MMA Handicapper Stats: The Halfrican |
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The Halfrican: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 31 (47%) Losing Events: 35 (53%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.80 units Most Staked On One Event: 36.00 units Best Event: 16.32 units Worst Event: -36.00 units Average Event: -0.42 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 50.16 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -48.68 |
The Halfrican: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
225.2 |
-4.3 |
-2% |
21.6 / 139.7 (15%) |
|
-11.7 / 23.5 (-50%) |
6 / 11 (35%) |
-0.25 |
2023 |
343.79 |
-11.9 |
-3% |
15.1 / 227.38 (7%) |
|
-3.6 / 17.3 (-21%) |
18 / 19 (49%) |
-0.32 |
2022 |
77.96 |
-11.7 |
-15% |
-10.9 / 52.46 (-21%) |
|
-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%) |
7 / 5 (58%) |
-0.98 |
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The Halfrican: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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The Halfrican: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
593.3 |
-29.8 |
-5% |
12.7 / 377.14 (3%) |
-27.2 / 175.36 (-16%) |
-15.3 / 40.8 (-38%) |
Bellator |
16.55 |
8.1 |
49% |
10.2 / 14.5 (70%) |
-2.1 / 2.05 (-100%) |
|
PFL |
18 |
0.4 |
2% |
5.4 / 13 (42%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
Other |
19.1 |
-6.6 |
-35% |
-2.4 / 14.9 (-16%) |
-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) |
-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%) |
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The Halfrican: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
8 (5%) |
6 |
75 % |
32.65 |
-0.90 |
-0.11 |
-3% |
Slight Favorites |
43 (28%) |
22 |
51 % |
144.09 |
-12.93 |
-0.30 |
-9% |
Slight Underdogs |
65 (42%) |
30 |
46 % |
172.50 |
47.92 |
0.74 |
28% |
Big Underdogs |
38 (25%) |
10 |
26 % |
70.30 |
-8.21 |
-0.22 |
-12% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
19 (12%) |
9 |
47 % |
57.88 |
23.20 |
1.22 |
40% |
Co-Main Event |
25 (16%) |
7 |
28 % |
66.55 |
-21.76 |
-0.87 |
-33% |
Position 3-5 |
41 (27%) |
21 |
51 % |
113.97 |
13.69 |
0.33 |
12% |
6+ (Undercard) |
69 (45%) |
31 |
45 % |
181.14 |
10.76 |
0.16 |
6% |
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The Halfrican: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
19 (12%) |
7 |
37 % |
74.19 |
-12.10 |
-0.64 |
-16% |
Light Heavy |
11 (7%) |
4 |
36 % |
19.23 |
-0.30 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
Middleweight |
33 (21%) |
15 |
45 % |
83.26 |
28.11 |
0.85 |
34% |
Welterweight |
16 (10%) |
9 |
56 % |
52.15 |
8.03 |
0.50 |
15% |
Lightweight |
22 (14%) |
8 |
36 % |
51.00 |
-4.04 |
-0.18 |
-8% |
Featherweight |
14 (9%) |
8 |
57 % |
35.46 |
16.01 |
1.14 |
45% |
Bantamweight |
16 (10%) |
4 |
25 % |
41.75 |
-29.23 |
-1.83 |
-70% |
Flyweight |
11 (7%) |
6 |
55 % |
27.25 |
6.81 |
0.62 |
25% |
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Women's Fights |
12 (8%) |
7 |
58 % |
35.25 |
12.60 |
1.05 |
36% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
2 |
100 % |
6.00 |
7.35 |
3.68 |
123% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
4 (3%) |
2 |
50 % |
9.00 |
1.82 |
0.46 |
20% |
Strawweight |
5 (3%) |
3 |
60 % |
18.75 |
4.93 |
0.99 |
26% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
42 (67%) |
30 |
71 % |
Slight Favorites |
12 (19%) |
7 |
58 % |
Slight Underdogs |
7 (11%) |
4 |
57 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (3%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
63 |
41 |
65 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
50-65% |
16 (9%) |
9 |
56 % |
35-50% |
23 (13%) |
9 |
39 % |
<35% chance |
142 (78%) |
12 |
8 % |
|
182 |
31 |
17 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Halfrican's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -41.72% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Halfrican: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
May '24 |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
Mateusz Rebecki |
5.00 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:51) |
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2. |
May '24 |
Carlos Diego Ferreira |
Mateusz Rebecki |
4.50 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (4:51) |
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3. |
May '24 |
Veronica Macedo |
J.J. Aldrich |
1.74 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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4. |
May '24 |
Derrick Lewis |
Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira |
1.67 |
6 |
TKO, R3 (0:49) |
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5. |
May '24 |
Alessandro Costa |
Kevin Borjas |
1.80 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:35) |
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6. |
May '24 |
Alexandre Pantoja |
Steve Erceg |
1.57 |
5.25 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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7. |
Apr '24 |
David Onama |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.55 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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8. |
Apr '24 |
David Onama |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.45 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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9. |
Apr '24 |
César Almeida |
Dylan Budka |
2.40 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
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10. |
Mar '24 |
Virna Jandiroba |
Lupita Godinez |
2.87 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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11. |
Mar '24 |
Ibo Aslan |
Anton Turkalj |
1.80 |
3.75 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
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12. |
Mar '24 |
Chelsea Chandler |
Josiane Nunes |
2.20 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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13. |
Mar '24 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Gilbert Burns |
2.00 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (3:43) |
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14. |
Feb '24 |
Jack Hermansson |
Joe Pyfer |
3.10 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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15. |
Feb '24 |
Jack Hermansson |
Joe Pyfer |
2.75 |
4 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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16. |
Mar '24 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Jailton Junior |
2.10 |
8 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
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17. |
Jan '24 |
Jim Miller |
Gabriel Benitez |
2.01 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (3:25) |
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18. |
Jan '24 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Sean Strickland |
2.25 |
10 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
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19. |
Dec '23 |
Tim Elliott |
Su Mudaerji |
1.72 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (4:2) |
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20. |
Nov '23 |
Derek Brunson |
Ray Cooper III |
2.60 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Halfrican: Progress Chart |
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