MMA Handicapper Stats: Jason O’Neill |
|
Jason O’Neill: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 26 (31%) Losing Events: 58 (69%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.33 units Most Staked On One Event: 24.50 units Best Event: 28.00 units Worst Event: -15.50 units Average Event: -1.61 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 34.48 Max Losing Streak: Events: 9, Units: -52.85 |
Jason O’Neill: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
/ 2 (0%) |
-3.50 |
2023 |
230 |
-68.9 |
-30% |
-16.0 / 102.5 (-16%) |
|
-34.4 / 43 (-80%) |
6 / 18 (25%) |
-2.87 |
2022 |
319.5 |
-9.8 |
-3% |
10.3 / 155.5 (7%) |
|
1.2 / 54 (2%) |
16 / 21 (43%) |
-0.27 |
2021 |
143.5 |
-49.3 |
-34% |
-13.0 / 35 (-37%) |
|
-12.0 / 50.5 (-24%) |
4 / 17 (19%) |
-2.35 |
|
Jason O’Neill: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Jason O’Neill: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
684 |
-136.2 |
-20% |
-24.8 / 282 (-9%) |
-66.1 / 254.5 (-26%) |
-45.2 / 147.5 (-31%) |
Bellator |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
|
PFL |
3 |
1.8 |
61% |
1.8 / 3 (61%) |
|
|
Other |
7 |
5.3 |
75% |
5.3 / 7 (75%) |
|
|
|
Jason O’Neill: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
14 (12%) |
5 |
36 % |
66.50 |
-24.24 |
-1.73 |
-36% |
Slight Favorites |
38 (32%) |
24 |
63 % |
104.50 |
-2.50 |
-0.07 |
-2% |
Slight Underdogs |
49 (42%) |
19 |
39 % |
88.00 |
-13.13 |
-0.27 |
-15% |
Big Underdogs |
17 (14%) |
4 |
24 % |
36.00 |
19.12 |
1.12 |
53% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
23 (19%) |
10 |
43 % |
95.50 |
1.90 |
0.08 |
2% |
Co-Main Event |
10 (8%) |
6 |
60 % |
22.00 |
1.90 |
0.19 |
9% |
Position 3-5 |
32 (27%) |
14 |
44 % |
74.00 |
-8.55 |
-0.27 |
-12% |
6+ (Undercard) |
53 (45%) |
22 |
42 % |
103.50 |
-15.99 |
-0.30 |
-15% |
|
Jason O’Neill: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
12 (10%) |
6 |
50 % |
45.00 |
-0.90 |
-0.07 |
-2% |
Light Heavy |
10 (8%) |
5 |
50 % |
19.50 |
-0.09 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
Middleweight |
12 (10%) |
3 |
25 % |
23.50 |
-10.90 |
-0.91 |
-46% |
Welterweight |
16 (14%) |
9 |
56 % |
41.50 |
31.54 |
1.97 |
76% |
Lightweight |
15 (13%) |
5 |
33 % |
26.50 |
-10.62 |
-0.71 |
-40% |
Featherweight |
12 (10%) |
6 |
50 % |
22.00 |
-2.46 |
-0.21 |
-11% |
Bantamweight |
15 (13%) |
6 |
40 % |
35.00 |
-11.73 |
-0.78 |
-34% |
Flyweight |
8 (7%) |
5 |
63 % |
21.00 |
2.75 |
0.34 |
13% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
18 (15%) |
7 |
39 % |
61.00 |
-18.33 |
-1.02 |
-30% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
|
0 % |
12.00 |
-12.00 |
-4.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
11.00 |
-6.23 |
-2.08 |
-57% |
Strawweight |
11 (9%) |
6 |
55 % |
37.50 |
0.40 |
0.04 |
1% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
66 (57%) |
41 |
62 % |
Slight Favorites |
35 (30%) |
19 |
54 % |
Slight Underdogs |
14 (12%) |
7 |
50 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
115 |
67 |
58 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
10 (5%) |
8 |
80 % |
50-65% |
19 (9%) |
10 |
53 % |
35-50% |
33 (15%) |
9 |
27 % |
<35% chance |
154 (71%) |
26 |
17 % |
|
216 |
53 |
25 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Jason O’Neill's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -78.79% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Jason O’Neill: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Dec '23 |
Leon Edwards |
Colby Covington |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Dec '23 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Brandon Royval |
1.53 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Dec '23 |
Andre Fili |
Lucas Almeida |
1.62 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:32) |
|
|
4. |
Dec '23 |
Tim Elliott |
Su Mudaerji |
1.73 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:2) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Joanderson Brito |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.10 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:54) |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Rafael Estevam |
Charles Johnson |
1.73 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Sep '23 |
Tim Means |
Andre Fialho |
2.50 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (1:15) |
|
|
8. |
Sep '23 |
Bryan Battle |
A.J. Fletcher |
1.57 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:32) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '23 |
Ciryl Gane |
Sergey Spivak |
1.57 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (3:44) |
|
|
10. |
Jul '23 |
Alonzo Menifield |
Jim Crute |
2.10 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:55) |
|
|
11. |
Jul '23 |
Jesus Santos Aguilar |
Shannon Ross |
1.73 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (0:17) |
|
|
12. |
Jul '23 |
Esteban Ribovics |
Kamuela Kirk |
1.67 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Jun '23 |
Diana Belbita |
Maria Oliveira |
1.91 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
May '23 |
Matt Brown |
Court McGee |
2.88 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:9) |
|
|
15. |
May '23 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade |
Cody Stamann |
2.30 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Apr '23 |
Rhys McKee |
Jim Wallhead |
1.40 |
5 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
17. |
Apr '23 |
Daniel Zellhuber |
Lando Vannata |
1.80 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Apr '23 |
Kelvin Gastelum |
Chris Curtis |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
19. |
Mar '23 |
Jon Jones |
Ciryl Gane |
1.61 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:4) |
|
|
20. |
Nov '22 |
Daniel Hooker |
Claudio Puelles |
1.67 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:6) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Feb '24 |
Robert Bryczek |
Ihor Potieria |
1.67 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Dec '23 |
Brian Kelleher |
Cody Garbrandt |
2.70 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:42) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Dec '23 |
Casey O'Neill |
Ariane Lipski |
1.53 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:18) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Jordan Leavitt |
Chase Hooper |
3.00 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:58) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Uros Medic |
Myktybek Orolbai |
2.25 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:12) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Sep '23 |
Jake Collier |
Mohammed Usman |
2.25 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jul '23 |
Shauna Bannon |
Bruna Brasil |
2.25 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jul '23 |
Abusupiyan Magomedov |
Sean Strickland |
2.25 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:20) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jun '23 |
Qileng Aori |
Aiemann Zahabi |
1.86 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jun '23 |
Irene Aldana |
Amanda Nunes |
3.75 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '23 |
Ricky Simon |
Yadong Song |
1.86 |
5 |
TKO, R5 (1:10) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '23 |
Tanner Boser |
Ion Cutelaba |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:5) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '23 |
Chris Gutierrez |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '23 |
Jaqueline Amorim |
Sam Hughes |
1.40 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Apr '23 |
Raul Rosas Jr |
Christian Rodriguez |
1.44 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Apr '23 |
Alex Pereira |
Israel Adesanya |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:21) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '23 |
Casey O'Neill |
Jennifer Maia |
1.67 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '23 |
Bryan Barberena |
Gunnar Nelson |
4.00 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:51) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '23 |
Malcolm Gordon |
Jake Hadley |
4.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Feb '23 |
Jessica Andrade |
Erin Blanchfield |
1.73 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:37) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Jason O’Neill: Progress Chart |
|