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MMA Handicapper Stats: Betting Gnome |
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Betting Gnome: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 17 (47%) Losing Events: 19 (53%)
Average Staked Per Event: 24.79 units Most Staked On One Event: 42.00 units Best Event: 64.15 units Worst Event: -27.01 units Average Event: 2.27 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 65.20 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -42.09 |
Betting Gnome: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
79.19 |
68.0 |
86% |
13.1 / 15 (87%) |
|
0.1 / 7.94 (1%) |
3 / 1 (75%) |
16.99 |
2023 |
397.25 |
8.9 |
2% |
28.2 / 172.25 (16%) |
|
-3.2 / 77.5 (-4%) |
6 / 9 (40%) |
0.59 |
2022 |
415.98 |
4.9 |
1% |
-31.6 / 163.17 (-19%) |
|
19.9 / 66.42 (30%) |
8 / 9 (47%) |
0.29 |
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Betting Gnome: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Betting Gnome: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
833.67 |
68.5 |
8% |
20.8 / 322.67 (6%) |
52.4 / 369.14 (14%) |
-4.7 / 141.86 (-3%) |
Other |
58.75 |
13.3 |
23% |
-11.2 / 27.75 (-40%) |
2.9 / 21 (14%) |
21.5 / 10 (215%) |
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Betting Gnome: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
6.50 |
0.39 |
0.20 |
6% |
Slight Favorites |
27 (19%) |
16 |
59 % |
146.91 |
-9.96 |
-0.37 |
-7% |
Slight Underdogs |
73 (51%) |
31 |
42 % |
138.03 |
7.11 |
0.10 |
5% |
Big Underdogs |
41 (29%) |
13 |
32 % |
58.98 |
12.07 |
0.29 |
20% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
15 (10%) |
7 |
47 % |
53.75 |
-15.41 |
-1.03 |
-29% |
Co-Main Event |
14 (10%) |
1 |
7 % |
32.24 |
-26.74 |
-1.91 |
-83% |
Position 3-5 |
41 (29%) |
17 |
41 % |
88.90 |
23.00 |
0.56 |
26% |
6+ (Undercard) |
73 (51%) |
36 |
49 % |
175.53 |
28.76 |
0.39 |
16% |
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Betting Gnome: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
9 (6%) |
4 |
44 % |
15.91 |
4.73 |
0.53 |
30% |
Light Heavy |
9 (6%) |
5 |
56 % |
22.00 |
10.75 |
1.19 |
49% |
Middleweight |
20 (14%) |
9 |
45 % |
64.49 |
-17.82 |
-0.89 |
-28% |
Welterweight |
19 (13%) |
8 |
42 % |
61.32 |
-5.40 |
-0.28 |
-9% |
Lightweight |
14 (10%) |
5 |
36 % |
26.00 |
3.72 |
0.27 |
14% |
Featherweight |
19 (13%) |
8 |
42 % |
56.32 |
-3.78 |
-0.20 |
-7% |
Bantamweight |
22 (15%) |
9 |
41 % |
51.65 |
-0.50 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Flyweight |
9 (6%) |
4 |
44 % |
12.99 |
4.30 |
0.48 |
33% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
22 (15%) |
9 |
41 % |
39.74 |
13.61 |
0.62 |
34% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
11.00 |
7.33 |
3.67 |
67% |
Bantamweight |
4 (3%) |
|
0 % |
5.25 |
-5.25 |
-1.31 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
8 (6%) |
3 |
38 % |
10.66 |
3.13 |
0.39 |
29% |
Strawweight |
8 (6%) |
5 |
63 % |
12.83 |
8.40 |
1.05 |
65% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
114 (39%) |
86 |
75 % |
Slight Favorites |
94 (32%) |
62 |
66 % |
Slight Underdogs |
64 (22%) |
24 |
38 % |
Big Underdogs |
24 (8%) |
9 |
38 % |
|
296 |
181 |
61 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
47 (8%) |
39 |
83 % |
50-65% |
67 (12%) |
42 |
63 % |
35-50% |
133 (24%) |
48 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
317 (56%) |
72 |
23 % |
|
564 |
201 |
36 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Betting Gnome's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
20 |
-3.8 |
-19% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$962.20 |
6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
7.75 |
-4.5 |
-57% |
|
$9.62 |
$962.20 |
$919.38 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
28.25 |
20.3 |
72% |
|
$9.19 |
$919.38 |
$1,105.67 |
13th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 8 |
6.5 |
-4.3 |
-66% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,105.67 |
$1,058.13 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
28.25 |
14.5 |
51% |
|
$10.58 |
$1,058.13 |
$1,212.03 |
21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
17.25 |
7.0 |
40% |
|
$12.12 |
$1,212.03 |
$1,296.54 |
27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
14.75 |
20.1 |
136% |
|
$12.97 |
$1,296.54 |
$1,557.10 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
22.25 |
-3.0 |
-13% |
|
$15.57 |
$1,557.10 |
$1,510.67 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
27.5 |
5.1 |
19% |
|
$15.11 |
$1,510.67 |
$1,587.92 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
39.75 |
17.6 |
44% |
|
$15.88 |
$1,587.92 |
$1,868.03 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
31.96 |
-27.0 |
-85% |
|
$18.68 |
$1,868.03 |
$1,363.48 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
20.12 |
-15.1 |
-75% |
|
$13.63 |
$1,363.48 |
$1,157.87 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
40.26 |
18.7 |
46% |
|
$11.58 |
$1,157.87 |
$1,374.22 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
15.1 |
-1.4 |
-9% |
|
$13.74 |
$1,374.22 |
$1,354.51 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
30.09 |
-23.1 |
-77% |
|
$13.55 |
$1,354.51 |
$1,042.07 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
36.29 |
0.4 |
1% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,042.07 |
$1,046.17 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
29.91 |
-16.7 |
-56% |
|
$10.46 |
$1,046.17 |
$871.44 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
42 |
-1.9 |
-5% |
|
$8.71 |
$871.44 |
$854.63 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
12.75 |
4.5 |
35% |
|
$8.55 |
$854.63 |
$893.06 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
21.5 |
-1.9 |
-9% |
|
$8.93 |
$893.06 |
$876.06 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
24.5 |
0.6 |
2% |
|
$8.76 |
$876.06 |
$881.37 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
15 |
-3.5 |
-23% |
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$8.81 |
$881.37 |
$850.89 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
20.5 |
37.8 |
184% |
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$8.51 |
$850.89 |
$1,172.12 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
29.75 |
2.5 |
9% |
|
$11.72 |
$1,172.12 |
$1,201.97 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
35.5 |
-3.8 |
-11% |
|
$12.02 |
$1,201.97 |
$1,156.20 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
20 |
-3.4 |
-17% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,156.20 |
$1,117.19 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
31.75 |
1.6 |
5% |
|
$11.17 |
$1,117.19 |
$1,135.57 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
33 |
-12.0 |
-36% |
|
$11.36 |
$1,135.57 |
$999.35 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
34 |
9.6 |
28% |
|
$9.99 |
$999.35 |
$1,095.10 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
34 |
-10.6 |
-31% |
|
$10.95 |
$1,095.10 |
$979.37 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
30.5 |
-5.7 |
-19% |
|
$9.79 |
$979.37 |
$923.71 |
8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
12.5 |
-5.0 |
-40% |
|
$9.24 |
$923.71 |
$877.52 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
15.34 |
64.2 |
418% |
|
$8.78 |
$877.52 |
$1,440.49 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
18.55 |
1.0 |
6% |
|
$14.40 |
$1,440.49 |
$1,455.61 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
25.75 |
-7.2 |
-28% |
|
$14.56 |
$1,455.61 |
$1,350.56 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
19.55 |
10.0 |
51% |
|
$13.51 |
$1,350.56 |
$1,485.35 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 48.53% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Betting Gnome: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
May '24 |
Kevin Borjas |
Alessandro Costa |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
No |
|
|
2. |
May '24 |
Paul Craig |
Caio Borralho |
4.50 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (2:10) |
No |
|
|
3. |
May '24 |
Ernesta Kareckaite |
Dione Barbosa |
2.75 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
May '24 |
Kevin Borjas |
Alessandro Costa |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '24 |
Cody Brundage |
Bo Nickal |
13.00 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:38) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Aug '23 |
Bogdan Grad |
Tom Nolan |
2.20 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:23) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Aug '23 |
Kevin Szaflarski |
Caio Machado (2) |
1.72 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Aug '23 |
Reyes Cortez |
Payton Talbott |
2.30 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jul '23 |
Tony Ferguson |
Bobby Green |
4.00 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (4:54) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jul '23 |
Trevin Giles |
Gabriel Bonfim |
3.50 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (1:13) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jul '23 |
Darrius Flowers |
Jake Matthews |
3.10 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:37) |
No |
|
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12. |
Jul '23 |
Priscila Cachoeira |
Miranda Maverick |
3.60 |
2 |
Sub, R3 (2:11) |
No |
|
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13. |
May '23 |
Gilbert Burns |
Belal Muhammad |
1.80 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
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14. |
May '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Movsar Evloev |
6.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
May '23 |
Kron Gracie |
Charles Jourdain |
2.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Apr '23 |
Brogan Walker |
Iasmin Lucindo |
3.50 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Apr '23 |
T.J. Brown |
Bill Algeo |
2.62 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:40) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Apr '23 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Gilbert Burns |
4.33 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Apr '23 |
Chris Curtis |
Kelvin Gastelum |
2.00 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Apr '23 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Joe Pyfer |
2.62 |
1.25 |
TKO, R1 (3:15) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Betting Gnome: Progress Chart |
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