	0.81	17%
Slight Favorites	27 (47%)	15	56 %	91.06	2.46	0.09	3%
Slight Underdogs	18 (31%)	4	22 %	43.15	-27.05	-1.50	-63%
Big Underdogs	5 (9%)	0	0 %	6.00	-6.00	-1.20	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (14%)	2	25 %	17.85	-10.05	-1.26	-56%
Co-Main Event	3 (5%)	0	0 %	7.00	-7.00	-2.33	-100%
Position 3-5	16 (28%)	10	63 %	54.58	0.93	0.06	2%
6+ (Undercard)	31 (53%)	13	42 %	99.96	-7.95	-0.26	-8%

Doyle Carroll: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (14%)	2	25 %	17.20	-7.60	-0.95	-44%
Light Heavy	2 (3%)	1	50 %	10.08	-2.58	-1.29	-26%
Middleweight	12 (21%)	5	42 %	29.50	-12.69	-1.06	-43%
Welterweight	7 (12%)	5	71 %	22.53	9.45	1.35	42%
Lightweight	10 (17%)	4	40 %	37.45	-9.60	-0.96	-26%
Featherweight	5 (9%)	1	20 %	11.15	-2.75	-0.55	-25%
Bantamweight	5 (9%)	3	60 %	23.60	2.60	0.52	11%
Flyweight	2 (3%)		0 %	5.80	-5.80	-2.90	-100%

Women's Fights	7 (12%)	4	57 %	22.08	4.90	0.70	22%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	4.00	2.00	2.00	50%
Flyweight	4 (7%)	2	50 %	8.80	3.30	0.83	38%
Strawweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	9.28	-0.40	-0.20	-4%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	26 (81%)	17	65 %
Slight Favorites	5 (16%)	1	20 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (3%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	32	18	56 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	4 (10%)	3	75 %
50-65%	7 (18%)	6	86 %
35-50%	5 (13%)	1	20 %
<35% chance	24 (60%)	2	8 %
	40	12	30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (10%)	3	75 %	1.53	1.83	1.40	0.6 (16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (5%)	2	100 %	1.90	2.30	1.63	1.9 (96%)
Goes to Decision	2 (5%)	2	100 %	1.80	3.15	1.26	2.4 (121%)
X Wins by KO	4 (10%)	0	0 %	3.62	5.50	2.35	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (8%)	0	0 %	7.63	11.00	5.05	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	8 (20%)	1	13 %	3.37	7.00	2.20	-2.8 (-36%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (10%)	3	75 %	1.99	3.35	1.71	1.3 (31%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (10%)	0	0 %	13.93	29.00	9.50	-3.0 (-75%)
Others	9 (23%)	1	11 %	3.70	19.00	1.43	-7.4 (-83%)
	40	12	30 %	2.99			-14.1 (-35%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Doyle Carroll's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Mar	Cage Warriors 121	5	8.2	164%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,082.06
20th Mar	UFC Fight Night 188	29.1	-6.1	-21%		$10.82	$1,082.06	$1,016.59
28th Mar	UFC 260	40.5	1.0	2%		$10.17	$1,016.59	$1,026.76
10th Apr	UFC FN	36.59	-3.7	-10%		$10.27	$1,026.76	$988.36
17th Apr	UFC FN	31.15	-15.3	-49%		$9.88	$988.36	$837.14
24th Apr	UFC 261	16.18	-5.6	-34%		$8.37	$837.14	$790.43
15th May	UFC 262	38.69	-33.8	-87%		$7.90	$790.43	$523.34
22nd May	UFC FN	25	20.1	80%		$5.23	$523.34	$628.54
5th Jun	UFC FN	30.3	-6.5	-22%		$6.29	$628.54	$587.44
12th Jun	UFC 263	24.2	1.0	4%		$5.87	$587.44	$593.49
19th Jun	UFC FN	20.51	7.6	37%		$5.93	$593.49	$638.89

ROI % from starting bank balance: -36.11% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Doyle Carroll: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '21	Casey O'Neill	Lara Fritzen Procopio	2.15	2	Sub, R3 (2:54)
2.	Jun '21	Virna Jandiroba	Kanako Murata	1.82	4.88	TKO, R2 (5:0)
3.	Jun '21	Bruno Silva	Wellington Turman	1.91	2.2	TKO, R1 (4:45)
4.	Jun '21	Seung Woo Choi	Julian Erosa	1.91	4.4	TKO, R1 (1:37)
5.	Jun '21	Kalinn Williams	Matt Semelsberger	1.72	1.38	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jun '21	Roman Dolidze	Laureano Staropoli	1.71	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '21	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Miguel Baeza	2.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jun '21	Gregory Rodrigues	Dusko Todorovic	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '21	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Augusto Sakai	1.87	2.3	TKO, R1 (4:59)
10.	Jun '21	Eryk Anders	Darren Stewart	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	May '21	Court McGee	Claudio Silva	1.95	2.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	May '21	Jared Vanderaa	Justin Tafa	2.65	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Apr '21	Danaa Batgerel	Kevin Natividad	1.61	6.6	TKO, R1 (0:50)
14.	Apr '21	Luis Pena	Alex Munoz	1.71	2.8	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Apr '21	Robert Whittaker	Kelvin Gastelum	1.40	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Apr '21	Jack Shore	Hunter Azure	1.71	4.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Apr '21	Mateusz Gamrot	Scott Holtzman	1.57	5.25	TKO, R2 (1:22)
18.	Apr '21	Joe Solecki	Jim Miller	1.50	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '21	Daniel Rodriguez	Mike Perry	1.56	5.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Mar '21	Abubakar Nurmagomedov	Jared Gooden	1.44	9	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '21	Dhiego Lima	Matt Brown	1.61	1.65	TKO, R2 (3:2)	No
2.	Jun '21	Davey Grant	Marlon Vera	3.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jun '21	Dan Ige	Chan Sung Jung	2.00	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Jun '21	Youssef Zalal	Sean Woodson	2.60	1.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
5.	Jun '21	Augusto Sakai	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (4:59)	No
6.	Jun '21	Francisco Trinaldo	Muslim Salikhov	3.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
7.	Jun '21	Tanner Boser	Ilir Latifi	1.53	1.9	Split Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
8.	Jun '21	Ariane Lipski	Montana De La Rosa	3.45	1	TKO, R2 (4:27)	Yes
9.	Jun '21	Ariane Lipski	Montana De La Rosa	3.35	1	TKO, R2 (4:27)	Yes
10.	Jun '21	Walt Harris	Marcin Tybura	2.45	1	TKO, R1 (4:6)	No
11.	May '21	Yilan Sha	Joshua Culibao	3.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	May '21	Cody Garbrandt	Rob Font	2.10	4.4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	May '21	Kevin Aguilar	Tucker Lutz	2.05	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	May '21	Jamie Pickett	Jordan Wright	1.91	2.2	TKO, R1 (1:4)	No
15.	May '21	Mike Grundy	Lando Vannata	1.80	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	May '21	Ronaldo Souza	Andre Muniz	1.87	1.15	Sub, R1 (3:59)	No
17.	May '21	Matt Schnell	Rogerio Bontorin	1.63	1.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	May '21	Tony Ferguson	Beneil Dariush	2.55	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	May '21	Michael Chandler	Charles Oliveira	2.15	2	TKO, R2 (0:19)	No
20.	Apr '21	Jim Crute	Anthony Smith	1.54	5.58	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Doyle Carroll: Progress Chart

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