|
MMA Handicapper Stats: King of the Casuals |
|
King of the Casuals: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 40 (51%) Losing Events: 38 (49%)
Average Staked Per Event: 53.65 units Most Staked On One Event: 473.00 units Best Event: 115.12 units Worst Event: -88.35 units Average Event: 0.57 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 201.25 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -88.35 |
King of the Casuals: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2022 |
3221.13 |
-209.7 |
-7% |
-153.8 / 3070.13 (-5%) |
|
-33.5 / 91 (-37%) |
26 / 31 (46%) |
-3.68 |
2021 |
963.7 |
254.1 |
26% |
133.1 / 771.7 (17%) |
|
108.8 / 128 (85%) |
14 / 7 (67%) |
12.10 |
|
King of the Casuals: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
King of the Casuals: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
2552.53 |
-140.3 |
-5% |
-177.4 / 2268.03 (-8%) |
-38.1 / 103 (-37%) |
75.2 / 181.5 (41%) |
Bellator |
594.7 |
99.9 |
17% |
90.2 / 562.2 (16%) |
8.6 / 11 (78%) |
1.1 / 21.5 (5%) |
PFL |
332.4 |
25.6 |
8% |
28.6 / 329.4 (9%) |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
Other |
705.2 |
59.2 |
8% |
37.9 / 682.2 (6%) |
19.2 / 10 (192%) |
2.0 / 13 (16%) |
|
King of the Casuals: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
187 (28%) |
156 |
83 % |
802.43 |
39.31 |
0.21 |
5% |
Slight Favorites |
199 (29%) |
115 |
58 % |
1,333.40 |
-56.12 |
-0.28 |
-4% |
Slight Underdogs |
174 (26%) |
79 |
45 % |
1,084.00 |
-0.10 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
Big Underdogs |
120 (18%) |
33 |
28 % |
622.00 |
-3.80 |
-0.03 |
-1% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
91 (13%) |
55 |
60 % |
462.90 |
4.45 |
0.05 |
1% |
Co-Main Event |
80 (12%) |
45 |
56 % |
439.30 |
65.93 |
0.82 |
15% |
Position 3-5 |
200 (29%) |
105 |
53 % |
1,089.00 |
-124.38 |
-0.62 |
-11% |
6+ (Undercard) |
309 (45%) |
178 |
58 % |
1,850.63 |
33.30 |
0.11 |
2% |
|
King of the Casuals: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
56 (8%) |
36 |
64 % |
343.70 |
4.59 |
0.08 |
1% |
Light Heavy |
47 (7%) |
30 |
64 % |
270.10 |
12.58 |
0.27 |
5% |
Middleweight |
75 (11%) |
45 |
60 % |
382.20 |
34.53 |
0.46 |
9% |
Welterweight |
98 (14%) |
56 |
57 % |
568.40 |
3.20 |
0.03 |
1% |
Lightweight |
114 (17%) |
71 |
62 % |
696.10 |
96.89 |
0.85 |
14% |
Featherweight |
95 (14%) |
52 |
55 % |
507.93 |
13.02 |
0.14 |
3% |
Bantamweight |
67 (10%) |
30 |
45 % |
339.60 |
-78.15 |
-1.17 |
-23% |
Flyweight |
36 (5%) |
17 |
47 % |
214.00 |
-43.54 |
-1.21 |
-20% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
92 (14%) |
46 |
50 % |
519.80 |
-63.82 |
-0.69 |
-12% |
Featherweight |
14 (2%) |
8 |
57 % |
96.00 |
26.01 |
1.86 |
27% |
Bantamweight |
10 (1%) |
5 |
50 % |
50.00 |
-1.57 |
-0.16 |
-3% |
Flyweight |
39 (6%) |
16 |
41 % |
205.30 |
-76.28 |
-1.96 |
-37% |
Strawweight |
29 (4%) |
17 |
59 % |
168.50 |
-11.98 |
-0.41 |
-7% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
108 (75%) |
94 |
87 % |
Slight Favorites |
28 (19%) |
20 |
71 % |
Slight Underdogs |
8 (6%) |
2 |
25 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
144 |
116 |
81 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
50-65% |
13 (28%) |
8 |
62 % |
35-50% |
11 (24%) |
7 |
64 % |
<35% chance |
20 (43%) |
2 |
10 % |
|
46 |
17 |
37 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail King of the Casuals's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
22nd Oct |
LFA 116 |
15 |
5.0 |
33% |
$2 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,047.65 |
23rd Oct |
Bellator 269 |
8 |
5.0 |
63% |
$2 |
$10.48 |
$1,047.65 |
$1,098.17 |
23rd Oct |
UFC FN |
35 |
28.3 |
81% |
$2 |
$10.98 |
$1,098.17 |
$1,407.17 |
26th Oct |
DWCS 2021: Week 9 |
54 |
-29.8 |
-55% |
$2 |
$14.07 |
$1,407.17 |
$985.89 |
27th Oct |
PFL 2021 #10: Championships |
38 |
12.6 |
33% |
$2 |
$9.86 |
$985.89 |
$1,108.39 |
30th Oct |
UFC 267 |
125 |
115.1 |
92% |
$2 |
$11.08 |
$1,108.39 |
$2,382.36 |
3rd Nov |
DWCS 2021: Week 10 |
46 |
73.5 |
160% |
$2 |
$23.82 |
$2,382.36 |
$4,131.42 |
5th Nov |
Bellator 270 |
9 |
-1.9 |
-21% |
$2 |
$41.31 |
$4,131.42 |
$4,050.59 |
6th Nov |
LFA 117 |
10 |
7.8 |
78% |
$2 |
$40.51 |
$4,050.59 |
$4,365.62 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
71.7 |
8.7 |
12% |
$2 |
$43.66 |
$4,365.62 |
$4,741.39 |
12th Nov |
Bellator 271 |
15 |
-8.3 |
-56% |
$2 |
$47.41 |
$4,741.39 |
$4,343.71 |
12th Nov |
LFA 118 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$43.44 |
$4,343.71 |
$3,994.21 |
13th Nov |
UFC FN |
51 |
-11.3 |
-22% |
$2 |
$39.94 |
$3,994.21 |
$3,542.86 |
14th Nov |
Fury FC 53 |
5 |
5.0 |
100% |
$2 |
$35.43 |
$3,542.86 |
$3,718.00 |
19th Nov |
ACA 132 |
10 |
11.3 |
113% |
$2 |
$37.18 |
$3,718.00 |
$4,137.92 |
20th Nov |
UFC FN |
44 |
-15.8 |
-36% |
$2 |
$41.38 |
$4,137.92 |
$3,481.12 |
3rd Dec |
Bellator 272 |
68.5 |
22.3 |
32% |
$2 |
$34.81 |
$3,481.12 |
$4,253.77 |
4th Dec |
UFC FN |
89 |
-11.4 |
-13% |
$2 |
$42.54 |
$4,253.77 |
$3,768.96 |
10th Dec |
LFA 120 |
5 |
3.0 |
61% |
$2 |
$37.69 |
$3,768.96 |
$3,881.17 |
11th Dec |
UFC 269 |
100 |
9.7 |
10% |
$2 |
$38.81 |
$3,881.17 |
$4,254.19 |
18th Dec |
UFC FN |
156.5 |
33.2 |
21% |
$2 |
$42.54 |
$4,254.19 |
$5,665.11 |
12th Jan |
Invicta 45 |
25 |
20.9 |
84% |
$2 |
$56.65 |
$5,665.11 |
$6,848.62 |
14th Jan |
LFA 121 |
41.6 |
-3.1 |
-8% |
$2 |
$68.49 |
$6,848.62 |
$6,632.78 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze |
119 |
47.1 |
40% |
$2 |
$66.33 |
$6,632.78 |
$9,751.98 |
21st Jan |
LFA 122 |
25.1 |
10.6 |
42% |
$2 |
$97.52 |
$9,751.98 |
$10,785.20 |
22nd Jan |
UFC 270 |
62.1 |
-22.9 |
-37% |
$2 |
$107.85 |
$10,785.20 |
$8,311.55 |
28th Jan |
EFC 44 |
43 |
23.2 |
54% |
$2 |
$83.12 |
$8,311.55 |
$10,238.98 |
29th Jan |
Bellator 273 |
38 |
22.2 |
58% |
$2 |
$102.39 |
$10,238.98 |
$12,510.32 |
29th Jan |
CFFC 105 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
29% |
$2 |
$125.10 |
$12,510.32 |
$12,511.90 |
5th Feb |
LFA 123 |
28 |
8.1 |
29% |
$2 |
$125.12 |
$12,511.90 |
$13,524.80 |
5th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland |
60 |
18.3 |
31% |
$2 |
$135.25 |
$13,524.80 |
$16,002.15 |
6th Feb |
Fury FC 56 |
8 |
4.5 |
56% |
$2 |
$160.02 |
$16,002.15 |
$16,713.67 |
6th Feb |
FAC 12 |
13.1 |
-2.5 |
-19% |
$2 |
$167.14 |
$16,713.67 |
$16,297.54 |
11th Feb |
LFA 124 |
49.2 |
8.5 |
17% |
$2 |
$162.98 |
$16,297.54 |
$17,686.98 |
11th Feb |
Fury FC 57 |
10.2 |
-3.3 |
-32% |
$2 |
$176.87 |
$17,686.98 |
$17,103.57 |
12th Feb |
UFC 271 |
99 |
-9.7 |
-10% |
$2 |
$171.04 |
$17,103.57 |
$15,436.16 |
18th Feb |
EFC 45 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
67% |
$2 |
$154.36 |
$15,436.16 |
$15,444.45 |
18th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series 1 |
24.1 |
3.3 |
14% |
$2 |
$154.44 |
$15,444.45 |
$15,945.37 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill |
64.93 |
-5.4 |
-8% |
$2 |
$159.45 |
$15,945.37 |
$15,076.42 |
19th Feb |
Bellator 274 |
46 |
25.0 |
54% |
$2 |
$150.76 |
$15,076.42 |
$18,839.30 |
25th Feb |
Bellator 275 |
38.5 |
-2.5 |
-7% |
$2 |
$188.39 |
$18,839.30 |
$18,361.30 |
26th Feb |
LFA 125 |
28 |
-19.2 |
-68% |
$2 |
$183.61 |
$18,361.30 |
$14,842.40 |
26th Feb |
PFL Challenger Series 2 |
21 |
-15.0 |
-71% |
$2 |
$148.42 |
$14,842.40 |
$12,614.04 |
26th Feb |
KSW 67 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$126.14 |
$12,614.04 |
$11,981.34 |
26th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Makhachev |
86.2 |
-4.0 |
-5% |
$2 |
$119.81 |
$11,981.34 |
$11,496.51 |
27th Feb |
Fury FC 58 |
10.1 |
-3.6 |
-35% |
$2 |
$114.97 |
$11,496.51 |
$11,085.69 |
5th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 3 |
15 |
2.4 |
16% |
$2 |
$110.86 |
$11,085.69 |
$11,352.69 |
5th Mar |
UFC 272 |
83 |
-24.4 |
-29% |
$2 |
$113.53 |
$11,352.69 |
$8,584.79 |
10th Mar |
Invicta 46 |
26.2 |
-3.7 |
-14% |
$2 |
$85.85 |
$8,584.79 |
$8,267.74 |
11th Mar |
EFC 46 |
28.3 |
-19.2 |
-68% |
$2 |
$82.68 |
$8,267.74 |
$6,681.39 |
12th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 4 |
23 |
3.8 |
17% |
$2 |
$66.81 |
$6,681.39 |
$6,935.19 |
12th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev |
126 |
-52.4 |
-42% |
$2 |
$69.35 |
$6,935.19 |
$3,299.80 |
12th Mar |
Bellator 276 |
47.3 |
15.4 |
33% |
$2 |
$33.00 |
$3,299.80 |
$3,806.01 |
18th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 5 |
42 |
8.4 |
20% |
$2 |
$38.06 |
$3,806.01 |
$4,123.71 |
19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
121.1 |
10.3 |
9% |
$2 |
$41.24 |
$4,123.71 |
$4,547.44 |
25th Mar |
PFL Challenger Series 6 |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$45.47 |
$4,547.44 |
$3,863.32 |
25th Mar |
LFA 127 |
9 |
-2.8 |
-32% |
$2 |
$38.63 |
$3,863.32 |
$3,751.22 |
26th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus |
45 |
1.6 |
3% |
$2 |
$37.51 |
$3,751.22 |
$3,807.37 |
1st Apr |
Cage Warriors 135 |
16 |
-7.6 |
-47% |
$2 |
$38.07 |
$3,807.37 |
$3,517.84 |
2nd Apr |
Cage Warriors 136 |
20 |
7.7 |
38% |
$2 |
$35.18 |
$3,517.84 |
$3,786.41 |
2nd Apr |
XMMA 4 |
25 |
8.9 |
35% |
$2 |
$37.86 |
$3,786.41 |
$4,120.02 |
9th Apr |
LFA 128 |
20.1 |
-3.0 |
-15% |
$2 |
$41.20 |
$4,120.02 |
$3,992.39 |
9th Apr |
UFC 273 |
185 |
-83.1 |
-45% |
$2 |
$39.92 |
$3,992.39 |
$672.19 |
15th Apr |
Bellator 277 |
27 |
-0.2 |
-1% |
$2 |
$6.72 |
$672.19 |
$669.07 |
15th Apr |
LFA 129 |
33 |
17.6 |
53% |
$2 |
$6.69 |
$669.07 |
$784.83 |
16th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad II |
103 |
-11.5 |
-11% |
$2 |
$7.85 |
$784.83 |
$692.29 |
20th Apr |
PFL 2022 #1 |
99 |
-15.1 |
-15% |
$2 |
$6.92 |
$692.29 |
$585.78 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 278 |
44 |
12.8 |
29% |
$2 |
$5.86 |
$585.78 |
$658.96 |
23rd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade |
77 |
-16.2 |
-21% |
$2 |
$6.59 |
$658.96 |
$550.20 |
23rd Apr |
Bellator 279 |
99.1 |
-14.1 |
-14% |
$2 |
$5.50 |
$550.20 |
$470.84 |
24th Apr |
Fury FC 60 |
77.1 |
-34.9 |
-45% |
$2 |
$4.71 |
$470.84 |
$304.35 |
28th Apr |
PFL 2022 #2 |
11 |
13.1 |
119% |
$2 |
$3.04 |
$304.35 |
$342.18 |
30th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera |
473 |
-88.4 |
-19% |
$2 |
$3.42 |
$342.18 |
$37.86 |
6th May |
Bellator 280 |
121.3 |
39.5 |
33% |
$2 |
$0.38 |
$37.86 |
$50.80 |
6th May |
PFL 2022 #3 |
44.3 |
27.0 |
61% |
$2 |
$0.51 |
$50.80 |
$62.53 |
7th May |
UFC 274 |
176 |
-56.0 |
-32% |
$2 |
$0.63 |
$62.53 |
$25.51 |
13th May |
Bellator 281 |
33 |
-15.3 |
-46% |
$2 |
$0.26 |
$25.51 |
$19.62 |
13th May |
LFA 132 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$0.20 |
$19.62 |
$15.46 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -98.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
King of the Casuals: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
May '22 |
Oliver Enkamp |
Mark Lemminger |
1.61 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (0:25) |
|
|
2. |
May '22 |
Piotr Niedzielski |
Pedro Carvalho |
2.30 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
May '22 |
Youcef Ouabbas |
Matthieu Letho |
2.00 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:17) |
|
|
4. |
May '22 |
Rory MacDonald |
Brett Cooper |
1.25 |
0.1 |
Sub, R1 (2:23) |
|
|
5. |
May '22 |
Kayla Harrison |
Marina Mokhnatkina |
1.04 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
May '22 |
Lorenz Larkin |
Kyle Stewart |
1.30 |
0.1 |
TKO, R1 (4:44) |
|
|
7. |
May '22 |
Davy Gallon |
Benjamin Brander |
1.19 |
0.1 |
TKO, R2 (3:18) |
|
|
8. |
May '22 |
Yoel Romero |
Alex Polizzi |
1.62 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (4:59) |
|
|
9. |
May '22 |
Bourama Camara |
Victor Verchere |
1.83 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:6) |
|
|
10. |
May '22 |
Soren Bak |
Charlie Leary |
1.20 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
May '22 |
Ryan Bader |
Cheick Kongo |
1.28 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
May '22 |
Jordan Barton |
Fabacary Diatta |
3.10 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
May '22 |
Yves Landu |
Gavin Hughes |
2.45 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (3:1) |
|
|
14. |
May '22 |
Brandon Royval |
Matt Schnell |
1.40 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (2:14) |
|
|
15. |
May '22 |
Lupita Godinez |
Ariane Carnelossi |
1.56 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
May '22 |
Journey Newson |
Fernando Garcia |
2.35 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
May '22 |
Macy Chiasson |
Norma Dumont |
2.90 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
May '22 |
Andre Fialho |
Cameron VanCamp |
1.29 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (2:35) |
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19. |
May '22 |
Ovince St Preux |
Mauricio Rua |
1.42 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
May '22 |
Sadibou Sy |
Nikolay Aleksakhin |
2.20 |
11 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
King of the Casuals: Progress Chart |
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