MMA Handicapper Stats: B_R0G on Twitter |
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B_R0G on Twitter: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
22nd Jan '22 |
UFC 270 |
12.98 |
-11.5 |
-89% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
-4.5 / 5.98 (-75%) |
-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) |
18th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
6.75 |
4.2 |
63% |
|
0.7 / 3.65 (18%) |
3.6 / 3.1 (115%) |
11th Dec '21 |
UFC 269 |
5.4 |
-1.7 |
-31% |
2.3 / 1.5 (150%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-2.9 / 2.9 (-100%) |
4th Dec '21 |
UFC FN |
7.4 |
-3.5 |
-47% |
-0.1 / 4 (-3%) |
-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
20th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
8.6 |
-1.6 |
-18% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) |
2.5 / 4.5 (56%) |
13th Nov '21 |
UFC FN |
14.2 |
-3.3 |
-23% |
1.4 / 3.5 (39%) |
1.9 / 4.2 (44%) |
-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) |
6th Nov '21 |
UFC 268 |
7.15 |
-2.1 |
-30% |
-0.7 / 3.7 (-19%) |
-2.0 / 1.95 (-100%) |
0.5 / 1.5 (34%) |
3rd Nov '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 10 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
30th Oct '21 |
UFC 267 |
16.4 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
-2.3 / 3.5 (-67%) |
-2.5 / 6.55 (-38%) |
4.3 / 6.35 (68%) |
23rd Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
8.4 |
4.6 |
55% |
0.6 / 0.5 (120%) |
5.2 / 2 (258%) |
-1.1 / 5.9 (-19%) |
19th Oct '21 |
DWCS 2021: Week 8 |
0.75 |
1.5 |
200% |
1.5 / 0.75 (200%) |
|
|
16th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
11.15 |
-6.4 |
-57% |
0.8 / 4 (19%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-6.2 / 6.15 (-100%) |
9th Oct '21 |
UFC FN |
11 |
-2.5 |
-23% |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
1.5 / 7 (22%) |
Winning Events: 3 (23%) Losing Events: 10 (77%)
Average Staked Per Event: 8.55 units Most Staked On One Event: 16.40 units Best Event: 4.64 units Worst Event: -11.51 units Average Event: -1.82 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.14 Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -13.67 |
B_R0G on Twitter: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
12.98 |
-11.5 |
-89% |
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
|
-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) |
/ 1 (0%) |
-11.51 |
2021 |
98.2 |
-12.2 |
-12% |
-1.7 / 26.45 (-6%) |
|
-8.2 / 47.9 (-17%) |
3 / 9 (25%) |
-1.01 |
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B_R0G on Twitter: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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B_R0G on Twitter: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
109.43 |
-24.2 |
-22% |
-4.7 / 27.2 (-17%) |
-6.8 / 29.83 (-23%) |
-12.7 / 52.4 (-24%) |
Other |
1.75 |
0.5 |
29% |
1.5 / 0.75 (200%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
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B_R0G on Twitter: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
67% |
Slight Underdogs |
19 (66%) |
7 |
37 % |
18.20 |
-0.05 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
Big Underdogs |
9 (31%) |
2 |
22 % |
8.25 |
-4.10 |
-0.46 |
-50% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
2 (7%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.50 |
0.75 |
0.38 |
50% |
Co-Main Event |
7 (24%) |
3 |
43 % |
9.75 |
0.38 |
0.05 |
4% |
Position 3-5 |
4 (14%) |
2 |
50 % |
3.50 |
2.15 |
0.54 |
61% |
6+ (Undercard) |
16 (55%) |
4 |
25 % |
13.20 |
-6.43 |
-0.40 |
-49% |
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B_R0G on Twitter: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.88 |
2.88 |
144% |
Light Heavy |
2 (7%) |
2 |
100 % |
1.25 |
2.17 |
1.09 |
174% |
Middleweight |
4 (14%) |
2 |
50 % |
4.20 |
0.20 |
0.05 |
5% |
Welterweight |
2 (7%) |
|
0 % |
2.50 |
-2.50 |
-1.25 |
-100% |
Lightweight |
3 (10%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.00 |
-1.00 |
-0.33 |
-33% |
Featherweight |
3 (10%) |
|
0 % |
2.50 |
-2.50 |
-0.83 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
5 (17%) |
1 |
20 % |
5.50 |
-4.40 |
-0.88 |
-80% |
Flyweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.50 |
2.25 |
2.25 |
150% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
8 (28%) |
2 |
25 % |
5.50 |
-0.25 |
-0.03 |
-5% |
Featherweight |
2 (7%) |
1 |
50 % |
1.50 |
0.75 |
0.38 |
50% |
Bantamweight |
1 (3%) |
|
0 % |
0.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.50 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
5 (17%) |
1 |
20 % |
3.50 |
-0.50 |
-0.10 |
-14% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
61 (73%) |
39 |
64 % |
Slight Favorites |
16 (19%) |
10 |
63 % |
Slight Underdogs |
6 (7%) |
2 |
33 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
83 |
51 |
61 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
12 (9%) |
9 |
75 % |
50-65% |
12 (9%) |
9 |
75 % |
35-50% |
21 (17%) |
7 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
82 (65%) |
6 |
7 % |
|
127 |
31 |
24 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail B_R0G on Twitter's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
9th Oct |
UFC FN |
11 |
-2.5 |
-23% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$975.22 |
16th Oct |
UFC FN |
11.15 |
-6.4 |
-57% |
|
$9.75 |
$975.22 |
$912.81 |
19th Oct |
DWCS 2021: Week 8 |
0.75 |
1.5 |
200% |
|
$9.13 |
$912.81 |
$926.50 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
8.4 |
4.6 |
55% |
|
$9.26 |
$926.50 |
$969.46 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
16.4 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
|
$9.69 |
$969.46 |
$964.38 |
3rd Nov |
DWCS 2021: Week 10 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.64 |
$964.38 |
$954.73 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
7.15 |
-2.1 |
-30% |
|
$9.55 |
$954.73 |
$934.28 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
14.2 |
-3.3 |
-23% |
|
$9.34 |
$934.28 |
$903.75 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
8.6 |
-1.6 |
-18% |
|
$9.04 |
$903.75 |
$889.46 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
7.4 |
-3.5 |
-47% |
|
$8.89 |
$889.46 |
$858.33 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
5.4 |
-1.7 |
-31% |
|
$8.58 |
$858.33 |
$844.16 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
6.75 |
4.2 |
63% |
|
$8.44 |
$844.16 |
$880.03 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
12.98 |
-11.5 |
-89% |
|
$8.80 |
$880.03 |
$778.71 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -22.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
B_R0G on Twitter: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
B_R0G on Twitter: Progress Chart |
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